10-18-13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Diamond Dog Sports

UCF +14.5 -105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DOC SPORTS

The following selection is our 6-unit Game of the Month

6-unit Play #921 Los Angeles Dodgers (-130) over St. Louis Cardinals (8:35pm EST) The Los Angeles Dodgers have their backs up against the wall, but they've certainly been here before. The argument can be made that this team actually enjoys the pressure and the big moments and plays even better when they really need to. The Dodgers started out the season an abysmal 30-42 and in the cellar of the NL West division. Critics ripped the team and management as nearly everyone wrote them off for 2013. But they rose to the occasion and went on one of the greatest runs in baseball history. They went 53-13 over their next 66 games and found themselves with a comfortable lead atop the NL West now. Fast forward to Wednesday as the Dodgers trailed 3-1 in the series to the Cardinals and once again people said that the Dodgers were done. But here they are with a chance to tie up the series with one of the best pitchers in the game on the mound. The fact is that this team is much better than there record indicates. They didn't have Hanley Ramirez and Yasiel Puig for the first two months of the season and Zack Greinke was out most of that time with an injury as well. Since the end of June, nobody has put up the numbers the Dodgers have and they've never given up any hope in bringing a World Series to Los Angeles. Clayton Kershaw has had an amazing season and we don't need to go over his spectacular resume. He pitched masterfully in Game Two against these Cardinals going six innings while allowing no earned runs and just two hits and a walk. Unfortunately an error cost him an unearned run and the Dodgers fell 1-0. Kershaw threw just 72 pitches in that game, but rest assured that he will go close to the distance today with the Dodgers needing a win. His mound opponent in that game was Michael Wacha and he pitched just as well. However, that was the first time that Los Angeles had ever seen the rookie live. Now that they've had a taste of his stuff, I expect them to make the proper adjustments and put some pressure on him. He's been pitching well, but remember that he's just a rookie and this is the biggest game of his career. The nerves could get to the youngster as he faces the most dangerous lineup in the league. I like the Dodgers to grab this victory amidst the pressure - like they always do.


4-unit Play Take #52 Winnipeg Jets (+110) over St. Louis Blues (8:05pm EST) The St. Louis Blues head to Winnipeg to take on the Jets in what is an extremely difficult spot tonight. Winnipeg is a tough venue to play in due to the size of the arena, the noise and the travel distance. But it's even more overwhelming on the second leg of a back-to-back after playing a tough game against the defending champion Blackhawks which went to a shootout. The Blues will definitely have their work cut out for themselves here. The Jets have been at home for an entire week and have had two days off to fully prepare for this one. They've dropped four of five games, but there were some encouraging signs in their last few games. They outshot their opponents by double digits in each of their last three games, but could only find the back of the net four times in 115 shots on goal. We'll call that a little bit of bad puck luck as nobody can shoot under 4% for an extended period of time. Expect more goals from the Jets and a tired Blues team to show up in Winnipeg tonight. The Jets are the right side here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Todays Best Bets

5* - [307] Central Florida +14.5 -107 vs Louisville

5* - [921] Los Angeles Dodgers -127 vs St. Louis Cardinals

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jim Feist

Central Florida +14.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bob Balfe

MLB
ST. LOUIS CARDINALS/LOS ANGELES DODGERS - UNDER 5.5
(Wacha/Kershaw)

Two of the best pitchers in the game this year face off tonight. Kershaw is trying to force a game 7 for his Dodgers. There is no margin for error when you take an under this low, but these guys are at the top of their game. I don't know how you can really pick a side play here. This game should be low scoring so lets roll with the Under and just hope the game is 2 hrs long with strikeout after strikeout. Take the Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Winning Angle Sports

CFB
Louisville -12 over Central Florida

MLB
Los Angeles -130 over St. Louis (TOP PLAY)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

MLB LA DODGERS at ST LOUIS
Play Against - Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more (LA DODGERS) with a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start
71-53 over the last 5 seasons. ( 57.3% 38.8 units )
19-19 this year. ( 50.0% 4.9 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends™ - FoxSheets

MLB LA DODGERS at ST LOUIS
ST LOUIS is 16-1 (+14.3 Units) against the money line in Home games with an on base percentage of .285 or worse over their last 5 games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was: ST LOUIS (6.2) , OPPONENT (2.4)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations - FoxSheets

NHL PHOENIX at ANAHEIM
Play On - Road underdogs of +100 to +200 against the money line (PHOENIX) good power play team - scoring on more than 17.5% of their chances, hot offensive team - 5 straight games with 30 or more shots on goal
52-25 over the last 5 seasons. ( 67.5% 38.3 units )

NHL PHOENIX at ANAHEIM
Play On - Road underdogs against the money line (PHOENIX) good power play team - scoring on more than 17.5% of their chances, hot offensive team - 5 straight games with 30 or more shots on goal
53-27 over the last 5 seasons. ( 66.3% 38.7 units )

NHL PHOENIX at ANAHEIM
Play On - A underdog against the money line (PHOENIX) good power play team - scoring on more than 17.5% of their chances, hot offensive team - 5 straight games with 30 or more shots on goal
58-31 over the last 5 seasons. ( 65.2% 40.8 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Denver Money

NHL
1* St. Louis Blues -125

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lang

Friday Selection...

My 40 Dime selection is on Central Florida over Louisville. The current line on this game is +14 in Vegas and offshore.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Ryan

10* LA Dodgers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Teddy Covers

20* Big Ticket UCF +12

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CFL

Week 17

Calgary (12-3) @ Edmonton (3-12)—Stampeders won first two Battle of Albertas in Weeks 10-11, winning 37-34 (-7.5) at home, then 22-12 (-3) here the next week; Calgary won seven of its last eight games overall, covering last three- they’re 5-2 SU on road, 3-0 as a road favorite this year, with road wins by 8-13-21-10-24 points, and losses in Regina/Vancouver. Overall, Calgary won its last six games over the Eskimos, with four of six by 3 or less points. Edmonton is awful, covering once in six tries as a home underdog, with home losses by 21-14-1-10-12-23 points. Visitor covered six of their last seven games. Five of last seven series games went over the total, as did three of last four games for both teams here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chris Jordan

300 Dodgers ML

[Can'tPickAWinner]

INTPICKS

College Football
2 Stars
8:00 PM ET

Central Florida @ Louisville
Take Central Florida +14