11-5-13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Diamond Dog Sports

Pistons - Over 186.0 -110
Nuggets - Over 201.5 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Denver Money

NHL
1* Philadelphia Flyers @ Carolina Hurricanes - Under 5 +130

I do think Carolina is the right side as well here tonight.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FYI

Miami F Bosh out vs. Raptors, spread drops

The Miami Heat will be without starting forward Chris Bosh against the Toronto Raptors Tuesday night following the birth of his daughter Monday morning.

Miami opened as a 6-point road favorite but has come down as low as -4.5 before money on Toronto brought the line to -5.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Advanced Sports Investments

PERRY MANGFOLD

Soccer
1445 Anderlecht (UCL) at PSG (UCL)
OVER 3 -123
1 units

1445 Galatasaray (UCL) at FC Copenhagen (UCL)
Galatasaray (UCL) PK -148
1 units

1445 Real Madrid (UCL) at Juventus (UCL)
UNDER 3 -124
1 units

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WinningAngleSports

CFB
Bowling Green -23.5 over Miami-Ohio
Buffalo -3.5 over Ohio

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MAC East leaders Ohio and Buffalo clash Tuesday
by Freddy Wander

Kickoff: Tuesday, 8:00 p.m. ET
Line: Buffalo -3.5, Total: 56

Ohio travels to Buffalo Tuesday night in a matchup of the top two schools in the Mid-American Conference’s East division.

Both schools hold 6-2 records on the year, but the Bulls have gone undefeated (4-0) so far in the MAC while the Bobcats hold a 3-1 SU record in conference. Ohio could very easily be 4-0 as well, but lost a nail-biter against Central Michigan on Oct. 12 when the Chippewas scored a touchdown with just 22 seconds left on the clock. Ohio has raised its offensive game during conference play, averaging 40.7 PPG and 471 total YPG versus MAC opponents. It beat up on 0-8 Miami-Ohio in the last game, winning 41-16 with 535 yards of total offense. Buffalo has not had any close calls thus far in the conference and has defeated its MAC opponents by an average of 27.5 PPG this season without a turnover in four games. The closest game came in the most recent contest, a 41-21 win on the road against Kent State on Oct 26 when it outrushed the Golden Flashes 206 to 103. These two programs have split their past two meetings, with the Bulls going 2-0 ATS in that time. In the most recent meeting last season, the Bobcats won 38-31 at home as 14.5-point favorites even though they were outgained on offense 501 to 333. The Bobcats were able to prevail by forcing three turnovers in that game. Since 1997, Ohio holds the 10-5 SU edge in the series, but is only 6-8 ATS in those matchups.

Ohio has leaned on its passing game this season to earn victories. The school has averaged 275.1 passing YPG this year (32nd in FBS) and has outgained its opponent through the air in each of the past five games. QB Tyler Tettleton had done well over the previous two seasons for the Bobcats (6,150 pass yards, 46 TD, 14 INT) and is once again impressing under center this year with a 68% completion percentage, 2,029 passing yards, 17 touchdowns and six interceptions. Tettleton has thrown for multiple touchdowns in each of his past five games and has eclipsed the 300-yard mark in each of his past three contests. He has seemed to form a strong connection with fellow senior, WR Donte Foster, who has 718 yards on 50 catches (14.4 avg.) and six touchdowns this season. Foster has really turned it on in the past three games, with 28 total catches, 383 receiving yards and four touchdowns. Splitting time in the backfield have been HB Beau Blankenship (550 rush yards, 4.7 YPC, 4 TD) and HB Ryan Boykin (364 rush yards, 3.9 YPC, 6 TD). Blankenship put up his best rushing numbers of the season in Ohio’s last game with 172 yards rushing on just 20 attempts (8.6 YPC). NFL hopeful CB Travis Carrie (27 tackles, one interception) and the Ohio defense have held opponents to only 21.8 PPG (29th in FBS) on the season.

Buffalo has used a balanced offensive attack (208 pass YPG, 173 rush YPG) to go undefeated on the year in the MAC. QB Joe Licata has performed well this season with 1,569 passing yards, 14 touchdowns and only four interceptions, but has not really blown anybody away with his play. He has thrown at least one touchdown in each game this season and has not thrown an interception in four straight games since Sept. 28, but has eclipsed 200 passing yards only three times. The real standout on the offense has been HB Branden Oliver, who has 874 rushing yards on 180 attempts (4.9 YPC) with nine touchdowns. Oliver has been running all over opposing defenses all year, but has really shined in his past two games with 401 rushing yards and five touchdowns. He has 125+ yards in each of the Bulls' four conference games, averaging 170 rushing YPG in MAC play. While there has not been a huge emphasis on the Buffalo passing game, WR Alex Neutz has done very well with 39 catches for 628 yards (16.1 avg.) and seven touchdowns. He has caught a touchdown pass in all but one game this season. Senior LB Khalil Mack is widely considered an early first-round NFL draft pick, and has performed as expected this season (54 tackles, 7 sacks, 4 PD, 3 INT and 2 touchdowns). Mack has an interception and a sack in each of his past two games. The Bulls' defense as a whole has not seemed to be too impressive, allowing 380 YPG of offense, but holds a 19-5 advantage over their opponents in turnovers, including 12-0 in conference play.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Todays Best Bets

3* - [101] Ohio +4 -109 vs Buffalo U

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DOC SPORTS

NHL

3-Unit play Take #53 New York Islanders (+125) over Washington Capitals (7:05pm EST)

4-Unit play Take #65 Vancouver Canucks (+105) over Phoenix Coyotes (9:05pm EST)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BANKROLL SPORTS

10*= Our highest rated & strongest releases / best bets
5* = Worth playing at a slightly larger unit value (or 1/2 the 10*)
4* = These are also sharp releases, play average (just below 5*)
3* = Your average / steady and consistent plays (one or two units)
2* = If playing, play small (2* moves are used as free picks)
1* = If playing, play very small (1* moves also used as free picks)


Today's Premium Member Releases
(All Game Times Are Listed In Eastern Standard Time)
Note: Date of Releases Noted in Top Right Panel of Page
10* Miami Ohio Red Hawks +24 (CBB) / 8:00pm
5* Phoenix Suns +9 (NBA) / 8:05pm
4* Indiana Pacers -1.5 (NBA) / 7:05pm
3* Ohio @ Buffalo Over 47 (CFB) / 8:00pm
3* Denver Nuggets +4 (NBA) / 9:05pm

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ecks and Bacon

Ben lee lost on Monday with the Packers -5/Bears for the 1st half.

For Tuesday E&B like's Buffalo-3/Ohio U.

Ecks and Bacon is 0-1 -$55 for the week and 2-8 -$340.

All E&B selections will be for $50 unless noted.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kelso

15 bowling green
5 Ohio

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

Game: Philadelphia at Carolina (7:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: Carolina +103 (moneyline) at Bookmaker

The Carolina Hurricanes have lost each of their last five games by 2 goals or more, and truly have not been competitive. All that does is add value to the line, as oddsmakers realize that the struggling team will not be a bettor's favorite. The Flyers have been struggling just as bad, entering this game with a 4-9 record on the season. Through 13 games, Philadelphia has scored more than 2 goals in just one of them. Teams that have lost their last five games, each by 2 goals or more, and have had an ROI of over 14% in their next game, so as bad as it looks here for Carolina, they are in a great spot. Take them here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL Predictions

St. Louis Blues -108

The St. Louis Blues look to improve on an already stellar campaign with a win in Montreal against the Canadiens. The Blues have jumped out to one of the more surprising starts to the 2013 season, netting a 8-2-2 record in their first ten games. We cashed in with them a few days ago, and look to do it again against the Canadiens. Montreal is trying to keep their heads above water, struggling to find momentum with a 8-7-0 mark on the season. The Canadiens don't have any real solid goal scorers on this team to push them over the edge. Their numbers truly represents what their record indicates, an average team. They are averaging 2.73 goals per game and allowing 2.07. So, vanilla is what you get with the Canadiens this year, or I guess every year you could say. The Blues on the other hand have been pummeling opponents with their goal scoring, potting 3.58 goals a game. There isn't much attention on the Blues, and I think you'll find some shocked faces when they take a look at their record. However, they may turn a few Canadien fans into believers tonight, because I think they'll emerge victorious tonight. The Blues have also had a great history playing in Montreal, going 5-1 in their last six meetings. I like the Blues to bounce back from a Lightning loss Saturday night and take it by a score of around 4-2.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SPORTS WAGERS

Charlotte +9 over NEW YORK

It took Knicks fans only one quarter to start booing Andrea Bargnani and if he couldn’t handle the pressure in Toronto, imagine what he’s feeling today. This is a guy that is playing scared. The problem is that Bargani is going to have to keep shooting (while neglecting the boards) until New York gets J.R. Smith back. Carmelo Anthony (37.7 percent shooting) is off to a cold start, leaving the Knicks in search of offense, something they had an abundance of last year. The Knicks lone win in three starts was by 7 points over the Bucks and now they’re being asked to win by double digits. That’s something we can’t get on board with.

Despite getting whacked in New Orleans, the Bobcats were solid in their other two games in Houston and at home against the Cavaliers. Josh McRoberts, acquired in mid-February of last season has improved the Bobcats’ ball movement simply by swinging the ball to the weak side of the defense far more than others had. Solid guard play from Kemba Walker and Gerald Henderson give the Bobcats a chance to be competitive every night and Michael Kidd-Gilchrist is also playing well. This is a team that struggles offensively but they have a good bench, they play sound defense and they seem to be responding well for new coach Steve Clifford. The difference between these two teams right now is not 9 points and so we’ll gladly scoop them up and let the chips fall where they may.


Phoenix +9 over NEW ORLEANS

This number is just ridiculous and is based on season projections before a single game was played. The Pelicans are a decent team that will offer up some value in plenty of games this season when getting points but spotting 9 with this club is a huge risk that should not be taken. Anthony Davis is absolutely a true all-star that is averaging 23.7 points, 12.3 rebounds and four blocks. However, New Orleans' three-pronged backcourt is a work in progress, particularly Tyreke Evans, who is shooting only 25.8 percent. New Orleans has just one win in three tries and that victory occurred over Charlotte. They were also whacked in Orlando by 20 points.

In Phoenix, The Eric Bledsoe Show is even better than imagined. Three games into his first opportunity as a full-fledged starter, Bledsoe is averaging 22 points, 8.7 assists and 6.3 rebounds. He's excelling as a No. 1 option and giving opponents fits with his energy on both ends. Bledsoe and Co. are showing that Phoenix -- which was widely predicted to be the worst team in the Western Conference -- has no plans to roll over for a lottery pick. Jeff Hornacek hated losing when he played and he has brought that same passion to the Suns. Even without Goran Dragic, there is too much value here on the Suns to pass up this weight being offered.


Utah +10 over BROOKLYN

Beating the Heat proved that the new-look Nets are capable of taking down the best, but losing to the Cavaliers and Magic showed that there is plenty of work to do. Kevin Garnett hasn't looked very comfortable in black and white, failing to total double-digit points in a game yet, and his new teammates haven't looked at ease playing around him, either. Joe Johnson had just two points in Sunday's loss, his lowest total since February 2011. If that weren't enough, KG made his frustrations known after Jason Kidd's coaching debut. Kidd is not coaching material. He was a quiet point guard that let his play on the court do his talking and probably feels out of place trying to coach guys he played with and against last season. The Nets shouldn’t be spotting 10 points to anyone right now.

Jazz fans need not worry about their team's record because there is plenty of encouraging signs in the development of their youngsters. Utah has been competitive in its first three games, including a close call against the Thunder, and it has received promising play from Alec Burks (team-leading 18.0 points off the bench) and Enes Kanter, who has averaged 16.7 points and 10 rebounds while looking like a beast in the paint. Jazz should easily stay well within this range throughout and could even pull off the upset. Definite overlay.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SPORTS WAGERS

Dallas +197 over BOSTON

Regulation only. The Bruins just don’t seem as hungry this season as they’ve been in previous years. This is a team that won a Cup in 2011 and appeared in the Finals in last year’s chaotic and grueling season. The Bruins could be suffering from burnout. They’ve won eight of 13 games but goaltender Tuukka Rask has won a few of those on his own and the Bruins are regressing instead of improving. Boston has one win over their past four games and that lone victory occurred in OT against the Ducks. Over their last seven games, Boston has created the least amount of scoring chances in the entire league. In four of those seven games, they’ve mustered up 23 or less shots on goal. Right now, the B’s are the NHL’s most overvalued team and in no way do they deserve this billing against the improving Stars.

As coach of the Sabres, Lindy Ruff gave the Bruins fits. As coach of the Dallas Stars, Ruff is instilling that same kind of work ethic that made the Sabres a tough out almost every night. Dallas has picked up points in five of its past six games. Unlike the Bruins, the Stars are improving each game under their intelligent, disciplinarian head coach. Dallas is loaded down the middle. Jamie Benn is a huge body with a massive shot that’s nearly impossible to contain and he’s surrounded by plenty more offensive talent. All that talent is playing in front of one of the league’s best goalies this season so far in Kari Lehtonen, who has the luxury of playing behind breakout experts Sergei Gonchar and Alex Goligoski. That kind of skill means less turnovers and less time in your own zone. One also has to figure that the entire team will be a little extra jacked up here in support of ex-Bruins, Tyler Seguin and Rich Peverly. This is without question the biggest overlay on the board today and must be played.


N.Y. Islanders +133 over WASHINGTON

Regulation only. The Capitals returned home from a tiring five-game trip othat saw them play the first four games on the Canadian West Coast before ending the trip in Philadelphia. The Caps won their first game back in OT against the Panthers on Saturday and this is now their second game back. When a mediocre club like the Capitals win their first game back after a trip, they are often very flat in the second game back. That applies here and even at their very best, Washington would still have a tough time against this guest.

The Islanders are beginning to turn up the heat. Matt Moulson was a great player for this team but the Islanders have not lost a beat with the incredible talent of Tomas Vanek. Against Ottawa last Friday, the Islanders fired away 57 shots on net in a 5-4 OT win. That score should have been 8-1 in their favor. On Saturday, the Islanders were all over the Bruins in a 3-1 win for their second win in two days. The Islanders outscored Boston and Ottawa 8-5 and outshot them 91-58. In a favorable spot with an offense that looks unstoppable right now, the Islanders offer up some tremendous value here.