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Game: Denver at Boston (7:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: Denver -4 (-103) at 5Dimes
The Boston Celtics had a good run when they brought in the Big-3, won an NBA Championship, and were a solid playoffs team every year. They have now all departed as well as the coach, and their best remaining player in Rajon Rondo remains out with a knee injury. What is left is a group of role players that have to fill starting roles, and not surprisingly Boston is 8-12. The Nuggets started slow at 1-4, but have gotten their act together, having gone 10-3 in their last 13, including seven of their last eight. They should not be overlooking this game off a distasteful loss last time out vs. Cleveland. Boston is now 3-8 ATS after scoring 100 or more in their previous game, and lack the consistent night in night out effort now. Lay the buckets and take Denver.
5 Unit Play. Take #820 Over 200 ½ - Utah at Portland (10:05 p.m., Friday, December 6)
(Total Game of the Week)
Portland has been the talk of the NBA lately and their offense has been explosive as of late. The Blazers have scored 6-straight games of over 100pts scored and in those 6 games they are averaging 1086ppg. If the Blazers can control the tempo tonight at home then Utah will need to push the ball and score. If you take away the Jazz game last against the Pacers (Indy great D) the Jazz were averaging 107.3ppg. Now the defense of the Jazz is another story! I see Portland and their fantastic starting 5 putting the pressure on the Jazz offense to keep up and I see this game flying over on the Blazers offense at home. Portland is 20-8 O/U in their last 28 home games and their last 6 meetings in Portland all 6 meetings went over the total.
3-Unit Play #803 Take Milwaukee/Washington - UNDER 191.5 (7 p.m. EST, Wednesday)
We were on the under when these teams met on Nov. 27, and we had a bad beat as the game went to OT and the total finished at 192 (the closing number was 190, and there were 18 extra points in the five-minute overtime period). In our opinion this number should have been adjusted at least four or five points downwards, but instead we are basically getting the same number as the first game. Milwaukee is one of the worst - if not THE worst - teams in the NBA. This squad was pretty lucky to be so competitive in the first meeting, and they had a lot of breaks bounce their way. But this team is the second-worst offensively in the NBA, and they average a little over 90 points per game. Washington is a team that we had pegged to be very strong defensively this season like they were in the second half of 2012-13. They started off horrible in that department, but they have been much better recently. And this team is middle-of-the-pack offensively, so even though Milwaukee is not great at defense they can probably hold the Wizards under 100. Washington shot 50% from the field in the first game yet had only 87 points at the end of regulation. Let's hope for a blowout here and a real low team total for the Bucks.
6-Unit NBA Game of the Month #807 Take Orlando +5 over New York (7:30 p.m. EST, Wednesday)
This line is a joke to us because the Knicks should not be favored against any team by this many points right now - even the Orlando Magic. Orlando is actually a really scrappy young team that has covered in three of their last five and four of their last seven. With two nights off and a this being a very winnable game (not to mention a chance to break a five-game Knicks streak in this series and kick the Knicks when they are down), we think the Magic will come to compete tonight. New York has been horrible this season, and this team is in a real state of disarray despite a blowout win of the Nets last night on TNT Thursday (Brooklyn is even more horrible than New York right now and basically fielding a D-League roster, so that win does not worry us that the Knicks are on the upswing now). They have been the worst ATS team in the NBA most of the season, and they come in on a back-to-back after a TNT matchup for New York ?supremacy? in a game they obviously took very seriously, and we just don't see them having the same effort two nights in a row. The Knicks are 1-8 ATS at home this season, and they have only two covers as a favorite this season thus far. The Magic have been pretty good in the underdog role, and they are 8-4 ATS this season as an underdog of 3 or more points. This Magic team is definitely one that is playing with more energy right now, and we expect a very close game here with the Magic having a great chance to pull out the straight up win. Jameer Nelson, who had been out for several games, is expected to return tonight for the Magic, and they could be close to full strength if Nikola Vucevic returns tonight as well.
NHL ANAHEIM at CHICAGO
Play On - Road underdogs of +100 to +200 gainst the money line (ANAHEIM) off 2 consecutive losses against division rivals, playing with 2 days rest
36-17 since 1997. ( 67.9% 33.0 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% 0.4 units )
NHL DETROIT at NEW JERSEY
Play Against - Road underdogs of +100 to +150 against the money line (DETROIT) after having won 4 of their last 5 games, on Friday nights
86-28 since 1997. ( 75.4% 46.3 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% 1.0 units )
NHL PHOENIX at VANCOUVER
Play On - A underdog against the money line (PHOENIX) off a blowout loss by 3 goals or more to a division rival, on Friday nights
59-46 since 1997. ( 56.2% 44.4 units )
3-0 this year. ( 100.0% 3.6 units )
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