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ROCKY'S WINNER CIRCLE NEWSLETTER
SYSTEM PLAY OF THE WEEK
Play against favorites of -7 or less who are coming into this weeks match up off an OT loss.
22-3 ATS Last 25 (88% WINS)
This week play
Dallas+1 over Chicago
Dr. Ed Meyer NBA Sides Mon, 12/09/13 - 10:05 PM
double-dime bet - 711 DAL -4.5 (-110) vs 712 SAC
The Kings are off an overtime win in Utah as a three-point dog in which Demarcus Cousins was
10-of-15 from the floor and 8-of-10 from the line for 28 points. In franchise history, Sacramento
is 2-14 ATS at home off a win in which Demarcus Cousins scored more than 16 points. The SDQL
text is:
team=Kings and H and p:W and Demarcus Cousins:p:points>16 and season>=2011
Note that they are 0-5 ATS their last five including 0-1 ATS this season.
The Kings have a quick rematch with the Jazz at home on Wednesday and this is a big chance for
them to put another win on their record. Sacramento has not done well in this spot, as they are
0-10 ATS (-11.55 ppg) as a home dog when their next game is at home versus an opponent they
beat as an underdog in their previous same-season match-up. Sacramento has lost these ten
games by an average of 17.5 points.
The Mavericks are off an upset win over the red hot Trailblazers in which they had 26 assists,
only 12 turnovers and they shot 8-of-16 from beyond the arc. This has been a solid spot for
them, as they are 12-0 ATS (9.12 ppg) on the road with rest after a road win in which they had
an assist to turnover ratio of at least two and 6-0 ATS (8.08 ppg) on the road with at most one
day of rest after a win in which made at least 50% of their three-pointers.
Finally, Dallas is a perfect 12-0 ATS on the road off a game in which Nowitzki took at least 20
shots and made more than ten of them. The SDQL here is:
A and Dirk Nowitzki:p:FGA>=20 and p:W and Dirk Nowitzki:p:FGM>10 and date>=20100201
Dallas has the ability to take advantage of a team off an overtime game. The Mavs are 16-1
straight up vs a team that played extra minutes in their last game with their only straight up loss
in overtime getting double digits on the road vs the Heat. In their last ten in this spot, they are
10-0 ATS, as long as their opponent was not an 11-plus point dog in that overtime win. The SDQL
text is:
team=Mavericks and 0=20120127
Lay the handful.
MTi's FORECAST: Dallas 108 SACRAMENTO 92
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