11-9-13

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Stephen Nover | CFB Side - Saturday, Nov 9 2013 8:00PM

Alabama -12.0(-110) double-dime bet

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ASA

#158 10-Star Wisconsin (-8) over BYU
#140 4-Star Minnesota (-2.5) over Penn State
#170 4-Star Michigan (-6.5) over Nebraska
#168 3-Star Utah (+7) over Arizona State

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SB Professor NCAAF Picks

3.0 -

12:21 PM
160. Mississippi -16.5

7 PM
195. Houston +11

Rest of Games
146. North Carolina -13.5
149. Western Michigan -2.5
168. Utah +6.5

Original -

12 PM
147. Vanderbilt +10.5

4 PM
125. North Carolina St. +10

8 PM
199. LSU +13



Rest of Games
122. Army +5.5
123. SMU +8.5
132. Iowa St. +7.5
194. Tennessee +7.5
151. Tulane +9
129. Illinois +9
157. BYU +8
161. Nevada +8.5
168. Utah +6.5
166. West Virginia +6
195. Houston +11
154. Wyoming +9

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NBA

Saturday, November 9

Hot teams
-- Magic won three of its last four games.
-- Indiana won first six games, covering four of last five.
-- 76ers won four of their first six games.
-- Celtics won last two games, covered three of four as a road dog. Heat won its last three games, by 10-9-5 points.
-- Rockets started season 4-2, but lost last game to Lakers by point.
-- Golden State won three of its last four games. Grizzlies won two of their first three home games.
-- Portland won three of its last four games.

Cold teams
-- Jazz starts season 0-6 (0-4 vs spread in last four). Toronto lost four of its last five games.
-- Hawks are 2-3 in last five games, but won only home game by 7.
-- Nets are 2-3 this season, but won both their home games.
-- Cavaliers lost four of their last five games.
-- Clippers lost last two games, by 8-5 points.
-- Mavericks are 0-3 on road, losing by 8-14-8 points. Milwaukee split its first four games (1-1 at home).
-- Sacramento lost last four games, by 9-11-5-13 points.

Series records
-- Jazz won eight of its last nine games with Toronto.
-- Hawks won their last ten games with Orlando (8-2 vs spread).
-- Nets won their last four games with Indiana.
-- 76ers won nine of last ten games with Cleveland.
-- Heat won five of last six games against Boston.
-- Clippers beat Houston by 19 Monday, their fifth win in last six games against the Rockets.
-- Grizzlies won their last nine games with Golden State.
-- Mavericks won last three visits to Milwaukee by 2-11-7 points.
-- Trailblazers lost three of last four visits to Sacramento.

Totals
-- Four of last five Utah games stayed under the total.
-- All five Atlanta games went over the total; last three Orlando games stayed under the total. Under is 15-1 in last sixteen series games.
-- Five of six Indiana games stayed under the total.
-- Last five Cleveland-Philly games stayed under the total.
-- Nine of last ten Miami-Boston games went over total; under is 5-1 in Celtic games this season.
-- Under is 8-4 in last twelve Clipper-Houston games.
-- Last four Golden State games stayed under the total.
-- Five of six Dallas games went over the total.
-- Three of last four Portland games went over the total.

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NBA

Saturday, November 9

Clippers at Rockets: What bettors need to know

Los Angeles Clippers at Houston Rockets (-3.5, 212.5)

There wasn’t a lot of defense played when Los Angeles and Houston played on Monday, and it figures to be another high-scoring affair when the Rockets host the Clippers on Saturday. Los Angeles posted a 137-118 victory in the first meeting, making 15 3-pointers and receiving 23 points and 17 assists from point guard Chris Paul. The Clippers matched a franchise record with 78 first-half points in that victory but have since lost back-to-back games to Orlando and Miami.

Rockets star James Harden has been hobbled by a foot injury but still managed a monster performance of 35 points, nine rebounds, five assists and four steals in Thursday’s 99-98 loss to the Los Angeles Lakers. Houston lost the contest when Steve Blake drained a late 3-pointer for the Lakers. Paul is off to a great start with averages of 22.5 points and 12.5 assists and has recorded a double-double in each game. Clippers forward Blake Griffin stood out in Thursday’s loss to Miami with 27 points and 14 rebounds.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, Prime Ticket (Los Angeles), CSN Houston

POWER RANKINGS: Clippers (-12.5) - Rockets (-12.0) + Home Court (-3.0) = Rockets -3.5

ABOUT THE CLIPPERS (3-3, 4-2 ATS): Paul typically takes over games in the fourth quarter but he acknowledged that he should have acquiesced more to Griffin in the loss to Miami. Griffin made 11-of-15 shots while Paul was only 3-of-11. “That’s another thing that is on me,” Paul said. “We have to go to Blake more. Like I said, I’ll do better. I have to give Blake more touches and get that ball out of my hands.” Griffin is averaging 21.7 points and 11.3 rebounds and already has four 20-point, 10-rebound outings.

ABOUT THE ROCKETS (4-2, 3-2-1 ATS): Harden’s ability to get to the free-throw line and Howard’s presence means Houston will get numerous attempts from the line all season. The Rockets were just 33-of-52 in the loss to the Lakers, marking the second time already that they have attempted more than 50 free throws. Houston hadn’t shot 50 free throws in a game since Nov. 24, 2010, prior to this season. Howard was the biggest culprit by making just 5-of-16 against the Lakers. “It wasn’t just Dwight,” said coach Kevin McHale, apparently not recognizing the other Rockets combined to make 77.8 percent. “We didn’t shoot free throws very well and that doesn’t help the cause.”

TRENDS:

* Clippers are 2-6 ATS in their last eight road games.
* Rockets are 0-4 ATS in their last four vs. NBA Pacific.
* Over is 7-2 in Clippers' last nine overall.
* Under is 14-4 in Rockets' last 18 home games.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. Los Angeles has won six of the past seven meetings.

2. The Rockets allowed 16 3-point baskets against the Lakers -- one shy of the record by a Houston opponent.

3. Paul has made 34 consecutive free throws and is 45-for-46 on the season.

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NCAAB

Saturday, November 9

Indiana State beat Ball State 68-48/57-50 last two years; Sycamores are expected to contend in MVC this year, with four starters back from LYs 18-15 team. Cardinals have three starters back from 15-15 team that was #3 in country at getting to foul line LY, but #296 at making foul shots. Ball State hit just 32% from floor in LY's loss to Indiana State.

Defending national champ Louisville is loaded; they forced 27 turnovers in humiliating Charleston 80-38 LY (was 36-16 at half). Cougars move up to CAA this year, have four starters back from team that wound up 24-11- they brought in six freshman to bolster roster. Louisville lost two starters from LY (Siva/Dieng); their early schedule isn't very hard.

Temple won its last six games with Big 5 rival Penn, but last two were by 7-6 points; Owls lost four starters from LY's 24-10 team that finally won an NCAA tourney game for former Quaker coach Dunphy. Penn has whole team back from LY's 8-22 nightmare (6-8 in Ivy). Owls are picked 7th out of ten teams in new AAC, ranked #4 league in USA.

Ohio U lost four starters from LY's 24-10 team that was #7 in country at forcing turnovers; Bobcats have to replace stellar PG Cooper, tough to do. Northern Iowa lost three starters from 21-15 team that beat Toledo in OT LY, its only game against a MAC opponent.

Drake has new coach, three new starters after going 15-17, 7-11 LY, ar e picked to finish 8th in MVC, even with Creighton's departure weakening league somewhat. Ill-Chicago has three starters back from 18-16 team that was 9-1 early, before stumbling to 18-16 finish, losing eight of their last twelve games.

South Dakota State lost three starters from LY's 25-10 team, including star G Wolters, who is now with Milwaukee Bucks; Jackrabbits lost by 4 at San Diego last night, shooting just 43% from floor. LMU won by 3 in its opener over Grand Canyon Friday; star G Ireland played only 22 minutes due to foul trouble.

New Mexico State has three starters back from 24-11 team, but they got beat 70-64 by Western Michigan Friday, shooting 35% from floor, 1-11 on arc and missing 15-40 foul shots. Tennessee State lost three starters from 18-15 team; they got crushed 85-55 at host Hawai'i last night- they were down 21 at half, shot 1-15 outside arc.

Manhattan has four starters back from team that finished 8-3 after 6-15 start LY; they're picked to win 11-team MAAC. Jaspers were 1-2 vs A-13 teams LY, losing to Dayton by 8, GW by 12, beating Fordham, the worst team in league. LaSalle has four starters back from 24-10 team and is picked to finish 3rd in A-13- they made it to Sweet 16 last March.

Iona has three starters back from 20-14 team that lost by 25 to Ohio St in NCAAs LY; Gaels are better on offense, playing #8 pace in country LY while not forcing lot of turnovers. Cleveland State has four starters back from 14-18 team that lost six of last eight games. Iona lost by 5 to UIC of Horizon League last season.

Niagara has new coach, two new starters after Mihalich took Hofstra job after going 19-14/13-5 LY; he will be missed. Eagles lost to Notre Dame by 22 LY, its only game vs a Big East team. Seton Hall has four starters back from 15-18 team that went 3-15 in league; they were in bottom 15 in country in protecting ball LY, but they brought in two new PGs.

Northern Arizona lost its best returning player three days ago when he announced he was transferring to greener pastures, brutal blow for NAU squad that was 11-21 LY, 8-12 in Big Sky. UTSA lost three starters on LY's 10-22 team and picked 13th in first year in 16-team C-USA, so it is two rebuilding teams meeting here.

Chris Collins coaches first game for Northwestern that will finally play a little faster after being stuck in Princeton-offense rut for decade-plus and never making NCAAs. Wildcats have three starters back from 13-19 club that went 4-14 in Big Dozen. Eastern Illinois lost three starters from an 11-21, 6-10 team- their eFG% LY was 334rd in country, really bad.

Cal State-Fullerton has new coach, two new starters after going 14-18 with interim coach LY- they lost last five games, were terrible defensive team that was 4th-worst in country in 2-point FG%. Montana State has three starters back from 13-17 team that went 10-10 in Big Sky- they are picked to finish 5th this season in an 11-team league.

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Bryan Leonard

Kansas State +3

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Northcoast totals
4* over 52 hawaii
4* over 57 ucla
3* under 61' boston college
3* under 61 Kansas state
3* over 55 San Diego st

small college
idaho +14

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Scott Spreitzer Conference Dog Pound GOM

Wyoming

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Scott Spreitzer College Football Saturday Smash

Virginia Tech

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MajorCovers
NCAAFB
Houston +12
Mizzou -13.5
LSU +14

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King Creole CFB Side Sat, 11/09/13 - 12:00 PM
dime bet - 193 Auburn -7.0 (-110) vs 194 Tennessee
AUBURN TIGERS minus the points vs Tennessee / 12:00pm ET - 9:00am PT / #193
Game One:
Both of these games have lines in which the FAV is laying -7 to -8.5 points. The first game is the
SEC battle between a very HOT Auburn team against a Volunteer team that's reeling. The visiting
Tigers are on a current SIX game ATS winning streak that's the hottest in all of College Football.
hey come in with the nation's SIXTH best rushing attack, with 306 ypg averaged on the ground.
They've been wearing opponents out with a Top 20 offense averaging 495 total ypg. Average
winning margin during their current 5-game winning streak has been +24.8 ppg. Not bad
considering that they are laying less than 10 points on Saturday. This is also a SEC series in
which the visitor has dominated, going 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.
The host Volunteers are certainly going thru some growing pains with a TRUE freshman (Joshua
Dobbs) at QB. They've gone 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games. And they've really s**t the bed in
their last two... losing by 31 and 35 points... and getting outscored by a combined 76-13 deficit.
Tennessee has won only ONE 'stat-war' all season, and that was by only SEVEN yards against a
woeful South Alabama team. This is a team that can't pass (#111) and is ranked #98 nationally in
total offense. And in regards to the Tigers strength (rushing) we note that Tennessee is ranked
#103 in rushing YPG allowed. That's a BAD sign. The Vols have gone 4-13-2 ATS in their last 19
games against WINNING (> .500) teams... 1-5 ATS in November... 3-9 ATS after allowing 180 <
passing yards... and 2-7-1 ATS as conference home dogs of 4 > pts.

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Intpicks
3*Missouri -13.5
3*Texas A&M -19

2*Marshall -24
2*N Texas -25
2*ECU -16.5
2*San Jose St U Over55

1* Auburn -7
1*Houston +11.5
1*Philadelphia - Cleveland Under 202.5
1* E Kentucky -6.5 -(NCAAB)

Free Pick
Nevada - Colorado St Over 66
Arizona -1.5

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Dr Bob's Best Bets:
3* WKU -6
3* Marshall -23.5
2* Hawaii +17.5
2* UT-San Antonio -8.5

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Kelso

100 Iowa
50 navy
15 Utah st
10 north Texas
10 Kansas st