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Power Play Wins
NFL SF -4
NFL SF -4
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Robert Ferringo College Basketball Paid Picks:
2-Unit Play. Take #721 Cleveland State (+21) over Kentucky (7 p.m.)
2-Unit Play. Take #725 Marquette (+7) over Arizona State (9 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. Take #740 LaSalle (-2) over Northern Iowa (7:30 p.m.)
2-Unit Play. Take #744 California (-4) over Arkansas (3 p.m.)
2-Unit Play. Take #746 Syracuse (-2) over Minnesota (5:30 p.m.)
2-Unit Play. Take #760 Georgia State (-5.5) over Canisius (5 p.m.)
2-Unit Play. Take #764 Texas Tech (+11) over Pittsburgh (7:30 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. Take #769 Wichita State (-7.5) over DePaul (9:50 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #760 Georgia State (-0.5) over Canisius (5 p.m.) AND Take #769 Wichita State (-2.5) over DePaul (9:50 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #768 BYU (-3) over Texas (7:30 p.m.) AND Take #769 Wichita State (-2.5) over DePaul (9:50 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #723 Oklahoma State (-4) over South Florida (7 p.m.) AND Take #746 Syracuse (+3) over Minnesota (5:30 p.m.)Comment
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Timberwolves at Pacers: What bettors need to know
Minnesota Timberwolves at Indiana Pacers (-7, 193.5)
The Minnesota Timberwolves' ability to compete in the challenging Western Conference will hinge, at least in part, on their ability to win on the road. They'll face their stiffest test to date Monday night as they travel to Indianapolis for a date with the powerhouse Pacers. The Timberwolves are languishing near the .500 mark thanks to a pedestrian 2-5 mark away from Minnesota, and they'll be in a tough spot against an Indiana team that has opened with seven straight home wins.
The Pacers have responded well to their first loss of the season just over a week ago, earning road victories over the New York Knicks and Boston Celtics before returning home and eking out a win over the Philadelphia 76ers. Center Roy Hibbert was the star in that one, pouring in a season-high 27 points and hauling in 13 rebounds against the undermanned 76ers. Minnesota comes in fresh off a disappointing 112-101 loss to the Rockets in Houston.
TV: 7 p.m. ET, FSN North (Minnesota), FSN Indiana
LINE: Indiana have held steady as 7-point home faves. The total opened at 194 and is down slightly to 193.5.
ABOUT THE TIMBERWOLVES (8-7, 9-6 ATS): After enduring a frustrating 2012-13 campaign that saw him appear in just 18 games, Minnesota power forward
Kevin Love is finally healthy and putting up MVP-caliber numbers through the first month of the season. The 25-year-old comes into Monday's game averaging 24.9 points and 13.6 rebounds - both ranked top-4 in the NBA - while adding 4.5 assists. Love is one of the few elite big men with a consistent 3-point shot but it has abandoned him of late; he has made just two of his last 11 attempts from beyond the arc.
ABOUT THE PACERS (12-1, 9-6 ATS): Indiana has its own MVP candidate in small forward Paul George, whose emergence as a superstar-in-the-making has
played a significant role in the Pacers' early-season success. The 23-year-old ranks just behind Love in scoring at 24.2 points while adding 6.2 rebounds and 1.8 steals in nearly 37 minutes. George has also displayed his chops on defense, helping Indiana hold opposing teams to a league-low 87.6 points on just 39.7 percent from the field.
TRENDS:
* Favorites is 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings.
* Home team is 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings.
* Over is 10-2 in the last 12 meetings.
* Timberwolves are 0-4 ATS in the last four meetings in Indiana.
BUZZER BEATERS:
1. Indiana has won three of the previous four meetings, including a 107-91 victory in their previous encounter on March 13.
2. Love averages 16.1 points and 13.9 rebounds in seven career games against the Pacers.
3. George averages 21.9 points at home compared to 26.8 points away from Indiana.Comment
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GC: NBA PLAY
Monday card has 5* Double System NFL Play and the 17-0 NBA Total Of the Month from a system that averages an amazing 227 point per game. There are also 2 more solid plays one is a an NBA Road warrior system that has not lost since 1989. NBA Remains hot nailing Sunday total and NFL Top play wins with the Titans. Free NBA System Side below.
On Monday the Free NBA System Play is on Charlotte. Game 702 at 7:05 eastern. Charlotte has played well at 7-7 this season and fits a nice system here tonight that plays on home teams that come in off a spread win by 21 or more points as a short road dog of 4 or less in their last game, vs an opponent like Boston that scored a road dog win of their own and had 90 or more points in the win. Home teams are 11-2 to the spread in this system. Charlotte has won and covered 4 of 5 vs Atlantic Division teams and all 3 home games when the total is 185 to 190. Boston is a lousy 1-11 straight up and 2-10 to the spread as a road dog if they come in off a road spread win by 14 or more points and scored 90 or more. Look for Charlotte to win and cover. On Monday we have 2 big 5* Plays one in the NFL With 2 Powerful systems and perfect angles and the NBA Total of the month from a sick 17-0 system that averages 227 points. There are also 2 more big system sides on the card. Start the week big as NBA Cashed again last night and top play on Titans cashes. Jump on now. For the free NBA Play take Charlotte. GCComment
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Monday afternoon NCAAB: What bettors need to know
Arkansas Razorbacks at California Golden Bears (-4.5, 143.5)
California will try to take advantage of its length in the post when the Golden Bears meet Arkansas in the opening game of the Maui Invitational on Monday. Richard Solomon and David Kravish are tall, rangy shotblockers who also rebound very well for the Golden Bears. Solomon has set career highs in rebounding in two of the last three games while Kravish recorded a school-record 63 blocks last season as he and Solomon combined for 100.
The Razorbacks are led by 6-6 wing Alandise Harris, who spent two seasons at Houston before transferring to Arkansas, a school he once committed to as a sophomore in high school. Harris is averaging 18.3 points in 21.3 minutes off the bench this season, helping the Razorbacks average 88 points through their first three games. Harris averaged 13.3 points and 6.4 rebounds as a sophomore at Houston before sitting out last season under NCAA transfer rules.
TV: 3 p.m. ET, ESPN2.
LINE: The Golden Bears opened as 4-point home faves and have been bet to -4.5. The total for this game is off the board.
ABOUT CALIFORNIA (4-0, 2-1 ATS): Justin Cobbs has played well after the departure of backcourt mate Allen Crabbe to the NBA. He has 25 assists through
the first four games to give him 352 for his career and keep him as the active assist leader in the Pac-12. He’s been joined in the backcourt this season by freshman Jabari Bird, who’s averaging a team-high 13.5 points.
ABOUT ARKANSAS (3-0, 3-0 ATS): The Razorbacks have been getting solid production from sophomore guards Michael Qualls and Anthlon Bell, who are
averaging 16.3 and 12.3 points, respectively. Qualls was relatively unknown last season while averaging just under five points and four rebounds, but has gained attention this season, mostly for highlight-reel plays. Bell and Qualls are shooting better than 50 percent from the floor this season while Bell is making 47.1 of his 3-point attempts.
TRENDS:
* Arkansas is 4-1 ATS in its last five games overall.
* California is 4-1 ATS in its last five games overall.
* Over is 4-1 in Arkansas' last five games overall.
* Under in 5-1 in California's last six non-conference games.
TIPS INS:
1. Bird’s 54 points through the first four games are the most by a Cal freshman since Ryan Anderson scored 85 in his first four contests in 2006.
2. Arkansas coach Mike Anderson coached Cal guard Ricky Kreklow when they were at Missouri during the 2010-11 season.
3. Cal went 2-1 at its lone appearance at Maui Invitational in 199
Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Syracuse Orange (-3, 136.5)
Played at neutral site in Lahaina, Hawaii.
No. 7 Syracuse and Minnesota will put their undefeated records on the line when they meet Monday on the opening day of the Maui Invitational. Both teams struggled against inferior opponents last week; the Orange trailed for most of the second half Monday against St. Francis (N.Y.) before pulling out a 56-50 victory and the Gophers sneaked by with a 10-point victory Tuesday against Coastal Carolina. Minnesota will face its first tough test of the season against Syracuse, which moved from the Big East to the Atlantic Coast Conference this season.
The most talented player on the floor will be C.J. Fair of Syracuse, one of 50 players on the Naismith Men’s Player of the Year watch list. The 6-8 forward is coming off a miserable 2-for-13 shooting performance against St. Francis but can hurt teams in a variety of ways and from different spots on the floor. Minnesota has good protection around the rim with 6-11 center Elliott Eliason, who blocked a career-high seven shots in a 79-57 victory against Wofford on Thursday.
TV: 5:30 p.m. ET, ESNP2.
LINE: The line has been steady at -2 for the Orange. The total for this game is off the board.
ABOUT SYRACUSE (4-0, 0-2 ATS): Trevor Cooney was named ACC Player of the Week after scoring a career-high 27 points in his first collegiate start last week against Cornell. The 6-4 guard struggled from 3-point range last season, shooting 26.7 percent, but has converted 10-of-22 from beyond the arc this season. The Orange have another 6-8 forward in Jerami Grant, whose father, Harvey Grant, played 12 seasons in the NBA.
ABOUT MINNESOTA (5-0, 3-0 ATS): The Gophers returned their top two scorers from last season and Andre and Austin Hollins have picked up where they left off. Andre Hollins was limited to seven points against Wofford but scored at least 18 in the other four wins and is on pace to become the first Minnesota player to lead the Big Ten in scoring since Kris Humphries in 2003-04. Austin Hollins has reached double figures in scoring in every game this season and has contributed double-digit rebounds twice.
TRENDS:
* Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last five games overall.
* Syracuse is 2-5 ATS in its last seven versus teams from the Big Ten.
* Over is 4-1 in Minnesota's last five neutral site games.
* Under is 4-1 in Syracuse's last five neutral site games.
TIP INS:
1. Minnesota coach Richard Pitino is the son of Louisville coach Rick Pitino, who got his start as an assistant to Syracuse coach Jim Boeheim.
2. The Gophers have 36 steals this season, the most in the Big Ten through the first two weeks of the season.
3. Syracuse guard Tyler Ennis scored 42 points against China as a member of Team Canada’s under-19 team last summer at the FIBA World Championships.Comment
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Tale of the Tape: 49ers at Redskins
They were applauded for their performances as first-year starters in 2012 - but one year later, Colin Kaepernick and Robert Griffin III find themselves struggling with the sophomore slump.
The two slumping signal-callers face off Monday night when Kaepernick leads his San Francisco 49ers into Maryland to face Griffin's Washington Redskins. San Francisco comes in having lost back-to-back games, while the Redskins are all but out of the playoff picture at 3-7.
Read the breakdown in our betting tale of the tape:
Offense
No team in the NFL has had more trouble moving the ball through the air than San Francisco, which is averaging an anemic 168 passing yards per game. Kaepernick has struggled mightily in the absence of star wide receiver Michael Crabtree, who won't be back against the Redskins but may make his season debut the following week. The 49ers' saving grace has been the run game, which is averaging a robust 141 yards per game and has racked up 15 touchdowns.
Griffin has regressed but is still orchestrating an above-average pass attack, averaging 257 yards per game with 14 touchdowns and 12 interceptions. He'll be hard-pressed to match his season averages with the 49ers' staunch defense opposing him and standout tight end Jordan Reed sitting out the contest as he recovers from a concussion. Washington's run game has been elite, averaging a league-best 155.2 yards while scoring 12 touchdowns.
Edge: Washington
Defense
The 49ers continue to be one of the stingiest teams in the league when it comes to pass defense, limiting the opposition to 220 yards per contest with 11 touchdowns and 11 interceptions. One area that has given San Francisco trouble is the pass rush, where it has registered just 21 sacks totaling 150 yards. The 49ers have allowed just 103.8 rushing yards per game so far this season, with an average of 3.9 yards against per carry and nine scores surrendered.
The Redskins have been victimized all season long by opposing pass attacks, surrendering 275 yards per game through the air with 19 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. Washington has also struggled to generate much of a pass rush, coming into the Monday nighter with 25 sacks for 162 yards. Washington's run defense hasn't been much better, giving up 115 yards per game on 4.3 yards per attempt and allowing 15 touchdowns through the first 10 games.
Edge: San Francisco
Special Teams
San Francisco's return game has struggled for most of the year, averaging just 20.9 yards per kickoff return and seven yards per punt return. The 49ers are a minus in both categories, having surrendered an average of 22.5 yards per kickoff-return attempt ans 7.4 yards per punt-return chance. Veteran placekicker Phil Dawson has connected on 14-of-17 field-goal opportunities in 2013, and hit both attempts - including a 55-yarder - in last week's loss to New Orleans.
Washington hasn't done much in the return department, averaging 20.2 yards per kickoff return and just 5.8 yards on punt returns. It has been stingy with kick returns, allowing just 20.3 yards per attempt, but has been burned for a pair of punt-return touchdowns and is allowing 18 yards per attempt - the second-worst mark in the league. Kicker Kai Forbath has hit just 7-of-11 field-goal attempts this season, and didn't have a single opportunity last week versus Philadelphia.
Edge: San Francisco
Notable Quotable
"It would have been much better to have played these guys earlier in the season than now. This is game 11 and he's 11 weeks improved from where he was in their opener ... So he's getting more and more confident with his knee." - 49ers defensive coordinator Vic Fangio on Griffin and his improving running ability
"I know his receiving corps has been banged up. He's had some guys injured. He hasn't had his number one receiver in Crabtree, Mario Manningham just came back, and so that hurts you, having lost them." - Redskins LB London Fletcher on Kaepernick's strugglesComment
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Where the action is: Public loving the 49ers
Monday Night Football features a pair of struggling NFC teams as the Washington Redskins host the San Francisco 49ers.
We talk to oddsmaker Michael Stewart of Carbonsports.ag about the action coming in on Monday Night Football and where the odds could move come kickoff.
San Francisco 49ers at Washington Redskins - Open: +5, Move: +6.5, Move: +6
The 49ers come into this week's Monday night affair losers of back-to-back games. They opened anywhere from 4.5 to 5-point road faves and saw a slew of early money.
Despite the poor play, the 49ers remain one of the better ATS bets in the league, with a record of 7-3 ATS.
If you glimpse at the other end of the spectrum, you'll find the Washington Redskins. The 'Skins own a 3-7 ATS mark and are also riding a two-game losing streak into the primetime matchup.
"We opened the 49ers -5 and all the early money was on the road favorite," Stewart tells Covers. "Very early in the week we went to -5.5 and on Wednesday with all the early money on the 49ers we went to -6."
Stewart notes that upon moving to +6.5, sharps moved in and backed the Redskins at that number.
"So far, 75 percent of the action is on the 49ers and no question, the public loves them in this game. We learned by going to 6.5 early that the wiseguys love the Redskins in this game," he says.
The total opened at 48 but moved off that number after seeing sharp action.
"We immediately saw sharp action bet us under that number and we moved a full point off that sharp action, going to 47," Stewart said. "But at 47, we saw nothing but over action and that pushed us to 47.5, a number we've been dealing all week."Comment
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See spot. See spot bet: This week's best spot bet opportunities
By JASON LOGAN
Spot bets are classic handicapping practices that have proven profitable no matter what sport you’re betting. Whether it’s a team looking past this week’s opponent, one coming off a hard-fought victory, or a rough patch of schedule, bettors can find value picking their spots.
Letdown spot
Want to know how much air has been sucked out of the Baylor Bears after getting balled by Oklahoma State in Stillwater Saturday? The LVH Superbook in Las Vegas dropped BU from +350 to +5000 on its BCS Championship futures board following the loss and oddsmakers aren’t expecting much from the Bears versus TCU this weekend, setting them under two-TD road favorites in Forth Worth.
Baylor not only has to pick its tighty-whities off the turf after the pantsing by OSU but is dealing with a broken heart, with its national title hopes dashed. Football bettors have seen this same struggle with Oregon since losing all hope after the loss to Stanford. The cherry on top of this spot bet sundae is that BU has a showdown with Texas for a spot in the Big 12 title game in Week 14.
Lookahead spot
The Brooklyn Nets’ “Big Three” (or “Big Four” depending on how big a Brook Lopez fan you are) has been a big bust so far this season. Kevin Garnett looks 100 years old, Paul Pierce hasn’t shot this bad since his rookie season, and Deron Williams is once again limping up and down the court. The Nets are 3-10 (4-9 ATS) out of the gate and have lost five straight heading into Tuesday’s trip to Toronto and Wednesday’s home date with the Los Angeles Lakers.
Brooklyn needs some time away. Thankfully – pun intended – the Nets get that break with Thanksgiving Thursday and a western road trip to Houston and Memphis at the end of the week. With a chance to get away from the court and escape from the merciless New York media, the Nets could get caught looking ahead to a belly full of turkey and the solitude of a hotel room before handling business versus a Lakers team picking up steam off three straight wins and covers.
Schedule spot
When is a home game not a home game? When it’s played in another country. The Buffalo Bills come to the comfy confines of the Rogers Centre in Toronto to “host” the Atlanta Falcons in Week 13. Buffalo fans have long been miffed over this yearly game in Canada (you would be too if your team was 1-4 SU and 1-3-1 ATS north of the border), losing a great home-field edge in the November cold at Ralph Wilson and instead trading it in for the indoor track in T.O. – a venue that plays right into the Falcons’ hands.
While this week's outing in Toronto is slotted as a home game, the Bills’ schedule has them playing four of their final five games away from Buffalo. They hit the road for two straight weeks – in Tampa Bay and Jacksonville – then are back home against the Dolphins before trip to New England for the finale. Oh, BTW, weather in Buffalo Sunday: High 30s, chance of rain, winds 15 mph. Home sweet dome…Comment
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Derrick Rose to miss the remainder of season
The Chicago Bulls have announced that point guard Derrick Rose will miss the remainder of the season after he had surgery on his right knee Monday.
Rose left Friday night's game against the Portland Trail Blazers in the third quarter and did not return.
He missed the entire 2012-13 season as he recovered from an ACL tear in his left knee.
According to Peter Childs of Sportsbook.ag, he doesn't possess the same level of value he once did.
"His season averages were all very well below his previous years, which is to be expected. But his below average numbers reflect his diminished value to the pointspread. I would say he’s worth 2.5 to at most 3 points."
But other Eastern Conference clubs - namely the Indiana Pacers - will be keen to seize an opportunity.
"What this really does is set up the Pacers to win that division and to easily secure the 2nd seed in the East, maybe the No. 1 seed if the Heat stumble."Comment
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Brad Wilton
Your Monday Winner...
Monday winner is a 100 Dime Max Wager release on the San Francisco 49ers and the Washington Redskins to go Over the total in their Monday night game. At 5:30 am Vegas time when I release this selection, the total for the game stands at 47 points.Comment
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EZWINNERS
2* San Francisco 49ers -4Comment
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Tony Stoffo
49ersComment
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GamingToday's Consensus Picks November 25, 2013 6:19 AM by GT Staff
NFL Monday Night Football
233 San Francisco 49ers / 234 Washington Redskins UNDER 47½: This total opened at 47½ and it sits there like a dunce as the bettors are using caution as this game will be played on the grass at Fed Ex Field, we see the under as the play as both defenses will come out on this cold night ready to play and set the tone.
NBA Basketball
702 Charlotte Bobcats -3½: The Cats catch the Celtics in a good spot and they have gone 4-1 ATS when playing a team from the Atlantic conference and the Celts have gone 2-10 ATS in this road trend situation.
NHL Hockey
57 Philadelphia Flyers -120: This is the first of two teams on the road that are riding streaks that we are going to string along with as the Flyers skate into Florida with a three game winning streak and face off with the Panthers who have dropped two straight games.
59 New York Rangers EVEN: The Rangers skate into Tampa to face off with the Lightning who have dropped four straight games while the Rangers have won two straight.Comment
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NFL Football Play of the Day November 25, 2013 6:26 AM by GT Staff
NFL Monday Night Football
San Francisco 49ers at Washington Redskins +5½ at 5:40 p.m. PST
At one time this would have been an automatic play and win but how the times have changed, the dog at home on Monday night football. Most of these players may not even know its Monday, oh well. We will still play on the Skins and take the points at home against an overrated 49er team and the trends lead us in that direction as Washington has gone 5-1 ATS on Monday’s when coming off of back to back SU and ATS losses and Mike Shanahan owns a record of 16-2-23 ATS as a dog with a losing record in games off of two losses including going 11-0-1 when meeting a team coming off a loss.
234 Washington Redskins +5½Comment
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Ats Insiders Club
NFL
San Fran/Wash - Over 47Comment
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