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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369829

    #76
    Andre Gomes | NBA Total
    pick
    702 PHI / 701 LAC Over 208.5 Bookmaker.comAnalysis:
    NBA - 701 Los Angeles Clippers @ 702 Philadelphia 76ers

    Play #1

    A healthy and a confident Clippers team would crush the 76ers on the offensive end. The 76ers are a poor defensive team in defending P&R's, spot up and transition plays and on these 3 areas while pushing the pace in every opportunity and the Clippers are a great offensive team in all these areas. However, the Clippers are banged up especially on the perimeter and obviously their outside shooting has been inconsistent and erratic lately. In 3 of their last 4 games, they shot 4-15, 4-19 and 7-35 behind the arc - a truly awful 15-69 mark (21.7 %!). Their best game was @MEM but still they only played sharp offensive basketball in the second half.

    The 76ers lost their last game against the Nuggets at home where they ran out of gas in the second half, something normal considering they were playing @b2b and they really don't have a lot of depth. Like the Clippers, they are struggling mightily to shoot from the outside, 27-95 (28.4%) 3pts L4 games but at least they are attacking the rim with no mercy: L4 games their vol% of shots at the rim were incredible - 41, 33, 47 and 47%! The good news for them is that LAC isn't a good team protecting the rim, they are allowing 65% FG and without any real good backups I don't expect that to change dramatically so the 76ers have a good spot to score easy points down low.

    Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 701/702 Over 208,5 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369829

      #77
      Joe Gavazzi | NFL Side
      pick
      159 DAL 0.0 (-110) 5dimes vs 160 CHI

      Analysis: Dallas Cowboys (-1/48) at Chicago Bears 8:40 ET ESPN 1* Dallas Cowboys Don't miss my strong Total play on this MNF matchup tonight right here on Pregame.com In NFL games this season, if one had correctly chosen the straight up winner in games where the opening line was 6 or less, one would be 117-14 ATS (89%) this NFL season. As a subset of that, I mentioned that San Francisco when installed as a favorite to -6 had covered the number 10 consecutive times. Two of my selections on Sunday were San Francisco and Green Bay. They were the only 2 out of 11 teams which did not cover the spread in the above role. Even with those two highly improbable defeats on home fields where SF and GB have had highly successful pointspread histories. In Chicago this evening, temperature will be in the teens with wind forecast at approximately 15 mph. Regarding the SIDE, each of these teams enters on the outside of the NFC Playoff picture looking in against respective division leaders, Philly and Detroit. Though the Cowboys enter on a 2 game win streak, they have only recorded 2 win streaks of 3 or more games in the last 4 years. Long-time readers understand my disdain for the Bears, who are on a 1-7-1 ATS slide despite a +9 net TO margin for the season. With HC Trestman calling the shots and QB Cutler remaining sidelined, we will side with the Cowboys by default.
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369829

        #78
        EXECUTIVE 200

        dallas
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369829

          #79
          The Duke's Sports

          2.5 Units Cowboys / Bears Over 48½
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369829

            #80
            Fezzik | NFL Side
            pick
            160 CHI 1.0 (-110) Hilton vs 159 DAL


            Analysis:


            160 BEARS pk 2 stars.


            LONGEST fg UN 44, 1 star. (After Trestman ran Gould out for a 47 yarder, LAST week, and was ripped for it, in 1 degree wind chill, NO way in a 50/50 spot will he try a longer fg unless he has to!


            Customer Appreciation MONDAY. (Off a losing Sunday)


            I really like the Bears in this spot. One solid bet! I bet it for 2 stars already.


            The pick line was silly. These teams are both pretty equal. BOTH have a below average defense, and their stats on offense and defense are comparable. Cutler QB rating is WAY lower than Chic's backup, AND Cutler is a pouting punk qb that the team clearly dislikes...I think they play harder for McCown and his 104 QB rating.


            YES it has been cold in Dallas, but WHAT IDIOT wants a team in the heart of Texas playing @The North Pole Tonight, wind chill 1??


            Planes Trains Autos.....What do you think the temp is? "One?"


            It IS the Bears vs. the Squares tonight. Go Bears!
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369829

              #81
              Sebastian football

              200* over Dallas Chicago
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369829

                #82
                DHayes2

                DeMarco Murray +15.5 Rec/Rushing Yards vs Forte
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369829

                  #83
                  Brett Atkins

                  40 Dime Notre Dame
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369829

                    #84
                    Vegas Runner
                    2* NBA Jazz +7.5
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369829

                      #85
                      Hitman
                      Clippers
                      bears over
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369829

                        #86
                        Sports Unlimited/Marco

                        passing
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369829

                          #87
                          Windy City
                          Dallas
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369829

                            #88
                            irish mike moran

                            CHI O48(2x)
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