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I'm playing on FSU and NC State to finish UNDER the total. Like the Broncos in the pros, the Seminoles have been seeing their games sail above the number, week after week. That's starting to lead to some very high O/U lines. Facing a low-scoring Wolfpack team, I believe this week's number will prove to be too high.
While the Noles have been flying over the total, the Wolfpack have seen the UNDER go 4-1, including 3-0 in conference play and 2-0 their last two games overall. They last played two weeks ago, losing 24-10 vs. Syracuse. Their previous game was a 28-13 loss at Wake Forest. Note that the UNDER is 8-2 the last 10 times that the Wolfpack were off a conference loss.
The Seminoles offense has obviously been very impressive. However, the defense has also been extremely stingily. That's particularly the case here at home, where they're allowing a mere 4.3 ppg and 230 ypg. The No. 3-ranked scoring defense in the nation has allowed more than 14 points just once.
Last year's meeting had an O/U line in the 50s yet it finished with only 33 points. The previous year, the O/U line was also in the 50s; that one finished with 34 points, a 34-0 win for the Noles. I look for today's final combined score to also prove lower than most will be expecting. 10*
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