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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358283

    #16
    THE GOLD SHEET

    ★★★ KEY RELEASES ★★★
    UTEP by 16 over Charlotte (Thursday, January 9)
    UC IRVINE by 8 over Long Beach St. (Thursday, January 9)

    Day Game
    TEXAS-ARLINGTON over La.-Monroe by 9 to 12—12-DNP

    Night Games
    TEMPLE 73 - South Florida 62—With USF sorely missing the floor
    leadership of injured PG Anthony Collins (missed last 5 games due to swelling
    & tendinitis in surgically repaired knee), expect the shorthanded Bulls to drop
    their 5th game in the last 6 outings vs. hungry Temple (off back-to-back road
    losses), eager to be back home for the first time since Dec. 18. The Owls’
    blossoming 6-2 jr. PG Will Cummings (Florida native; 17.8 ppg, 4.2 apg), who
    is coming off a career-high 31-pt. explosion in narrow loss at Central Florida,
    should continue to light it up at USF. 12-DNP CABLE TV—ESPNU

    LOUISVILLE 84 - Memphis 66—After a lackluster, non-covering 83-76
    victory at Rutgers last Saturday, expect a much more focused performance
    from loaded L‘Ville in its AAC home opener vs. Memphis. Watch for a solid “Agame”
    performance from the Cards’ dynamic 6-0 sr. G Russ Smith, who was
    criticized by HC Rick Pitino for his selfish play vs. the Scarlet Knights, as he had
    5 TOs & only one assist. Louisville’s in-your-face half-court defense & full-court
    press should seriously disrupt Memphis, which had 10 shots blocked & 16 TOs
    in its recent 69-53 home upset loss at the hands of Cincy. The youthful Tigers
    lost 101-80 at Oklahoma State in their only highly-challenging game as visitor to
    date. 12-Lvl -4 87-78 CABLE TV—ESPN

    VA. COMMONWEALTH over George Mason by 12 to 15—12-DNP

    BUTLER 63 - DePaul 57—Since DePaul was able to make the double-digit
    spreads work in their recent covering efforts at Georgetown and Marquette, no
    reason Oliver Purnell’s improved Blue Demons can’t similarly hang around at
    Hinkle Fieldhouse. The Chicago bunch is doing a much better job controlling
    the tempo with a basketball “QB” on the floor in 6-5 frosh PG Billy Garrett Jr. (11
    ppg), who is also causing some matchup headaches for the opposition. With
    the Blue Demons playing games in the 50s and 60s these days, not sure Butler
    is going to be able to extend the margin, especially with some shaky FT
    shooters in Brandon Miller’s lineup (Khyle Marshall only 53%; Kameron Woods
    just 60%). And Butler’s long-range shooting eye (a modest 35% beyond arc)
    has been a bit inconsistent. 12-DNP

    Florida St. 72 - CLEMSON 66—After FSU (season-worst 30.8% FGs,
    compared with 49% for the year) was awful with its “brick-shooting”
    performance in its 62-50 setback vs. Virginia on Saturday, the tall & talented
    Seminoles should bounce back vs. a Clemson squad coming off an
    unimpressive 62-60 win at struggling Boston College on the same day.
    Defense-minded FSU has a host of mid-sized players to throw at the Tigers’
    primary weapon, 6-6 jr. F K.J. McDaniels (team-leading 16.7 ppg). So, look for
    Leonard Hamilton’s ‘Noles to capture their fifth consecutive series win and
    avoid a rare 0-2 start in the ACC. 12-Fsu +3 71-66, FSU -5 60-57, Fsu -1’ 73-
    69 (CT-neut.)

    MISSISSIPPI 79 - Auburn 73—No surprise that Ole Miss’ sr. ball-hogging
    G Marshall Henderson (18.8 ppg on only 36% shooting) is still hoisting too many
    ill-advised shots. So, believe the perimeter-oriented Rebels will have some
    trouble pulling away from improved 8-3 Auburn, benefiting from primo backcourt
    play from mettle-tested 6-2 sr. Chris Denson (19 ppg) & sweet-stroking Virginia
    transfer KT Harrell (19.4 ppg; 42.6% from arc). With the Tigers’ versatile 6-6
    swingman Allen Payne (16 pts., 13 rebs., 5 assists vs. Florida A&M last
    Saturday) causing some pain, Ole Miss drops to 3-7 vs. the spread TY. 12-Miss
    -7 63-61, MISS -12' 88-55

    LOUISIANA TECH over Florida Atlantic by 14 to 17—12-DNP

    RICE over Florida Intl. by 4 to 6—12-DNP

    Georgia St. 75 - WESTERN KENTUCKY 69—Sun Belt sources accurately
    alerted to the possible ascent by Georgia State a few weeks ago. And the
    Panthers have not disappointed in their current 5-game win streak that includes
    DD road victories at UTSA and South Alabama. Coach Ron Hunter has finally
    coaxed son R.J. and Kentucky transfer Ryan Harrow (both 19 ppg) to co-exist
    on the floor and to get some other GSU weapons involved in the offensive flow,
    with former Virginia Tech transfer F Manny Atkins (17.4 ppg last seven) now
    getting more touches and sr. G Devonta White joining in the fun with 14 points
    in Saturday’s win at Mobile. WKU DD scoring Gs T.J. Price & Trency Jackson
    are going to have to work extra hard on the stop end vs. the Panther weapons.
    Regional sources expect GSU might have an edge in the first go-around vs. its
    new league foes that have not had a chance to see GSU previously. 12-DNP

    ARKANSAS ST. over Troy by 5 to 7—12-TROY +7' 74-67 (OT), ASU -1358-50, Asu -9 68-63 (CT-OT-neut.)

    George Washington 78 - LA SALLE 69—With these two A-10 entries
    heading in different directions, must support resurgent 12-2 GW (only 13-17
    LY), which has already notched notable wins away from Washington D.C.,
    including upsets over Manhattan, Creighton & Maryland. Contrariwise,
    struggling 7-6 La Salle, which hasn’t been able to fill the big sneakers of doeverything
    G Ramon Galloway (17.2 ppg, 4.6 rpg, 3.7 apg last season), won’t
    nab its first quality win of the season vs. quadruple-revenge-minded Colonial
    squad, smartly led by super-soph G Joe McDonald (3.22 assist-to-TO ratio) and
    Indiana transfer G Maurice Creek (16 ppg). 12-Las -2 80-71, LAS -9 84-70

    Southern Miss 73 - NORTH TEXAS 72—With athletic North Texas excited
    to make its C-USA debut after moving over from the Sun Belt, recommend
    “taking” with the Mean Green, which is 5-1 as a home underdog since 2010-11.
    UNT’s physical 6-7, 240-pound sr. F Colin Voss will offer resistance in the paint
    for USM’s top inside scorer 6-7 sr. F Daveon Boardingham (10.8 ppg), while the
    Mean Green’s rangy Gs, 6-4 Alzee Williams (14.4 ppg) & 6-6 Jordan Williams
    (10.4 ppg, 6.3 rpg), figure to be matchup headaches for the shorter Golden
    Eagle backcourt. 12-DNP

    Marshall over UTSA by 4 to 6—12-DNP

    ARKANSAS-L.R. over South Alabama by 1 to 3—12-USA -7 77-62, Usa+3' 70-66

    BYU 85 - Pepperdine 68—Revenge angle worth considering with BYU
    bunch that is a much different beast at home at its cavernous Marriott Center,
    which USD painfully found out in a 34-point loss vs. the revenge-minded Cougs
    at Provo last Saturday. Now, BYU looks for payback vs. Pepperdine team that
    saw some of its flaws exposed in a weekend loss at USF when recurring
    ballhandling issues got the best of the Waves (only 6 assists vs. 15 TOs) and its
    frontline had trouble compensating for foul problems encountered by PF Stacy
    Davis. Rest assured the three-point numbers are going to look a lot different in
    the rematch after Pep’s 6-point win at Malibu Dec. 30, when the Waves
    connected on 13 triples while BYU made only 1, with dagger-thrower deluxe
    Tyler Haws (22 ppg) missing on all three of his long-range attempts. Haws’
    normally-productive backcourt mate Matt Carlino (14.5 ppg) was also an
    uncharacteristic 1 for 7 from floor in that recent loss at Firestone Fieldhouse.
    12-BYU -18 76-51, Byu -11 63-61

    UCLA 79 - Arizona 74—Arizona continues to set the pace a top the national
    polls, but the unbeaten Wildcats have been cutting it very close some nights and
    now face a surging UCLA squad that matched up very well a year ago when
    sweeping all three from UA. The Bruins (now finding their groove in new HC
    Steve Alford’s offense) could be ready to ambush No. 1 after their sizzling 107-
    73 rout of crosstown USC on Sunday, hitting 57% vs. their hated rivals. UCLA’s
    big backcourt caused fundamental problems for the Cats a year ago, and the
    Bruins’ 6-9 Kyle Anderson (15.1 ppg; 23 points vs. USC) and 6-5 Jordan Adams
    (18.7 ppg) can once again wreak havoc with Sean Miller’s defense. As long as
    the Wear twins hold their own vs. UA frosh star Aaron Gordon (12.4 ppg) on the
    blocks, UCLA should prevail. 12-Ucla +8' 84-73, UCLA +1 74-69, Ucla +3' 66-
    64 (CT-neut.) CABLE TV—ESPN

    TULSA over Tulane by 8 to 11—12-TUL -8 75-72, TLS -1' 78-66

    ★★★ UTEP 76 - Charlotte 60—Veteran UTEP has won and covered its last
    three C-USA lidlifters at the rowdy Don Haskins Center. Expect that winning
    trend to continue for the defensively-stout Miners (37.5% FG), who’ll be fullyenergized
    following an extended 11-day layoff. Fundamentally, Charlotte
    clearly lacks the experienced “bigs” to impede UTEP’s productive frontline trio
    of 6-10 sr. C Josh Bohanan (10 ppg, 8.1 rpg), 6-8 jr. Julian Washburn (11. 2
    ppg), and 6-7 blue-chip frosh F Vince Hunter (10.5 ppg). The 49ers have lost
    some traction since the Puerto Rico Tourney victory and were recently
    lambasted (106-62) at Florida State in their last road game. 12-DNP

    XAVIER 78 - Marquette 66—Big East sources raving about the way the
    deeper X-men are playing on both ends of the floor now. So, strongly suggest
    laying single digits with the streaking Muskeeters, shooting for their eight
    consecutive win, as Marquette is still suffering offense lapses sans departed G
    Vander Blue (14.8 ppg). Xavier’s super-smooth 6-3 soph G Semaj Christon
    should control the tempo, while slimmer & more agile Western Michigan
    transfer 6-10 jr. C Matt Stainbrook (dropped nearly 50 pounds; 11.4 ppg, 8.5
    rpg) outmanuevers Marquette’s lumbering 6-11, 275-pound C Chris Otule. 12-
    DNP

    IOWA 83 - Northwestern 54—Even though this Big Ten tilt is “sandwiched”
    between Wisconsin & Ohio State for Iowa, still not dissuaded from laying the
    lumber vs. offensively-challenged NW, still bruised after being hammered in its
    first two conference games (home vs. Wisconsin, at Michigan). High-powered,
    balanced, deep & tough-boarding Iowa (88.7 ppg; 11 Hawkeyes playing 10+
    mpg; +10.5 rpg) should destroy the overmatched Wildcats, lacking any real
    “back door” capabilities and hitting a combined 9 of 39 from downtown vs. the
    Badgers & Wolverines. 12-Iowa +1 70-50, IOWA -8 71-57, Iowa -9' 73-59 (CTneut.)
    CABLE TV—ESPNU

    Michigan 70 - NEBRASKA 69—Though Michigan has managed to survive
    in victories at Minnesota and lowly Northwestern sans preseason A-A 6-10 C
    Mitch McGary (out due to back surgery), still interested in taking 4+ hoops with
    capable NU, thrilled to be playing its Big Ten home opener after a rough threegame
    road trip (at Cincy, Iowa & Ohio State). Anticipate a difference-making
    performance from the Huskers’ talented 6-6 soph G Shavon Shields (11.9 ppg,
    5.1), who had only 4 pts. before fouling out of 84-53 blowout loss at Ohio State
    last Saturday. Note, NU is a solid 8-3 as home underdog the L1+Ys, including
    five consecutive covers vs. Big Ten foes down the stretch LY. 12-MICH -21' 62-
    47 CABLE TV—ESPN

    CS NORTHRIDGE over UC Davis by 4 to 6—12-Ucd +6 74-71, UCD -2' 73-61

    CS FULLERTON over UC Riverside by 7 to 10—12-CSF -14' 71-69, Csf -4' 79-67

    Stanford over OREGON ST. by 3 to 5—12-STAN -9' 81-73, Stan -1' 82-72

    Arizona St. 83 - SOUTHERN CAL 76—Though USC’s new HC Andy
    Endfield publicly called out his Gs after they were seriously outplayed by
    UCLA’s backcourt in the Trojans’ 107-73 blasting at Westwood Sunday, no
    guarantee the USC backcourt bounces back vs. ASU’s ball-swishing tandem of
    5-10 soph Jahii Carson (18.7 ppg; 51% from arc) & Jermaine Marshall (15.4
    ppg; 45% from 3-point land). Up front, the Sun Devils’ more-agile 7-2, 256-
    pound sr. C Jordan Bachynski (12.1 ppg, 9.3 rpg) should take advantage of the
    Trojans’ 7-2, 270-pound counterpart Omar Oraby, who could be hampered by a
    lingering ankle injury. ASU was a sterling 8-1 as a visiting dog LY. 12-ASU -4
    98-93 (OT), USC -2' 57-56

    CAL POLY SLO over Hawaii by 1 to 3—12-SLO -6' 88-59, Slo +3' 64-61

    SAINT MARY’S 72 - Santa Clara 66—This matchup of ancient Bay Area
    rivals has not worked the past few years for Santa Clara, which has not been
    able to cope with the raw physicality of recent SMC editions. But the Gaels are
    more finesse-oriented this season. And WCC sources suggest that Randy
    Bennett’s squad now misses the leadership that graduated PG Matthew
    Dellavedova (with the NBA Cavs) provided in recent years, as SMC has
    dropped 4 of its last 6 SU and vs. the line. Some recent Santa Clara efforts
    (including very competitive game at Gonzaga) suggest the Broncos might be on
    the upswing, with emergence of jr. G Brandon Clark (17.1 ppg) and frosh G
    Jared Brownridge (15.9 ppg) now providing HC Kerry Keating with multiple goto
    scoring options. 12-Stm -2 84-63, STM -10' 80-67

    Loyola-Marymount over SAN DIEGO by 1 to 3—12-USD -6' 78-70, Usd+1 69-68 (OT)

    PACIFIC over San Francisco by 5 to 7—12-PAC -3' 67-59

    OREGON 81 - California 77—Sure, U of O is in a chippy mood after
    suffering its first loss of the campaign in its come-from-ahead 100-91 setback
    at Colorado on Sunday. But still attracted to dangerous underdog Cal, which
    has maintained a voodoo spell over the Ducks, with its amazing 10-game series
    win skein! The careful Bears (only 10.4 TOs pg)—guided by unflappable sr. PG
    Justin Cobbs (14.4 ppg, 5.9 apg)—prevents many transition hoops off
    mistakes, while relentless 6-10 sr. F Richard Soloman (11.5 ppg, 10.5) holds his
    own on the glass with the U of O “bigs.” 12-CAL -1' 58-54, Cal +6 48-46

    Gonzaga over PORTLAND by 11 to 14—12-Gon -15' 71-49, GON -26 81-52 CABLE TV—ESPNU

    ★★★ UC Irvine 75 - LONG BEACH ST. 67—Long Beach has been making
    some noise since 6-5 UCLA transfer Tyler Lamb (20.8 ppg) became eligible in
    mid-December, winning three of its last four SU after losing its previous nine.
    But Big West sources are not jumping on the 49er bandwagon just yet, citing
    ongoing shooting woes (even with the volume-shooting Lamb in the lineup),
    reflected in sub-40% accuracy and its woeful 27.6% beyond the arc. Unless the
    Beach can hit from the perimeter, don’t see the 49ers scoring a lot of points
    close to the bucket against bigger a UCI squad that now owns a deluxe rim
    protector in 7-6 frosh Mamadou Ndiaye, who is making quite an impact despite
    being on the floor for not quite half of the game (10 ppg, 6 rpg, and almost 4
    blocks pg, while averaging just 19 minutes of action). The well-balanced
    Anteaters are also getting lots of use from frosh G Luke Nelson (12 ppg). 12-
    LBS -4' 81-59, UCI -3 72-69, Uci +1 67-60 (CT-neut.)
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358283

      #17
      THE GOLD SHEET

      PRO BASKETBALL

      Miami 106 - NEW YORK 90—New York’s home record (4-12 SU, 3-13 vs.
      the points) speaks for itself, and division-leading Miami should be on guard after
      the Knicks took 3 of 4 against the Heat last season. N.Y. regained services of
      high-scoring F Carmelo Anthony and managed to upset the Spurs at San
      Antonio, came back the next night with a good effort at Houston, then won at
      Dallas Sunday. N.Y. got help in those games from G Iman Shumpert, who had
      an unexpectedly hot hand (21 ppg on 22 of 29 FGs in Texas). Still, Anthony
      “tugged on Superman’s cape” in scoring 37 ppg in his 3 appearances against the
      Heat last season, and LeBron James won’t forget. Miami is best-shooting team
      in the league, while the Knicks rank 28th in defensive FG percentage. 12-NY +6
      104-84 (198), Ny +9 112-92 (200), Mia -4' 99-93 (196), Ny +1' 102-90 (193) TV—
      TNT

      Oklahoma City 109 - DENVER 97—Denver struggling under first-year HC
      Brian Shaw, as the Nuggets have dropped 8 of last 10 SU and vs. the number
      thru Jan. 6, including a 1-5 spread mark last 6 at the Pepsi Center. Recent
      suspension (and attempt to trade) vet backup PG Andre Miller an indication
      Shaw has had a stormy maiden voyage in the league, and management can’t be
      happy with the Nuggets’ losing record at this juncture after a 57-25 mark last
      season. Thunder adjusting to loss of PG Russell Westbrook, as Reggie Jackson
      and vet Derek Fisher are filling in for the injured all-star, and OKC was 10-0 SU
      as a road favorite and had won 8 straight in any role on the road (7-1 vs. the
      points) prior to visiting Utah on Tuesday night. 13-OKC -9 115-113 (213), Okc
      -2' 105-93 (208); 12-OKC -8' 117-97 (209), DEN +1 121-118 (OT-209), DEN +1'
      105-103 (219), Den +9' 114-104 (217) TV—TNT
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358283

        #18
        PGA Tour tees up for Sony Open in Hawaii
        by Freddy Wander

        Sony Open in Hawaii

        Tees Off: Thursday, January 9
        Waialae Country Club – Honolulu, HI
        Odds to Win Tournament

        Golfer Odds
        Adam Scott 15-to-2
        Matt Kuchar 12-to-1
        Zach Johnson 12-to-1
        Jordan Spieth 13-to-1
        Tim Clark 20-to-1
        Charles Howell III 20-to-1
        Jason Dufner 20-to-1
        Chris Kirk 25-to-1
        Harris English 25-to-1
        Jimmy Walker 30-to-1
        Hideki Matsuyama 30-to-1
        Brendon de Jonge 40-to-1
        Marc Leishman 40-to-1
        Brian Gay 45-to-1
        Bo Van Pelt 50-to-1
        K.J. Choi 50-to-1
        John Senden 50-to-1
        Scott Piercy 50-to-1
        Rory Sabbatini 50-to-1
        Boo Weekley 50-to-1
        John Huh 60-to-1
        Carl Pettersson 60-to-1
        Russell Henley 60-to-1
        Vijay Singh 60-to-1
        Roberto Castro 60-to-1
        Ryo Ishikawa 60-to-1
        Ryan Palmer 60-to-1
        Jeff Overton 60-to-1
        Chris Stroud 60-to-1
        Matt Every 60-to-1
        Brian Stuard 60-to-1
        8 golfers 80-to-1
        6 golfers 100-to-1
        2 golfers 125-to-1
        Kenny Perry 150-to-1
        Guan Tianlang 1,000-to-1
        FIELD (Any other golfer) 3-to-1

        Both Tiger Woods and Rory McIlroy will miss the first PGA tournament with a full field in 2014, as the Tour travels to Honolulu for Thursday's Sony Open. The par-70 Waialae Country Club has always been a low-scoring course, as evidenced by the minus-24 winning score from last year’s tournament by PGA rookie Russell Henley. Look for a shootout on the island and keep an eye on a few of the following players:

        Golfers to Watch

        Adam Scott (15/2): Scott was recently voted the best golfer of 2013 by the Golf Writers Association of America and followed up the distinction with a T6 finish in the Hyundai Tournament of Champions last weekend, also played in Hawaii. An American has won this tournament in each of the past five years, but Scott could very well break that streak this weekend.

        Zach Johnson (12/1): Johnson has been on an absolute tear since this past summer and has placed in the top-10 in nine of his 13 events since missing the cut in last year’s U.S. Open. He has won his past two events (Hyundai Tournament of Champions, Northwestern Mutual World Challenge) and won this Sony Open tournament back in 2009 by shooting 15 under par and closing the week with a 65, 66 and 65.

        Russell Henley (60/1): Henley blew up the golf world with his record-breaking score the first time he played in this tournament, which included three rounds of 63. But he has not done much since then, missing the cut a total of eight times in 27 tournaments. He put up his best effort of this season this past weekend with a 27th-place finish in Kapalua, but faltered on Monday with a 75.

        Charles Howell III (20/1): Howell already has three top-7 finishes in five tournaments this season after only two top-7's over 26 events last year. But one of the two great finishes was his T3 showing at last year's Sony Open. Howell has been spectacular at this tournament with six top-5 finishes over the past nine years, but has never been able to capture first place.

        Tim Clark (20/1): Clark finished in the top-10 only three times last season while missing eight of 20 cuts, but had a T2 finish in the McGladrey Classic two tournaments ago. He was the runner-up in Sony Open tourney in his past two attempts (2011, 2013), shooting an impressive 21-under par in last year’s event. That score was at least four strokes better than any golfer other than Russell Henley. This could be Clark’s chance to get back in the winner’s circle for the first time since 2010, when he won The Players Championship.
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358283

          #19
          PGA betting: Sony Open From Hawaii preview and picks
          by Matt Fargo

          The PGA Tour makes its stop in Honolulu this week for the Sony Open in Hawaii.

          While we are just in our second tournament of 2014, we are actually in the eighth tournament of the season with the new wrap around schedule. Zach Johnson shot a final round 66 to win the Hyundai Tournament of Champions by one stroke over Jordan Spieth, his third win worldwide in his last six starts. The tour remains on the island for the second leg of the Hawaii swing with the Sony Open from Waialae Golf Course in Honolulu.

          Waialae Country Club is a 7,044-yard, par 70 track that was opened in 1927 as a way to get more tourism to Hawaii and has hosted the Hawaii Open since its inception in 1965. While the course is short in length, it get its toughness from very narrow fairways and winds that can be troublesome. The wind was not an issue last year though as rookie Russell Henley won going away as his 256 (-24) broke the tournament record by four shots.

          You won't see many big names and you will see a lot of rookies, 24 in all, who will all be out trying to do what Henley did - win in their first start on tour. Of the 30 champions from last season who played last week, only 18 are making the trip from Kapalua, all for various reasons. The biggest being the west coast swing starts next week and flying back after this event gives little time for prep for the Humana Challenge which involves three courses. Six of the top 25 players in this week's world rankings are in play this week.

          Matt Kuchar (+1,400) is one of the favorites and I think he has the best chance over Adam Scott and Zach Johnson. Kuchar finished T6 at Kapalua as a third round 75 did him in but it was a good tuneup for this week. He has been one of the most consistent golfers the last few years and last season was a microcosm of that as he won twice, had eight top tens and didn't miss a cut in 23 starts. He had a T5 here in both 2013 and 2011.

          Charles Howell III (+2,000) is still in search of his first ever PGA Tour victory and he came close a few times early last year including here. He finished T3 which came after a T2 in 2012 and those two finishes are part of seven career top fives. He was also a runner up in 2007. He has already been busy in the 2014 tour schedule as he has not missed a cut in five starts and has three top sevens to his credit.

          Tim Clark (+2,200) has already played in five events with a T2 at The McGladrey Classic showing he is in good form. He is coming off an average 2013 but his track record here is solid with a T12 in 2009, a T25 in 2010 and a T2 in 2011. His best though was last year with a solo second behind Henley as his final round 63 wasn't good enough. Long known for a short but accurate driver off the tee, it makes sense that he has thrived at Waialae.

          Chris Kirk (+2,800) won The McGladrey Classic in November, his second tour win, which got him into the field at the Hyundai last week. He was tied for the lead after the first day but a second round 75 knocked him out of contention. He had a very solid 2013 season with a runner up at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro Am and overall he had 11 top 25's in 24 events with just four missed cuts. Finished T5 here last year.

          A longshot won it last year but backing another rookie is not a good option so we will go with Chris Stroud (+5,000). He already has a pair of T3 finishes this year, one at the CIMB Classic and one at the OHL Classic at Mayakoba. While he did miss the cut at the Sony last year, he finished T13 in 2012 so he has clearly played well here and now that he is in good early form, his first PGA Tour win could be here.

          Recommended Tournament Win Five Pack at the Sony Open in Hawaii - All for 1 Unit

          Matt Kuchar (+1,400)

          Charles Howell III (+2,000)

          Tim Clark (+2,200)

          Chris Kirk (+2,800)

          Chris Stroud (+5,000)
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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358283

            #20
            NBA TNT doubleheader: Heat at Knicks, Thunder at Nuggets

            Miami Heat at New York Knicks (N/A)

            The last thing the stumbling New York Knicks need is a distraction - but they have one looming as they prepare to host the Miami Heat on Thursday evening. The Knicks are reportedly looking to deal enigmatic guard J.R. Smith following his latest discretion - untying Greg Monroe's shoe during New York's 89-85 win over Detroit and earning a $50,000 fine in the process. The Knicks will have their hands full with a Heat team looking to build on its three-game winning streak.

            While the Knicks continue their slow implosion in a year when a top-4 seed in the East is up for grabs, the Heat are rolling along in what looks more than ever like a showdown with the Indiana Pacers in the conference finals. The two-time defending NBA champions steamrolled the New Orleans Hornets 107-88 on Tuesday night to improve to 3-1 in the new year. Not even home-court advantage is on the side of the Knicks, who are 5-12 at Madison Square Garden.

            TV: 8 p.m. ET, TNT

            ABOUT THE HEAT (27-8): Miami has long been known for using a small-ball lineup, but head coach Erik Spoelstra isn't afraid to clog the paint. With Chris Bosh and Chris Andersen in at the same time, the Heat limited New Orleans to one offensive rebound over the final 24 minutes of the rout. "It wouldn't be as effective now if (Bosh) hasn't had the evolution that he's had," Spoelstra told the Miami Herald. "He knows how to play on the perimeter now, he knows how to play with another big that doesn't compromise our spacing and he can still get to the rim."

            ABOUT THE KNICKS (12-22): Smith's tumultuous tenure with the Knicks appears to be coming to an end following his shenanigans against the Pistons. Head coach Mike Woodson referred to Smith's tactics as "unacceptable" in an interview on an ESPN New York radio show. "I'm not happy about this, because he was warned, he comes back and he makes the same mistake, and it's not right," Woodson said. "It's just got to stop. I keep saying this every time something pops up, but it's got to stop."

            TRENDS:

            * Under is 7-0 in the last seven meetings in New York.
            * Favorite is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings.
            * Knicks are 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall.
            * Over is 9-2 in Heat last 11 vs. NBA Atlantic.

            BUZZER BEATERS:

            1. New York has won four of the previous six meetings, while the road team has prevailed in three straight.

            2. Bosh averages 20.3 points and 8.7 rebounds in 36 career games against the Knicks.

            3. Miami is 21-5 when scoring 100 or more points, while New York is just 7-5.

            Oklahoma City Thunder at Denver Nuggets (+3, 209)

            Kevin Durant is doing his part to make up for the loss of Russell Westbrook but the Oklahoma City Thunder are still finding it more difficult to win. The Thunder will look to bounce back from a tough loss when they visit the red-hot Denver Nuggets on Thursday. Durant put up an NBA season-high 48 points at Minnesota on Saturday and matched that number at Utah on Tuesday, but Oklahoma City only got the win in one of those contests.

            The Thunder won their first two after Westbrook went down but dropped three of the next five, including the 112-101 loss at Utah on Tuesday in which they were burned down the stretch by Gordon Hayward. “That’s not how we play,” coach Scott Brooks said of the poor defensive effort. “That’s not what makes us successful. I knew the guys were going to battle back and make a game out of it. We had a chance to cut it to two or three but our defense gave up 58 percent shooting.” Oklahoma City will need to tighten things up against a Nuggets squad averaging 125.7 points during a three-game winning streak.

            TV: 10:30 p.m. ET, TNT

            ABOUT THE THUNDER (27-8): Durant has gone for 33 or more points in five of the seven games since Westbrook went out with a knee injury and Reggie Jackson is producing in the point guard spot but the absence of Serge Ibaka (flu-like symptoms) on Tuesday hurt the defense. “(I want to see) toughness and even more toughness and some fight,” Durant said. “We just have to stay together. We lost a basketball game on the road. It’s not the end of the world. … We just have to regroup and be better next game.” Oklahoma City had won eight in a row on the road before falling to the Jazz.

            ABOUT THE NUGGETS (17-17): Denver cleared the air with a series of meetings around the New Year and is surging in the last three games. The Nuggets destroyed the Boston Celtics 129-98 on Tuesday after putting up 137 points on the Los Angeles Lakers in the previous contest. “Coach let us hoop,” forward Kenneth Faried said of the difference the last few games. “He just let us get out and play. He figured out that this altitude (in Denver) is a killer for teams and the personnel that we have is people who will get out and run, play great defense, and it’s fun when we do that instead of just calling plays all the time.”

            TRENDS:

            * Under is 6-1-1 in the last eight meetings in Denver.
            * Thunder are 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings.
            * Over is 4-0 in Nuggets last four overall.
            * Thunder are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a S.U. loss.

            BUZZER BEATERS:

            1. The Thunder won in Denver 105-93 on Dec. 17 and have taken each of the first two meetings this season.

            2. Faried is averaging 18 points on 69 percent shooting over the past three games.

            3. Oklahoma City G Thabo Sefolosha is dealing with a finger injury and is just 5-for-22 from the field in the last three games.
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358283

              #21
              Memphis at Louisville: What bettors need to know

              Memphis Tigers at Louisville Cardinals (-9.5)

              Louisville just went through some turmoil off the court with the dismissal of Chane Behanan but looks just fine on the court after back-to-back road wins to begin American Athletic Conference play. The eighth-ranked Cardinals will play the first of three straight at home when they host No. 22 Memphis on Thursday. The Tigers are one of the few teams comfortable playing at Louisville’s fast tempo and look to shake off a tough loss.

              Memphis averages 80.5 points but shot 33.3 percent in a 69-53 home loss to Cincinnati on Saturday - 20 point below its previous season low. “There is no time to have a pity party because our schedule is getting tougher and tougher,” Tigers coach Josh Pastner said. “We go on the road to play at Louisville and then at Temple. Those are going to be tough games, and we have a lot to work on before then.” The Cardinals average 84.9 points and knocked off Central Florida and Rutgers to begin conference play.

              TV: 7 p.m. ET, ESPN

              LINE: Louisville opened at -9.5 with some markets dealing -10.

              ABOUT MEMPHIS (10-3, 1-1 AAC, 6-5 ATS): The Tigers lean heavily on senior guards Michael Dixon Jr., Chris Crawford, Joe Jackson and Geron Johnson, and the four combined to go 14-for-49 from the floor against Cincinnati. “Our four senior guards have to play better if we are going to win games,” Pastner said. “The big picture is that simple.” Memphis shoots just 29.2 percent from 3-point range and is at its best when the guards can get into the lane for easy baskets, something that could be easier with Behanan gone from the Cardinals.

              ABOUT LOUISVILLE (13-2, 2-0, 7-6 ATS): Behanan was a big part of the Cardinals’ run to the national championship last season but began the 2013-14 campaign with a suspension and played in 12 games before being dismissed from the team earlier this week. “We lost a terrific young man in many respects,” coach Rick Pitino said. “Between the lines, he gave great effort and was a great teammate, a wonderful young man to be around.” Behanan is reportedly heading to Houston to work with former NBA coach and player John Lucas, who runs a drug and alcohol treatment program.

              TRENDS:

              * Tigers are 5-0-1 ATS in the last six meetings in Louisville.
              * Over is 4-1 in the last five meetings.
              * Tigers are 7-2-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
              * Underdog is 6-2-1 ATS in the last nine meetings.

              TIP-INS:

              1. Louisville G Russ Smith has gone over 20 points in each of the first two AAC games.

              2. Jackson is shooting a career-low 24.2 percent from beyond the arc.

              3. The Cardinals won at the Tigers 87-78 behind 22 points from Behanan last season.
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358283

                #22
                Arizona at UCLA: What bettors need to know

                Arizona Wildcats at UCLA Bruins (+2)

                Arizona should be looking for payback when the top-ranked Wildcats visit No. 25 UCLA for a Pac-12 game Thursday night. Arizona was swept in three games against the Bruins last season, but UCLA hardly had a chance to celebrate its final victory as Jordan Adams suffered a season-ending foot injury on the final play of the conference tournament semifinal. Adams is back and looking better than ever, leading the Bruins in scoring at 18.7 points and ranking third in the nation in steals at 3.5.

                The Bruins were led last season by the freshmen trio of Adams, Shabazz Muhammad and Kyle Anderson and this year it’s Arizona that has put a lot on the shoulders of freshman forward Aaron Gordon. He has passed many of the tests so far, averaging 12.8 points and eight rebounds while giving the Wildcats an edge on defense they lacked last season. Muhammad has moved on to the professional ranks, but Anderson is still with the Bruins and the 6-foot-9 swingman is averaging 15.1 points, 8.9 rebounds and 6.6 assists, numbers that have NBA scouts drooling at his potential.

                TV: 9 p.m. ET, ESPN

                LINE: The Bruins opened as 1-point home underdogs and have been bet up to +2.

                ABOUT ARIZONA (15-0, 2-0 Pac-12, 10-4 ATS): Nick Johnson hasn’t had much individual success in his previous six games against the Bruins, shooting 34.5 percent from the floor, compared to 42.6 for his career. The leading scorer for the Wildcats could be in line for a breakout game after scoring a career-high 24 points in Saturday’s nine-point victory against Washington, including six in the final 3:25 after the Huskies had cut the deficit to two. Gabe York watched all three UCLA games from the bench last season but now the sophomore guard from Southern California is in the rotation, averaging 7.2 points in 19.2 minutes and should be pumped for his first action against the Bruins.

                ABOUT UCLA (12-2, 1-0, 8-5 ATS): The freshmen to watch for the Bruins this season are backup guards Zach LaVine, who has risen to third on the team in scoring (12.4), and Bryce Alford, who is coming off a season-high 20 points in Sunday’s blowout win against USC to move up to fifth (7.8). They’ve taken the second- and third-most 3-pointers on the team behind Adams, with LaVine shooting 45.3 percent and Alford at 48.8. If the Bruins weren’t so deep in the backcourt with Adams, Anderson and junior Norman Powell, the freshmen would be deserving of a starting spot.

                TRENDS:

                * Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.
                * Home team is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
                * Wildcats are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in UCLA.
                * Underdog is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

                TIP-INS:

                1. UCLA is 14-6 against Arizona since the start of the 2005-06 season.

                2. Arizona has outrebounded its opponent in every game this season.

                3. The Wildcats have limited their opponents to 28.2 percent from beyond the arc this season.
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                Comment

                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358283

                  #23
                  NBA

                  Hot teams
                  -- Miami won five of its last six games (1-4 last five AF). Knicks won three of last four games, but are 4-13 vs spread at home.
                  -- Denver won its last three games, by 3-22-31 points.

                  Cold Teams
                  -- Thunder lost three of their last five games.

                  Series records
                  -- Knicks won three of last four games with Miami.
                  -- Thunder is 2-0 vs Denver this year, winning by 2-12 points.

                  Totals
                  -- Last three New York games stayed under the total.
                  -- Five of last six Denver games went over the total.
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                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 358283

                    #24
                    NHL

                    Hot teams
                    -- Sabres won their last five home games.
                    -- Carolina won its last four games, all by one goal.
                    -- Lightning won eight of its last eleven games.
                    -- Ducks won 14 of their last 15 games.
                    -- Blues won their last six games, scoring 27 goals.
                    -- Minnesota won its last three games, allowing five goals.
                    -- Red Wings won three of their last four road games. San Jose won last five home games.

                    Cold teams
                    -- Panthers lost five of their last seven games.
                    -- Dallas Stars lost four of their last five games. Devils lost five of their last seven.
                    -- Maple Leafs lost last two games, outscored 12-4.
                    -- Washington lost six of its last seven games.
                    -- Nashville lost three of its last four games.
                    -- Flames lost five of their last six games.
                    -- Coyotes lost five of their last seven games.
                    -- Bruins lost three of their last four road games. Los Angeles lost six of last seven games.

                    Totals
                    -- Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Florida games.
                    -- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Devil games; last three Dallas games went over.
                    -- Over is 4-0-1 in last five Toronto games.
                    -- Four of last five Tampa Bay games went over total.
                    -- Last four Anaheim games went over the total.
                    -- Over is 7-2-1 in last ten St Louis games.
                    -- Three of last four Phoenix games went over the total.
                    -- Over is 5-0-4 in last nine Boston games.
                    -- Over is 4-1-1 in last six Detroit games.

                    Series records
                    -- Panthers are 4-3 in their last seven visits to Buffalo.
                    -- Devils are 5-4 in their last nine games with Dallas.
                    -- Hurricanes won five of last seven games with Toronto.
                    -- Lightning lost its last four games with Washington.
                    -- Ducks won last three games vs Nashville, allowing five goals.
                    -- Blues won five of their last seven games with Calgary.
                    -- Wild won four of last six visits to Phoenix.
                    -- Bruins beat LA 3-0/4-2 LY, after losing previous five meetings.
                    -- Sharks won seven of last nine games with Detroit.
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                    Comment

                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 358283

                      #25
                      Bruins at Kings What bettors need to know

                      Boston Bruins at Los Angeles Kings (-127. 5)

                      After stumbling out of the blocks, the Boston Bruins look to regain their footing when they continue their brutal three-game road trip through the Golden State on Thursday against the Los Angeles Kings. The Bruins' bid to hand Anaheim its first regulation home loss fell short on Tuesday as the Ducks scored four special teams goals en route to a 5-2 victory. Boston's road doesn't get much easier as Los Angeles boasts a 14-5-3 mark at Staples Center while Saturday's foe - San Jose - owns a 15-1-3 home record.

                      While the Bruins have lost four of their last five road games, the Kings suffered their sixth setback in seven contests (1-5-1) with a 2-1 shootout loss to Minnesota on Tuesday. Los Angeles, which has mustered just 10 goals in the seven-game stretch, is 1-0-1 on its five-game homestand that concludes with dates against Detroit (Saturday) and Vancouver (Monday).

                      TV: 10:30 p.m. ET, NESN (Boston), FSW (Los Angeles)

                      ABOUT THE BRUINS (28-13-2): Loui Eriksson altered his wardrobe during Wednesday's practice, replacing his no-contact green jersey for a more traditional grey one. The Swede has been sidelined since Dec. 7 after he suffered his second concussion of the season. Milan Lucic was also participating in practice, one day after sitting out versus Anaheim with an illness.

                      ABOUT THE KINGS (26-13-5): Jeff Carter set up Los Angeles' lone tally on Tuesday and has eight goals in his last 13 contests. Carter's play notwithstanding, the Kings' sputtering power play has been cause for concern as it has converted just five times in the last 65 opportunities. Former Conn Smythe Trophy winner Jonathan Quick, who is 5-2-0 in his career versus the Bruins, has yielded just two goals on 45 shots since returning from a 24-game absence due to a groin injury.

                      TRENDS:
                      * Bruins are 4-1 in their last five vs. Western Conference.
                      * Kings are 4-0 in their last four vs. Eastern Conference.
                      * Over is 6-0 in Bruins last six road games.
                      * Under is 7-1-3 in Kings last 11 home games.

                      OVERTIME:
                      1. Boston LW Daniel Paille has collected four goals and an assist in his last five contests. Prior to this surge, Paille tallied three times and set up two others in 31 games.

                      2. Los Angeles C Mike Richards is mired in a 19-game goalless drought.

                      3. The Bruins have yielded seven power-play goals in their last four contests.
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                      Comment

                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 358283

                        #26
                        NCAAB

                        Thursday, January 9

                        Louisville won its last four games with Memphis, beating Tigers by 8-9 points the last two years. Only once in last nine series games was game won by more than nine points. This is first home game in three weeks for the Cardsinals, who force turnovers 25.5% of time (#3 in US)- they won first two AAC games by 25-7 points. Memphis got spanked in its last game by Cincy- they're 2-3 vs top 100 teams, losing by 21-2-16.

                        Florida State won its last four games vs Clemson; their 71-66 win LY at Clemson was just their second in last 10 visits to Littlejohn. Seminoles lost ACC opener by 12 at home to Virginia; they're 2-4 vs teams in top 100, beating VCU/UMass- they turn ball over 22.2% of time. Clemson leads country with 38.9 defensive eFG%; they won ACC opener by a hoop at Boston College.

                        LaSalle won its last four games with George Washington, winning three games by 9+ points; Colonials lost last two visits here by 14-15 points. GW is 4-2 vs top 100 teams, losing to K-State/Marquette; they're 2-1 on road, winning at Manhattan/Hofstra, losing by 17 at K-State. LaSalle is not shooting well; their eFG% is #303 in country; they're 0-6 vs teams in top 100-- best win was over #116 Stony Brook.

                        Pepperdine (+7) made 13-24 from arc in 80-74 win over BYU ten days ago, its first win in five games vs BYU in WCC play. Cougars won by 38-25 points in its two games played here- they lost four of last five games overall, allowing an average of 87 ppg before whacking San Diego by 34 in its home opener in WCC play. Waves are 3-1 in WCC, losing by 10 at San Francisco in its last game.

                        UCLA was 3-0 vs Arizona LY, winning by 11-5-2 points, but Wildcats have PG who passes ball now, and Alford is Bruins' new coach. UCLA hammered USC by 34 in Pac-12 opener; they're shooting 40.7% from arc, are #1 in country with 58.1eFG%. Arizona won at San Diego State by 9, Michigan by 2 in its only true road games; their eFG% defense is #2 in country, so something has to give here.

                        Marquette is 0-6 vs top 50 teams, with five losses by 6+ points; they're 1-3 in true road games, with only win by 20 at Cal-Fullerton way back on Nov 28. Eagles' best win was over George Washington on a neutral floor. Xavier won its last seven games, winning first couple Big East tilts by 10-11 points over Butler/St John's; Musketeers are 12-3, with all the losses at Thanksgiving tourney in the Bahamas.

                        Michigan won its first two Big Dozen games with Nebraska by 16-15 points, as Cornhuskers adjust to new league; Wolverines won last four games, are 1-2 on road, winning by 3 at Minnesota, losing at Iowa State, Duke. Nebraska lost last three games by 15-10-31 points, losing 84-53 at Ohio State in its Big Dozen opener. when Coach Miles talks publicly about need to go out recruiting, you know Huskers are still talent-shy.

                        Arizona State won three of last four games with USC; last three were all decided by 5 or less points; Sun Devils are 1-6 in last seven visits here, losing by 9-14-12-10-16-1. Trojams lost by 34 to UCLA in rivalry game Sunday; they're 2-4 vs top 100 teams, beating Xavier/Dayton. ASU is on road for first time in month; they won by 6 at UNLV, at DePaul by 22 and are 1-2 in neutral court games.

                        LMU (-5) beat San Diego 65-62 Dec 20, despite Toreros making 10-21 from arc; USD won last three games with LMU by 3-1-8 points; Lions lost four of last six visits here, lost last four road games overall, losing by 14-5 points in first two WCC road games last week. Toreros scored 59.7 ppg in losing last three games- they're 2-6 in last eight games, losing by 34 at BYU in last game.

                        California won its last 11 games with Oregon, nipping Ducks twice LY, by 4-2 points; Bears lost first two road games at UCSB/Creighton, but won 69-62 at Stanford in Pac-12 opener. Ducks lost at Colorado by 9 in last game; three of their last six wins came in OT; they're making 41.1% from arc, 53.4% inside arc, but lost Cal's last five visits here. Bears are 0-3 vs top 50 teams, with all three losses by 11+ points.

                        Gonzaga is 20-0 vs Portland over last decade, winning last ten visits to Chiles Center, with eight of 10 wins by 12+ points. Bulldogs won first four WCC games, all by 14+ points, but they were all at home- this is their first true road game (lost to K-State in KC). Portland is playing its 5th straight WCC home game, losing three of first four, by 6-8-9 with a win over Pacific.

                        Quinnipiac is 3-1 in its first year in MAAC, winning last two games by 17-12 points, whacking Iona last game (up 22 at half); statistically the Bobcats are best rebounding team in country (#3 offense, #2 defense). Manhattan won its last eight games; they're 4-0 in MAAC, with all four wins by 9+ points. Jaspers scored 81.8 ppg in last four games; they are best team in country at getting to foul line, make 72.8% on the line.

                        North Dakota State won three of last four games with Fort Wayne, but are 2-6 in last eight visits here; Bison are 8-1 vs teams ranked below #50 with only loss by 18 at North Dakota. Fort Wayne won five of last six D-I games; they turn ball over 20.5% of time, but make 39.6% of time, #28 in country. Mastodons are 0-2 vs top 100 teams, losing by total of three points to Dayton/Illinois.
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 358283

                          #27
                          Ecks and Bacon

                          For Thursday E&B are going back to college hoops and like Arizona Pk/UCLA.

                          Ecks and Bacon is 1-1 -$5 for week Eleven and is 38-49-2 -$1371

                          All E&B selections will be for $50 unless noted.
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                          Comment

                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 358283

                            #28
                            Diamond Dog Sports

                            Marquette +4.5

                            NC Greensboro +3
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                            Comment

                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 358283

                              #29
                              Chase Diamond

                              9* La Salle -2½
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                              Comment

                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 358283

                                #30
                                J. Clifton


                                Gonzaga -8
                                Michigan -4
                                La tech -16
                                North Dakota state -6
                                Davidson -11
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