Scott Stylze Sports Early plays: CFB: Col State +4.5 and USC -6. CBB : Michigan State -2.5 and Illinois +1.5 All Medium
12-21-13
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Sportsboss
added illinois, new mexicoComment
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BestTrueBets
Youngstown State Under 142
Ball State +6.5
IPFW -12.5
Milwaukee +3.5Comment
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FairwayJay
10* Fresno St +6Comment
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The Magnificent 7
Toledo -7.5Comment
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Brian Edwards
Tulane -1.5Comment
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STRIKE POINT SPORTS
Saturday's College Basketball Plays
2-Unit Play. #542 Take Florida State (-2) over Massachusetts (2 p.m., Saturday, December
21)
Here's a big test for the undefeated and ranked Minutemen. And for the unranked Seminoles to be
favored sort of tells you oddsmakers think this is where UMass slips up. And I agree with them,
but not because they aren't a legit team. FSU has the athletic bigs and overall skill to create
some mismatches for the A-10 team, and in this specific match-up I think they get the better of
their opponents and deal them their first loss of the season. Unranked team favored over a ranked
team. That's a good formula, for the most part, for betting success. We go with it here, as it also
passes the eye test.
3-Unit Play. #545 Take Kent State (Pk) over College of Charleston (3 p.m., Saturday,
December 21)
Kent State is simply a better team from a better conference. If this one were on the Golden
Flashes home court I think the line would be around seven or eight points. And for me, switching
to COC's home court doesn't justify essentially not having to lay any points. Value is on the
Flashes and they take care of business with their superior squad. Kent State hasn't played since
December 4th in a loss to Bucknell. So not only will they be rested for this game, but they will
also be keen to get back in the win column.
3-Unit Play. #553 Take Michigan State (-2.5) over Texas (4 p.m., Saturday, December 21)
The Longhorns just came off an upset win in Chapel Hill over UNC, a team who upset Michigan
State handedly in the Big Ten/ACC Challenge earlier this month. Basically, I don't think Texas is
talented and capable enough of a second straight upset, albeit this one being played on their
campus in Austin. The Spartans have played a couple of cupcakes since that loss to North
Carolina, and this game presents a good opportunity for Tom Izzo's bunch to finally bounce back
with their first quality win of the month. They do so and in the process cover the number. State
by seven.
2-Unit Play. #631 Take UC Irvine (+6.5) over Denver (4 p.m., Saturday, December 21)
This isn't a whole lot of points to feel comfortable with covering without an outright victory, but
something tells me this is a close game throughout the entire way and the underdog cashes in a
one or two possession basketball game. These are two evenly matched teams for me, and while
this one is being played on the Pioneers' home court, I still give a slight check to Irvine and the
number.
3-Unit Play. #573 Take Oklahoma (-3) over Texas A&M (7 p.m., Saturday, December 21)
I wouldn't be surprised if the Sooners took apart A&M here. The Aggies have played absolutely no
one, and basically I don't think they are any good. Oddsmakers see OU as the favorite in this one
being played in Houston, and really I think a double digit result in favor of Boomer Sooner is what
we'll see. Oklahoma has been one of the better offensive basketball teams so far this year, and I
don't see TAMU being able to keep up for more than one half of basketball.
2-Unit Play. #645 Take SE Missouri State (+19) over Memphis (8 p.m., Saturday, December
21)
I really do like this OVC squad and could see them giving a really good game to the Tigers.
Memphis isn't a particularly good rebounding team, so a scappy underdog like these Redhawks
could do well to create some extra chances and easy buckets off their glass work in this game.
And with SE Missouri State scoring over 85 points per game, I don't see Memphis running away
with this one. Give me the Ohio Valley team to cover over the ranked Tigers.Comment
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DOC SPORTS
7 Unit Play. #592 Take Oregon Ducks -7.5 over BYU Cougars (10:30 pm PAC-12 Network)
College Basketball Game of the Year.
Oregon is a sleeping giant and I believe this team can challenge for a berth in Arlington at the
Final Four. They are 10-0 on the season and one of their key player just came back on Tuesday
night (Dominic Artis). The Ducks have not even needed him this season and they are a full arsenal
of players that can beat you in a variety of ways. Only two of the Ducks 10 victories came under
tonight's posted number and Oregon is No. 2 in the nation in scoring. They have a great coach, a
great bench, and a great home court advantage. Oregon is 19-6 ATS (1 push) in their last 26
nonconference games.
As for BYU, they have some big game wins on the season but they fact remains they are terrible
on defense. They did win at Stanford, but the Cardinal always look terrible during November and
Texas is not that good of a team. BYU is all offense and they will have their moments in this game
when they go on a scoring run but this team is just lost without Brandon Davies in the middle.
They do not defended whatsoever and thus the No. 2 scoring team in the country should have no
problem lighting up the scoreboard. Three of BYU four losses came over tonight's posted number.
BYU is 7-16 ATS in their last 23 road games. Throw in the fact that this will be a PAC-12 reffing
crew and we are confident that the Ducks will win this game by double digits. BYU is 1-12 in their
last 13 games against top 25 teams (lost 7 straight).
4 Unit Play. #573 Take Oklahoma Sooners -3 over Texas A & M Aggies (7 pm ESPN U) Hard to
gauge in A & M will be any good at all because of the cupcakes they have played all
nonconference season, but I do not believe they have much firepower in the tank this season. OU
blew out George Mason in a similar neutral site game and expect another performance like that on
Saturday in Houston. I just do not believe the Aggies can score enough points to stay in this
game. Oklahoma is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against SEC teams. Texas A & M is 3-11 ATS in
their last 14 neutral site games.Comment
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Larry RAO
Kentucky -17
IPFW -12
Hou -3Comment
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River City Sharps
Our systems all show Gonzaga as a solid play and we contemplated making this play a Diamond selection, but it just missed. Either way, the Zags look to continue their roll when they travel to Kansas to take on the Wildcats. Keep in mind that even though the game is in Kansas, this is a neutral floor game being played in Wichita. The Zags rank among the nation's leaders, averaging 87.5 ppg on 52.6% shooting - including 44.4 percent from 3-point land. Kansas St has been pretty solid defensively this season, but their problem has been an inability to score the basketball. They are only averaging 66 ppg while giving up 71 ppg. Meanwhile, Gonzaga is only surrendering 72.8 ppg. While we never "love" backing a team in a hostile environment against a quality program like the Wildcats, everything we look at says the Zags cover this number, so we are going to trust the data here and watch Few and his boys get it done. The Sharps say...
3 UNITS - GONZAGA (-7)Comment
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Jason sharpe
4* charleston -1 over kentComment
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The Millionaires Club College Football
IDAHO POTATO BOWL WINNER
205 Buffalo +2 5:30 EST
NEW MEXICO BOWL WINNER
202 Washington State -5 2:00 ESTComment
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Wayne Root
Pinnacle: Colorado State
No Limit: Fresno StateComment
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Big Al
NCAA Basketball Selections for Saturday, Dec. 21
4* Belmont +17.5 (rotation #611, Noon)
3* E. Illinois +13 (rotation #619, 2 pm)
NCAA Football Selections for Saturday, Dec. 21
4* Colorado St. +4.5
3* San Diego St. -1.5
3* Louisiana Lafayette +1.5Comment
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NCAAB
Saturday, December 21
Kansas is the third-least experienced team in US; they're 2-3 in last five games, but this is their first game in Lawrence in 29 days; Jayhawks lost three of four vs top 30 teams, but are 4-3 vs top 100's. This is first true road game for Georgetown, which is 2-2 on neutral courts, losing by 7 to Oregon, 8 to Northeastern; Hoyas are #7 in country in eFG% (42.0%).
Middle Tennessee is 63-16 in last 2+ years, 8-3 this year,. 1-3 vs teams in top 105, beating Akron by 7, losing by 20-12-9 to Florida-Belmont-Ole Miss. Blue Raiders turn ball over 19.7% of time, shoot 31.9% from arc. Cincinnati slogged thru 44-43 win over Pitt in NYC Tuesday- that snapped a 2-game skid. Bearcats force TOs 26.9% of time (#2 in US).
10-0 UMass has pair of 12-point true road wins, at EMichigan/Ohio U; they've played a top 60 schedule, are #49 in experience, making 40.8% from arc. Florida State is 1-3 vs top 100 teams, losing by 2-1-10 points to Michigan-Florida-Minnesta, with win over VCU; they turn ball over 22% of time- they beat a decent Charlotte team by 44 in last game.
Texas was just 14-24 from line in 67-56 loss at Michigan State, a game Longhorns led 33-28 at half; Texas just beat UNC for 4th time in its last five meetings Wednesday, its 6th win in row. Texas' only loss was by 4 to BYU on neutral floor. Harris missed last three games for 9-1 Michigan State, which lost to UNC at home, its only loss in four top 100 games.
7-2 LSU's last four games were all decided by 7 or less points; Tigers got good 71-69 win at Texas Tech Wednesday, game they never trailed in. LSU is 2-2 vs top 100 teams, beating St Joe's by 17, Butler by 2. UAB is 9-2, 2-1 vs top 100 teams, despite forcing turnovers less (11.8%) than any team in US- they won by 5 at Northeastern in only true away game.
Virginia Tech hasn't played in 13 days since winning ACC opener by a point in OT at Miami; Hokies are #5 in US, making 43.9% from arc but they turn it over 19.1% (#198), bad news vs VCU squad that leads US, forcing TOs 27.2% of time. Rams are 2-3 vs teams ranked #105 or better winning at Virginia by 3, Belmont by 13. Big difference with VCU being on two days' rest, Tech on 13 days'.
Missouri beat Illinois last four years on neutral court in St Louis-- 10-0 Tigers beat West Va/UCLA (both 80-71) in only top 100 games so far this year. Tigers don't get lot of assists but make 56.9% inside arc; that suggests good dribble penetration. Illini are 1-2 vs top 100 teams, with 61-59 win at UNLV and losses at Ga Tech/Oregon, both on foreign soil.
Alabama lost four of its last six games; they're 0-4 vs teams in top 100, with 72-67 home loss to Wichita in last game Tuesday. Tide defends on arc well (25.7%), forces TOs 20.% (#71), but they're 0-5 in games that were decided by 10 or less points. first true road game for a Xavier team that went 0-3 in Atlantis tourney but beat rival Cincinnati by 17 in last game a week ago.
11-0 Ohio State won by 17 at Marquette in only trip outside Columbus this season; Buckeyes are #2 in US in defensive FG (41.1%), allowing 24.7% shooting from arc (#1 in US). Notre Dame is 1-3 against top 100 , losing by 13-5-4 points to Indiana State, Iowa, North Dakota St- they beat Indiana on neutral court last game, but teams shoot 38.3% from arc against them, which is dangerous vs Ohio State, which is 4-0 vs teams in top 100, but all four wins by 12+ points.
Michigan played for national title LY, is 6-4 now, 2-3 in last five games; they're 1-3 vs top 40 teams, beating Florida State by hoop, loaing by 7-10-2 points to Iowa State/Duke/Arizona. Stanford had super 53-51 win at UConn Wednesday, holding Huskies to 13 second half points- this is same Stanford team that scored 103 at home against BYU........and lost.
New Mexico got upset by New Mexico State Tuesday after losing by 17 to Kansas; Lobos are making just 29.3% from arc- they're 3-3 vs top 100 teams, 0-2 vs top 40 teams, also losing by 16 to UMass. Marquette lost all four games vs top 50 teams; best team they beat was 76-60 win over #64 GW. Eagles play good defense (44eFG%), can't shoot (30.2% 3's)
10-0 Oregon is 3-0 vs top 100 teams, winning by 7-10-7 points; Ducks' depth got huge boost with return of PG Artis last game- they lost by 14 to BYU two years ago. Oregon is #4 in US, making 44.1% from arc, #11 inside arc (56.5%). BYU is 4-4 in last eight games after 81-64 loss to its rival Utah; Cougars are 3-4 vs top 100 teams, losing by 2-13-9-17.
Colorado won its last ten games since losing opener to Baylor in Dallas; Buffs won at Air Force/Colorado State, are #1 in country on defensive boards- they're 3-1 vs top 100 teams, beating Kansas/UCSB/Harvard at home. Oklahoma State is 4-1 vs top 100 teams, losing to Memphis by 5 on neutral court- they force turnovers 22.5% of time, #18 in countryComment

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