11-23-13

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Fezzik

Byu/ND under 54

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RKapper
Louis -23
mich/Iowa over 46
Wiscy -16.5
BYU/ND Under 54
Penn St -1

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OC Dooley:
“1 UNIT” NATIONAL-TV LATE AFTERNOON TOTAL (Texas A+M Aggies at LSU Tigers UNDER 73’ in a 3:30 eastern kickoff televised on CBS): It is easy to see why this total is so high as we have a pair of statistically gifted quarterbacks going at it including Johnny Manziel of the Aggies who has two more shots at impressing Heisman Trophy voters. Manziel and his Aggies have played “above” the total in all SIX conference games this campaign and lead the Southeastern draw in average points (49) scored per contest. Manziel alone has produced more than 300 total yards of offense in an incredible NINE consecutive starts and his Aggies have reached the fifty-point plateau in each of the most recent three appearances. The last time the nation saw the LSU Tigers was a hyped primetime affair against top-ranked Alabama which turned into a high scoring 38-17 game where the defense struggled. One of the keys to this pick is that both sides enter off a BYE week and in the case of the Aggies that slows down offensive momentum. As for as the host Tigers are concerned head coach Les Miles has actually been preaching DEFENSIVE intensity which is what the Southeastern Conference used to be (physical and low scoring football) before the Manziel invasion. As mentioned earlier this total is inflated due to the quarterback statistics that include LSU’s Zach Mettenberger who has the #2 ranked passer-rating in the SEC, but I for one am following the lead setup by his head coach

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King Creole CFB Side
double-dime bet -151 Vanderbilt 3.0 (-110) vs 152 Tennessee
Analysis:
2** VANDERBILT COMMODORES plus the points vs Tennessee Volunteers / #151 / 7:00pm
ET (4:00pm PT)
WRONG-team favored ALERT! The inept Tennessee Volunteers have been outscored 131 to 36 in
their last three games... and they're actually favored this week. Wrong! We're actually GETTING
points with the team that has the BETTER offense AND the BETTER defense. And the Bowl-bound
Commodores' only losses in the their last seven games were against Texas A&M and Missouri.
They've handled things quite well against the other three .500 < SEC foes that they have faced...
covering the spread against South Carolina, Georgia, and Florida. And they've BEATEN up on .500
or less foes (like Tennessee) over the years. VANDERBILT has gone 12-3 ATS in the last 3 years
vs .500 < opponents, including 8-1 ATS when playing off a SU win. The Commodores are also 7-0
ATS in their last 7 November games... 7-0 ATS after allowing < 20 points... 9-2 ATS when playing
off a SU win... and 5-12 ATS after allowing 275 < total yards. Meanwhile, the host VOLUNTEERS
are 6-19 ATS at home vs winning (> .500) opponents... 1-6 ATs in November... 1-4 ATS after
allowing 200 > rushing yards... and 0-5 ATS as conference home favs off a SU loss vs an opp off
BB SU wins.
In this Conference SPECIFICALLY...
SEC home favorites off 3+ SU losses (Tennessee) have gone 1-6 ATS since 1986 (0-3 ATS since
2000) versus a ,500 > opponent (VANDERBILT).
With this 'short' line (Tenn -3 or less), that tells us that Vandy is the 'perceived' BETTER team...
according to oddsmakers.
0-9 ATS since 2006: All 'short' SEC home favorites of -4 < pts off a SU loss (Tennessee) versus
any opponent off BB SU wins (VANDERBILT).
The visiting Commodores have done it all as of late. They covered as a DD fav last week... and
covered (plus won OUTRIGHT) as a DD dog in the game before that.
5-1-1 ATS last three years: All conference teams off a SUATS conference double-digit FAV win...
and a SUATS conference double-digit DOG win (VANDERBILT).

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Dominic Brando Basketball

NBA Clippers -9/-125
NCAA North Carolina -7/-120
NCAA Pacific -2/-115
NCAA Cal Irvine -5/-125
NCAA Wisconsin Milwaukee Pick/-115

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Ness

LEGEND - UCLA

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Windy City Sports

6% Arizona State

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ASA

Tennessee

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Lenny Stevens

20* Iowa State

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RAS

MOST RECENT RELEASE
Rotation 738 Eastern Michigan (-8) 1.00 UNIT
Game start: 11/23/13 04:00pm PST Released at: 11/23 8:55am PST


PREVIOUS RELEASES
Rotation 782 UC Irvine (-6.5) 1.00 UNIT
Game start: 11/23/13 05:30pm PST Released at: 11/23 8:52am PST

Rotation 728 Rice (+7) 1.00 UNIT
Game start: 11/23/13 12:00pm PST Released at: 11/23 8:49am PST

Rotation 806 Southern Utah (-1) 1.00 UNIT
Game start: 11/23/13 06:30pm PST Released at: 11/23 8:20am PST

Rotation 792 Iona (-4) 1.00 UNIT
Game start: 11/23/13 11:00am PST Released at: 11/23 8:17am PST

Rotation 779 E. Washington (-3) 1.00 UNIT
Game start: 11/23/13 03:00pm PST Released at: 11/23 8:13am PST

Rotation 774 Central Michigan (-2) 1.00 UNIT
Game start: 11/23/13 05:00pm PST Released at: 11/23 8:07am PST

Rotation 772 Austin Peay (-1.5) 1.00 UNIT
Game start: 11/23/13 02:30pm PST Released at: 11/23 8:04am PST

Rotation 730 Valparaiso (-11) 1.50 UNIT
Game start: 11/23/13 12:00pm PST Released at: 11/23 8:01am PST

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River City Sharps

We really like this spot for Tennessee Tech at home against UWM. Tech returns four starters from last year's team and boast a 3-3 record this season, while Milwaukee comes in at 4-2 on the season. We will readily admit that Milwaukee has played the tough schedule early in the season, including a win at Davidson. In their last game, Tenn Tech blasted Indiana-Kokomo 92-39, a game that saw them shoot over 56% from the field. We think the wrong team is favored here tonight and Tech defends the home court. The Sharps say...

3 UNITS - TENNESSEE TECH (+1.5)

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The Underdog - His Game of the Year
Mississippi

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The Sports Nostradamus

CFB
Arizona State (ML)
Washington State (ML)
Missouri (ML)

CBB
Auburn

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Ray Falco

Over NCST/ECU
Pitt
UCLA over

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SB Professor NCAAF Picks - 11/23


Original -
153 - Massachusetts +13
184 - OK State +10


3.0 -
120 - Purdue +7
206 - Washington St. -1
193 - SMU -4