12-4-13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

J. Clifton

Iona -18
Richmond -3
Moorhead state +9 1/2
Detroit +8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Wednesday, December 4

Hot teams
-- Canadiens won six of their last seven games.
-- Detroit won its last four games, outscoring foes 18-4.

Cold teams
-- Devils lost four of their last six games.
-- Flyers lost four of their last five road games.
-- Flames lost seven of their last ten games. Phoenix lost four of last five.

Totals
-- Under is 6-3-2 in New Jersey home games.
-- Under is 3-1-1 in last five Philly games.
-- Coyotes lost their last three visits to Calgary.

Series records
-- Devils lost three of last four games with Montreal.
-- Home team won last three Philly-Detroit games.
-- Six of last seven Phoenix games went over the total.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Wednesday, December 4

Hot teams
-- Nuggets won their last seven games.
-- Clippers won four of their last five games.
-- Rockets won/covered five of their last six games.
-- Pistons won four of their last six games.
-- Pelicans won six of their last eight games.
-- Pacers won seven of their last eight games; they're 7-2 vs spread on road this season. Utah won three of last four after a 1-14 start.
-- Spurs won 13 of last 15 games, covered one of last four.
-- Portland won 13 of its last 14 games. Thunder won their last eight games, covered four of last six.

Cold Teams
-- Cavaliers lost five of their last six games.
-- Hawks lost five of their last six games.
-- Suns lost last two games by 8-19 points, but they're 8-2 vs spread on the road.
-- Bucks lost 11 of last 12 games, are 2-6 vs spread at home.
-- Dallas lost four of last six games (0-5 vs spread in last five).
-- Minnesota lost six of its last eight games.

Totals
-- Five of last seven Denver games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last seven Clipper games stayed under the total.
-- Eight of last ten Phoenix games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Detroit games went over the total.
-- Six of last seven Dallas games stayed under the total.
-- Last three Utah games went over the total.
-- Seven of Spurs' last eight games went over the total.
-- Last four Thunder-Portland games stayed under total.

Series records
-- Nuggets won six of last seven games with Cleveland.
-- Clippers lost their last four visits to Atlanta.
-- Suns lost four of their last five visits to Houston.
-- Pistons won four of last five games with Milwaukee.
-- Pelicans lost six of their last eight games with Dallas.
-- Pacers lost their last four visits to Utah.
-- Minnesota is actually 4-3 in its last seven games against the Spurs.
-- Thunder won last seven games with Portland (6-0-1 vs spread).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB

Wednesday, December 4

Valparaiso lost four of last six D-I games, losing to Mercer in 3OTs last week; Crusaders are 0-3 on road, losing by 12-4-8 to Illinois/Evansville and Ohio. Valpo is turning ball over 21% of time. Ball State lost its last three games, by 1-19-23 points; they're turning ball over 22.3% of time. Horizon favorites are 8-10, 1-1 on road. MAC underdogs are 15-14.

Richmond is 6-2, winning at Air Force in only true road game; they lost by 10 to North Carolina on a neutral floor, by 15 to Minnesota at home. Spiders beat Wm & Mary last three years by 8-31-24 points, but took two OTs to win LY's game, after being down 3 in last minute. W&M is 4-3, won last three games, but hasn't beaten anyone ranked above #200.

First road game for Maryland team that won last four games and is 2-1 on neutral floors, losing by point to UConn; Terps are going to be in the Big Dozen next year- they're making 40% behind arc, just 60.4% inside it. Ohio State is 6-0 with all six wins by 10+, including 17-point win vs Marquette; Buckeyes force turnovers 24.9% of time, hold teams to 25% outside the arc. Very good defensive team.

Wisconsin is 8-0, beating Saint Louis/West Va in Cancun last week, two solid neutral court wins; Badgers are making 43.6% from arc, and that is when Ryan''s teams are best- they find open men on arc. Virginia plays an even more deliberate style; they're 7-1, splitting pair of 3-point tilts with top 50 teams, but are turning ball over 21.3% of time, not good.

South Florida scored 63.5 ppg in losing last two games, after 4-0 start vs teams ranked #237 or worse; Bulls won by 14 at Bowling Green in only road game so far. George Mason is 5-2, with three wins by 7 points or less; Patriots are turning ball over 22.9% of time, making just 30.9% on arc. A-13 home favorites are 8-11 vs spread. AAC road dogs are 2-4.

Harvard won Alaskan Shootout late Saturday night; they lost by 8 at Colorado in only true road game. Crimson holds teams to 26.7% from arc, forces turnovers 21.9% of time. Northeastern upset Georgetown on neutral floor but is still just 2-5, losing last three games, all vs teams in top 80. Like Harvard, but with all the travel, this could be tough spot.

NC State is 4-2 but down this year, hurt by early defections; best win so far was #164 E. Kentucky; Wolfpack is making just 27.6% on arc, 62% on foul line. Northwestern lost by 11-16 in two games in Vegas over the weekend; Wildcats are 4-4, 1-1 in true road games, losing at Stanford by 13, winning at UIC. ACC was 4-2 vs Big Dozen in last night's games.

Temple hasn't played in 10 days; they won last two games after starting 1-3; Owls lost four starters from LY, when they lost 70-69 to St Joe's, after leading by 9 with 5:32 left, snapping 4-game series winning streak. Hawks are 4-2 after winning two of three in Orlando- they gave up 82.5 ppg in their two losses, are making 40.2% of shots behind the arc.

North Carolina gets only 13% of points behind arc, 2nd-lowest in USA; they're shooting 60.5% from line, #331 in nation, but they won by 9 vs Louisville on neutral court, in between losses to Belmont/UAB. Erratic teams are good to avoid. Michigan State is 7-0 with three top 100 wins; they assist on 67.8% of made hoops, 2nd-best ratio for that in country.

Purdue is 6-2 but hasn't beaten anyone good, losing two of three down in Florida- they trailed by 13 at half to Siena in game they won. Boilers are playing faster, subbing more; they're #7 in country in bench minutes, so thats a change for them. Boston College is 3-4 with three losses by 4 or less points- they won three of last four games and upset Washington.

Miami's last four games were all decided by 5 or less points, or in OT- they had good Fullerton tourney, blowing OT game to GW, then coming back to beat Fullerton/Arizona State in next two games. Hurricanes are playing 2nd-slowest pace in country as they rebuild. Nebraska is 5-2, giving up 96-87 points in its losses; best win was over #149 Georgia.

Pepperdine is 4-3 vs D-I teams, with four games decided by six points or less; they've turned ball over 21.5% of time, while forcing a TO only 11.5% of time, 4th-worst rate in US. Fullerton lost last five games; they scored 53.3 ppg in losing three tourney games last weekend- Titans are 2-3 vs teams ranked below #200, shooting just 65.2% on foul line.

2-5 Davidson is well-coached but overscheduled; four of their losses are vs teams in top 50. Wildcats lost to local rival Charlotte by 23-4 points last two years, losing 73-69 LY in game they led by 8 late in first half. Charlotte is 6-1 and was up 14 with 6:01 left in loss; 49ers have risen 50 spots in rankings since season started- they beat K-State/Michigan.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

CBB PENNSYLVANIA at VILLANOVA
Play Against - Home teams as a favorite or pick (VILLANOVA) a very good team (>=+8 PPG differential) against a poor team (-3.5 to -8 PPG differential), after a combined score of 165 points or more
85-43 since 1997. ( 66.4% 37.7 units )

CBB EVANSVILLE at MURRAY ST
Play On - Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (MURRAY ST) poor free throw shooting team - making <=63% of their free throws, on Wednesday games
119-67 since 1997. ( 64.0% 46.9 units )

CBB DAVIDSON at CHARLOTTE
Play On - Underdogs of 2 to 3.5 points vs. the first half line (DAVIDSON) terrible defensive team - shooting pct defense of >=48% on the season, in December games
128-71 since 1997. ( 64.3% 49.9 units )
0-1 this year. ( 0.0% -1.1 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

NHL PHOENIX at CALGARY
Play Against - Road Favorites against the money line (PHOENIX) off a win by 3 goals or more over a division rival, in December games
30-17 since 1997. ( 63.8% 25.0 units )

NHL PHOENIX at CALGARY
Play Against - Road Favorites against the money line (PHOENIX) off a win by 3 goals or more over a division rival, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team
41-26 since 1997. ( 61.2% 29.2 units )

NHL PHOENIX at CALGARY
Play Against - Road teams against the money line (PHOENIX) off a win by 3 goals or more over a division rival, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team
60-37 since 1997. ( 61.9% 33.0 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

NBA OKLAHOMA CITY at PORTLAND
Play Under - All teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games, with a winning record on the season
121-66 over the last 5 seasons. ( 64.7% 48.4 units )
5-2 this year. ( 71.4% 2.8 units )

NBA OKLAHOMA CITY at PORTLAND
Play Against - Road teams vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) in a game involving two poor defensive teams (98-102 PPG), after a close win by 3 points or less
68-29 since 1997. ( 70.1% 33.7 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% 1.0 units )

NBA DENVER at CLEVELAND
Play On - Underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (CLEVELAND) cold team - failing to cover the spread in 12 or more of the last 15
190-112 since 1997. ( 62.9% 66.8 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% -0.1 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

100* Over 202.5 - Cavs/Nuggets

100* Richmond -3.5

50* Temple -2.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

RAS

MOST RECENT RELEASE

Rotation 755	Cal State Fullerton (+6.5)	1.00 UNIT
Game start: 12/04/13 07:00pm PST Released at: 12/04 8:05am PST

PREVIOUS RELEASES

Rotation 734	Northeastern (+4.5)	1.50 UNIT
Game start: 12/04/13 04:00pm PST Released at: 12/04 8:02am PST

[Can'tPickAWinner]

bookiemonsters

185-131 run
20-7 run last 27 plays

POD NHL Canadiens under 5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc

3 NW

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GamingToday's Consensus Picks December 04, 2013 5:59 AM by GT Staff

NBA Basketball

711 Indiana Pacers -8½: The 16-2 Pacers suffered their second loss in Portland on Monday and have had a day off, they will be in a bad mood tonight in Utah when meeting the 4-11 Jazz who have gone just 3-6 on their home court. Look for Indiana to get back to their winning ways.

Results 2013-14 NBA (Tue. 0-1-0) Overall Record: 14-13-1

NHL Hockey

4 Detroit Red Wings -130: The Flyers skate into Detroit to face off with the hot Red Wings who have won four straight games, we say the Wings make it five in a row.

Results 2013-14 NHL (Tue. 1-1-0) Overall Record: 36-29-0

NCAA Basketball

749 North Carolina +9: In this main event on ESPN at 6 p.m. PST we will side with the underdog Tar Heels and the points. Michigan State is very good and one of the top teams in the country winning seven straight games but going only 2-3 ATS on their home court.

Results 2013-14 NCAA BK (Tue. 1-2-0) Overall Record: 10-6-0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA Basketball Play of the Day December 04, 2013 6:07 AM by GT Staff

Detroit Pistons -5 at Milwaukee Bucks (Total 192) at 5:05 p.m. PST

Good spot for the under as both teams played last night and the Pistons just may be worn out from their 107-97 win in Miami as a 10½ point dog and the Bucks were out run in Boston losing 108-100. We see both teams just walking the ball up and down the court in a very low tempo game.

709 Detroit Pistons / 710 Milwaukee Bucks UNDER 192


Results 2013-14 NBA (Tue. 0-0-0) Overall Record: 1-2-0

[golden contender]

GC: NCAAB PLay

Hump day triple pack has the NCAAB Game of the Week with 7 Power Angles and 2 NBA Play one is a 90% road warrior side with a Perfect Angle and the other a 91% totals system. Free NCAAB Play below.

On Wednesday the free NCAAB Play is on Richmond. Game 718 at 7:00 eastern. Richmond won here last year by a 92-61 land slide score over William and Mary and comes in off 3 straight wins. William and Mary has some negative angles that plays against them in this game. They are 6-20 vs winning teams, 2-16 vs teams who allow less than 65 points per game and have lost 3 of the last 4 as a a short home dog of 3 or less. In fact they have not fared well in the dog role long term losing 37 of the last 44. We will lay the 3 points here tonight with Richmond. On Hump day we bring the bang with 3 Solid Hoops play including the NCAAB Game of the week with 7 Power Angles and an NBA Road warrior system that has won 90% since 1995 and has a 100% and 17-3 Angle. We also have a totals play that has won 91% of the time. Jump on now and hammer your book good. For the free play take Richmond. GC

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bell's Best Bets

Wednesday 12-04-2013

CBB:
3* Wisconsin +4
2* Michigan St. -9.5 (buy down to 9 or better)
1* Miami-FL + 5.5