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College Football
Western Michigan/Ball State Over 55.5
Two great QB's will go head to head tonight in which is an important game for each school. Ball State will get into the MAC Championship Game tonight with a win and will keep their perfect season alive. Western Michigan will need win and help next week to clinch a spot. Both of these QB's have a great future in the NFL. This head to head matchup should be fun. Look for a lot of points. Take the Over.
Northern Illinois -3 over Navy
So we have a Northern Illinois team who has not beaten a team with a winning record this year going up against the #2 rush offense in America, but yet Navy is the underdog? If you look closer you will see Navy could careless about this game. They already locked up their bowl game and why get anyone hurt? Northern Illinois needs this win to get into a bowl game as six wins might not do it for them. There is a reason why this NIU team is favored.
3 Unit Play. #304 Take Northern Illinois over Navy (Tuesday 7:00 pm ESPN Classic) the MAC is a strong conference this year when comparing it to other mid-majors and Northern Illinois has come on of late winning four of their last six games. Their only two losses during this streak came against Ball State and Central Michigan, two of the best teams in the league. Now they face a Navy team that is coming off a tough loss against Notre Dame and expect them to struggle running the football in DeKalb. Midweek games are always tough to prepare for but the Huskies are used to this having played their last three on either Tuesday or Wednesday. They will take care of business tonight, as we collect in the process.
DOC
4 Unit Play. #518 Take Texas A & M over Wilmington (8:00 pm) I expect this game to go a lot like the Wake Forest game went last week with the Aggies reaching triple figures and easily covering this big spread. The Seahawks are terrible and have been blown out in their last two games by average teams in their last two. Texas A & M is always a tough team to beat in College Station and despite losing their coach last season, they have not missed a beat making the big dance in 2008 and taking UCLA to the wire. This one will get ugly early and we will easily collect.
DOC
3 Unit Play. #6 Take Calgary over Los Angeles (9:35 pm NHL Center Ice) Granted this is a big number but the Flames have much more talent then the Kings at every position but one and will take care of business tonight at the Saddledome. Miikka Kiprusoff has not been himself in 2008 but expect him to get on a roll and get his goals against average back under three. Jarome Iginla has 45 point in 44 games against the Kings and will come up big again on Tuesday. LA has played a home heavy schedule thus far and expect them to go on a long losing streak when these road games catch up with them.
DOC
-Unit Play (Totals Game of the Week) #505 Take Phoenix/Oklahoma City UNDER (8 p.m. EST, Tuesday) Eight straight games in this series have come in under the posted total and we think the oddsmakers have once again strung too high of a number on this game. The Thunder have had all sorts of trouble scoring on offense and have averaged less than 88 in their last five games and their averaged aren’t much better than that for the season. We see this game as a blowout, just like the oddsmakers, and that will help push this one under as the Suns get their share of points but OKC struggles to score again. Five of the last six games for Phoenix have gone under and they are actually in the Top 10 in the league in defensive FG%, which does not bode well for an Oklahoma team that struggles to shoot from the field (41% on the season).
Tuesday Action !!
Monday Recap: 1-0 NFL (+80) pts : 1-1 CBB (+2) pts : 2-2 NHL (-24) pts
Remember when you win please come back and donate !!
NFL Underdog Game of the Year Goes Off on Turkey Day !!
3-0 in CFB GOY's
I only have 3 in each sport : Underdog,Totals and Top Goy.
Play Release: Tonight at 11 p.m.
CBB
4* Over 138 (-110) Virginia Commonwealth vs East Carolina
3* Over 134.5 (-110) Creighton vs Arkansas Little Rock
3* Under 139.5 (-110) FAU vs James Madison
3* Florida -4.5 (-110)
NHL
3* Toronto -145
3* Calgary -160
NBA
3* Over 208 (-110) Golden State vs Washington
3* Over 213 (-110) Cleveland vs New York
Although this tournament has provided Chaminade with some opportunities to take down some much better opponents in the past, this is one year that Matt Mahar would probably have opted out if he could – he only has even serviceable players right now, and three games in three days against this class of competition is going to be an exhausting task. We saw signs of those weaknesses with the Silverswords got whipped by 17 vs. a mediocre Hawaii team in their only exhibition game, and note the reality behind that 115-70 drubbing vs. North Carolina on Monday – the Tar Heels were without Tyler Hansbrough, and the starting five only played 114 of the 200 available minutes. Roy Williams had 13 different players on the court for at least four minutes, and several of those players are not likely to find their way on the floor again this season.
When getting trounced by the #1 team in the nation, it would ordinarily be a chance for a coach to rest his better players, and let others get some work. Mahar could not do that. His own starting five played 159 minutes, including 39 from Shane Hanson and 37 from Darrell Birton, and given the frenetic pace on Monday, that means some serious fatigue for this turnaround. So the last thing that they need to face is an angry opponent looking to vent some frustrations, but that is exactly what they must run into here.
Mark Gottfried’s post-game comments left no doubt about how frustrated he was with Alabama’s second-half collapse vs. Oregon on Monday night, when the Crimson Tide got out-scored 48-27 down the stretch. That means a “crack the whip” type of focus this afternoon, and the depth is there to completely wear this opponent out – 10 different Alabama players saw at least nine minutes of action on Monday, and we expect their edges in athleticism and depth to turn this into an ugly rout.
Handicapper: IndianCowboy
Sport: NBA Basketball
Game: New Jersey Nets @ Los Angeles Lakers - Tuesday November 25, 2008 10:30 pm
Pick: 3 units (Normal) ATS: New Jersey Nets +13.5 (-110)
Handicapper: IndianCowboy
Sport: NBA Basketball
Game: Cleveland Cavaliers @ New York Knicks - Tuesday November 25, 2008 7:30 pm
Pick: 3 units (Normal) ATS: New York Knicks +8 (-110)
Handicapper: IndianCowboy
Sport: College Basketball
Game: Weber State @ Utah State - Tuesday November 25, 2008 9:05 pm
Pick: 3 units (Normal) ATS: Weber State +8.5 (-110)
Tue, 11/25/08 - 7:00 PMvegas-runner | CFB Total Triple-Dime Bet
302 Ball St. / 301 W. Michigan Under 56.0 Bodog
Analysis: *** NCAAFB "PRIME-TIME" 3* BEST BET of the DAY ***
Tue, 11/25/08 - 8:00 PMvegas-runner | CBB Total Double-Dime Bet
518 Texas A&M / 517 N.C.-Wilmington Over 162.0 Sportsbetting.com
Analysis:
** NCAABB 2* TOTAL PLAY of the DAY **
This Play is on every beard's and runner's sheet that I have spoken with and the only question isn't when they are getting down...but whether they will wait until more locals open up shop...Either way, this Play will catch some "STEAM"...VR
Tue, 11/25/08 - 8:35 PMvegas-runner | NBA Money Line Single-Dime Bet
508 DAL (-130) Sportsbetting.com vs 507 IND
Analysis:
* 1* NBA & NCAABB MIXED 5.5 PT TEASER BET *
DALLAS -2.5 & BALL ST +12(1*)...Teaser
This is actually the 1st time we have used a Teaser in Basketball this Season...and it will be done very rarely and in the occasion we want to take a Position on a team (Dallas & Ball St) who is offering so much more Value on the Teaser...Especially after the fact that they have been "STEAMED" by the Outfits and have lost some Value on the Point-Spread...VR
Tue, 11/25/08 - 7:00 PMvegas-runner | CFB MoneyLine Single-Dime Bet
302 Ball St. (-130) Bodog vs 301 W. Michigan
Analysis:
* NCAAFB 1* ESPN TEASER PLAY of the DAY *
BALL ST -3.5 & UNDER 63 WMU/BSU (1*)...Teaser
If we were still able to get BALL ST at -3 on this Teaser, I would have probably been looking to take a Bigger Position...But because of that Hook, we will make it a 1* Bet...VR
*** I have been informed that some of the Books may be forced to drop this line to -10 on Ball St because there are a couple of "Outfits" that are possibly going to go out and grab the +10.5 & +11...In which case we should see the books adjust and get us -3 or better on the TEASER ***
Tue, 11/25/08 - 5:45 PMvegas-runner | CBB Sides Double-Dime Bet
547 Santa Clara 10.0 (-110) SportBet vs 548 Arizona
Analysis: ** NCAABB 2* WAGER **
Tue, 11/25/08 - 8:05 PMvegas-runner | NBA Total Double-Dime Bet
506 OKL / 505 PHO Over 201.0 Sportsbetting.com
Analysis: ** NBA 2* TOTAL PLAY of the DAY **
Tue, 11/25/08 - 10:35 PMvegas-runner | NBA Sides Double-Dime Bet
510 LAL -13.5 (-110) Bodog vs 509 NJN
Analysis:
** NBA 2* SIDE PLAY of the DAY **
We are hoping that there is a possibility to get an even better number because I see that Pinny has the Vig on LA +103...
And I was surprised to hear from the majority of books that I spoke with that they are heavier on the Dog in this one...
Even prior to really breaking it down, to capp...I made this number LAL -20.5/-21 (True Number) and LAL -15 (Fair Number)...which already had offered Value on Double-Digit Home Fav (Lakers)...
The work simply confirmed it and I feel that the "Perception" based soley on the past 3 games for each club has been weighed too heavily into the Price...and it's obvious from the info I received that more work is being booked on the Nets...that the oddsmakers were aware that their clients (Books) would need LA to cover Tonight...
Lakers have been home for a while now and after the way they played last game...they will really put an emphasis on Defense which should allow them to cover this high of a number...
The Nets will be playing their 1st game of this west coast 4 game road trip, and should look more like they did when they faced the Suns, in a game they lost by "28"...than they did vs the Clippers at home, just last game...
Let's go ahead and lay the chalk with the Lakers, VR...
Tue, 11/25/08 - 7:35 PMvegas-runner | NHL Money Line Double-Dime Bet
4 TOR (-140) Sportsbetting.com vs 3 ATL
Analysis:
** NHL 2* (ML) WAGER **
After losing 2 straight at home by 1 goal each...Toronto should be able to get a much needed home win tonight, over the Thrashers...
The key in this one should be the huge edge in "shots on goal" that I see Toronto having...against the "27th" Ranked Team in the NHL (shots allowed)...
More importantly, Toronto is Ranked "1st" in the East and "4th" in the NHL in that same department Defensively...while also Ranking "3rd" in the NHL in "Shots on Goal" offensively...
Although Atlanta is also looking to break their 3 Game Losing streak tonight as well...they have only won "2" game on the road all season long...So look for Toronto, who I have been told,should be starting CUJO in goal tonight...to be able to get the Win at home Tonight...and we will back that up by taking a 2Units Position on them now...with a Possible Upgrade by the Final Update...VR
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