12-30-13

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College football weather report: Monday's bowl games

There are four bowl games taking place all over the country Monday, but only three in stadiums where weather could play a factor.

Find out how weather will impact your college football bowl bets this weekend:

Bell Helicopter Armed Forces Bowl

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Navy Midshipmen (-6.5, 56.5)

Amon G. Carter Stadium, Fort Worth, Texas

Forecasts are calling for teamperatures in the mid-30s with partly cloudy skies which should make way for clear skies later in the game. Wind will blow toward the SE endzone at 5 mph.


Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl

Mississippi Rebels vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (+3, 55.5)

LP Field, Nashville, Tennessee

Temperatures will be in the mid-30s with mostly cloudy skies. There is a 10 percent chance of rain with wind blowing toward the SE endzone at 4 mph.


National University Holiday Bowl

Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders (+14, 71.5)

Qualcomm Stadium, San Diego, California

Conditions will be calm with temperatures in the low-60s and wind barely noticeable across the field at 1 mph.

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NBA

Hot teams
-- Wizards won four of their last five games (4-1 last five AU).
-- Grizzlies won three of their last four games (4-1 last five HF).
-- Timberwolves won last three home games, by 7-11-22. Mavericks covered six of last seven games as a road underdog.
-- Trailblazers won seven of their last nine games. New Orleans won its last three home games.
-- Miami won seven of last eight games, winning in Portland w/o James.
-- Suns won nine of their last eleven games. Clippers won six of their last eight games.

Cold Teams
-- Pistons lost four of their last five games (1-4 last five HF).
-- Bulls lost five of last seven games, are 5-10 vs spread on road.
-- Denver lost its last six games, is 4-9 vs spread at home.
-- Bobcats lost three of their last four games, but are 11-1-1 vs spread on road. Utah lost four of its last five home games.


Series records
-- Wizards beat Detroit by 24 Saturday, ending 7-game series skid.
-- Grizzlies won last three games against Chicago.
-- Minnesota beat Dallas twice this year, by 8-6 points.
-- Blazers won six of last eight games with New Orleans.
-- Heat lost four of their last five visits to Denver.
-- Jazz won last nine games with Bobcats (7-2 vs spread).
-- Clippers won three of last four games with Phoenix.

Totals
-- Last eight Detroit home games went over total.
-- Five of last seven Chicago games stayed under total.
-- Five of last seven Minnesota home games stayed under; six of last seven Dallas games went over.
-- Last eight Portland games went over the total.
-- Seven of last eight Miami games went over; last eight Denver home games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Charlotte road games went over total.
-- Three of last four Clipper home games stayed under.

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NHL

Hot teams
-- Blackhawks won five of their last six home games.
-- Red Wings won three of their last four games.
-- Vancouver won ten of last twelve games. Flyers won four of their last five.


Cold teams
-- Senators lost four of their last six games. Washington lost three of its last four.
-- Kings lost their last two games, 3-2/5-2.
-- Predators lost five of their last six games.

Totals
-- Over is 4-1-1 in last six Ottawa games, 0-3 in Washington's last three.
-- Last three Chicago games went over the total.
-- Seven of last ten Detroit games stayed under the total; over is 3-1-1 in Nashville's last five.
-- Over is 5-0-1 in Philly's last six games; last four Canuck games stayed under.

Series records
-- Senators won their last five games with Washington.
-- Blackhawks won seven of last nine games with Los Angeles.
-- Red Wings won three of last four games with Nashville.
-- Canucks won three of last four games with Philly.

Back-to-back
-- Washington is 3-3 if it played night before, 0-2 if it lost.
-- Canucks are 5-3 if they played night before, 4-1 if they won.

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Diamond Dog Sports

Over Navy
Texas Tech & Over

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Chicago Syndicate

CFB
Big Play Georgia Tech
Over Navy
Texas Tech

NBA
Pistons
Over Timberwolves

CBB
Kansas
Vanderbilt

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LA Syndicate

CFB
Oregon
Over Arizona State

NBA
Trailblazers
Over Suns

CBB
Loyola Marymount
Pacific

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H&H Sports

CBB
Double Dime Kansas

NBA
Triple Dime Over Mavs
Double Dime Over Suns
Dime Play Under Jazz

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Sports Nostradamus

CFB
Georgia Tech
Over Texas Tech

CBB
St Bonaventure
Virginia
Over Oklahoma

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Cappers Access

(CFB) Mid tenn St +6.5
(CFB) Mississippi -3
(CFB) Oregon -14.5

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College basketball

St Bonaventure is 0-2 vs top 100 teams, losing by 4-15 points; Bonnies are forcing turnovers 22.8% of time (#17 in US)- this is their first home game in 27 days. Delaware is 6-1 vs teams outside top 100, 0-5 vs top 100 teams; Bonnies are #103. Blue Hens are making 37% from arc- they lost three of last four games, winning last game 108-107 in OT. This is first game in nine days for both sides.

Virginia beat Tennessee 46-38 LY, in one of worst games ever seen on ESPN, a brickfest where teams shot 4-27 from arc. Virginia lost by 3 at Green Bay in its only true road game; they turn ball over 20.6% of time, make just 64.5% from line. Vols are 2-3 vs top 100 teams, splitting pair with ACC teams- they're 5-1 at home, losing 65-58 to NC State.

Toledo is quietly 12-0; none of its four road wins are over teams in top 150; Rockets' best win was 103-99 over #103 Stony Brook on a neutral court. Kansas split its last six games but five of those were vs teams in top 50; Jayhawks are making 57.5% of shots inside arc- they haven't played in nine days since whacking Georgetown by 22 in Lawrence.

Ole Miss lost three of last five games after 6-0 start; they're 6-0 outside top 100, with five of six wins by 9+ points. Western Kentucky is 7-0 at home with upset over Southern Miss; Hilltoppers are turning ball over 22.5% of time, making just 30.8% from arc. WKU forces turnovers 21% of time- they're 8-4 overall, with all four losses by ten or more points.

Louisiana Tech is 10-3, 0-3 vs top 100 teams, with losses by 13-9-15 points, including 70-55 loss to Oklahoma State. Bulldogs force turnover 23.5% of time (#13), shot 53.2% inside arc but may be in over their head athletically here. Oklahoma opens league play with Texas on Saturday; they've won last seven games- their best win is 82-73 over Alabama.

San Francisco rallied from down 35-27 at half to win WCC opener in OT at Portland Saturday; Dons are 3-15 in last 18 series games, losing ten in row here, last three by 17-11-14 points. Gonzaga's big guy Dower sat out Saturday's 74-60 win over Santa Clara, game they led by hoop with 10:00 left. Zags outscored Broncos 23-6 on foul line Saturday, are #13 in US, making 41.9% of its 3-pointers.

Saint Louis won its last five games, is 11-2, with true road wins by 24-9-2 points; Billikens are experienced but their PG shoots 58% from foul line, making end-game situations little dicey. Vanderbilt won last three games, two by a hoop here; they turn ball over 20.4% of time, make only 62.2% of FTs. SLU is forcing turnovers 22.7% of time, #19 in US.

Santa Clara swept Portland by 24-12 points LY, after losing eight of ten series games before that; Broncos lost five of last six visits here, losing by 6-1-13-10-10 points. Pilots blew 8-point halftime lead, lost by 6 in OT Saturday despite making 10-20 from arc; USF shot 69.2% inside arc vs Portland. Santa Clara is 1-5 on road, with all five losses by 11+ pts.

San Diego won its last three games with Loyola Marymount, winning its last two visits here by total of four points; Toreros lost last two away games overall, by 7-11 points- they've lost four of last five D-I games. LMU made 8-17 from arc, was +6 in turnovers in upset win over BYU Saturday; Lions had been shotting under 28% from arc before Saturday.

BYU won its four WCC games vs Pepperdine by average of 19 points, but wins here were by 13-2 points; Cougars got upset in WCC opener at LMU, are 1-4 on road- their only road win was 112-103 at Stanford in ESPN Marathon game seven weeks ago. Waves are 0-2 vs teams in top 100, losing by 8 to Green Bay, 3 to Indiana State- they're making 38.3% of their 3's, #51 in country.

St Mary's is without coach Bennett here, as he begins 5-game ban from NCAA; Gaels went 0-3 on Hawai'i trip after starting 9-0; all three o fits losses are by 7 or less points. St Mary's lost by 10 Pacific on neutral floor LY, before Tigers joined WCC; Pacific hasn't played in nine days since splitting pair in Vegas; they're 1-2 vs top 100 teams, with 10-pt win at Utah State an attention grabber.

Fordham beat Siena last two years by 6-15 points; Rams won five of seven vs teams outside top 200, losing to Sacred Heart/Monmouth by 12-9 points. Saints turn ball over 21.4% of time, make just 30.7% from arc- they beat St Bonaventure, Hofstra in last two home games, after losing home opener to Albany. Fordham bench played total of only 36 minutes in 94-86 home loss to Harvard Saturday.

Jacksonville State won last three games with UT-Martin by 11-31-10 points, winning 77-46 in Skyhawks' last visit here. JSU is 4-9 vs D-I teams, with best win by 11 over #281 Coppin State on a neutral floor. Martin is 2-6 on road; their opponents shoot 59.8% inside arc, 39% on arc- they're 3-10 vs D-I teams, with best win over #291 Samford.

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College Football Bowl Games

Armed Forces Bowl, Fort Worth 12/30
Underdog won this game SU last four years; service academies are 2-3 in this game the last six years, C-USA teams are 2-6 since '04. Both teams want to run ball here; Middle Tennessee won its last five games after 3-4 start; they scored on last play to beat Marshall 51-49 that turned season around- they won last three games by combined score of 138-38, while running ball for 274.4 ypg. Navy runs option; they scored 47.3 ppg in winning last three games- their last three road games were all decided by 4 or less points or in OT. Middies lost four of last five bowls, allowing 36.8 ppg; This is first bowl since '10 for Blue Raiders, who are 1-2 in its bowls, allowing 31+ points in all three. Navy is 3-2 vs spread as a fave this season; they gave up 42.5 ppg in last four road games. MTSU is 2-3 as an underdog this year- they haven't lost since October 12th.

Music City Bowl Nashville, 12/30
Can Ole Miss stop Georgia Tech's option game? You'd think with extra prep time, teams would defend it better- Tech is 1-4 in last five bowls, scoring 14.4 ppg- they played in Sun Bowl last two years, will be glad to be somewhere new this year. Ole Miss won last three bowls and eight of its last nine, scoring an average of 38.3 ppg in last three; their last bowl loss was '03 Cotton Bowl when Eli Manning was their QB. Rebels lost last two regular season games, scoring 10 points in each- they're 3-4 as a favorite this year, 2-3 SU on road, losing last three away games. Georgia Tech scored 43.7 ppg in last three games, but blew 20-point lead in last game, losing 41-34 to rival Georgia. SEC teams are 5-2 in this bowl last seven years; favorites covered three of last four, after dog had covered five in row. Nashville is SEC (Vandy) country; Rebels will have crowd advantage. Tech threw 24+ passes in two of its last three games.

Alamo Bowl San Antonio, 12/30
Lot of emotion here: Mack Brown's last game as head coach after his 16 years at Texas, while Oregon's longtime defensive aide Aliotti is retiring after 38 years in coaching, so Oregon's defense will be pumped. Texas is 8-4, allowing 30+ points in all four losses and two wins; they're 4-1 in last five bowls, but they won this game LY, don't like teams returning to bowl they won year before, even if Longhorns will be crowd favorite in Alamo. This is first time in five years Ducks aren't playing top 10 team in a bowl; also first bowl for coach Helfrich; Oregon allowed 219+ yards on ground in four of last five games- teams that beat them held Ducks to 16-20 points. Texas fired its DC after second game; they won seven of last nine games, but allowed 30+ points in three of last four games, split four games as a dog this year, beating Oklahoma as 12-point underdog on neutral field. Oregon failed to cover last four games, all as double digit favorite. Some Ducks might not be thrilled about San Antonio site. Big X teams won this bowl game ths last five years.

Holiday Bowl San Diego 12/30
Texas Tech was 7-0 when it won 37-27 at West Virginia Oct 19, then it lost last five games, giving up average of 48.6 ppg; they're 1-3 vs spread as an underdog this year.Arizona State had 7-game win streak snapped in 38-14 loss to Stanford in Pac0-12 title game. Qualcomm saw its share of drama Sunday with Chargers' OT win, now it is going to see lot of balls in air, with Kingsbury is in first year as HC; his Tech team won their last three bowls, scoring 40 ppg. Average total in Tech's last five bowls is 60. Arizona State won 62-28 in Frisco Bowl LY; Graham won four of his five bowls overall as HC. Underdogs are 6-4 vs spread in this game, with Big X teams winning three of last four.ASU was favored in every game but its first loss to Stanford- they're 3-2 away from Temple, winning by total of six points in last two road games- they lost to Notre Dame on a neutral field, lost 42-28 at Stanford.

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Gamblers Data

Free Plays Monday

TWolves -4.5

Charlotte +2.5

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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 1146-876 (57%) over the last 5 1/2 years College FB 65-38 this yr,NFL 47-40:

Free winner Mon Oregon -14

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Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

Game: Middle Tennessee State vs. Navy (Monday 12/30 11:45 AM Eastern)
Pick: Middle Tennessee State +7 (-115) at Bovada

The Armed Forces Bowl features the Naval Academy going up against Middle Tennessee. Middle Tennessee really came together in the second half of the season as the offense caught fire and went on to average 42.6 points per game in their last five games - all wins. Navy closed the season with four straight wins, and there is no doubt what they are going to do here. They are going to is run the triple option on almost every down. Middle Tennessee does not see that offense, but has had ample time to prepare for it here. Last year they went to Georgia Tech and faced a similar offense, beating Tech 49-28. They held the Yellow Jackets to 7 points in the second half, and overall Georgia Tech managed just 238 yards on 53 carries at 4.5 yards per carry. That game will serve as a solid effort against the similar Navy offense. Navy often sneaks up on teams with the triple option, but the Bowl season gives opposing coaches several weeks to prepare for it. As a result, Navy has been crushed in their last two Bowl games. They are just 4-9 ATS following a 20+ point win, and Middle Tennessee has the offense to go toe-to-toe with Navy here. Under head coach Rick Stockstill, MTSU is 29-18 ATS following a win. Play on Middle Tennessee.

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J. Clifton

Ncaab:
Kansas -15
Nc state -11
Ole miss -2
Delaware + 3 1/2
Texas -17

ncaaf
ga tech
Texas
midd tennesse