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**PREFERRED
Miami over *Toronto by 17
The Heat have won and covered in their last four visits to Toronto with their average
victory margin being by 15.5 points.
MIAMI 107-90.
*Brooklyn over Utah by 8
Deron Williams hasn't had much luck since leaving the Jazz for the Nets as Brooklyn
has lost in the last four meetings. That should change here as the new-look Nets have
their veterans rested and ready for the youthful Jazz.
BROOKLYN 106-98.
**PREFERRED
Charlotte over *New York by 3
The Bobcats defeated the Knicks during the final preseason game at newly renovated
Madison Square Garden in New York's lone preseason home game, a game the Knicks
wanted to win. Amare Stoudemire is working his way back slowly following knee surgery and J.R. Smith is suspended until the Knicks play their sixth game.
CHARLOTTE 94-91.
Indiana over *Detroit by 2
Indiana has to guard against a look-ahead hosting the Bulls on Wednesday. The Pacers
did win and cover all four meetings last season against Detroit. They outscored the
Pistons by an average of 20.5 points per contest. Andre Drummond can hold his own
against Roy Hibbert.
INDIANA 91-89
*New Orleans over Phoenix by 7
As long as Eric Gordon is healthy, the Pelicans are underrated. The Suns have a hole
at center after dealing Marcin Gortat to Washington. Look for a big game from emerging star Anthony Davis.
NEW ORLEANS 103-96.
*Dallas over Los Angeles Lakers by 6
Much depends on Kobe Bryant's status as he battles back from an Achilles injury. The
Mavericks may limit Dirk Nowitzki's minutes with three road games in the next four
days starting tomorrow at Oklahoma City.
DALLAS 98-92.
*Denver over San Antonio by 3
Denver has defeated the Spurs during the past three meetings, including beating the
Spurs both times at Pepsi Center last season by an average of eight points a game.
DENVER 103-100.
*Portland over Houston by 5
This is a ripe spot for Portland, which last played on Saturday at home and doesn't see
action again until Friday. The Rockets, on the other hand, are playing for the fourth
time in five days and second in two nights. It remains to be seen if Dwight Howard's
back will hold up.
PORTLAND 107-102.
Atlanta over *Sacramento by 1
The Kings finished preseason still unsure of their starting lineup with DeMarcus
Cousins the only sure-fire starter. This is the Hawks' third road game already.
ATLANTA 96-95.
NBA LA LAKERS at DALLAS
Play Under - All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 off a close home win by 3 points or less
93-48 over the last 5 seasons. ( 66.0% 40.2 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% -0.1 units )
NBA SAN ANTONIO at DENVER
Play On - Any team vs the money line (DENVER) off a upset loss as a favorite, first 6 games of the season, after closing out last season with 4 or more straight ATS losses
26-9 since 1997. ( 74.3% 19.5 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% 0.0 units )
NBA CHARLOTTE at NEW YORK
Play Against - Home teams vs. the 1rst half line (NEW YORK) after one or more consecutive overs, poor offensive team (88-92 PPG) against a horrible offensive team (<=88 PPG)
76-37 since 1997. ( 67.3% 35.3 units )
NHL PHILADELPHIA at CAROLINA
Play Against - Road Favorites against the money line (PHILADELPHIA) after having lost 2 of their last 3 games, a bad team (30% to 40%) playing against a terrible team (<=30%) in the first half of the season
28-9 since 1997. ( 75.7% 24.0 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% 0.2 units )
NHL PHILADELPHIA at CAROLINA
Play Against - A favorite against the money line (PHILADELPHIA) after having lost 2 of their last 3 games, a bad team (30% to 40%) playing against a terrible team (<=30%) in the first half of the season
63-40 since 1997. ( 61.2% 45.4 units )
6-3 this year. ( 66.7% 4.9 units )
NHL PHILADELPHIA at CAROLINA
Play Against - Road Favorites of -200 or less against the money line (PHILADELPHIA) after having lost 2 of their last 3 games, a bad team (30% to 40%) playing against a terrible team (<=30%) in the first half of the season
27-8 since 1997. ( 77.1% 22.8 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% 0.2 units )
Mavs seek third straight home win on Tuesday
by Freddy Wander
Tip-off: Tuesday, 8:35 p.m. ET
Line: Dallas -8.5, Total: 214
Coming off four games in the first six days of the season, the Lakers look to get back above .500 when they visit the Mavericks and Dirk Nowitzki on Tuesday night.
Los Angeles has been a team of early ups and downs over the first week of the season. An impressive opening win over the Clippers (13-point win as 10-point underdog) was followed up by a 31-point blowout road loss to the Warriors and a six-point home loss to the Spurs. The Lakers then notched a close 105-103 win in their next game at home against the Hawks on Sunday. The team has so many new players and different rotations that their inconsistencies are expected. Dallas tried to inject youth and speed into its lineup by adding SG Monta Ellis in the offseason, and he has seemed to help as the Mavericks are off to a 2-1 start and have reached 105 points in each of their first three games. Last season, the Lakers dropped the first game of the series, but won each of the final three meetings (SU and ATS) by an average of 16.7 PPG. All-time in this series, L.A. has dominated going 104-32 SU (.765) against Dallas and is 7-1 SU (6-2 ATS) over the past two seasons including a perfect 4-0 (SU and ATS) in Big D. One big part of the Lakers recent success in this series has been their rebounding edge, which they have had in each of the past seven matchups, but with the loss of C Dwight Howard, the Mavericks could regain the edge in that department. Over the last 10 games between these teams, the score has gone Over the total seven times. Los Angeles SG Kobe Bryant is still out with his Achilles injury, while Dallas is still missing SG Devin Harris (toe), rookie PG Shane Larkin (ankle) and C Brandan Wright (shoulder). Although the Lakers are a dreadful 0-10 ATS after 2+ straight ATS wins since the start of last season, Rick Carlisle is 13-29 ATS (31%) versus teams with 53+ RPG since becoming the head coach of the Mavs.
The Lakers have now played four games this season and are averaging exactly 100.0 PPG. In their two wins they have scored 116 and 105 points (44% FG) but fell off the wagon in their two losses scoring only 94 and 85 points (38% FG). On the defensive side of the ball, L.A. has given up an average of 105.5 PPG (25th in NBA) but ranks fifth in the league in rebounds (47.5 RPG) and is tied for sixth in blocks (6.0 BPG). Not having their superstar, Kobe Bryant, has taken away the team’s identity and consistency in the early going. Stepping in as the new leader of the team has been PF Pau Gasol, who leads the team in both points (15.8 PPG) and rebounds (11.0 RPG). Gasol averaged better than a double-double (16.7 PPG, 10.7 RPG) with 5.0 APG in three games he played against Dallas last season, and has a career mark of 18.3 PPG (52% FG) and 7.8 RPG against them in 41 games (40 starts). PG Steve Nash (7.0 PPG, 5.3 APG) has shown his age this season with a horrible 29% FG clip, and struggled in his two games against Dallas last season too with just 13.5 PPG (but 48% FG) and 4.0 APG. Providing an unexpected spark on offense has been newly acquired SG Xavier Henry (14.3 PPG, 5-for-11 threes). Henry has recorded 14+ points in three of four games this season, something he did only one time last season with New Orleans.
Dallas has come out firing on offense this season and currently ranks third in the league with 111.3 PPG. The Mavericks have shot 44.4% from the field this year (13th in NBA) and have also done well behind the arc, hitting 38.6% three-pointers (11th in league). However, on defense, Dallas is third worst in the league (107.0 PPG allowed) but has defended the three well (31.9%, 8th in NBA) and ranks tied for 10th in the league in steals (9.3 SPG). PF Dirk Nowitzki (23.3 PPG, 47% FG, 4.7 RPG) is now 35 years old but does not look to be slowing down just yet. Nowitzki has scored 22+ points in each of the first three games and will look to continue his early success as the Lakers are the only team that he has averaged a double-double against over his career (22.5 PPG, 10.3 RPG in 52 career games). The addition of SG Monta Ellis (23.3 PPG, 46% FG, 3.7 APG) has given the Mavericks another potent offensive weapon to utilize. Ellis is averaged 20+ PPG for the fifth different time in his nine-year career, and has averaged 18.8 PPG and 4.8 APG against the Lakers in 23 career games (17 starts). SF Shawn Marion has averaged a double-double early on (13.3 PPG, 10.7 RPG) and had his best game of the young season against the Grizzlies on Saturday, scoring 21 points, grabbing 14 rebounds dishing out four assists and adding two blocks in a winning effort. Coming off the bench, C DeJuan Blair has averaged 9.3 PPG, 7.0 RPG and 2.0 SPG in just 20.3 MPG.
Spurs try to keep Nuggets winless on Tuesday night
by Freddy Wander
Tip-off: Tuesday, 9:05 p.m. ET
Line: San Antonio -4, Total: 201.5
The Nuggets look for their first win of the season when they host the defending Western Conference champions Spurs on Tuesday night.
San Antonio started the season 2-0 with wins over the Grizzlies and Lakers, but could not keep up with Damian Lillard and the rest of the Trail Blazers on Saturday, losing 115-105 in Portland. Denver has played only two games in the first week of the season, but the rest did not help, as it lost both games. After falling on the road by two points to the Kings, the Nuggets shot just 36.4% FG on Friday and were blown out at home versus Portland, losing 113-98. These two franchises have played each other a total of 149 times and have nearly split the series with Portland winning 75 times and San Antonio winning 74. The last 10 meeting have been nearly as close, with the Spurs holding a 6-4 SU edge (4-6 ATS). San Antonio has averaged an impressive 107.8 PPG over those 10 games and the totals for these games have been split, with the last two going Under. The Nuggets will still be thin in the frontcourt without forwards Danilo Gallinari (knee) and Wilson Chandler (hamstring), and PF Anthony Randolph listed as day-to-day with an ankle injury. San Antonio is 55-29 ATS (66%) after a double-digit loss when favored under Gregg Popovich, but Denver is 17-7 ATS (71%) at home versus teams with a winning record since the start of last season.
The Spurs have scored a mediocre 99.0 PPG this season (T-14th in NBA), but they have shot 47.3% from the field (5th in NBA) and rank sixth in the league with a 41.5% clip from behind the arc. San Antonio has always been known for its ability to move the ball around and not turn the ball over on offense, and has the third fewest turnovers (13.0 per game) so far this season. On the defensive side of the ball, San Antonio has allowed opposing teams to score 98.0 PPG (T-13th in NBA) and has held opponents to 44.5% FG (12th in league), but is allowing 38.7% threes (23rd in NBA). The Spurs only have been able to swipe 5.3 SPG (4th-worst in league) and have the fewest blocked shots in the NBA (2.7 BPG). PG Tony Parker (18.0 PPG, 8.0 APG) has continued to be a leader on this team but played below his season averages in three games against the Nuggets last season (15.0 PPG, 7.0 APG). PF Tim Duncan (13.5 PPG, 44.8% FG, 6.5 RPG in 24.0 MPG) has not been as effective as he has in the past few seasons, but is coming off of a 24-point, seven-rebound performance against Portland. Duncan averaged 21.3 PPG, 10.0 RPG and 3.5 BPG in his four games against Denver last season. At the age of 36, SG Manu Ginobili (14.3 PPG, 51.4% FG, 3.7 APG, 1.3 SPG) has continued to provide an offensive spark off the bench and has averaged 14.3 PPG, but shooting only 40.7% FG, in 31 career games (15 starts) against Denver. SF Kawhi Leonard (12.7 PPG, 6.3 RPG) had a poor game against Portland on Saturday (nine points, one rebound, one assist in 26 minutes) and will try to bounce back against the Nuggets. Leonard scored 9.5 PPG and grabbed 9.0 RPG with 2.5 SPG against them last season in two games.
Denver is off to a poor start in the 2013-14 campaign after losing its first two games to Sacramento and Portland, two up-and-coming teams in the NBA. The Nuggets have scored a surprisingly low 93.0 PPG after leading the league last season with 106.1 PPG. They have shot a league-low 39.3% from the field so far and have made only 11-of-33 shots from three-point range. PG Ty Lawson (20.5 PPG, 7.0 APG, 5.0 RPG) has nice stats through the first two games of the season, but has shot only 12-of-31 (38.7%) from the field. Lawson has really struggled against the Spurs in 13 career games (7 starts) averaging just 11.4 PPG and 4.8 APG while shooting only 43.3% from the field (31.6% threes). No other player in the Denver lineup is averaging more than a dozen points per game over the first two contests, with the team’s other two point guards, Nate Robinson (12.0 PPG, 4-for-7 threes, 4.5 RPG) and Andre Miller (11.0 PPG on 77% FG), as the only other players averaging double-digit points. PF Kenneth Faried (8.0 PPG, 8.0 RPG) had a solid game against Portland (11 points, 11 rebounds), but is considered day-to-day with a bruised back.
Ohio won three of its last four games with Buffalo, losing 38-37 (-8.5) in last visit here; Bobcats are 2-4 in last six visits to Buffalo, in series where underdog covered five of last six meetings. Bulls got hammered by Ohio State/Baylor (both unbeaten) to start season, but won six in row since, covering last five games, with all five wins by 20+ points. This is first of three straight Tuesday games for both teams. MAC home favorites are 8-7 vs spread so far this season. Ohio's QB Tettleton is son of former major league catcher Mickey Tettleton; Bobcats won six of last seven games, and scored 97 points in their last two games.
Miami OH is 0-8, 2-5-1 vs spread; their three home losses are by 7-12-14 points. Red Hawks lost 37-12/37-23 to Bowling Green last couple of years- Falcons won 37-23/35-14 in last two visits here. Bowling Green is playing for only second time in 24 days- they lost last two games by a total of four points, after starting season 5-1. Falcons are 1-2 on road, with only win 41-22 (-6.5) at Kent State- they've allowed 240+ rushing yards in their three losses. Miami was held under 100 rushing yards in three of eight games, with 155 yards its season high. MAC home dogs are 2-14 against the spread this season.
Totals 4 You Selections for Tuesday, November 5th 2013 MAC East Totals Parlay of the Year!!!!!
Ohio/Buffalo under 55 1/2
Bowling Green/Miami-Ohio under 48 1/2NBA Best BetsCharlotte/New York under 187 1/2
Phoenix/New Orleans under 190
San Antonio/Denver under 200 1/2
From Platinum Plays. 500K MAC Lock the Miami-Ohio Redhawks +23½ over
the Bowling Green Falcons Best Bets
the Bowling Green/Miami-Ohio Game UNDER
the Total Of 46 Points the Ohio/Buffalo Game OVER
the Total Of 56 Points the Sacramento Kings -2½ over
the Atlanta Hawks the San Antonio Spurs -4 over
the Denver Nuggets
PLATINUM PLAYS PREMIER PICK
the Buffalo Bulls -3½ over
the Ohio Bobcats Back After 11:00AM On Wedneday
Tuesday Triple Pack has the 6* 96% MAC Conf. Game Of the Year + 2 NBA Perfect system plays. One has a 27-0 Series angle and is rated at 5*. Free NBA System play below.
On Tuesday the free NBA System play is on New York. Game 706 at 7:35 eastern. The Knicks lost at home on Sunday to Minnesota. Tonight they look to rebound here against a Mediocre Charlotte team that has failed to cover 29 of 43 after scoring 85 or less points in their last game. They miss the interior presence of Al Jefferson and that will hurt them here again tonight. The Knicks have covered 6 of 8 at home off a home loss where they lost to the spread by 10 or more points. They also apply to a database system that is 10-1 straight UPp and 9-2 to the spread. We want to play on home favorites of 5 or more with 1 day of rest that lost to the spread as a home favorite of 4 or less points and are taking on an opponent that scored 90 or less as a road dog of 5 or more points. Look for New York to get the win and cover. On Tuesday we have a Huge Triple Play card led by the 6* MAC Conf Game Of The Year from a 96% Power system. There is also a 5* NBA Never lost system that wins by an average 21 points per game and a Road Warrior System that is also undefeated. Jump on Now and cash out on Ruby Tuesday. For the free Play take New York. GC
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