12-12-13

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Master Sports:

Trailblazers -3 ****

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Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

Game: Dallas at Nashville (8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Dallas +108 (moneyline) at Bookmaker

Nashville has been the consummate .500 team as they entertain Dallas at home tonight. They bring with them a resume that reads 14-14-3. The problem is that home ice has not treated them any better where they are a pedestrian 6-6-3 on the season. That home mark has been deteriorating of late as they have dropped four straight here by a combined 14-5 margin against them. Dallas at 9-6-1 on the road, has done a terrific job lately by winning seven of their last nine roadies. The Stars have been strong after getting foiled on the defensive end, as they are a robust 10-2 in their last 12 after allowing 5 or more goals in their previous contest. The Predators' home woes extended when facing a team with a winning road record as they are a woeful 7-19 in their last 26. Make the play on Dallas.

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Cappers Access

Broncos -10
Boston College +2.5

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Where the action is: Total could keep climbing for Chargers-Broncos

The final Thursday Night Football of the NFL season showcases an AFC West rivalry, with the San Diego Chargers visiting the Denver Broncos on primetime. We talk to Michael Stewart, an oddsmaker for CarbonSports.ag, about the action heading into Thursday’s kickoff:

San Diego Chargers at Denver Broncos – Open: -11, Move: -10

Early sharp money jumped on the Bolts at +11, and trimmed the spread to Denver -10.5 – just above the key number. Some books are dealing an even -10 as of Thursday morning.

Since making that adjustment, Stewart says action has been relatively split with 65 percent of the money coming in on the Broncos, who are looking to lock up a playoff spot and home-field advantage in the postseason.

“I have a feeling that as we get closer to gametime, we’re going to be forced to push this number back to Broncos -11,” says Stewart. “But for now, we’re very happy with our position on this game. As is the case with most Broncos games, we’re going to need the dog and we knew that when we originally hung our opener. Seeing that early support on the dog validates to us, that the Chargers are live in this contest and we don’t mind needing them to cover this double-digit spread.”

The total for Thursday’s divisional matchup opened at 56 points and took instant action on the Over, pushing the number to 56.5. The push toward the Over didn’t stop there and books are now dealing this Over/Under as high as 57.5.

“We’ve seen about 85 percent of the money come in on the Over in this contest,” says Stewart. “Unless we see sharp action bet us Under this total, we’re going to be going to 58 at some point later today.”

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Sports Unlimited/Marco

NFL TV GAME OF THE WEEK

UNDER san diego/denver

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DOC SPORTS

3* San Jose Sharks

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VEGAS SPORTS INFORMER

2-Units Take #503 Over 213 Houston/Portland (10:35 p.m., Thursday, December 12 TNT)

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Al DeMarco

10 Dimes - Portland Trailblazers -3 at home against Houston

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River City Sharps
2 Unit System Play LA Clippers

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RxPops69
Dec 10-6-1


DePaul under 145.5

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Indian Cowboy

5-Unit Play. Maryland -2 over Boston College (Thursday @ 7pm est).


3-Unit Play Under 196.5 LA Clippers vs. Brooklyn (Thursday @ 8pm est).


3-Unit Play over 5.5 Goals Detroit vs. Tampa Bay (Thursday @ 7:35pm)

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NFLBettingPicks
Kevin

2 UNIT = San Diego Chargers @ Denver Broncos - OVER 55.5 POINTS (-105)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.90 units)
We come back on the OVER in Denver tonight for Thursday Night football. We've got the Broncos
leading the NFL in a ton of offense categories including yards per game (465), yards per play (6.3)
and points per game (39.6). The Chargers aren't far behind offensively ranking 4th in the NFL
overall and averaging 6.1 yards per play and 24.3 ppg. While both teams have well above average
offenses the same cannot be said for their defenses. The Broncos defense has picked up it's play
a bit lately, but still rank 25th in the NFl and giving up 26.5 papg. The Chargers defense ranks
28th overall and give up 22.4 points per game, but they are giving up a league worst 6.3 yards
against per play - which isn't going to be pretty tonight vs Manning at home. The Broncos are
averaging 42.3 points per game at home, while the Chargers average 24.6 points per game on the
road. Although these teams combined for just 48 points in their meeting in San Diego I expect a
lot more from Denver offensively tonight at home. The OVER is 6-2 in the Chargers last 8 vs the
AFC West, 5-1-1 in their last 7 road games vs a team with a winning home record, and 41-19-4 in
their last 64 road games overall. The OVER is 23-7-1 in the Broncos last 31 home games, 49-19-1
in their last 69 games overall and 5-0-1 in their last 6 home games vs a team with a losing road
record. Head to head the OVER is also 6-1 in their last 7 meetings in Denver. Take the OVER
tonight.

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Sports Cash System Play of The Day for Today: 12/12
NFL Football





San Diego Chargers / Denver Broncos OVER 56½
(Total Points Bet)
Overall Record: 183-161

(System Record: 183-6, Won last 2 games)

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Totals4u

2013 American Football Conference Primetime Total of the Year!!!!!
San Diego/Denver under 56 1/2

You Win or we'll email you Friday's Report Free of Charge!!!

NBA Best Bets
LA Clippers/Brooklyn under 200 1/2
Houston/Portland over 211 1/2

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Indian Cowboy's Picks For College Basketball


5-Unit Play. #505. Take Maryland -2 over Boston College (Thursday @ 7pm est).


Normally we stick with Big10, SEC, Big12 and Metro Atlantic but on smaller cards such as today we look for any contest with clear value that is significant on our sheets. I am a huge underdog guy but I've learned over the years that the favorites take the early cake in the first few months of the season and then the active underdogs take root (check the intro video on the page to see the active dog theory more in detail). Maryland is undervalued here because it is an early season meeting between these two teams. The Terps are a top 60 team in my book (though some power rankings have them as high as top 45). This is a team that lost by 1 point to Connecticut 78-77 which should say something about their prowess and note that they beat a top 75 team in Providence by a few points earlier this year as well and come off back to back losses against quality Ohio State and George Washington a top 50 team in my book. So, you have a quality Maryland team that is top 60 coming off back to back losses looking to avoid losing 3 straight facing a BC team whose biggest win comes against top 150 Washington. They have yet to beat a top 100 team all year nevertheless a team like Maryland who has revenge against Boston College from last year's loss to boot as well. Boston College has consistently lost by double-digits when they face top 60 opponents and I have this game as Maryland by 8-10 points so laying the short 2 points on the road I think is sufficient enough for us to make this a small step-out similar to the 5* in the NBA yesterday which was a double-digit cover.


Indian Cowboy's Picks For NBA Basketball


3-Unit Play. #501. Take Under 196.5 LA Clippers vs. Brooklyn (Thursday @ 8pm est).

I enjoy fading the public on Thursday nights or just cards with limited contests in it as typically going against the public on a limited card such as a Monday Night Football game or Thursday Night Basketball game (just 2 games on today's card) - and even Sunday Night contests pay dividends over the long haul. As per this contest, these two teams just met earlier and over 200 points were scored and I expect them to be more accustomed to each other this time around as they face each other. Look for adjustments to be made and look for Brooklyn to be much more defensively inclined than the last time out as I suspect both teams will be held under 100 points a piece and consequently this game to go under the posted total. I actually have this game at 188 so getting the 7.5 is worth it in my opinion as we take under the posted total on a nationally televised game where everyone's motivation will be higher given that the league's eyes will be on this game. The Under is 10-1 for the Clippers in their last 11 road games and the Under is 4-1 for the Nets when they face the Western Conference. More importantly, nationally televised game on a limited card, second time these two teams play each other so adjustments will likely be made and a decent public fade as well as most will be on the over.

Indian Cowboy's Picks For NHL Hockey


3-Unit Play. #5. Take over 5.5 Goals Detroit vs. Tampa Bay (Thursday @ 7:35pm)

The Detroit Red Wings had to go to the final night of the season to extend the longest current playoff streak in the NHL to (22) seasons. Detroit Red Wings head coach Mike Babcock knows that Detroit is no longer the feared team as their defense is suspect in front of goalie Jimmy Howard. To that end, the additions of Daniel Alfredsson and Stephen Weiss will boost an offense that sagged to under (2.6) goals per game. After back-to-back miserable seasons there's nowhere to go but up for the Lightning. With their goaltending situation figured out following the acquisition of Ben Bishop late last season and the duo of Steven Stamkos and Martin St. Louis primed for another big year, the potential is there for a bounce-back performance. Still, keeping the puck out of the net is the Achilles heel with this team. The Over is (4-0) in Red Wings last (4) Thursday games and (5-2) in the last (7) meetings, including a solid (4-1) in the last (5) meetings in Tampa Bay.