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Dave Price
= TOP PLAY =-
Sport Date Matchup Book Starts
NCAA-F Oct 30 '13
8:00p Cincinnati vs Memphis
Take: Memphis +3-105 in 1h
7* NCAAF National TV Annihilator on Memphis +3
The Key: Memphis is a better team than its 1-5 record leads you to believe. The Tigers played
Middle Tennessee State to a two-point game on the road, and they played 19th-ranked Central
Florida to a seven-point game at home. That game was tied with two minutes remaining. Memphis
could just as easily be 3-3 right now with a couple pretty nice wins under its belt. At home and motivated by a 0-3 conference start, I love Memphis' chances of pulling off the upset. The Tigers
are on a 7-0 ATS run when checking into a contest off three straight losses to conference
opponents. The Bearcats haven't been the same team on the road where they are 1-2 (0-3 ATS)
with a loss to lowly South Florida. They rolled UConn last time out, but they are on a 0-6 ATS
slide following a win by 21 or more points. They are also on a 0-6 ATS skid after gaining 6.75 or more yards per play in their previous game. Take the points.
STL GM6 vs BOS GM6
Take: STL GM6 +108 in 1h
6* World Series Game 6 *CA$H COW* on Cardinals +108
The Key: What have the Cardinals done with their back against the wall you ask? They have gone
7-0 when trailing in a playoff series over the last three seasons, winning these contests by an
average score of 7.1 to 3.7. Wacha has shown no signs of coming back down to earth, going 5-0
in his last five starts while allowing only three total runs during this stretch. Lacky hasn't been
nearly as sharp. He's given up 3 runs or more in seven of his last nine starts. Wacha outdueled
Lackey at Fenway in Game 2, and I expect the same result tonight.
Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers
Take: Philadelphia 76ers +12-110 in 56m
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on 76ers +12
The Key: Miami came out flat as expected last night. However, it went nuts in the second quarter
and finished 11 of 20 from 3-point range. Off that emotional statement win, on the road and
playing back-to-back, I expect a much weaker performance from the Heat. Tonight's opponent
won't get their juices flowing, which means Miami will already be looking ahead to Friday's game at
Brooklyn. The often overvalued Heat have been a terrible investment following any kind of win.
They are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games following a win, 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a
win of more than 10 points and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a game where they
covered the spread. It is also worth noting that the 76ers are an impressive 55-31 ATS as an
underdog of 10 or more points since 1996. Take the points.
Carlos Salazar
NBA
Level I - Boston/Toronto - UNDER 190
CFB
Level I - Cincy/Memphis - UNDER 45
Yesterday (L) with Bulls +4.5
Level I is low level, only two levels.
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