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Sunday's NFL Week 13 betting cheat sheet: Early action
New England Patriots at Houston Texans (+7.5, 47)
New England won three of the four previous regular-season meetings against Houston, as well as last season's divisional-round playoff matchup. Quarterback Tom Brady has been less than stellar during the Patriots' road skid, throwing just one touchdown against three interceptions. He has been tremendous in December, however, posting a 41-6 record in the month over his career.
Despite its overall struggles, Houston leads the NFL in total defense (290.4 yards per game) and passing defense (171.8). Wide receiver Andre Johnson is eight catches away from becoming the 15th player in league history with 900 career receptions. Defensive end J.J. Watt looks to extend his streak to six straight games with a sack.
LINE: The Patriots opened -9.5 but have been bet down to -7.5. The total is steady at 47.
WEATHER: N/A
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: New England (-6.0) + Houston (+6.5) - home field (-3.0) = Patriots -9.5
TRENDS:
* Patriots are 21-8-1 ATS in their last 30 games after surrendering 30 or more points in their previous contest.
* Texans are 2-5 ATS in their last seven December games.
* Over is 5-0 in the last five meetings.
Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts (-3.5, 45)
Quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick has strung together three consecutive strong outings, including going 22-of-28 for 222 yards and a touchdown in the recent loss to the Colts. Fitzpatrick has replaced injured Jake Locker as the starter and has completed 71.8 percent of his passes for 806 yards, five touchdowns and zero interceptions over the past three games.
Indianapolis quarterback Andrew Luck passed for only 163 yards – the second-lowest output of his career – in last Sunday’s loss to Arizona and he has thrown four of his seven interceptions in the past three games. Colts RB Trent Richardson has just 59 yards on 28 carries over the past four games. Indianapolis rallied from a 14-point first-half deficit to post a 30-27 victory over the Titans on Nov. 14.
LINE: Indianapolis is currently a 3.5-point fave, with the total up a half-point to 45.
WEATHER: N/A
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Tennessee (+2.0) + Indianapolis (-2.5) + home field (-3.0) = Colts -3.5
TRENDS:
* Titans are 5-0 ATS in their last five road games.
* Colts are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games vs. teams with losing records.
* Under is 7-1 in the last eight meetings in Indianapolis.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Cleveland Browns (-7, 40)
Jacksonville ranks 30th in the league in scoring defense which makes last week's effort all the more shocking. The Jaguars limited Houston to 218 total yards and quarterback Case Keenum to just 169 yards through the air. While the offense was far from sensational, Jacksonville rushed for 118 yards, nearly twice its average, and Chad Henne - who was named the starter for the rest of the season - completed 23-of-32 passes.
Cleveland's Brandon Weeden appears to have regained the starting spot at quarterback by default. With Brian Hoyer out for the season and Campbell under evaluation after taking a blow to the head against the Steelers last week, Cleveland will once again turn to Weeden, who is 0-4 as a starter on the season. The Browns are still mathematically alive for a playoff berth but have difficult games left on the road at New England and Pittsburgh.
LINE: The Browns have held as 7-point faves with the total down a half-point to 40.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-30s with a 23 percent chance of snow or mixed precipitation.
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Jacksonville (+8.0) - Cleveland (+5.0) + home field (-3.0) = Browns -6
TRENDS:
* Jaguars are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 Week 13 games.
* Browns are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS loss.
* Under is 21-5-2 in Cleveland's last 28 December games.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers (-7.5, 41.5)
Rookie quarterback Mike Glennon has blossomed since taking over the starting job and has thrown for 10 touchdowns and one interception in the past six games. Running back Bobby Rainey also has injected life into the offense with 243 rushing yards and four TDs (three rushing, one receiving) in the past three games. The defense has been solid against the run but susceptible against the pass.
Panthers quarterback Cam Newton (379 yards, 5 TDs) and No. 1 running back DeAngelo Williams (610 yards, 2 TDs) lead a strong ground game and Newton has been efficient when forced to throw the ball. While Newton's maturation has grabbed much of the attention, Carolina's defense has been a force, ranking first in the league in scoring (13.7) and third in total yards (297.5).
LINE: The Panthers opened -9.5 but have been bet down to -7.5. The total is set at 41.5.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-40s under partly cloudy skies.
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Tampa Bay (+3.5) + Carolina (-5.0) + home field (-3.0) = Panthers -11.5
TRENDS:
* Buccaneers are 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight games vs. teams with winning records.
* Panthers are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games vs. teams with losing records.
* Over is 5-1 in the last six meetings.
Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings (-1, 50)
Chicago's recent struggles can't be pinned on quarterback Jake McCown, who has passed for seven touchdowns with only one interception and boasts a 100.8 rating. Matt Forte didn't practice Wednesday, but coach Marc Trestman told reporters he is optimistic about the running back's status for Sunday. The Bears already have the league's worst run defense and they'll likely be without three defensive starters - including linebacker Lance Briggs.
The Vikings let one get away last week, blowing a 16-point lead in the fourth quarter of their 26-26 tie with the Packers. Christian Ponder is back in the driver's seat of the team's quarterback carousel and passed for 233 yards and a touchdown last week. Peterson is still the force that drives the offense, though, and he averages 107.7 yards and has 14 touchdowns in 11 career games against Chicago
LINE: The Vikings have remained 1-point faves with the total rising two points to 50.
WEATHER: N/A
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Chicago (-1.0) + Minnesota (+5.5) - home field (-3.0) = Bears -3.5
TRENDS:
* Bears are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 games vs. NFC foes.
* Vikings are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games on fieldturf.
* The home team is 16-6 ATS in the last 22 meetings.
Arizona Cardinals at Philadelphia Eagles (-3, 48.5)
After defeating three of the league's worst teams (Atlanta, Houston and Jacksonville), Arizona notched an impressive 40-11 victory over AFC South-leading Indianapolis last week. Palmer has thrown for 300-plus yards in back-to-back games and has a 110.8 quarterback rating during the four-game winning streak. As usual, Larry Fitzgerald is the focal point of the Cardinals' offense, hauling in two touchdowns last week.
The Eagles' Chip Kelly, coming off a bye week for the first time as an NFL coach, needed the extra time to improve a defense that ranks last in the league in passing yards allowed. That said, the Eagles' defense has surrendered 21 points or fewer in seven straight games, including their most recent contest - a 24-16 triumph over Washington in which Trent Cole had two of the team's four sacks.
LINE: The Eagles are steady 3-point faves. The total is holding at 48.5.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-40s with partly cloudy skies.
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Arizona (-2.5) - Philadelphia (-1.0) - home field (-3.0) = Eagles -1.5
TRENDS:
* Cardinals are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games on grass.
* Eagles are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games following a bye week.
* Over is 13-5 in the last 18 meetings.
Miami Dolphins at New York Jets (-2, 40)
Miami's 26th-ranked running game took another blow with the loss of Daniel Thomas (ankle), leaving second-year Lamar Miller as the team's primary back. The Dolphins' rushing woes have led to the team throwing 66 percent of the time, which is fourth highest in the league. The much-maligned offensive line has taken its lumps, but could see the return of center Mike Pouncey who missed the past two games due to an undisclosed illness.
Jets coach Rex Ryan will likely revert to a variation of his "Ground and Pound" game against Miami's 26th-ranked rush defense if New York is to alleviate any of the burden on Smith's shoulders. Chris Ivory suffered an ankle strain on his first carry versus the Ravens and has been limited in practice this week. Should Ivory be limited or out, Bilal Powell will try to get untracked after mustering just 190 yards on 59 carries over his last seven games.
LINE: The Jets opened at -1 but have been bet up by a point. The total is up 1.5-points to 40.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-40s under mostly cloudy skies.
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Miami (+3.5) - New York (+4.0) + home field (-3.0) = Jets -2.5
TRENDS:
* Dolphins are 2-7 ATS in their last nine road games.
* Jets are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games vs. teams with losing records.
* Over is 7-3 in New York's last 10 games vs. divisional foes. -
Sunday's NFL Week 13 betting cheat sheet: Late action
Atlanta Falcons vs. Buffalo Bills (-3, 46.5)
Injuries have been a killer and the schedule hasn't made it any easier for Atlanta, which is in the midst of playing five of seven on the road - and the two home games in that span were against NFC powers Seattle and New Orleans. Still, the Falcons have not been competitive for much of the five-game skid, getting outscored by an average of 18.5 points over a four-week stretch.
Buffalo has endured injury problems of its own, but rookie quarterback EJ Manuel returned from a three-game absence to throw for 245 yards and a pair of touchdowns against the Jets. Running back Fred Jackson said the week off came at a good time for the Bills, who expect to have leading receiver Stevie Johnson and rookie wideout Robert Woods back in the lineup.
LINE: The Bills opened at -3.5 but have been bet down a half-point. The total is currently 46.5
WEATHER: N/A
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Atlanta (+5.5) - Buffalo (+4.0) + home field (-3.0) = Bills -4.5
TRENDS:
* Falcons are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games on fieldturf.
* Bills are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games.
* Over is 6-1 in Atlanta's last seven games following a bye week.
St. Louis Rams at San Francisco 49ers (-7.5, 42)
Kellen Clemens has stepped in nicely for the injured Sam Bradford, recording a 100.5 passer rating with four touchdowns and no interceptions over the last three weeks. Last week, Clemens was helped out by three rookies - Benny Cunningham, Zac Stacy and wideout Tavon Austin, who combined for 261 rushing yards and three touchdowns on 26 attempts.
The 49ers rank last in the NFL in passing yards (173.5 per game), so the return of wideout Michael Crabtree, who had 85 catches for 1,105 yards and nine touchdowns last season - all team highs - should be a welcome sight. Frank Gore, on the other hand, appears to finally be on the decline, as the 30-year-old running back has averaged more than four yards per carry just once in his last six games.
LINE: San Francisco opened as a 9.5-point fave, but is now -7.5. The total is down a point to 42.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-50s under clear skies.
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: St. Louis (+2.5) + San Francisco (-6.0) + home field (-3.0) = 49ers -11.5
TRENDS:
* Rams are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games vs. divisional foes.
* 49ers are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games.
* Over is 5-2 in the last seven meetings.
Cincinnati Bengals at San Diego Chargers (-1, 48.5)
Quarterback Andy Dalton continues to be plagued by inconsistency despite his three-TD performance against Cleveland, getting intercepted twice and throwing for only 93 yards - the second-fewest yards since his NFL debut. Star wideout A.J. Green was limited to two catches for seven yards by the Browns, halting a streak of five-consecutive 100-yard games.
San Diego typically plays to the level of its competition, owning wins over division leaders Philadelphia, Dallas, Indianapolis and Kansas City while losing to five sub-.500 teams. Philip Rivers is having a career renaissance, bouncing back from two turnover-riddled seasons to lead the league in completion percentage (70.8) while throwing for 22 touchdowns and eight picks.
LINE: The Chargers opened as a 1-point dog but have been bet up to a 1-point fave. The total is up three points to 48.5.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with sunny skies and wind blowing across the length of the field at 4 mph.
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Cincinnati (-3.0) - San Diego (0) - home field (-3.0) = Even
TRENDS:
* Bengals are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven December games.
* Chargers are 5-1 ATS in their last six games vs. teams with winning records.
* Over is 7-1-2 in the last 10 meetings.
Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs (+5, 48.5)
Denver's offense continues to set a near-record pace, as the team's 429 points are the second-most in history through 11 games and Peyton Manning's 3,722 passing yards are the most ever at this point in the season. The defense had put together an impressive string of games before the second half last week when Tom Brady picked apart a banged-up secondary with cornerbacks Champ Bailey, Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie and safety Duke Ihenacho injured.
Kansas City did a credible job of slowing down Denver's explosive offense in the first meeting, but the Chiefs' defense got dinged against the Chargers. Linebackers Tamba Hali (ankle) and Justin Houston (elbow) both left in the first half last week and neither is likely to play - a significant blow as the two have combined for 20 sacks - although Hali is quoted as saying he's ready but does not have medical clearance.
LINE: Denver opened at - 3.5 but the line has been bet up to -5. The total is steady at 48.5.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-40s with partly cloudy skies.
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Denver (-7.5) - Kansas City (-2.5) - home field (-3.0) = Broncos -2
TRENDS:
* Broncos are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a SU loss.
* Chiefs are 4-10 in their last 14 home games vs. teams with winning road records.
* Under is 5-0-1 in the last six meetings.
New York Giants at Washington Redskins (+1, 46)
Elli Manning did rally New York from a 15-point deficit last week but he threw for only 174 yards and had trouble moving the team for much of the day in a loss against the Cowboys despite Andre Brown and Brandon Jacobs rushing for a combined 202 yards. Victor Cruz has one touchdown catch since scoring three times in Week 1 and Hakeem Nicks, who was scratched last week with an abdominal injury, has yet to get in the end zone.
Robert Griffin III turned in another clunker and Washington was limited to a pair of field goals and 190 yards by San Francisco. Griffin threw for a season-low 118 yards and an interception, giving him 11 on the season - more than double the total from his mesmerizing rookie campaign. Second-year running back Alfred Morris needs 30 yards to reach the 1,000-yard mark again.
LINE: The Giants are holding as 1-point faves with the total down a half-point to 46.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-30s under partly cloudy skies.
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: New York (+1.0) + Washington (+5.0) - home field (-3.0) = Giants -1
TRENDS:
* Giants are 2-7 ATS in their last nine road games.
* Redskins are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games vs. the NFC.
* Underdog is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings.Comment
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Sunday Night Football betting: Giants at Redskins
New York Giants at Washington Redskins (+1, 46)
Prior to the season, Sunday night's matchup between the visiting New York Giants and Washington Redskins shaped up as a potential showdown for first place in the NFC East. Instead, the prime-time matchup has devolved into a battle to avoid the division cellar, although the Giants still have a faint pulse in the postseason race. New York has to run the table and hope for plenty of help to keep its playoff hopes alive after last Sunday's loss to Dallas halted a four-game win streak.
The Redskins were hoping to duplicate last season's stunning run to the division title, when they overcame a 3-6 start by winning their last seven games. Washington has had a dramatic drop-off this season, and Monday night's lopsided 27-6 home loss to San Francisco left 49ers linebacker Ahmad Brooks questioning whether Redskins quarterback Robert Griffin III was fully recovered from offseason knee surgery. "Everybody can see it," Brooks said. "He shouldn't be playing."
TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, NBC.
LINE: The 'Skins opened as 1-point home dogs. The total opened 46.5 and is down to 46.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-30s.
ABOUT THE GIANTS (4-7): Eli Manning did rally New York from a 15-point deficit last week but he threw for only 174 yards and had trouble moving the team for much of the day in a loss against the Cowboys despite Andre Brown and Brandon Jacobs rushing for a combined 202 yards. Victor Cruz has one touchdown catch since scoring three times in Week 1 and fellow wideout Hakeem Nicks, who was scratched last week with an abdominal injury, has yet to get in the end zone. There are also issues on the other side of the ball, with the defense ranking 31st in the league with 18 sacks.
ABOUT THE REDSKINS (3-8): Griffin turned in another clunker and Washington was limited to a pair of field goals and 190 yards by San Francisco. Griffin threw for a season-low 118 yards and an interception, giving him 11 on the season - more than double the total from his mesmerizing rookie campaign. Second-year running back Alfred Morris needs 30 yards to reach the 1,000-yard mark again, and Washington's defense has held only one opponent under 24 points and ranks 31st in points allowed (30.7) and 26th against the pass (270.6 yards).
TRENDS:
* Under is 5-1 in the last six meetings.
* Giants are 0-5 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Redskins are 1-8 ATS in their last nine vs. NFC.
* Under is 4-0 in Redskins last four home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
EXTRA POINTS:
1. The Redskins have lost all four prime-time appearances this season.
2. Cruz has 12 receptions for 235 yards and a TD in the past two games versus Washington.
3. Morris had two stellar games against New York last season, rushing for 124 and 120 yards.Comment
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NFL weather report: Sunday's forecasts
Find out how weather will impact your NFL bets for Sunday's matchups:
Jacksonville Jaguars at Cleveland Browns (-7, 40)
Temperatures will be in the mid-30s with a 39 percent chance of snow. Wind will blow toward the NE endzone at 6 mph.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers (-7.5, 41.5)
Temperatures will be in the high-40s with partly cloudy skies and a small 16 percent chance of rain.
Arizona Cardinals at Philadelphia Eagles (-3, 48.5)
Temperatures will be in the low-40s with wind blowing across the field at 5 mph.
Miami Dolphins at New York Jets (-2, 40)
There is a 24 percent chance of rain in the forecast. Temperatures will be in the low-40s.
St. Louis Rams at San Francisco 49ers (-7.5, 41)
Skies will be clear and temperatures will be in the low-60s.
Cincinnati Bengals at San Diego Chargers (-1, 48.5)
Skies will be clear with temperatures in the mid-70s.
Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs (+5, 48.5)
Temperatures will be in the mid-40s.
New York Giants at Washington Redskins (+1, 46)Comment
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English Breakfast: Premier League betting cheat sheet
This weekend's action in the Barclay's Premier League concludes with four matches on the board Sunday. Arsenal's victory at Cardiff Saturday extended their lead atop the table, but Liverpool and Chelsea will look to close the gap with a full three points Sunday.
Tottenham Hotspur v Manchester United (+188, +240, +163)
Why bet Tottenham: The pressure is on in North London. Rumors are running wild about manager Andre Villas-Boas' job in jeopardy. Spurs haven't scored in three matches and are more desperate than any other club for a positive result. There was a lot of hype around Spurs after the transfer window closed. Now it's time for the signings to justify their price tags.
Key players out/doubtful: Christian Eriksen, Danny Rose
Why bet Manchester United: As Spurs have plummeted, United have soared. The Red Devils haven't lost a Premier League game since Sept. 28 and throttled a helpless Bayer Leverkusen side midweek. A potentially fresh Robin van Persie could be available for David Moyes after the Dutchman missed the Leverkusen match.
Key players out/doubtful: Michael Carrick, Darren Fletcher
2012-13 fixture result: Tottenham 1, Manchester United 1
Key betting note: Man United are unbeaten in 27 of the last 28 matches with Spurs (all competitions).
Hull v Liverpool (+550, +300, -163)
Why bet Hull: After a fairly decent start to the season, points have been sparse for the Tigers in recent efforts. Despite coming off a home loss to lowly Crystal Palace, they are still sit ninth in the table on home form. Quite respectable.
Key players out/doubtful: Sone Aluko, James Chester, Stephen Quinn
Why bet Liverpool: Glory days seemed to have returned to Anfield as the club sits second in the table and are seemingly capable of scoring goals for the fun of it. Striker Luis Suarez has totaled nine league goals in seven appearances since returning from suspension.
Key players out/doubtful: Iago Aspas, José Enrique, Sebastián Coates
2012-13 fixture result: N/A
Key betting note: The Reds have scored at least two goals in six of their last seven league matches.
Manchester City v Swansea (-350, +500, +1200)
Why bet Manchester City: The Citizens demolished Spurs 6-0 one week ago, but consistency has been their bugaboo this season. They defeated Norwich 7-0 and promptly followed that up with a 1-0 loss to Sunderland. Álvaro Negredo has established himself as one of the better signings of the transfer window with five goals in eight league appearances. You need look no further than their home record, however. City has 18 points from its six home matches thus far.
Key players out/doubtful: David Silva, Stevan Jovetic, Matija Nastasic, Jack Rodwell
Why bet Swansea: With four points in their last two matches, the Swans will look to build on a fairly positive run of form. A win and the Swans return to the top 10 of the table. Injuries to Michu and now Wilfried Bony will make leaving Manchester with any points difficult, however.
Key players out/doubtful: Michu, Garry Monk, Wilfried Bony
2012-13 fixture result: Manchester City 1, Swansea 0
Key betting note: City has been winning at halftime and full time in its last four home matches.
Chelsea v Southampton (-163, +300, +550)
Why bet Chelsea: The Blues will need to rebound from a lifeless, dismal performance against Basel in mid-week Champions League action. Southampton will prove to be a tough opponent, but Jose Mourinho has Chelsea essentially unbeatable at Stamford Bridge having not lost in 66 matches.
Key players out/doubtful: Samuel Eto'o, David Luiz, Marco van Ginkel
Why bet Southampton: Despite last week's 2-0 loss to Arsenal, it has been a dream start to the campaign for the Saints. They still boast a paltry seven goals conceded with is best in the league and have a very respectable eight points in six matches away from St. Mary's.
Key players out/doubtful: Guly, Jack Cork
2012-13 fixture result: Chelsea 2, Southampton 2
Key betting note: Southampton has played under the 2.5 goal scoreline in its last 11 away league games.Comment
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Today's NFL Picks
SUNDAY, DECEMBER 1
Time Posted: 11:00 p.m. EST (11/27)Game 425-426: Tennessee at Indianapolis (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 125.678; Indianapolis 133.215
Dunkel Line: Indianapolis by 7 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Indianapolis by 3 1/2; 45
Dunkel Pick: Indianapolis (-3 1/2); OverGame 427-428: Jacksonville at Cleveland (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville 122.874; Cleveland 126.841
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 4; 34
Vegas Line: Cleveland by 7; 40
Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville (+7); UnderGame 429-430: Denver at Kansas City (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 141.429; Kansas City 133.666
Dunkel Line: Denver by 8; 55
Vegas Line: Denver by 5; 49
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-5); OverGame 431-432: Tampa Bay at Carolina (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 126.915; Carolina 143.312
Dunkel Line: Carolina by 16 1/2; 36
Vegas Line: Carolina by 7 1/2; 41
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (-7 1/2); UnderGame 433-434: Chicago at Minnesota (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 134.228; Minnesota 127.379
Dunkel Line: Chicago by 7; 52
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 1; 49
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+1); OverGame 435-436: Arizona at Philadelphia (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 135.879; Philadelphia 134.146
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1 1/2; 53
Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 3; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+3); OverGame 437-438: Miami at NY Jets (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 129.422; NY Jets 133.484
Dunkel Line: NY Jets by 4; 36
Vegas Line: NY Jets by 2; 40
Dunkel Pick: NY Jets (-2); UnderGame 439-440: Atlanta at Buffalo (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 123.751; Buffalo 124.785
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 1; 51
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 3 1/2; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+3 1/2); OverGame 441-442: St. Louis at San Francisco (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 127.116; San Francisco 143.759
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 16 1/2; 38
Vegas Line: San Francisco by 8; 42
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-8); UnderGame 443-444: New England at Houston (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New England 139.322; Houston 124.312
Dunkel Line: New England by 15; 42
Vegas Line: New England by 7; 47
Dunkel Pick: New England (-7); UnderGame 445-446: Cincinnati at San Diego (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 137.276; San Diego 132.549
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 4 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: San Diego by 1 1/2; 48
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+1 1/2); OverGame 447-448: NY Giants at Washington (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Giants 131.716; Washington 128.047
Dunkel Line: NY Giants by 3 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: NY Giants by 1; 46
Dunkel Pick: NY Giants (-1); OverMONDAY, DECEMBER 2
Time Posted: 11:00 p.m. EST (11/27)Game 449-450: New Orleans at Seattle (8:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 140.250; Seattle 138.527
Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 1 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Seattle by 6; 47
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (+6); UnderComment
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Hondo
best bets
Patriots
Chiefs
BengalsComment
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2Halves2Win (Lost DAL -7.5 on Thanksgiving):
(GAME: 2*): Falcons-Bills o47 (-110: Risking 2.20 units to win 2.00 units) - TBD (TBDu)Comment
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CKO
10 DENVER over *Kansas City
Late Score Forecast:
DENVER 31 *Kansas City 16
The Broncos were fuming after blowing a 24-0 lead at New England last week. Now, they are again tied with
Kansas City at 9-2 and must win this game to re-establish their lead in the AFC West. Their failure in Foxborough
will only harden their will for this trip to tough Arrowhead Stadium. Peyton Manning and his receivers controlled the
first meeting, with Manning never being sacked. Then, against San Diego last week, the Chiefs lost top pass
rushers Justin Houston & Tamba Hali (check status of both) with early injuries, resulting in Philip Rivers passing for
392 yards and 3 TDs. After early-season adjustments due to injury, the Denver OL is now coming around nicely,
evidenced by the Broncs’ 280 YR against the Patriots. A similar total is unlikely at Arrowhead, but just as unlikely is
K.C. QB Alex Smith keeping pace with Peyton.
NINE-RATED GAME: NEW ENGLAND (-7; est.) at Houston—Disappointing Texans could not handle Brady last year; now, Tom Terrific is indoors with all his weapons healthy.
TOTALS: OVER (50; est.) in the Chicago-Minnesota Game—Bears’ injured front seven gave up 196 YR last week to Zac Stacy and Benny Cunningham; Adrian Peterson/Toby Gerhart salivating for Vikes (10-1 “over” this year).Comment
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The Gold Sheet
Key Releases
BUFFALO by 15 over Atlanta
BUFFALO 34 - Atlanta 19—Buffalo, which has witnessed growing
enthusiasm among its fan base in Doug Marrone’s first year, loses a bit of its
home edge in these excursions (1-3-1 vs. spread last 5) to Toronto. Still, not
interested in backing injury-thinned Atlanta, now 0-5 SU and vs. the spread on
the road. Moreover, the feisty Bills defense again means business, tied for
the league lead with 37 sacks going into last week’s action. Buffalo’s bye
helps RBs Spiller & Jackson, plus WRs, heal. And rookie LB Kiko Alonso has
been a wonderment.
SAN DIEGO by 10 over Cincinnati
SAN DIEGO 30 - Cincinnati 20—One thing is sure. S.D., even with
its continuing OL issues, runs the ball with more insistency and pays closer
attention to detail under rookie HC Mike McCoy, described by players as being
fair—but more demanding—than the departed Norv Turner. Plus, insiders are
raving about the key additions of big OT D.J. Fluker (No. 1 pick), WR Keenan
Allen (No. 3; 50 recs.), and FA smurf Danny Woodhead (a poor man’s Darren
Sproles). Chargers (5-6) are back in the AFC playoff hunt in a big way with a
win here, and QB Philip Rivers (71%) is red hot.Comment
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NELLY'S GREEN SHEET
RATING 5 NY JETS (-1½) over Miami
RATING 4 ST. LOUIS (+9½) over San Francisco
RATING 3 INDIANAPOLIS (-4½) over Tennessee
RATING 2 KANSAS CITY (+3) over Denver
RATING 1 PHILADELPHIA (-3½) over ArizonaComment
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Pointspreadpros
Week 13 TOP Plays (10-4-1 last 6 weeks, 18-19-1 YTD)
Chicago +1
Miami +2
BUFFALO -3Comment
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Todays Best Bets
5* Kansas City Chiefs +6.5
5* New York Giants -1
4* New England Patriots -7.5
3* Cincinnati Bengals +2Comment
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The Sports Nostradamus
NFL Game of the Year Colts -4Comment
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