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Andre Gomes | NBA Total
Free pick
502 MIA / 501 BOS Under 199.0 5dimesAnalysis: NBA - 501 Boston Celtics @ 502 Miami Heat
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The key question for this contest: will MIA bounce back defensively after such embarrassing effort last night?
"We scored enough points to win, so obviously it was defense," James said. "Especially in the first half."
On my recap article of that game, I've said:
"However since 01/January, MIA has allowed 122.8 Off. Rtg to GSW at home; 123.0 Off. Rtg to NYK on the road; 130.0 Off. Rtg to WAS last week and yesterday, they allowed 127.5 Off. Rtg to the Hawks - this is a really a bad trend for them!"
Analyzing all those games/losses, there is a common factor...just look for MIA's opponents numbers from 3pts land:
Those teams combined to hit 46-106 3pts - a 43.4% mark! The good news for them is that BOS is one of the worst 3pts teams in the league - ranked #27 w/ 33.2%; L10 games = ranked #28 w/ 28.9% or L5 games = ranked #29 w/ 25.0% 3pts! BOS offense will need some time to adjust to Rondo's presence and MIA has the perfect spot to have a decent defensive game.
On the other side, BOS backcourt defense w/ Rondo & Bradley is quite decent but more importantly, I don't think that MIA is in a good spot to put an offensive show - this will be their 4th game in 5 days (the first time this season that MIA is having such bad physical spot). Therefore, I expect this contest to be a relatively low scoring game and that's why I'm taking the Under in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 501/502 Under 199 @ -110 / 1.91 on 5 Dimes
River city sharps
River city sharps Our systems are giving us the green light on this Butler-Providence game that we are going to see some points scored tonight. There are several interesting systems that we use when looking at our CBB totals, and almost all of them point to this game being played in the 140-145 range. Of particular note...Butler is 17-5 OVER when playing only their 2nd game in a week over the last 2 seasons and the Friars are 11-3 OVER in all home games over the last 2 seasons. Both of these teams have struggled defensively this season and we see a high scoring affair tonight in Rhody. The Sharps say...
The Heat have lost 4 of 5 and now have the big three back in the lineup. This team just knows how to work the schedule. There is no reason for concern when you have James, Wade and Bosh. Teams like Indiana and Miami have no one chasing them in the standings so they can pick and choose when they want to play. Tonight is a game Miami wants to play after losing on a last second 3 in this building in November. I don’t care that Rondo is back. This Celtics team is a shell of what it once was. The only thing that can stop the Heat from a blowout is the Heat themselves. Take Miami
AWAY:HOME:ODDS:TIME:
Notre DameFlorida StateFlorida State -8.5, NA
1/21/2014 8:00 PM
SELECTION:
FLORIDA STATE -8.5
Florida State has been waiting for an opponent like Notre Dame so they can spread it out and go up tempo. Notre Dame is without their leading scorer and with this smothering Noles Defense I expect FSU to put this team away early. Take Florida State
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