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Saints-Seahawks: Much is being made of the Saints’ 34-7 Week 13 loss at CenturyLink. However, if Sean Payton is half the genius he thinks he is, Hondo is confident proper adjustments will be made. After all, it’s not like the Seahags were unbeatable at home — the Redbirds provided a late-season blueprint on how to do it. And don’t rule out the impact of the weather — there’s a 100 percent chance of rain, which could precipitate an upset. But probably not. Seahawks 28-23. Colts-Patriots: Hate to throw a wet blanket on all the devout believers in St. Andrew, but let’s face it, if it wasn’t for bad Luck (which necessitates many of his comebacks), there wouldn’t be all this talk about great Luck. And now he heads into the Beli of the Beast. Count on Belichick pulling something out of his hoodie that will bring out the bad Luck. The Colts keep it close, but the Luck stops here. Patriots 31-27. 49ers-Panthers: These teams may look like mirror images — dynamic QBs, grind-it-out offenses, smothering defenses — but further reflection shows otherwise. And don’t read too much into the way the Panthers’ Kaepernickel Defense shut down SF’s QB in their Week 10 win. Since then, two key weapons — Vernon Davis and Michael Crabtree — have returned to the Niners, while Steve Smith is now hobbling on a bad knee. It may take the Kaeped Krusader’s (Ric) Flair for the dramatic, but expect San Fran to pin a narrow defeat on the Panthers. 49ers 19-16. Chargers-Broncos: It’s Mile High, so the joint will be jumping, and it will be puffed and passed as well. Freak stat: The last four Super Bowl winners have played the Eagles in their home openers, which would seem to bode well for the Chargers, who saddled the Broncos their only home loss. However, Wes Welker’s return puts Denver’s receiving corps at full strength, which should be enough to prevent Peyton from having to explain another embarrassing early playoff dismissal. SD’s Super dream will go up in smoke, but don’t hesitate to bolt down a bet on the Chargers. Broncos 35-27.
OVERALL ANALYSIS
The Saints overcame the odds of playing outside in a polar climate to snap their road playoff drought and are feeling pretty good about themselves.
"Just knowing that we have to get better and the road to the playoffs and the Super Bowl looks like it's going to go through that place," Brees said of Seattle. "If we want to accomplish what we set out to accomplish, then we better find a way to go there and win. I was just hoping we have another opportunity and here we are with that opportunity."
Brees said scoring points and getting a large enough lead will quiet the Seattle fans known as the 12th man. He has to tame the Seahawks' defense first and that will be an arduous task. Besides, it's tough enough to keep Sherman quiet no matter what the outcome is.
Seattle is well-rested, well-prepared and ready to get back to the NFC Championship game. New Orleans had a great run at the end of the regular season and an impressive Wild Card victory in Philly, but the Saints will go marching back to the Crescent City with another road playoff loss.
OVERALL ANALYSIS
The Pats will be looking to become the first team since the 2001-04 Philadelphia Eagles to go to at least three straight conference championship games and the one constant through New England's remarkable run of success has been Brady, who has won 17 games in the playoffs, the most in NFL history.
"When it comes down to it, the team that plays the best is going to win," said Brady. "In the playoffs, you're playing the best teams. When you play a good team, it's hard to beat a good team when you don't play your best."
Overall Brady is 17-7 in the postseason, an amazing .708 winning percentage against the best competition the NFL has to offer.
Luck is a future superstar and will eventually have his time but Brady is already there and a constant is a constant for a reason.
***Princeton (-8) over PENNSYLVANIA
03:00 PM Pacific Rotation: 599
Princeton qualifies in a very good 101-31-1 ATS first conference games situation that is an even better 78-15-1 ATS since 1997 (and won for us earlier this week on Utah State) and the Tigers have been better on the road under coach Henderson, going 23-10 ATS during his tenure, including 4-0 ATS this season and 5-1 ATS as a road favorite of 6 points or more. The Tigers are better in the 9 games that senior star guard T.J. Bray has played (he missed 4 games), which is not surprising given that Bray averages 17.2 points on 55% shooting (43.5% from 3-point range) while also averaging 6.4 assists per game. Penn, meanwhile, has been without their best player, Darien Nelson-Henry, the last 4 games due to a concussion. The Quakers’ center has been upgraded to questionable but I get Princeton by 8.6 points if Nelson-Henry plays at his normal level and by 10.9 points if he doesn’t play at all. I’ll take Princeton in a 3-Star Best Bet at -9 points or less and for 2-Stars up to -10 points.
Opinion - Alabama (-2 1/2) over GEORGIA
01:00 PM Pacific Rotation: 0
Georgia is coming off an emotional overtime upset victory at Missouri as an 11 1/2 point dog but that unlikely win sets up the Bulldogs in a negative 27-60-4 ATS letdown situation today. My ratings favor Alabama by 2 points and in this case I'm going to insist on getting a fair line to make this a Best Bet. I'll lean with the Crimson Tide at -3 or less and I'd take Alabama in a 2-Star Best Bet at -2 or less.
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