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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358279

    #46
    Warriors try to slow down surging Thunder on Friday
    by Freddy Wander

    Tip-off: Friday, 9:35 p.m. ET
    Line: Oklahoma City -1.5, Total: 207.5

    The Thunder try to win on back-to-back nights against tough Western Conference opponents when they host the Warriors on Friday.

    Golden State is coming back down to earth after a 10-game SU winning streak (7-3 ATS), losing two of its past three games (0-3 ATS). The Warriors played in a shootout on Wednesday night against Denver, eventually losing 123-116 to the 9-point underdog Nuggets while allowing a season-high 54.2% FG. The Thunder just played in a big come-from-behind win against the Rockets on Thursday night as they allowed 73 points in the first half and were trailing by 14 points going into the break, but held Houston to a paltry 19 second-half points, and won easily by a score of 104-92. The victory snapped a three-game road losing streak for Oklahoma City and was only their fourth win in the past nine games. Golden State has won seven of its past eight road games (5-3 ATS) coming into this one and is 13-10 (both SU and ATS) away from home this season. The Thunder have been one of the better home teams in the NBA on the season at 16-3 SU, but are only 10-9 ATS there. These two have already met twice this season with the home team coming away with a one-point victory in each game, but the away team covering ATS and the total going over in both. The Over has gone 8-2 in the past 10 meetings in this series with Oklahoma City going 8-2 SU (7-3 ATS) in those contests. The Warriors have been great as road underdogs over the past three seasons though, going 47-29 ATS (62%) in those situations, but the Thunder have been good to bettors as favorites over the past two seasons with a 65-49 ATS record (57%). C Jermaine O’Neal (wrist) remains out indefinitely for the Warriors while newly acquired SGs Jordan Crawford and MarShon Brooks are both expected to make their Golden State debuts on Friday. PG Russell Westbrook (knee) is likely out until the All-Star break for Oklahoma City.

    Golden State has been a great offensive team for years now and is averaging 107.1 PPG and 46.8% FG in seven January games to improve its season numbers to 103.6 PPG (9th in NBA) on 46.3% FG (7th in league). The Warriors benefit from tremendous three-point shooting and are ranked 3rd in the league in three-pointers made (9.4 per game), while hitting 38.4% of their shots from deep (4th in the NBA). Golden State's strong defense has allowed 99.0 PPG (11th in league) on 43.2% FG (4th in NBA) this season, but gave up its most points since Oct. 31 when it surrendered 123 points to the Nuggets on Wednesday night. PG Stephen Curry (23.0 PPG, 9.2 APG, 4.6 RPG, 1.8 SPG) has been cold over the past five games, making just 36% FG and 26% from behind the arc (12-of-47). However, Curry has averaged 27.0 PPG (44% threes), 8.0 RPG and 7.0 APG in two games versus the Thunder this season, increasing his numbers to 22.9 PPG (49% FG), 6.7 APG and 4.3 RPG in 16 career contests against them. PF David Lee (19.3 PPG, 9.9 RPG) is coming off his fourth double-double (28 points, 11 rebounds) in seven January games, averaging 23.1 PPG on a tremendous 61% FG with 10.9 RPG this month. He has played in 20 career games (17 starts) against Oklahoma City, scoring 16.8 PPG (51% FG) and grabbing 10.8 RPG, but has underperformed in the two games against them this season (15.0 PPG on 35% FG, 8.0 RPG). SG Klay Thompson (19.3 PPG, 41% threes) is one of the league’s biggest threats from long range and has dropped 21.5 PPG (8-of-18 threes) in two games against the Thunder this season. Overall in his young career, he has netted 13.2 PPG (46% FG, 41% threes) in nine games in this series.

    Oklahoma City looks like it could be the team to beat in the Western Conference this season as it has performed admirably with and without star PG Russell Westbrook (21.3 PPG, 7.0 APG, 6.0 RPG). The Thunder are scoring 104.7 PPG on 46.3% FG this season, which both rank sixth in the NBA. Their defense has been solid as well, allowing only 97.6 PPG (7th in league) on a stingy 41.9% FG (2nd in NBA). On Thursday held one of the top offenses in the league (Rockets) to a franchise-low 19 second-half points on 19% FG and 0-of-14 threes. SF Kevin Durant (30.0 PPG, 8.0 RPG, 5.0 APG, 1.5 SPG) is carrying the team on his back right now in averaging 36.8 PPG (44% FG) and 5.4 APG over the past five games. He has shot poorly against the Warriors this season, with 22.5 PPG on 34% FG (2-of-8 threes), but has grabbed 10.0 RPG and dished out 6.5 APG in the two meetings. He has shot much better in his 23 career starts against them though, averaging 29.7 PPG (50% FG, 44% threes), with 8.8 RPG and 5.0 APG. PF Serge Ibaka (14.1 PPG, 9.1 RPG, 2.4 BPG) had a huge game against Houston on Thursday (21 points, 15 rebounds, 5 blocks), and is averaging 16.3 PPG, 13.7 RPG and 4.0 BPG over the past three games. Ibaka has a higher career average against the Warriors (13.1 PPG, 59% FG in 15 games) than he has against any other NBA team while also averaging 8.1 RPG and 2.4 BPG in those contests. Ibaka has been wonderful against Golden State this season with 22.5 PPG (60% FG), 13.0 RPG and 3.5 BPG. PG Reggie Jackson (13.1 PPG, 3.8 RPG, 3.7 APG, 1.1 SPG) has delivered with Westbrook out, and put up 23 points (11-of-19 FG) to go along with six steals against the Rockets on Thursday. He has scored 10.0 PPG (42% FG) in two games versus the Warriors this season while coming off the bench, but is just 1-for-14 from three-point range in his nine career games against them.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358279

      #47
      SPORTS WAGERS NHL

      COLUMBUS -½ +136 over Washington

      Regulation only. The Capitals are among the biggest imposters in the NHL and they are just starting to get exposed now. Washington has dropped seven of its past nine games and 11 of its past 16. One of their two wins over the past nine games came against the then reeling Maple Leafs, 3-2, and the other victory (4-3) occurred against the Lightning with Anders Lindback in net in a game the Caps were outshot 36-20. Over their past nine games, the Capitals have played the Sabres three times and they are 1-2 in those games. Washington is also 0-6 in their last six games playing on one day rest and they are 0-4 when playing its third game in four days. Both those scenarios apply here.

      The Jackets are a well-balanced outfit that has been moving up the standings for weeks. This is a huge game for them in their quest to overtake the teams above them in the standings. Columbus has 48 points and they’re four points back of the Caps for eighth place in the East. A win here and they move within two points of Washington with a game in hand. The Blue Jackets have won four in a row and eight of its past 11 with only losses over that span occurring against Colorado, St. Louis and Pittsburgh with their back-up goaltender in net. Since the return of Sergei Bobrovsky the Blue Jackets are undefeated, while outscoring the opposition 16-8 over four victories. Home team in great form gets the call.
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358279

        #48
        SPORTS WAGERS NBA

        Sacramento +5½ -105 over MEMPHIS

        The Grizzlies have owned the Kings recently with seven wins in a row when playing in Memphis with the average margin of victory being by 16 points. The Grizz has also defeated the Kings in 11 of the past 12 games and right now, Memphis is hot, having won four in a row and five of its past six. Why then, are the Grizzlies just a 5½-point choice over the 14-23 Kings? When you consider that the Grizzlies have been money in the bank recently with seven covers over their past eight games, one could only conclude that this small number is going to attract a lot of Grizzlies money. That’s a big red flag to us.

        The oddsmakers must like the Kings’ chances here or they wouldn’t have put up such a small number and perhaps it’s time we start giving Sacramento some credit. DeMarcus Cousins is playing great. Isaiah Thomas has been spectacular at times. Rudy Gay has shot 62 percent from the field and 46 percent from 3 in his last five games. The Kings have a deeper bench than the Grizzlies, they are superior on the boards and they have recent wins over Portland and Minnesota. With DeMarcus Cousins on the floor and a very decent supporting cast, the Kings are suddenly one of liveliest dogs in the NBA. Cousins is one of the most devastating players in the world. It is a stark contrast from the underperforming player from the past two seasons. His willingness to bang inside and move people out of his way, as well as his ability to finish shots, has placed him into an elite level of post scorer. Cousins has grown immensely as a player; he's now a dominant scorer and rebounder. Of the top 10 double-double players (scoring and rebounding doubles) with just Kevin Love and Blake Griffin have averaged more assists per game than Cousins, so he is influencing the game with his passing as well. This isn’t the same Sacramento team that the Grizzlies have been beating up in the past. Sacramento is well aware of their futility against this squad and they figure to be extra jacked up here in an attempt to get this proverbial monkey off their backs. Line says an upset is a distinct possibility and the points add some insurance.
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358279

          #49
          SBP Original NBA 1/17


          807. Los Angeles Clippers -4
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358279

            #50
            INDIAN COWBOY

            NBA
            7* Boston Celtics -7

            CBB
            3* Canisius +7

            NHL
            Pass
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358279

              #51
              JOE GAVAZZI

              NBA
              Golden State Warriors at OKC Thunder (-1-) 9:35 ET ESPN
              4* Golden State Warriors (+1-)
              Never easy to fade OKC on their home court. But, the truth is that since the loss of Westbrook in late December, the Thunder are just 7-6 SU. That includes 3-3 SU on a home court where OKC won their first 16 games. Victories have come against lowly Milwaukee, Boston, and Houston. Now, they must face a Golden State team who has been on a recent surge. In fact, since the time that OKC lost Westbrook, Golden is 11-2 SU. This despite less than stellar play from a starting backcourt of Thompson and Curry, who have been off their feed of late. Having gone 5-2 ATS on this floor recently, look for the Warriors to take advantage of their backcourt edge and continue the Thunder inconsistency without their fallen leader.

              4* Miami Heat (-10)

              4* LA Clippers (-4)
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358279

                #52
                DHayes2
                NBA Play
                1* Timberwolves PK
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358279

                  #53
                  King Creole NBA Total Fri, 01/17/14 - 8:35 PM
                  dime bet - 818 SAN / 817 POR - OVER 212.0
                  8:35pm ET - 5:35pm PT / #817-818 / PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS @ SAN ANTONIO SPURS
                  1* Play on: OVER THE TOTAL
                  Game Three: We used this game as a Best bet in the current Playbook newsletter.. and we'll stick to our guns
                  and use it as a King gameday play as well. This Portland / San Antonio series has gone 5-1 O/U in
                  the last six meetings. Average MARGIN in those games has been OVER-whelming: +21.2 ppg. That
                  includes this year's earlier meeting in Portland when both teams combined for 220 points. These
                  are two of the league's BEST 'Over' teams for the season. Portland is 27-11 O/U... while San
                  Antonio is 24-14-1 O/U. Since late November, the BLAZERS have gone 18-5 O/U... including a
                  PERFECT 8-0 O/U when playing on the non-division conference ROAD. Portland is also 15-4 O/U
                  this season versus WINNING teams... 6-0 O/U in their last six vs the SOUTHWEST Division... 5-1
                  O/U on Fridays... and 16-5 O/U playing off an ATS win.
                  There's only THREE teams in the NBA who have gone OVER 67% of the time or higher this season
                  in their home games... and San Antonio is ONE of 'em (14-6-1 O/U). They've gone 19-8 O/U this
                  year versus opponents off a SU win. San Antonio is on a current streak in which they've scored
                  MORE than 100 points in EACH of their last ten games. In addition, the SPURS are 20-6-1 O/U in
                  their home games dating back to last season... 7-1-1 O/U after allowing 100+ pts in their last
                  game... 12-3-1 O/U on ONE Day of rest... and 6-1 O/U versus .600 > opponents.
                  Speaking of games involving VERY GOOD teams... the Playbook database reveals that:
                  Since December, NBA games involving a couple of .750 > teams (SPURS / BLAZERS) have gone 7-
                  1 O/U when the OU line is 214 < points.
                  The Spurs are off BB SU wins.. but they failed to get the cash in either game (BB ATS losses).
                  31-11 O/U since 2009: All teams off BB SU wins BUT BB ATS losses (SPURS) when the OU line is
                  1`99 > points. These games have gone 10-1 O/U in the last 12 months.
                  Portland takes to the road off multiple home games in a row.
                  5-0 O/U since December: All .600 > road teams playing off 3 or more HOME games in a row
                  (PORTLAND).
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                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 358279

                    #54
                    Jeff Carson Sports

                    20* Chicago Bulls+4.5
                    20* Miami Heat -10 over Philadelphia
                    20* Charlotte Bobcats-1 over Orlando Magic
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 358279

                      #55
                      XpertPicks

                      FRIDAY
                      TOP HOOPS PLAYS OF THE DAY

                      Play WI-Green Bay -2.5 over Wright State (NCAA)
                      7:00 PM EST

                      Wright State has lost 10 of the last 13 games against the spread and they have also lost 5 of the last 6 games against the spread when playing as an underdog. Wright State has lost 5 of the last 6 games against the spread after having won two of the last three games and they are only averaging 59 points over the last five games.
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 358279

                        #56
                        The Shadow Sports Syndicate

                        NBA:
                        212 Boston -6 1/2
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 358279

                          #57
                          LA Syndicate

                          Over Suns
                          Over Spurs
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 358279

                            #58
                            Chicago Syndicate

                            Bulls
                            Under Lakers
                            Over Kings
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 358279

                              #59
                              H&H Sports

                              Triple Dime Wisconsin Green Bay

                              Double Dime Over Spurs
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 358279

                                #60
                                Alex Smart

                                CBB-
                                Bradley-3.5

                                NBA-
                                Portland/San Antonio under 213
                                Phoenix+2
                                Chicago/Washington over 184.5
                                Utah+6.5
                                Utah/Detroit over 202
                                Clippers-4
                                OKC/Golden State under 207.5

                                NHL-
                                Washington +115
                                Anaheim/Chicago under 6 -120
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