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7-Unit Play. #576. Take Alabama -5 over Xavier (Saturday @ 7pm est).
As you are probably aware, I am a big Crimson Tide fan. This is an important game for Anthony Grant and the Tide as they are 5-5 coming into this contest and a loss here would raise even more eyebrows in Tuscaloosa as this team will fall to 5-6. Is he on the hot seat? No. But, a 5-6 team after they lost to Wichita State recently who is a top 15 caliber team at home would certainly not help his cause. This is the only game in town in Tuscaloosa as Football takes a bit of a back seat and it is a night game to boot with a well known program like Xavier coming into town. Xavier is a good club but how much do we really know about this team on the road as they have yet to have a true road game. They are led by a Sophomore in Semaj Christon and they come off a big win against rival Cincinnati who is a solid top 50 program by 17 points. I like them to have a let down here as they go on the road to play a SEC team in Alabama as note this team has lost to the likes of USC and Tennessee by 15 The key factor here is that this team is outside the top 200 as it relates to defense and outside the top 300 in free throw shooting. Alabama will be up for this game to avoid falling below .500 as this is a top 40 defensive team facing a young Xavier team, at home, desperate for a win. Alabama is also top 100 as it relates to free throws and this is an absolute must win for this ballclub as they get ready for UCLA going on the road as they look to avoid going 5-7 for the season. The Muskateers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games, this is a good public fade and Alabama is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 contest at home. This sets up well for a step out for us.
Indian Cowboy's Picks For NBA Basketball
4-Unit Play. #524. Take Golden State -13 over LA Lakers (Sunday @ 10:30pm est).
This was our video premium comp today. I talk about verbally if you don't have time to read this. Golden State has not been playing that well lately and this is a statement game for them. This is a big revenge contest after losing to the Lakers in the beginning of the season when the Lakers did not have Kobe. What the public remembers is the Lakers great win against the Timberwolves recently feeding off the crowd's energy in Kobe's first full game out with his new injury. Guys like Xavier Henry, Meeks, Gasol and Hill all came together and played well with renewed energy. But, as this team now faces the Warriors who are not in a good mood after losing to the Spurs (without Duncan/Parker) as Coach Pop stuck it to both Stern and Mark Jackson it seems, they are undoubtedly going to be irritated. So, the public to a tune of about 60% is falling on the underdog here with the points but it's likely a bit of a trap as the Warriors will likely win this going away as our models have them winning by about 18 or more today. Hence, with the Warriors having revenge, coming off a contest where they should have played much better against the Spurs, a Saturday Night game and the second contest for the Lakers without Kobe as they go on the road - look for them to have a let down and the Warriors to win relatively comfortably.
Indian Cowboy's Picks For NHL Hockey
3-Unit Play. #72. Take Over 5.5 Goals St. Louis vs. Edmonton (Saturday @ 10pm est).
This sets up for a decent over here for this late contest. St. Louis comes off a big win against Montreal 5-1 and they typically do well to the Over when they play teams as heavy favorites such as winning 4-3 against Columbus 4-3 in overtime, or winning 5-1 against the Islanders as -200 favorites at home. Such is the case here as they are heavy favorites against Edmonton. But, Edmonton comes back from a terrible 4 game road trip and will be fired up today. If they can score a goal early with the crowd behind them, this should play well to the Over as they can be an active underdog as this is a good public fade. With St. Louis possibly coming out flat after the big win against Montreal, Edmonton being focused facing such a good team at home and coming off a bad road trip and the Over is 4-1 for the Blues following a Win and the Over is 5-1 for the Oilers in their last 6 home games, this makes for a decent Over this evening.
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl: What bettors need to know
Buffalo Bulls vs. San Diego State Aztecs (+1, 49.5)
FAMOUS IDAHO POTATO BOWL STORYLINES:
1. Buffalo makes its second bowl appearance Dec. 21 when it meets San Diego State in the Famous Idaho Potato Bowl in Boise. The Aztecs are playing in their school-record fourth consecutive bowl, and have fond memories of playing in Bronco Stadium after dashing Boise State’s BCS hopes last year with a 21-19 upset. Both teams overcame slow starts as Buffalo has won eight of its last 10 games and San Diego State seven of its last nine.
2. Buffalo senior running back Branden Oliver had a phenomenal season, rushing for 1,421 yards and 15 touchdowns, but struggled against elite opponents. He averaged 2.8 yards per carry or worse against Ohio State, Baylor and Mid-American Conference champion Bowling Green.
3. San Diego State ranks 35th nationally in passing as junior Quinn Kaehler averaged a healthy 7.8 yards per attempt, with 17 touchdowns against nine interceptions. Top target Ezell Ruffin caught 63 balls for 1,061 yards and three scores and is considering leaving early for the NFL.
TV: 5:30 p.m. ET, ESPN.
LINE: San Diego State opened as 3-point dogs but have been bet to +1. The total is down from 53 to 49.5.
WEATHER: There is an 18 percent chance of rain with temperatures in the mid 30s.
ABOUT BUFFALO (8-4, 8-4 ATS): The Bulls rank tied for 27th nationally in scoring defense (22.3) thanks in large part to senior Khalil Mack, the Lambert Award winner as the nation’s top linebacker. He has 94 tackles, 19 tackles for loss, 10.5 sacks and three interceptions this season, two of which he returned for touchdowns, and a whopping 16 career forced fumbles. Mack also is a big reason why the Bulls are fourth nationally with a plus-15 turnover margin.
ABOUT SAN DIEGO STATE (7-5, 6-6 ATS): The Aztecs will be healthy, with offensive tackle Zach Dilley returning from a knee strain that kept him out of the regular-season finale against UNLV and fellow tackle Bryce Quigley and tight end Adam Roberts coming back from foot injuries they suffered in that loss. San Diego State’s biggest problems are on defense as it ranked 96th in points allowed (32.3). The Aztecs played four overtime games this year, winning three.
TRENDS:
* Buffalo is 7-2 ATS in its last nine games overall.
* San Diego State is 1-6 ATS in its last seven non-conference games.
* Over is 4-0 in Buffalo's last four non-conference games.
* Over is 5-1 in San Diego State's last six games versus a team with a winning record.
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