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There are a number of betting systems siding with the nation's top team in this one, including the fact that favorites of between 21.5 and 31 points are 34-9 ATS over the past 10 seasons when coming off three straight games of scoring 42 points or more. Favorites in that same range are 43-13 ATS in that same timeframe when coming off seven or more consecutive straight-up wins, and they're 32-11 ATS over the past five seasons when coming off back-to-back double-digit victories against conference opponents. While Tennessee is 1-9 ATS after an ATS win since the start of the 2011 season, Alabama is 9-1 ATS in October games and 7-0 ATS as favorite of between 21.5 and 31 points during that same timeframe. And while the Volunteers have been outscored by an average of 29.5 points per game on the road this season, the Crimson Tide come into this one having outscored their previous three SEC opponents by a combined score of 125-7. Bama might not rout Tennessee 52-0 like it did to Arkansas on Saturday, but a win by at least five touchdowns appears to be likely.
PLAY ON: Alabama
10* Play Kansas City -8 over Cleveland (NFL TOP PLAY)
1:00 PM EST
Cleveland is 1-6 ATS after allowing 30 points or more in their last game
Cleveland is 0-5 ATS when playing as a road underdog of 7.5 to 10 points
10* Play Detroit -3 over Dallas (NFL TOP PLAY)
1:00 PM EST
Dallas is 1-6 ATS coming off two or more UNDER the totals
Dallas is 1-6 ATS coming off a road win in their last game
10* Play Pittsburgh -2 over Oakland (NFL TOP PLAY)
4:00 PM EST
Oakland is 36-67 ATS when the line posted is between +3 to -3
Oakland is 15-30 ATS when playing as a home underdog of 7 points or less
10* Play Green Bay -9 over Minnesota (NFL TOP PLAY)
8:30 PM EST
Green Bay is 12-2 ATS vs. division opponents the last three seasons
Green Bay is 13-2 ATS after allowing 99 or less rushing yards in their last four games
Fresno State at San Diego State Over 62
The total is high, but not high enough to account for what is going to be offensive fireworks.
Derek Carr is setting Fresno State quarterback records. He has three excellent wide receivers. San Diego State doesn't have nearly the defensive backfield to stay with all three. The Aztecs rank 111th in pass defense.
Sparked by Carr, the Bulldogs ranked fifth in the nation in scoring at 45.8 points per game and fifth in yards at 555.2. Their defense, though, is giving up 30.2 points a game.
San Diego State is getting a lift with the emergence of freshman running back Donnel Pumphrey. San Diego State is averaging nearly 28 points a game and 415 yards per game. The Aztecs, however, yield 32.7 points per game, which ranks them 99th.
10 GEORGIA STATE over *UL-Monroe
Late Score Forecast:
GEORGIA STATE 24 - *UL-Monroe 23
10 *IOWA STATE over Oklahoma State
Late Score Forecast:
*IOWA STATE 23 - Oklahoma State 25
10 *OHIO STATE over Penn State
Late Score Forecast:
*OHIO STATE 45 - Penn State 23
NINE-RATED GAMES:
WASHINGTON (–29½; est.) vs. California—After three straight losses vs. highly-ranked foes, UW is home to defenseless, coverless Cal; time for the Dawgs to eat...
FLORIDA STATE (-29½) vs. North Carolina State—Even with Miami on tap, Florida State (thanks to its deep defense) has way too much for the offensively-challenged Wolfpack...
TEXAS (+1½) at TCU—After early-season criticism, the Longhorns now envision a successful year behind a rejuvenated zone-blitz defense...
WESTERN KENTUCKY (-9) vs. Troy—When it comes to defense between these two, WKU has one, plus a power ground game; Trojan “stoppers” have only 4 takeaways in 7 games...
Boston College 30 - NORTH CAROLINA 27 - (3:30 EDT) -- Line opened at NorthCarolina minus 10, and is now minus
8. No questioning the improvement of these Eagles over the last month (since their debacle at USC),
staying with the likes of FloridaSt & Clemson (9½ & 14½ pt covers), bookended around 48-27 blasting
of Army. So 3 straight covers by a combined 33½ pts. Nicely balanced, led by quality QB Retting &
RB Williams. In this one, they catch the faltering 'Heels, not only in a Miami/NCSt sandwich, but off an
excruciating loss to the 'Canes (final 0:17). And the Tars rank a lowly 116th in rushing offense. Last
home favorite role for UNC resulted in a 36½ pt ATS loss, with a 194-87 RY deficit. Call the upset.
RATING: BOSTON COLLEGE 89
Louisville 41 - SOUTH FLORIDA 6 - (12:00) -- Line opened at Louisville minus 21, and is now minus 20. Every so
often, a "can't miss" proposition appears, with the results many times more than disappointing. We
have such a match here, & despite the aforementioned warning, we simply cannot ignore it. The fact
is that the Cards are suddenly in a "must-sweep" situation, following last week's late collapse vs
CentFlorida, with the Bulls victim #1. Sure, QB Bridgewater is the main focus, as it should be, but that
'Ville "D" ranks 3rd, 7th, 3rd, & 2nd in run, pass, total, & scoring "D". SoFla? Try 4rd-worst "D" in land.
RATING: LOUISVILLE 89
Ball State 41 - AKRON 14 - (12:00) -- Line opened at BallSt minus 11½, and is now minus 11. The Cards of BSt have
been golden for us recently, & no reason for us not to come right back with 'em. They have one of the
true hidden gems, in QB Wenning, who is simply the epitome of consistency, throwing for 328 PYpg
& 18/5. Thus, a 7-1 SU record for the Cards, who won't be looking ahead to CentMIch. The Zips are
in off their first SU win in a lined game, (28 straight losses: push), & have had their sporadic moments.
That is the key, as we've indicated: BallSt's consistency. A Red Sheet fixture one more time.
RATING: BALL STATE 88
FLORIDA STATE 59 - North Carolina State 10 - (3:30) -- Line opened at FloridaSt minus 27½, and is now minus 29½.
So the 'Noles have passed the Ducks of Oregon in the fight for the nation's #2 spot, behind mighty
Alabama. Can only spur both squads to keep it going, which is not good news for their remaining
opposition. We originally stayed from naming FlaSt as a high Pointwise play, due the unbelievable
amount of upsets posted by NCSt in this series. However, this Sem edition has 125-7 pt edge in its
2 lined HGs, while the 'Pack enters off 23 & 21 pt ATS setbacks with 362-129 RY deficit in last outing.
RATING: FLORIDA STATE 88
IOWA STATE 31 - Oklahoma State 30 - (12:00) -- Line opened at OklahomaSt minus 17, and is now minus 14. No
question, that this year's Cowboy squad is but a shadow of recent editions. A total offensive power-
house, they were certainly one of our pets, averaging an awesome 43.2 ppg in 52 of their previous 53
games, entering this season. But try 94.5 RYpg in their last 4 LGs. As a matter of fact, they have but
a single cover since August, & that by just 6½ pts. The Cyclones are in off expected 71-7 lambasting
by Baylor, but posted 38, 30, & 35 pts in their previous 3 gms, outgaining Texas by 100 yds in last HG.
RATING: IOWA STATE 88
NEAR CHOICES (Rated 87): Nebraska, Alabama, Clemson, Colorado St
Totals 4 You Selections for Early Saturday, October 26th
2013 American Athletic Conference Total of the Year!!!!! Louisville/South Florida under 46 1/2 You Win or we'll email you Tonight's 2013 College Total of the Year Report Free of Charge!!!Early Best Bets
Wake Forest/Miami-Florida under 54 1/2
Oklahoma State/Iowa State over 56
Nebraska/Minnesota over 52
Vanderbilt/Texas A&M over 69
Totals 4 You Selections for Afternoon Saturday, October 26th
2013 Big 12 Conference Watch & Win Total of the Year!!!!!Texas Tech/Oklahoma under 59 1/2Afternoon Best Bets
Clemson/Maryland under 59 1/2
Tennessee/Alabama under 51 1/2
Michigan State/Illinois over 49
NC State/Florida State under 58 Best of Luck and Thank You!!!!!
Totals 4 You Selections for Late Saturday, October 26th
2013 College Football Super Total of the Year!!!!! South Carolina/Missouri over 52 1/2Late Best Bets
UCLA/Oregon over 72 1/2
Texas/Texas Christian under 51 1/2
Penn State/Ohio State over 55 1/2
Stanford/Oregon State over 56
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