12-23-13

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Jb

1* sf

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Monday Night prop bets: Falcons at 49ers

Are you looking for some extra Props to bet on for Monday night's NFC matchup between the Falcons and 49ers? We've got all you need to know right here.

All odds courtesy of LVH Superbook.

FIRST SCORE OF THE GAME WILL BE:
TOUCHDOWN -175
ANY OTHER SCORE +155

WILL FALCONS EVER HAVE THE LEAD?
YES -155
NO +135

TOTAL COMPLETIONS BY: MATT RYAN (ATL)
OVER 22.5 -110
UNDER 22.5 -110

Matt Ryan averages 26.7 completions per game.

TOTAL TOUCHDOWN PASSES BY: MATT RYAN (ATL)
OVER 1.5 +135
UNDER 1.5 -155

Ryan hasn't thrown more than 2 TDs in a game since Week 6.

TOTAL GROSS PASSING YARDS BY: COLIN KAEPERNICK (SF)
OVER 222.5 -110
UNDER 222.5 -110

Colin Kaepernick averages 192.1 passing yards per game this season.

TOTAL TOUCHDOWN PASSES BY: COLIN KAEPERNICK (SF)
OVER 1.5 -145
UNDER 1.5 +125

Kaepernick has thrown multiple touchdown games six times this season.

TOTAL RUSHING YARDS BY: FRANK GORE (SF)
OVER 83.5 -110
UNDER 83.5 -110

Frank Gore is averaging 72.6 rushing yards per game this season.

TOTAL QB SACKS BY: BOTH TEAMS
OVER 4.5 -150
UNDER 4.5 +130

The Falcons and 49ers average a combined 4.6 sacks per game this season.

TOTAL POINTS BY: FALCONS
OVER 17.0 -110
UNDER 17.0 -110

The Falcons score 22.1 points per game. The 49ers give up 16.3 points per game.

TOTAL POINTS BY: 49ERS
OVER 29.0 -110
UNDER 29.0 -110

The 49ers score 24.9 points per game. The Falcons give up 27.7 points per game.

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ECU favored big over Ohio on Monday
by Robert Livingston

Beef 'O' Brady's Bowl
Tropicana Field - St. Petersburg, FL
Kickoff: Monday, 2:00 p.m. ET
Line: East Carolina -14, Total: 62.5

East Carolina enters Monday's Beef 'O' Brady’s Bowl as a double-digit favorite against an Ohio team that has lost three of its past four games.

The Pirates went 9-3 SU this season despite getting crushed in their final contest of the season against slight favorite Marshall, 59-28. That snapped a five-game winning streak for them in which they were 4-1 ATS. Overall, they went 6-5-1 ATS, but were just 2-4 ATS in non-home games. Ohio’s 51-23 win against Massachusetts to end its season was its first ATS win in five contests, with the Bobcats going 6-6 ATS over the entire year and 2-3 ATS on the road. Both schools provide big reasons to bet against them, as over the past three years, East Carolina is 0-8 ATS against teams with a winning record. But in this same timeframe, Ohio is 0-8 ATS after scoring 42+ points in its previous game. These teams have met just twice in the past 20 years, both in the late 1990's, with ECU winning both games. But the Pirates are just 1-6 SU in their past seven bowl games (dating back to 2001), while the Bobcats have won bowl games in each of the past two seasons, including a 45-14 blowout of Louisiana-Monroe in last year's Independence Bowl.

The Pirates have a prolific offense that ranked 10th nationally in passing yards (331.5 YPG) and 11th in points with 40.4 per game. Junior QB Shane Carden (3,866 pass yards, 32 TD, 10 INT) leads the attack, completing an extremely impressive 71% of his passes this season for 7.7 YPA. He isn’t really a threat with his legs, averaging 0.8 YPC, but it’s worth noting he has also rushed for 10 TD. Before a horrible game at Marshall to end the season (0 pass TD, 3 INT), Carden had thrown at least three touchdowns in five straight contests. On the ground, senior RB Vintavious Cooper (995 rush yards, 4.9 YPC, 11 TD) does most of the work, and he’s come on strong late with 122.3 rushing YPG on 6.4 YPC and 5 TD over the past three contests. Carden’s No. 1 receiving option is junior WR Justin Hardy, who has caught 105 passes for 1,218 yards and eight touchdowns. Ten different Pirates have hauled in touchdown passes this season. ECU’s defense isn’t bad either, giving up 25.2 PPG, and holding six of the 12 opponents to 17 points or less. The Pirates stop the run pretty effectively (117 YPG on 3.3 YPC) while opposing quarterbacks are completing 60% of their passes for 246 YPG. ECU has forced at least one turnover in 11 of 12 games this year, totaling 21 takeaways for the season.

Ohio's offense is pretty lackluster with only 28.0 PPG (72nd in nation) with 136.3 rushing YPG (96th in FBS) and 238.5 passing YPG (58th in nation). Senior QB Tyler Tettleton has had a strong career for the Bobcats, completing 63% of his passes for 2,623 yards (7.9 YPA), 20 TD and 9 INT in his final season. But since the start of November, he has thrown for just 148.5 YPG, 3 TD and 3 INT over four games. Tettleton has two top targets in senior WR Donte Foster (63 catches, 858 yards, 6 TD), and junior WR Chase Cochran, who has a ridiculous 20.5 yards per catch for 656 yards and four touchdowns. In last year's Independence Bowl, Cochran gained 162 yards on just three catches (54.0 avg.) including a 68-yard touchdown. RB Beau Blankenship (844 rush yards, 4.6 YPC, 5 TD) also had a monster bowl game last year with four touchdowns and 104 rushing yards on 5.5 YPC. The senior is coming off one of his best games of the year as well, rushing for 124 yards on only 13 carries (9.5 YPC), including a 50-yard TD scamper in the first minute of the game against UMass. He defers many red-zone carries to fellow senior RB Ryan Boykin, who has only 399 rushing yards on 3.9 YPC, but seven touchdowns. The Bobcats defense has been average this season, allowing 26.7 PPG (66th in nation), while giving up 180 rushing YPG on 4.4 YPC and 212 passing YPG on a 58% completion rate.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

49ers seek 5th straight win Monday vs. Falcons
by Zach Cohen

Kickoff: Monday, 8:40 p.m. ET
Line: San Francisco -12, Total: 45

Two teams heading in completely opposite directions clash Monday night when the Falcons visit the 49ers.

While Atlanta has won-and-covered the same game just three times all season, San Francisco won its fourth straight game (3-1 ATS) last week with a 33-14 blowout victory in Tampa Bay. These teams last met in the NFC Championship last season where the 49ers erased an early 17-0 deficit and finished the game on a 28-7 run to win 28-24 and advance to the Super Bowl. That comeback victory snapped the Falcons' four-game win streak in this series, but since 1992, the Niners hold a 16-10 advantage (SU and ATS) in this series, including a 10-2 SU mark (8-4 ATS) at home where the Over has gone 8-4. Atlanta is 13-3 ATS (81%) in road games after allowing 450+ total yards in its previous game since 1992, but San Francisco is 28-9 ATS (76%) when playing on Monday night in that same timeframe. In terms of injuries, the Falcons could be weakened on defense with both LB Sean Weatherspoon (knee) and S Thomas DeCoud (head) questionable for this game, while the 49ers could be missing some offensive depth with FB Bruce Miller (arm, IR) out and TE Vance McDonald (ankle) and WRs Quinton Patton (foot) and Jon Baldwin (calf) all questionable for Monday night.

The Falcons are having a miserable season, but are still playing hard with a 3-1 ATS mark in their past four games. Last Sunday they defeated the Redskins 27-26 behind two touchdowns on the ground from RB Steven Jackson. QB Matt Ryan threw for 210 yards with one touchdown and one interception, while TE Tony Gonzalez was his top target with six catches for 62 yards and a touchdown. Atlanta’s passing offense has held up rather well throughout injuries this season, as Ryan has thrown for 277.6 yards per game (7h in NFL) with 22 TD and 13 INT. This has made up for a horrendous ground game that ranks last in the NFL with 79.3 rushing YPG. Another big problem for Atlanta has been its struggles on the defensive end, with the team allowing 386.3 total YPG (29th in NFL), broken down into 131.4 yards per game on the ground (29th in NFL) and 254.9 yards per game through the air (25th in NFL). The Falcons were bailed out last week with some big plays though, forcing seven Redskins turnovers which is the same amount of takeaways they had amassed in the previous seven games combined. They will need to force some more miscues from Colin Kaepernick and San Francisco’s versatile offensive attack.

San Francisco has outscored opponents 102 to 50 during its four-game win streak with its defense allowing just 237.3 total YPG during this win surge. For the season, the Niners have allowed just 16.3 PPG and 299.1 total YPG, which both rank third-best in the NFL. They have done a great job in both facets, allowing only 199.7 passing YPG (4th in league) and 99.4 rushing YPG (6th in NFL), and have not allowed many long drives with a 33% third-down conversion rate. Offensively, the 49ers rely mostly on their running game which is gaining 137.1 YPG (5th in NFL). RB Frank Gore rushed for 86 yards (3.9 YPC) of the team's 187 yards in the win over Tampa Bay last week. Gore has racked up 1,017 yards (4.2 YPC) and eight touchdowns on the season, and he scored the final two touchdowns of the NFC Championship win in Atlanta in January to cap off his day with 90 rushing yards on 4.3 YPC. The Niners should be able to exploit the Falcons' porous defense even through the air where they have not clicked all season. They are throwing for just 179.1 yards per game (30th in NFL), but QB Colin Kaepernick (7.5 YPA, 18 TD, 8 INT) has played well during the win streak (8.1 YPA, 7 TD and 1 INT). This includes going 19-of-29 for 203 yards, 2 TD and 0 INT in last week's win over the Buccaneers.

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INDIAN COWBOY

3-Unit Bowl Selection. #210. Take East Carolina University -13.5 over Ohio (Monday @ 2pm est).
East Carolina will be up for this game.
This team was absolutely trucked in their last game by Marshall by a score of 28-59 and they will be itching to get back on the field. This is the same team that beat NC State 42-28 as -4.5 favorites and has one of the most dynamic offenses in the country scoring 63 against UAB and 58 against Tulsa. This team has also covered 4 of its last 5 and as they come off one of their worst losses of the year, I like them to bounce-back here. This is a top 75 team at the end of the day and beat ODU and NC State who are both top 140 teams by 14 points. As they face another top 140 team here I think the difference is Ohio comes off a huge win against UMass and they have struggled against similar top 140 teams such as Kent losing 13-44 or against Buffalo losing 3-30 and I like ECU and their top 30 defense to step up here against Ohio is a top 90 ranked offense overall. With ECU's balanced attack as a top 30 offense as well as top 30 defense, I like ECU by about 20 points here.

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Mavericks at Rockets: What bettors need to know

Dallas Mavericks at Houston Rockets (OFF)

For at least one night, Dwight Howard made Houston Rockets fans forget all about the litany of injuries in their backfield. Howard will try to put together a fitting
encore performance as the Rockets entertain the rival Dallas Mavericks on Monday in the final game before a brief holiday break. Howard erupted for 35 points and 19 rebounds in a 114-97 victory over the Detroit Pistons over the weekend, while the Mavericks are coming off a 123-108 loss to Phoenix.

Howard's efficient night - he shot 13-of-18 from the field and added five assists - helped overcome the absence of guards James Harden and Jeremy Lin and frontcourt mate Omer Asik. "Dwight was unbelievable," Rockets forward Chandler Parsons told reporters after the game. He completely dominate the game." The Mavericks must have felt dominated themselves against the surging Suns, who shot 51.2 percent from the field while knocking down 15 3-pointers.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, FSSW (Dallas), CSH (Houston)

LINE: The line and the total are currently off the board.

COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Dallas (-7.5) - Houston (-10.5) + home court (-3) = Houston -6

ABOUT THE MAVERICKS (15-12, 14-3 ATS): Rick Carlisle is already looking ahead to the end of the season. More specifically, the Dallas head coach has a good idea of where the Mavericks will find themselves relative to other teams in the playoff chase. "We're in a situation where we're one of six or seven teams fighting for two or three playoff spots," he told the Dallas Morning News. "That's what it's going to come down to. Concentration and focus and attention to detail are going to carry the day as to who gets in and who has a chance to advance."

ABOUT THE ROCKETS (18-10, 15-2-1 ATS): With Lin and Harden out and Patrick Beverley leaving the game with a broken hand that will cost him six weeks, Parsons was forced into emergency point guard duty against the Pistons. Parsons joked afterward that he may need to work on his fitness level. "That is tiring bringing that ball up with a 5-7 guy on you," he told the Houston Chronicle. "I brought it up against (Pistons backup guard) Will Bynum. That's exhausting, man. I hadn't done that in a while. That was fun."

TRENDS:

* Over is 4-0 in the last four meetings in Houston.
* Favorite is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings.
* Home team is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings.
* Over is 5-2 in the last seven meetings.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. The home team has won the last five meetings.

2. Howard averages 19.9 points and 12.5 rebounds in 21 career games versus the Mavericks.

3. Harden remains questionable for Monday, though he has said he won't return until his ankle injury has fully healed.

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Today's NBA Picks

Atlanta at Miami

The Heat bring their 13-2 home record into tonight's contest against an Atlanta team that is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 road games against teams with a winning home record. Miami is the pick (-8 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Heat favored by 13. Dunkel Pick: Miami (-8 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, DECEMBER 23 Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 701-702: New York at Orlando (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: New York 112.795; Orlando 117.592 Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 5; 198 Vegas Line & Total: New York by 1; 192 Dunkel Pick: Orlando (+1); Over

Game 703-704: Milwaukee at Charlotte (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 108.424; Charlotte 122.136 Dunkel Line & Total: Charlotte by 13 1/2; 184 Vegas Line & Total: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 705-706: Detroit at Cleveland (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 118.087; Cleveland 115.839 Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 2; 209 Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 1; 201 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+1); Over

Game 707-708: Atlanta at Miami (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 116.486; Miami 129.381 Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 13; 200 Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 8 1/2; 205 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Miami (-8 1/2); Under

Game 709-710: Indiana at Brooklyn (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 121.492; Brooklyn 120.697 Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 1; 199 Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 6 1/2; 193 Dunkel Pick: Brooklyn (+6 1/2); Over

Game 711-712: Dallas at Houston (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 116.573; Houston 126.093 Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 9 1/2; 192 Vegas Line & Total: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 713-714: Utah at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Utah 117.747; Memphis 115.483 Dunkel Line & Total: Utah by 2 1/2; 194 Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 6; 187 Dunkel Pick: Utah (+6); Over

Game 715-716: Toronto at San Antonio (8:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 116.078; San Antonio 131.401 Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 15 1/2; 198 Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 11; 203 1/2 Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-11); Under

Game 717-718: Golden State at Denver (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 120.882; Denver 119.721 Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 1; 217 Vegas Line & Total: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 719-720: LA Lakers at Phoenix (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 112.959; Phoenix 124.650 Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 11 1/2; 197 Vegas Line & Total: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 721-722: New Orleans at Sacramento (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 114.365; Sacramento 121.059 Dunkel Line & Total: Sacramento by 6 1/2; 214 Vegas Line & Total: New Orleans by 1; 209 Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (+1); Over

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NCAA Basketball Picks

Northern Arizona at Arizona

The Lumberjacks visit top-ranked Arizona tonight looking to improve on their 4-1-1 ATS record in their last 6 games versus the Wildcats. Northern Arizona is the pick (+27 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Wildcats favored by only 24 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Northern Arizona (+27 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

MONDAY, DECEMBER 23 Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST

Game 723-724: Loyola-Chicago at Fordham (4:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Loyola-Chicago 49.840; Fordham 53.665 Dunkel Line: Fordham by 4 Vegas Line: Fordham by 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Loyola-Chicago (+7 1/2)

Game 725-726: Illinois-Chicago at Colorado State (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Illinois-Chicago 49.430; Colorado State 66.791 Dunkel Line: Colorado State by 17 1/2 Vegas Line: Colorado State by 12 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Colorado State (-12 1/2)

Game 739-740: Hofstra at Siena (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Hofstra 48.251; Siena 51.670 Dunkel Line: Siena by 3 1/2 Vegas Line: Siena by 7 Dunkel Pick: Hofstra (+7)

Game 741-742: Morehead State at Tennessee (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Morehead State 53.735; Tennessee 63.779 Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 10 Vegas Line: Tennessee by 13 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Morehead State (+13 1/2)

Game 743-744: IUPUI at SE Missouri State (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: IUPUI 42.405; SE Missouri State 58.956 Dunkel Line: SE Missouri State by 16 1/2 Vegas Line: SE Missouri State by 11 Dunkel Pick: SE Missouri State (-11)

Game 745-746: SIU-Edwardsville at Southern Illinois (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: SIU-Edwardsville 41.007; Southern Illinois 56.593 Dunkel Line: Southern Illinois by 15 1/2 Vegas Line: Southern Illinois by 10 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Southern Illinois (-10 1/2)

Game 747-748: Montana State at UTEP (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Montana State 46.605; UTEP 58.103 Dunkel Line: UTEP by 11 1/2 Vegas Line: UTEP by 14 Dunkel Pick: Montana State (+14)

Game 749-750: Northern Arizona at Arizona (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Northern Arizona 46.756; Arizona 71.225 Dunkel Line: Arizona by 24 1/2 Vegas Line: Arizona by 27 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Northern Arizona (+27 1/2)

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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 1143-873 (57%) over the last 5 1/2 years College FB 65-38 this yr,NFL 46-38:

Free winner Monday UTEP - 13

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J. Clifton

SPURS - 11

BOWL GAME
EAST CAROLINA AND THE OVER

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Gamblers Data

Free Plays Monday

Ducks -111

Penguins -140

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty had no play on Sunday and likes East Carolina on Monday.

The deficit is 1350 sirignanos.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JOE GAVAZZI

BEEF O’BRADYS BOWL, St. Petersburg, Florida
Ohio vs. East Carolina (-14/62) 2:00 ET ESPN
4* Ohio
Each of these teams finished at 7-5 ATS for the season. Yet in a game that would have been close to even at the start of the year, the Pirates are now a 2 TD favorite because of their strong offensive showing and the Ohio fade down the stretch. No doubt the Pirates can light it up on offense. Led by QB Carden and RB Cooper, E. Carolina averages 40 PPG and 460 YPG including 332 through the air. They will have success against an Ohio pass defense ranked in the bottom 25% of the country. In addition, there is plenty of motivation for the Pirates following their embarrassing 59-28 loss at Marshall to end the season. Yet, there may be no other team in the Bowl landscape who has more to prove than these Bobcats. In a MAC conference that featured the “have and have nots,” Ohio looked more like the latter in October and December. Not only did they lose to lower division teams C. Michigan and Kent St. (at home), but there were also road losses in November of 27 at Buffalo and 49 at Bowling Green. An end of season 51-23 home wipeout of UMass may have restored their confidence. Yet, there is no doubt that HC Solich, QB Tettleton and RB Blankenship have much to prove. Don’t be surprised if it happens as there is precedence for Bowl success. Two years ago the Bobcats traveled to Boise where they upset Utah St. Last year, they went to Shreveport where they handled LA Monroe. With that history as a basis, the E. Carolina defense allowing 25 PPG, and double digit dogs a strong historical winner in Bowl games, I feel comfortable recommending Ohio in this contest.

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Insider Angles

NCAA Football 2013-14 Bowl Previews - Part I

Beef 'O' Brady's Bowl - East Carolina (-14) vs. Ohio - Monday, December 23, 2:00 ET: Both of these teams had disappointing finishes with East Carolina getting blown out by Marshall in the regular season finale thus blowing a chance to win the East Division of Conference USA and Ohio suffering a late three-game losing streak in the MAC before regrouping for a 51-23 rout of Massachusetts in the finale. East Carolina did finished 10th in the country in scoring with 40.4 points per game, but Ohio quarterback Tyler Tettleton has led the Bobcats to bowl wins each of the last two years and will be passing against a 90th ranked Pirates' passing defense. Bowl underdogs coming off of a home game (Ohio) are 123-87-4, 58.6 percent ATS since 2000.

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WINNING POINTS

COLLEGE BASKETBALL

Fordham* over Loyola-Chicago by 8
Fordham has needed to play three starting guards 32 to 38 minutes per game to be 6-
3 SU, beating six bums, so far. Here’s another bum, visiting New York City at
Christmastime, and this bum cannot rebound the ball. Blind squirrel Tom Pecora
finds nut?
FORDHAM, 68-60.

Colorado State* over Illinois-Chicago by 17
Program-wise, host CSU is way ahead of the Christmastime in the Rockies visitors.
Purdue transfer Kelsey Barlow (6’5”, 200 senior guard) is ball-hogging his way to 17
ppg to lead UIC in scoring, shooting a meager 40% from the field. Shoot your new
team into the ground in your final college season, kid.
COLORADO STATE, 79-62.