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Cappers Access
Buccaneers +1.5
Gonzaga -15.5
BYU +5
Buccaneers +1.5
Gonzaga -15.5
BYU +5
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GC: NBA System Play
Monday card has 2 Powerful 5* Play. The 24-1 Monday night Football Total Of The Month and the 16-1 NBA 5* Totals system with a Perfect series Angle. Free NBA System Play below.
On Monday night the Free NBA System Play is on the San Antonio Spurs. Game 705 at 7:05 eastern. The Spurs erupted for 120 points in New York on Sunday afternoon. Immediately we dig in to the database to see how the Spurs do the game afterward. The Spurs are 7-1 straight up and ats as a road favorite after scoring 120 or more on the road, including 3-0 with no rest. Also of note that home dogs like the Sixers that have rest and scored 120 or more on the road last out are 0-6 with just 1 spread cover the past few years. The Spurs are 4-0 and 3-1 ats in the series of late. Since 1990 any home dog that is off a road dog loss and ats win with a prior home dog win is 5-14 to the spread vs an opponent off a win. That's enough for us. We will back the Spurs here tonight. Monday night 5* 24-1 Total Of the Month in the NFL and a 16-1 NBA Totals System are the lead plays as we start the week big. Jump on now and flatten your book tonight. For the free play take San Antonio. GCComment
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Joe Gavazzi NFL
3% Over 41
2% Dolphins (very weak opinion he says)
Gavazzi NBA (2-1 yesterday)
4% Pacers -6
3% Cavs +8
Gavazzi NCAA (6-3 on the year, 2-1 yesterday winning his 5, splitting two 4's)
4% Yale +17
4% UAB -5Comment
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From This Week's PLATINUM SHEET
STATFOX FORECASTER
MIAMI (227) AT TAMPA BAY (228)
Latest Line: Tampa Bay +1.5; Total: 41.0
The winless Buccaneers will try to get that elusive victory Monday night hosting another Florida team, the Dolphins. Miami DE Cameron Wake recorded an overtime safety last Thursday versus the Bengals for a 22-20 victory to end his team's four-game losing skid. But all the talk with this team has been OG Richie Incognito's suspension after allegedly bullying OT Jonathan Martin. The Bucs led 21-0 in Seattle Sunday and finished with 205 rushing yards, but couldn't hold on and dropped a 27-24 overtime decision. Tampa now returns home where it has just 14.3 PPG in four games this year. The Bucs have covered each of the four meetings with the Dolphins since 1997, but Miami won the last matchup SU in 2009 by a 25-23 score, kicking a game-winning field goal with 0:14 left.
FORECASTER: Miami 22, Tampa Bay 17Comment
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Wunderdog Sports Free Pick
Game: Rutgers at U A B (8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: U A B -5.5 (-105) at 5Dimes
The Rutgers Scarlett Knights have opened the season at 1-0. That is the end of the good news. They were extended for 40 minutes vs. Florida A&M in a much closer than expected 92-84 win. They shot just 68% from the free throw line, and turned the ball over 15 times. That won't be good enough on the road at UAB, who has always played well at home. The Blazers laid a 20-point beating on their cupcake opponent, and showed a lot more than the Knights in the process. Rutgers has failed in their next game after scoring 90+ as they are 0-5 ATS in their last five in that situation. We have a little more meat on the bone with this UAB team that shows more intensity on the defensive end. Play on UAB.Comment
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John Ryan 10* Titan
Detroit PistonsComment
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GamingToday's Consensus Picks November 11, 2013 6:13 AM by GT Staff
NFL Monday Night Football
227 Miami Dolphins / 228 Tampa Bay Buccaneers OVER 41: This total just looks low even for these two teams, the Buc’s have played over the total in their last four games after going under in their first four and the only game that the Dolphins played that was under 40 was in their opening win at Cleveland 23-10.
NBA Basketball
705 San Antonio Spurs -6½: The Spurs have gone 7-1 SU and ATS as a road favorite after scoring 120 or more in their last game and they have gone 3-0 in that situation with no rest, they scored 120 yesterday in New York.
711 Toronto Raptors +8½: Both teams have good defenses and the Raptors who are looking to get to .500 will play tough and stay within in the spread.Comment
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Northcoast
2* Tampa bay
marquee over 41Comment
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Pro Football Play of the Day November 11, 2013 6:08 AM by GT Staff
NFL Monday Night Football
Miami Dolphins at Tampa Bay Buccaneers +2 at 5:40 p.m. PST
The Dolphins have more problems than a person does trying to sign up for Obamacare, but Tampa who is 0-8 have had their problems also especially blowing last weeks game as a +16½ point dog in Seattle when losing 27-24. Their is good new for the Buc’s as the winless Jag’s broke through yesterday with a 29-27 victory and if you like past history the Buc’s have gone 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS as a Monday home dog.
228 Tampa Bay Buccaneers +2Comment
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BeatYourBookie
MONDAY
NBA Basketball
10* Play Memphis +6.5 over Indiana (NBA TOP PLAY)
10* Play Minnesota +7.5 over LA Clippers (NBA TOP PLAY)
NCAA Basketball
10* Play Georgia Southern +14.5 over Miami (NCAA TOP PLAY)
10* Play Northern Arizona +11.5 over Texas Tech (NCAA TOP PLAY)
NHL Hockey
10* Play Boston -170 over Tampa Bay (NHL TOP PLAY)Comment
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SPORTS WAGERS
Miami -2 over TAMPA BAY
The 4-4 Dolphins take their 2-2 road record to Tampa Bay where the Buccaneers rightfully insist they are only the second worst team in football. Chances are the entire telecast will be about much more than football thanks to the Richie Incognito situation and all that it has spawned. That is a huge distraction (at least that’s what the media says) for the team that beat the Bengals right before it broke. The firestorm around the Incognito affair is burning brightly thanks to giving the bulldog media something to chew on over and over and over. It’s a serious situation and deserves attention but the media will keep the beach ball going long after this one is over should the Dolphins lose. Many are suggesting this could be a non-event for the Dolphins in terms of how they play but we’ve seen this movie a million times before. The media has big influence on public perception and we’re not buying the crap the media is spewing out in terms of the Dolphins reaction in this game. There is nothing like focusing on the game to step away from all the questions and comments and you might see Miami play harder than they have all season. You can also be sure that there will be a strong Miami contingent in the crowd too.
The Dolphins have played a fairly tough schedule with games against Indy, Atlanta, New Orleans, Cleveland, Baltimore, Buffalo, New England and Cincinnati. Six of those eight teams have a legit shot at going to the playoffs. The Dolphins also have a legit shot of making the playoffs. The media is doing everything they can to draw as much attention as possible to the elephant in the room instead of Miami’s opportunity here. Remember, the Fins had a two-TD lead in each of their past two games against the Pats and Bengals and split them. The Fish also started off 3-0 before hitting a snag in the road and this is as winnable a game as any of them.
What everyone is ignoring is the state of mind of the Buccaneers so let us bring that to the forefront. Nobody expected the Buccaneers to have a snowball’s chance in Cuba of hangin’ and bangin’ with the high-flying Seahawks. But, when they had a 21-0 lead over Seattle, there was joy in Tampa Bay. Christmas was coming early. The love was coming back. Seattle had never won a game after trailing by 21 points….until Sunday. It’s one thing to not have the talent to compete. It’s another to build a big lead in a game in which you were supposed to get blown out in. This one will leave a mark because, for a team with a goose-egg in the win column, it should have ended and would have got a lot of national attention. That plane ride home for the Bucs had to be one of dead silence and then it was back to work on Tuesday. So, which team is demoralized and will have a tougher time of focusing in on this one? The media wants you to believe the Dolphins but we could not disagree more.Comment
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SPORTS WAGERS
Detroit +4½ over PORTLAND
You can go ahead and pencil the Blazers into the playoffs if LaMarcus Aldridge and Damian Lillard are going to continue to average a combined 50.7 points. After a loss to the Suns on opening night, the Blazers rebounded to beat Denver and San Antonio but were subsequently whacked by the heartless Rockets by 15. After back-to-back wins over the Kings on the weekend and a 4-2 record, Portland ranks second in offensive efficiency. However, three of its four wins came against the Sac-town twice and the Nuggets once. Combined, that pair is 2-9 and these Pistons provide a very tough challenge.
Detroit is the NBA’s most undervalued squad right now with a 2-3 record but sometimes records are misleading. All three of the Pistons losses have come against teams that can be considered legitimate championship contenders and even though they were on the wrong end of the score in all of them, the Pistons had a chance to win all three. They led Memphis, a Western Conference finalist last season, by five points with 42.1 seconds left in regulation before losing 111-108 in overtime. They trailed Indiana, an Eastern Conference finalist last season and only remaining unbeaten team this season, by five points with 32.6 seconds left before losing 99-91 and they trailed Oklahoma City 115-110 with 20.4 seconds left despite playing large chunks of the game without Andre Drummond and Josh Smith after each picked up their fourth foul in the second quarter. We also like that the Pistons embark on a four-game West Coast beginning with this game and they figure to be extremely focused in an attempt to get off on the right foot. We’re calling the upset but will gladly accept the points being offered.
UTAH +137 over Denver
Don't be afraid to play the Jazz here. They're not this bad. Yeah, Utah has been blown out in two straight by 24 points each game and have lost by double digits in five straight but with its stock hitting rock bottom, it's the perfect time to step in on them. Utah is winless in seven games and it’s been ugly but only two of those games were at home, where the Jazz competed against both the Thunder and Rockets, losing by 3 and 11 respectively. A big step down in class will occur here for the Jazz and so too will a response to losing by 24 points to the Raptors.
The Nuggets should not be road chalk over anyone. They have just one win of their own and that occurred at home against the Hawks by two points. For the first time in recent memory, it's not clear where the offense will come from in Denver. Brian Shaw is searching for it, going 11 deep in his first two games but coming away with little (25th in offensive efficiency). Ty Lawson is averaging 20.5 points, but the next two leading scorers are Jordan Hamilton (12.0) and Randy Foye (10.6). Now the Nuggets lost center JaVale McGee and Danilo Gallinari can't come back soon enough. After today, the Nuggets might not be favored on the road the rest of the season. The Jazz will get off the mattress here.
Pass NHL & CBBComment
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Prediction Machine
NFL
228 8:40 PM @TB MIA 2.5 -2 51.4%
228 8:40 PM MIA @ TB 41 38.4 Under 55%Comment
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Tale of the Tape Miami Dolphins at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Football fans will be treated to an all-Florida battle as the Miami Dolphins visit the rival Tampa Bay Buccaneers in this week's Monday nighter.
The Dolphins come into this one fresh off a 22-20 overtime win over the Cincinnati Bengals that halted a four-game losing skid and vaulted Miami back to the .500 mark for the season. Things are decidedly more dire in Tampa, where the Buccaneers find themselves the lone winless team left in the NFL.
Here's the breakdown in our betting tale of the tape:
Offense
Between quarterback Ryan Tannehill gaining a year of experience and the addition of wide receiver Mike Wallace, the Dolphins had high hopes for their offense coming into the season. So far, those expectations have not been met - Miami is generating just 315.3 total yards per game - among the worst averages in the league - and has produced only 11 passing touchdowns. The running game has improved in recent weeks, but still averages just 97.6 yards per contest.
Tampa Bay's pass attack has been one of the most anemic in the NFL no matter who has been at the helm. Josh Freeman's early-season struggles, combined with Mike Glennon's relative inexperience, have resulted in the Buccaneers averaging just 197 yards through the air - one of only three teams entering Week 10 to sit below the 200 mark. The running game has been equally inept, producing 107.5 yards per outing but registering just one touchdown so far.
Edge: Miami
Defense
The Dolphins have bent but not broken when it comes to pass defense. Miami is surrendering 252 yards through the air per game - putting it in the middle of the pack - but has allowed just nine touchdowns while racking up 11 interceptions. The Dolphins haven't been nearly as effective in run defense, ranked in the bottom third of the league in yards allowed per game (116.5) while allowing nine rushing touchdowns and recovering just a pair of fumbles.
Despite having lost eight straight games to open the season the Buccaneers' pass defense actually hasn't been that bad. Tampa Bay is in the top third in fewest passing yards surrendered (241 per game) but has given up 15 touchdowns while snagging just eight interceptions. The run defense has also been respectable so far in 2013, limiting opponents to 107.5 yards per game and four yards per carry while giving up just four scores all season.
Edge: Tampa Bay
Special Teams
Miami's kick-return unit has been solid to date - averaging 25.2 yards per attempt - but the punt-return game has managed just 62 total yards on 12 chances. The Dolphins are surrendering 24.2 yards per kick return opportunity while holding foes to 8.8 yards per punt return. Rookie placekicker Caleb Sturgis has had an up-and-down season, connecting on just 13-of-18 field-goal attempts - including a 2-for-3 showing in last week's win over the Bengals.
Tampa Bay's return game has been another bright spot despite the winless stretch, averaging a robust 25.8 yards per kickoff return and 8.6 yards per punt return. Opponents are averaging a paltry 21.1 yards per kickoff return attempt versus the Buccaneers, but have an 11.2-yard average on punt returns. Kicker Rian Lindell hasn't been busy, but has been solid when called upon, making 11-of-13 field-goal opportunities.
Edge: Tampa Bay
Notable Quotable
"We're definitely not beleaguered. At this point in the season we have eight winnable games ahead of us and we could have a very good second half of the season. We're definitely not focusing on the circus you guys have made in our locker room." - Dolphins OL Tyson Clabo, addressing the Richie Incognito-Jonathan Martin controversy
"I'm 0-8. That's enough on my back. On Monday, when everybody lines up, distractions go out the window ... that's just the way it is. Nobody cares about your problems when you get out there on that field." - Buccaneers OL Donald Penn when asked about the controversy surrounding the DolphinsComment
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BeatYourBookie -- Football Plays
MONDAY
10* Play Miami -2 over Tampa Bay (NFL TOP PLAY)
8:30 PM EST
Tampa Bay is 6-12 ATS in home games the last three seasons
Tampa Bay is 3-10 ATS coming off a road loss in their last gameComment
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