11-2-13

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EAGLE EYE----Randy Rose
Your Pick: Georgia -2.5 (-110)
Your Pick: Ga / Florida Under 47 (-110)
Your Pick: NC / NC St Under 57.5 (-110)
Your Pick: North Carolina -3.5 (-110)

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Maddux
10* Marshall -29.5
10* Michigan State -4
10* Oklahoma State +1.5

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Where the action is: Saturday's NCAAF line moves

The odds for Week 10 of the college football season have been on the move since hitting the boards last weekend. We talk to oddsmakers about the biggest adjustments to this Saturday’s spreads.

Miami Hurricanes at Florida State Seminoles - Open: -22, Move: -21

Florida State is playing some of the best football in the country and Heisman-hopeful Jameis Winston and his talented group of WRs will look to cause fits for the 'Canes secondary. Money had been coming in on The U, and for good reason. Miami is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings at Florida State.

"All stats lead to Florida State, but rivalry games like this can often have strange things happen," says Aron Black of bet365. "Some of these kids often act differently when the big stage comes against in-state rivals, but action so far is liking the plus points by about 2-to-1, however its coming back on the Seminoles -21."

Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles at Marshall Thundering Herd - Open: -28.5, Move: -31.5

Action here has been all Marshall, all the time. Southern Miss is one of the worst FBS schools around, sporting an 0-7 SU record and 1-6 ATS record. The Golden Eagles have been double-digit dogs in six-straight games.

"Heavy majority of our players are betting on the Thundering Herd, so on Thursday we moved to the current number of -31.5," says Mike Perry, an oddsmaker with Sportsbook.ag. "Eighty-eight percent of the cash is on Marshall."

Navy Midshipmen at Notre Dame Fighting Irish - Open: -17, Move: -14.5

The Middies have a very respectable 5-2 ATS record on the season and Sharps instantly jumped on the large opening line. They have covered in back-to-back games heading into this weekend's tilt and boast the 10th most per-game rushing yards at 289.1.

"Navy can cause problems with the run, and if they can do that, can at least lengthen their possessions," claims Black. "Although they probably don’t have enough to fully upset, it's that kind of aspect that has sharps eating up the early plus-point lines."

North Carolina Tar Heels at North Carolina State Wolfpack - Open: +3.5, Move: +5.5

Wiseguy action had this line on the move from the get go, despite the Heels being a paltry 1-8 ATS in their last nine road games, as well as 1-5 ATS in their last six meetings with their in-state rivals.

"Friday afternoon, shortly after noon ET, we got huge wiseguy play at -3.5 and made a 2-point line move to -5.5," Perry tells Covers. "We are split almost right down middle as 51 percent of money is on the Tar Heels."

Georgia Bulldogs v Florida Gators - Open: -2.5, Move: -3.5

This game normally has something bigger at stake, but both of these programs are currently unranked for the second time in four years after at least one was ranked in each season since 1979.

"Monday got a sharp play on Georgia -2.5 and then today, moved number to -3.5 as 86 percent of money is on the Bulldogs," Perry tells Covers.

"Action is pretty split on this one," says Black. "Georgia is seeing about 1.5-to-1 against the spread action to Florida."

East Carolina Pirates at Florida International Golden Panthers - Open: -21, Move: -25.5

This matchup has seen the biggest movement of the week at Sportsbook.ag. FIU is in the midst of a dismal campaign, going 1-6 SU and just 2-5 ATS. The Pirates are coming off a bye week

"Despite not involving a BCS team or national television, this will be one of our 10 biggest decisions in college football," Perry said. "Ninety-six percent of money is on the Pirates."

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Maddux
Added

*10 Kansas St.
*20 Michigan State (was originally 10*)

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lawrence false fav gom NC ST

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Michigan at Michigan State: What bettors need to know

Michigan Wolverines at Michigan State Spartans (-5, 46.5)

The annual battle between Michigan and Michigan State is one of the highlights of the Big Ten schedule and could hold even more meaning this season. First place in the Legends Division will be on the line when the 24th-ranked Spartans host No. 21 Michigan on Saturday. Michigan State is undefeated in conference but will be tested by its toughest stretch of schedule beginning with Michigan.

The Wolverines put up some video game numbers on offense last week in a 63-47 win over Indiana but surrendered over 40 points for the second straight week and are vulnerable on the road. That Michigan offense will get a big test against a Spartans defensive unit that yielded a total of three points in the last two games. “[Michigan State’s] defense is as good as any and that’s going to be a real challenge for us,” Wolverines coach Brady Hoke said.

TV: 3:30 p.m. ET, ABC.

LINE: The Spartans opened as 5-point home faves. The total opened at 46.5.

WEATHER: There is a 30 percent chance of rain. Wind will blow across the field at 10 mph.

ABOUT MICHIGAN (6-1, 2-1 Big Ten): The Wolverines will be playing just their third true road game and barely scraped by a winless Connecticut team 24-21 away from home on Sept. 21 before suffering their lone loss, 43-40 in four overtimes, at Penn State on Oct. 12. “I think any time you play away from home, it just is part of it, to make sure that our focus and discipline as a team has to be spot-on for us to go out and compete at our highest level,” Hoke said. Michigan was just two points up on Indiana midway through the fourth quarter on Oct. 19 before a pair of late touchdowns capped a 751-yard offensive outburst.

ABOUT MICHIGAN STATE (7-1, 4-0): The Spartans are looking at two straight games against teams chasing them for the Legends Division and a spot in the Big Ten championship game, with a trip to Nebraska coming up after a bye on Nov. 16. Michigan State padded its record and showed off on defense while making some necessary adjustments offensively in last week’s 42-3 triumph over Illinois, as quarterback Connor Cook went 15-of-16 for 208 yards and three touchdowns in his most efficient performance. Cook’s emergence compliments a running attack that is averaging 196.5 yards.

TRENDS:

* Wolverines are 0-5 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Under is 4-0 in the last four meetings.
* Spartans are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 home games.
* Over is 6-1 in Wolverines last seven conference games.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Michigan TE A.J. Williams (violation of team rules) will serve a one-game suspension.

2. Michigan State leads the FBS in total defense, surrendering an average of 215.5 yards.

3. The Wolverines halted a four-game losing streak in the series with a 12-10 home triumph over the Spartans last year.

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Alex Smart

CFB
9* Tennesse+11.5 -115
9* Florida State/Miami under 59.5 (alternative) +110

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The Gold Medal Club CFB Selections 01/11/2013
#331 Wake Forest +4.5
#335 Tennessee +10.5
#358 Iowa +9
#364 Indiana -8

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Scott Ferrall paid picks

Oklahoma State
TEXAS TECH -2 (1)

AUBURN -8 (2)
Arkansas

NORTHERN ILLINOIS -23 (3)
Umass

Mississippi State
SOUTH CAROLINA -12 ½ (4)

Colorado
UCLA -27 (5)

OHIO STATE -30 ½ (6)
Purdue

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Prediction Machine

@ mizzou	tenn	-11.5	18.4	59.8
@ sdsu	nm	-14.5	23	59.1
mia-fl	@ flast	22	-12.6	58.5
nw	@ neb	7.5	-1.8	58.3
@ psu	ill	-10	14.2	56.9
@ uva	clem	17	-11.3	56.8
@ purdue	ohiost	32	-24.2	56.7
@ fres	nevada	-20.5	27	56.4
soumis	@ marsh	31	-24.3	56.4
@ iowa	wisc	9.5	-5.9	56.1
@ ind	minn	-9.5	13.6	55.9
okst	@ txtch	2.5	3.8	55.8
eastmi	@ toledo	31	-22.7	55.6
unc	@ ncsu	-3.5	9.2	55.4
@ cal	ari	16	-11.4	54.9
@ sc	missst	-12	15.2	54.6
@ umass	niu	23.5	-18.9	54.5
@ fiu	ecu	23.5	-19.7	54.2
westky	@ gast	-19.5	23	54
@ msu	mich	-6	8.4	53.8
tulane	@ flaatl	4	-1.6	53.3
boise	@ colost	-6.5	10	53.3
@ unlv	sjsu	3.5	0.7	53.1
middtn	@ uab	-3.5	6	53.1
vatech	@ bc	-5	7.7	53.1
@ tulsa	utsa	-3	5.2	52.9
nmst	@ ul-laf	31.5	-27.1	52.8
txst	@ idaho	-10.5	12.8	52.7
wvu	@ tcu	13	-11.2	52.7
navy	@ nd	17	-15.2	52.4
@ ucla	colo	-27	29.4	52.1
@ utahst	hawaii	-22.5	24	51.9
@ rut	temple	-13.5	15.1	51.9
@ gatech	pitt	-10	11.4	51.6
@ af	army	0	1.9	51.5
@ tex	kansas	-28	29.7	51.4
@ usa	arkst	-3.5	4.9	51.4
iast	@ kanst	17	-16	51.4
kentst	@ akron	1	1.1	51.3
@ texa&m	utep	-45.5	47	51.1
uga	fla	-2.5	3.2	51.1
@ ark	auburn	8	-7.3	51.1
@ syr	wake	-3.5	4.4	50.9

KANSAS @ TEX	52	62.3	Over	59.8
MICH @ MSU	48	41.7	Under	59.3
UTEP @ TEXA&M	76	84.8	Over	58.4
MISSST @ SC	52	58	Over	58.3
SOUMIS @ MARSH	57.5	50.8	Under	58.2
WAKE @ SYR	51	43.3	Under	57.7
ARMY @ AF	55	63.4	Over	56.6
TENN @ MIZZOU	55.5	60.1	Over	55.8
TULANE @ FLAATL	46.5	42.4	Under	55.6
NM @ SDSU	55.5	63.1	Over	55.6
AUBURN @ ARK	54.5	58.4	Over	55.3
NMST @ UL-LAF	65.5	71.9	Over	55.3
KENTST @ AKRON	52.5	56.3	Over	54.7
VATECH @ BC	41.5	37.8	Under	54.6
COLO @ UCLA	57	62.2	Over	54.5
HAWAII @ UTAHST	52.5	47.7	Under	54.3
OKST @ TXTCH	66.5	61.4	Under	54.2
OHIOST @ PURDUE	56.5	53.2	Under	54.1
SJSU @ UNLV	66	60	Under	54
MINN @ IND	66	62.1	Under	54
NW @ NEB	58.5	55.6	Under	53.5
WESTKY @ GAST	55.5	58.9	Over	53.5
TXST @ IDAHO	50	53.4	Over	53.2
UGA vs. FLA	47.5	49.4	Over	52.9
PITT @ GATECH	53.5	50.5	Under	52.7
ARI @ CAL	66	69.3	Over	52.6
ARKST @ USA	63.5	66	Over	52.3
UTSA @ TULSA	53.5	51.6	Under	52.3
TEMPLE @ RUT	55.5	58	Over	52.2
NEVADA @ FRES	73.5	70.3	Under	52.1
BOISE @ COLOST	59.5	57	Under	51.9
NAVY @ ND	49	50.8	Over	51.8
MIA-FL @ FLAST	61	63	Over	51.5
MIDDTN @ UAB	62	63.1	Over	51.2
IAST @ KANST	51.5	52.6	Over	51.2
NIU @ UMASS	58.5	57.6	Under	51.1
WVU @ TCU	45.5	44.8	Under	50.9
ECU @ FIU	50.5	49.8	Under	50.9
WISC @ IOWA	48.5	48.9	Over	50.5
ILL @ PSU	56	55.6	Under	50.5
CLEM @ UVA	54.5	54.1	Under	50.3
UNC @ NCSU	57.5	57.2	Under	50.2
EASTMI @ TOLEDO	67	66.8	Under	50.2

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GoSooners 2013 CFB Picks-Week 10

(1 Unit) Kansas State/Iowa State over 51.5 (-110)
(1 Unit) Texas -27.5 (-110)
(1 Unit) Washington State +6.5 (1st half)
(1 Unit) UCLA -27.5 (-120)

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SabertStxVii 2013 CFB Picks – Week 10
4* units, East Carolina -23 vs FIU
1.5* units, Tulane +3.5 vs FAU
2* units, Indiana -9.5 vs Minnesota
1* unit, Georgia Tech -10 vs Pittsburgh

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TrentMoney 2013 Week 10 Picks
YTD: 11-21 -21.1*
Sides: 2-4 -5.0*
Totals: 9-17 -16.1*
“Sides” are rated 2*/3*/4*
“Totals” are rated 3*/4*/5*

370 2* Arkansas +8

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Fezzick
OVER in the SD State/New Mexico game

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Playbook
NEWSLETTER BEST BETS:

5*= MICHIGAN ST.
4*= TENNESSEE
3*= OKLAHOMA ST