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BOB BALFE
CFB
TULSA -3.5
We have bet against this Tulsa team all season long and we have cashed the ticket. I believe
today is a time to get on board and actually back them. This young defense has been getting
better and it’s getting to be the time where their competition is just average. Tulsa has a QB in
Cody Green who has been disappointing this season and now has a chance at home to salvage
this season. The key for this game is UTSA not being a great defensive team and not being able
to force turnovers. This is a program that just a few years ago didn’t exist. They have been very
impressive, but I think Tulsa is the better program with better skilled players today. Take Tulsa
CFB
4.5* Pittsburgh/Georgia Tech under 53
2* Army/Air Force over 53.5
2* Northwestern/Nebraska over 59
2* Arizona/Cal over 67.5
1* Auburn/Arkansas under 55
1* Colorado/UCLA over 58.5
1* Southern Miss/Marshall under 59.5
1* Western Kentucky/Georgia State over 56.5
1* Kent State/Akron under 52.5
1* Minnesota/Indiana under 67.5
1* West Virginia/TCU over 45.5
1* New Mexico State/UL Lafayette under 66.5
GAME: Colorado Buffalos vs. UCLA Bruins 7:30PM EST
RATING: 5* UCLA Bruins -27
ANALYSIS:
The Bruins are coming off a pair of demoralizing losses to two of the nationae s best teams in the Cardinals and Ducks. In many cases we would expect a letdown here but not for this Bruins team as they are well coached and able to bounce back especially in this situation. UCLA has averaged 45.8 points per game in their five wins this season while the Buffalos have a 50 to 15 deficit in their last four outings. UCLA is 13-4 ATS at home during the months of November and December. The TPR Index projects a point advantage of 33.9-points. The Math Model projects a point differential of 7.47-points with a current line range of -27 to -28.5. A check of the database reveals a system that is active for todayae s game. From Game 5 on Play ON CFB conference home favorites of 24 or more points coming off a SU loss of 22 or more points their last time out. This system has a record of 26-0 SU winning by an average of 37.92 points per game and 20-5-1 ATS covering the spread by 10.06 points per game. No need to go over all the fundamental advantages the Bruins enjoy here as they are all well documented so we will just make the call. Lay the chalk as UCLA takes out their frustrations on the hapless Buffalos on Saturday night in the Rose Bowl. Lay it
OC Dooley:“1 UNIT” COLLEGE LINETRACKER SIDE (Georgia State +18’ at home versus Western Kentucky in a 1:00 eastern kickoff): Even though host Georgia State is 0-8 for the season and almost as awful against the spread, there has been a slight “drop” in the line offshore late this morning which to me speaks volumes. There are several high profile games involving Georgia schools today led by the annual Georgia/Florida rivalry, while Atlanta-based Georgia Tech seeks to become Bowl Eligible in a streak that spans well over a decade. While this particular contest will garner little attention either locally or nationally the fact of the matter is that today is the first time that head coach Bobby Petrino will be stepping foot inside Atlanta’s GeorgiaDome since he walked out on the NFL Falcons way back in 2007 to take a job with Arkansas. In an infamous Monday Night Football telecast Petrino claimed he would be loyal to the Falcons and their owner but following a loss to the Saints he walked out on the city and just sent an e-mail to his NFL players instead of meeting them face-to-face. It has been negative karma ever since for Petrino who after losing his Arkansas gig due to an off-the-field scandal has landed with Western Kentucky. In a three year span entering this season Western Kentucky (22-11 against the spread) was a money-maker for investors. But so far in conference play this season with Petrino at the helm Western Kentucky (1-3 ATS) has actually been a “bet against”
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