1-28-14

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[Can'tPickAWinner]

San Antonio Spurs at Houston Rockets (-1.5, 211)

The Houston Rockets had a rough weekend against the Memphis Grizzlies and things don’t get any easier when they host the San Antonio Spurs on Tuesday. The Rockets are one of the highest scoring teams in the league but were held to an average of 84 points in back-to-back losses to the Grizzlies. The Spurs are battling through injuries and dropped to 1-1 on their three-game road trip with a loss at Miami on Sunday.

San Antonio is down three starters with Kawhi Leonard (hand), Tiago Splitter (shoulder) and Danny Green out (hand) but has enough depth to cover the gaps against weaker clubs. The Spurs have a tendency to get in trouble against teams with legitimate championship aspirations and have suffered their last three losses against Portland, Oklahoma City and Miami. The Rockets want to be one of those teams with championship aspirations but are still working on consistency. “It’s just so frustrating,” Chandler Parsons told reporters. “We can be so good one night and bad the next. That is something that we have to figure out collectively.”

LINE HISTORY: The Rockets opened as 1.5-point home favorites while the total was posted at 211 points.

COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Spurs (-14.0) - Rockets (-11.0) + Home Court (-3.0) = Pick

KEY INJURIES: Spurs: Kawhi Leonard (Out - shoulder), Danny Green (Out - hand), Tiago Splitter (Out - shoulder). Rockets: Francisco Garcia (Questionable - knee), Ronnie Brewer (Doubtful - calf), Omer Asik - (Out - thigh)

WHAT BOOKS SAY: "Seeing a bit more money on the short home favorite in this game. Spurs are off a very disappointing effort in a revenge spot versus the Heat on Sunday - the first time they’ve played the Heat since their seven-game championship series lost back in June. I believe our bettors will be inclined to fade the Spurs after seeing that lackluster performance in a game the Spurs most assuredly wanted to win and came with max effort." - Peter Childs, Sportsbook.

WHAT SHARPS SAY: "The Spurs might have a slight motivation edge as this is a double-revenge game for San Antonio as it has lost both meetings so far this season straight up as a favorite both times. Meanwhile, Houston actually has a double-revenge motive in their next game at Dallas the very next night (Wednesday)." - Steve Merril.

WHY BET THE SPURS (33-11 SU, 22-22 ATS, 26-17-1 O/U): San Antonio blew out Atlanta 105-79 to start its road trip but could not muster the same effort on the defensive end in an NBA Finals rematch against the Heat on Sunday. “The first and third quarter were basically the same,” Spurs coach Gregg Popovich told reporters. “We didn’t do a very good job of starting out defensively. It’s a bad combination if we’re not disciplined enough defensively.” San Antonio ranks fifth in points allowed, at 96.9 points against per game.

WHY BET THE ROCKETS (29-17 SU, 22-22-2 ATS, 21-23-2 O/U): Houston’s starters all scored at least 13 points in the Dec. 25 meeting and James Harden and Chandler Parsons combined to go 8-for-12 from 8-point range. Parsons set an NBA record with 10 3-pointers in a half on Friday against Memphis but the Rockets still suffered an 88-87 home loss, and things got even worse when he cooled off the next night and Houston fell 99-81 on the road. Houston has taken each of the first two meetings this season while scoring an average of 111.5 points.

TRENDS:
* Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Houston.
* Road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
* Spurs are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
* Underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

CONSENSUS PICK: 55 percent of bets are on the Spurs (+1.5) while 60 percent of bets are on the Over.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Hot teams
-- Pelicans won three of their last four games (3-0 last three AU).
-- New York won last two games, after losing previous five (6-10 HF).
-- Spurs won 11 of last 15 games (2-3 in last five).
-- Grizzlies won seven of their last eight games. Portland won seven of their last ten games (2-3 in last five).
-- Wizards are 5-3 in last eight games; they're 14-8 vs spread on road.
-- Pacers won six of their last eight games (0-5 last five AF).

Cold Teams
-- Cavaliers lost three of last four games (5-7 HF).
-- Detroit lost its last four games (0-4 vs spread; 2-8 last 10 HF). Magic lost 13 of its last 15 games (0-9 last nine AU).
-- Celtics lost 17 of their last 20 games (4-1 last five AU).
-- Rockets lost last two games, after winning six of previous seven.
-- Golden State lost four of its last six games (1-4 last five HF).
-- Lakers lost 16 of their last 19 games (6-1 last seven HU).

Series records
-- Pelicans won five of last six games with Cleveland.
-- Pistons won five of their last six games with Orlando.
-- Knicks lost four of their last five games with Boston.
-- Rockets won their last three games with San Antonio.
-- Trailblazers lost four of last five games with Memphis.
-- Wizards lost their last six games with Golden State.
-- Road team won last five Pacer-Laker games; Indiana won last three in series played here.

Totals
-- Five of last six Cleveland games stayed under total.
-- Under is 16-6 in Orlando's away games. Last four Detroit games went under the total.
-- Six of last eight Boston games stayed under total; six of Knicks' last seven games went over.
-- Over is 5-2 in Spurs' last seven visits to Houston.
-- Last six Memphis games stayed under the total.
-- Three of last four Wizard-Warrior games went over.
-- Over is 6-0-1 in last seven Indiana games, 8-0 in Lakers' last eight.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Hot teams
-- Bruins won four of their last five games. Florida won three of its last four.
-- Lightning won last three games, scoring 14 goals.
-- Carolina won its last four games, scoring 17 goals.
-- Blues won three of their last four games.
-- Winnipeg won six of its last seven games.
-- Ducks won 21 of their last 24 games. Minnesota won eight of its last twelve.

Cold teams
-- Maple Leafs lost last two games, after winning previous six.
-- Flyers lost their last four games, outscored 18-8. Detroit lost three of last four road games, scoring four goals.
-- Columbus lost its last two games after winning its last eight. Senators lost four of their last five games.
-- Washington lost seven of its last eight games. Sabres lost six of last seven.
-- Montreal lost its last four games, scoring five goals.
-- Devils lost four of their last five road games.
-- Predators are 5-9 in their last fourteen games.
-- Los Angeles lost five of its last six games. Coyotes lost three of last four.
-- Flames are 4-11 in last fifteen games, but won the last two. Chicago lost its last three games, scoring six goals.

Totals
-- Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Boston games.
-- Last four Tampa Bay games, last seven Toronto games went over total.
-- Over is 7-1-1 in last nine Philadelphia games.
-- Five of last six Columbus games went over total.
-- Seven of last nine Washington games stayed under.
-- Over is 3-1-1 in last five Montreal games.
-- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine St Louis games.
-- Five of last seven Nashville games went over total.
-- Three of last four Phoenix games went over total.
-- Last six Calgary-Chicago games stayed under total.
-- Under is 5-0-2 in last seven Minnesota games.

Series records
-- Bruins won their last five games with Florida.
-- Maple Leafs won five of last seven games with Tampa Bay.
-- Flyers are 3-2 in their last five games with Detroit.
-- Blue Jackets are 5-3 in their last eight games with Ottawa.
-- Sabres are 2-0 vs Washington this year, winning both 2-1 in SO.
-- Canadiens won three of last four games with Carolina.
-- Devils beat St Louis 7-1 last week, first win in last four games vs Blues.
-- Predators won four of last five games with Winnipeg.
-- Kings won eight of last twelve games with Phoenix.
-- Flames lost four of last five games with Chicago.
-- Ducks won their last six games with Minnesota.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAA Basketball Picks

West Virginia at Baylor

The Bears look to snap a four-game losing streak against a West Virginia team that is coming off an 81-75 loss at Oklahoma State and is 2-12 ATS in its last 14 games following a SU defeat. Baylor is the pick (-5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Bears favored by 9 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Baylor (-5 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

TUESDAY, JANUARY 28 Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST

Game 515-516: Missouri at Arkansas (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Missouri 65.448; Arkansas 68.933 Dunkel Line: Arkansas by 3 1/2; 148 Vegas Line: Arkansas by 6; 141 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Missouri (+6); Over

Game 517-518: West Virginia at Baylor (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: West Virginia 61.634; Baylor 71.234 Dunkel Line: Baylor by 9 1/2; 152 Vegas Line: Baylor by 5 1/2; 146 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Baylor (-5 1/2); Over

Game 519-520: Michigan State at Iowa (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Michigan State 74.904; Iowa 78.213 Dunkel Line: Iowa by 3 1/2; 153 Vegas Line: Iowa by 6; 148 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (+6); Over

Game 521-522: SMU at South Florida (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: SMU 66.134; South Florida 57.253 Dunkel Line: SMU by 9 Vegas Line: SMU by 7 Dunkel Pick: SMU (-7)

Game 523-524: Loyola-Chicago at Wichita State (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Loyola-Chicago 54.163; Wichita State 71.668 Dunkel Line: Wichita State by 17 1/2 Vegas Line: Wichita State by 20; 127 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Loyola-Chicago (+20)

Game 525-526: Texas Tech at Kansas State (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Texas Tech 61.154; Kansas State 73.509 Dunkel Line: Kansas State by 12 1/2; 140 Vegas Line: Kansas State by 9; 145 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Kansas State (-9); Under

Game 527-528: Virginia at Notre Dame (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Virginia 71.736; Notre Dame 64.385 Dunkel Line: Virginia by 7 1/2; 129 Vegas Line: Virginia by 3; 133 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Virginia (-3); Under

Game 529-530: St. John's at Creighton (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: St. John's 64.021; Creighton 74.533 Dunkel Line: Creighton by 10 1/2 Vegas Line: Creighton by 12 1/2 Dunkel Pick: St. John's (+12 1/2)

Game 531-532: Kentucky at LSU (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Kentucky 73.470; LSU 63.266 Dunkel Line: Kentucky by 10; 136 Vegas Line: Kentucky by 3; 142 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Kentucky (-3); Under

Game 533-534: New Mexico at Utah State (11:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico 59.230; Utah State 64.381 Dunkel Line: Utah State by 5 Vegas Line: Utah State by 2 Dunkel Pick: Utah State (-2)

Game 535-536: Cleveland State at Eastern Illinois (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland State 56.479; Eastern Illinois 49.530 Dunkel Line: Cleveland State by 7 Vegas Line: Cleveland State by 9 Dunkel Pick: Eastern Illinois (+9)

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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Free winner Tues Creighton -12

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Gamblers Data

Free Plays Tuesday

Blue Jackets -120

Spurs +2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB

Tuesday, January 28

Mike Anderson went 77-29 his last three years at Missouri; now he's in third year at Arkansas- home team won his first two games vs Mizzou, winning by 2 here, losing by 30 in Columbia. Home team covered five of Hogs' six SEC games; they're 2-1 as home favorites, winning by 2-19 in home games, losing to Florida. SEC home favorites of 6 or less points are 7-2 vs spread. Mizzou is 1-2 on SEC road; three games were decided by total of 11 points.

Baylor lost its last four games after starting season 13-2; they lost last two home games, to Oklahoma/Texas, are 1-4-1 vs spread in league this year. Bears swept West Virginia by 20-3 points LY. WVU lost four of last five games; their only Big X wins are TCU/Texas Tech (twice). Big X home favorites of 6 or less points are 2-6 vs spread. Baylor is last in Big X; teams shoot 54.5% on 2-pointers against them.

Michigan State won six in row, 11 of last 12 games with Iowa, but State is banged up (Payne/Dawsen out) right now, coming off emotional loss at home to Michigan last game. Over last 4.5 years, Spartans are 9-7 as road dogs in Big Dozen games. Big Dozen single digit home favorites are 3-12 vs spread this year. Iowa is 3-0 at home, 2-1 as home faves, with wins by 10-26-21 points at home.

South Florida is 0-4 at home, 1-2 as home dogs in first AAC year, with home losses by 15-9-7-39 points. Bulls (+10.5) lost 71-54 at SMU Jan 15; Mustangs shot 59% inside arc, led by 16 after 10:00. Mustangs won last five games, covered last seven; this is quick turnaround after 75-68 win at Houston Sunday, game they trailed by six at half. AAC home underdogs of 7 or less points are 1-5 vs spread.

Wichita State is 8-0 in Valley, 7-1 vs spread, 4-0 as home favorite, with home wins by 14-19-22-20 points- they covered last four games overall. Underdogs are 6-1-1 vs spread in Loyola's Valley games; Ramblers lost all three road games by 12-9-5 points (1-1-1 as road dogs). MVC home favorites of 9+ points are 7-3 vs spread. Loyola is last in MVC, forcing least turnovers, turning it over the most, a bad combination.

Kansas State won last seven games with Texas Tech, winning last four in Manhattan by 12-34-19-20 points. Wildcats covered last four games, are 2-0 as Big X home favorites, winning home games by 3-6-22. Tech is 4-1 vs spread in last five games, 3-0 vs spread on road, losing by 3 at Texas, 6 at West va, winning at TCU- road team covered six of their seven Big X games. Big X home favorites of 7+ points are 4-7 vs spread.

Notre Dame lost five of last six games, is 2-1 at home in ACC, losing by 7 to NC State, beating Duke/Va Tech- they're shooting 29.7% from arc in ACC games, getting to line least of any team. Virginia is 6-1 in ACC, 7-0 vs spread, with road wins at Florida St/NC State, loss at Duke by 4. Cavaliers force turnovers 22% of time in league play. ACC home dogs of 4 or less points are 1-7 against the spread.

Creighton is 6-2 vs spread in Big East, 3-1 as home favorites, winning at home by 18-6-28-13 points. Bluejays make 42.4% of their 3's. St John's won last two games (Seton Hall/Butler) after 0-5 start; they've covered one of four as Big East dog, losing road games by 10-17-2 points, with lone road win at Butler. Red Storm's strength is interior defense, but the Jays shoot 3's. Big East double digit home favorites are 4-3 vs spread.

Kentucky won its last five games with LSU, winning last three here by 4-26-24 points. Home teams are 4-1-1 vs the spread in Kentucky's SEC games; Wildcats won by 9 at Vandy, lost by hoop at Arkansas in only road games. LSU won last three home games after losing to Tennessee in home opener; they went ahead after being down 19 at Alabama in last game, but lost by hoop. SEC home dogs of 4 or less points are 8-1-1.

New Mexico is 6-1 in Mountain West, 4-0 on road; they won by hoop at Colorado State Saturday without Kirk (check status). Utah State got beat at home by San Diego State in OT Saturday; Aggies lost last three games, are 2-5 in MW, beat San Jose/Colorado St at home, losing to the Aztecs. Utah State is making 40.5% of its 3's, #1 in league. MW home underdogs of 6 or less points are 5-7 vs spread.

Cleveland State won five of last seven games, with all five wins by 10+ points; Vikings are making 39.2% from arc in league games, 38.7% for season- Horizon is much better league than OVC. Eastern Illinois is 3-2 in last five games after a 1-9 skid; their last five games were all decided by 8 or less points. Panthers don't defend against 3's very well- teams are making 36.7% for season, #278 in country.

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Today's NBA Picks

New Orleans at Cleveland

The Pelicans come into tonight's contest at Cleveland carrying a 6-1 ATS record in their last 7 games as road underdogs of 3 points or less. New Orleans is the pick (+2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Pelicans favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (+2 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, JANUARY 28 Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST

Game 501-502: New Orleans at Cleveland (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 115.109; Cleveland 114.079 Dunkel Line & Total: New Orleans by 1; 202 Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 2 1/2; 197 Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (+2 1/2); Over

Game 503-504: Boston at New York (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Boston 111.014; New York 118.187 Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 7; 188 Vegas Line & Total: New York by 5 1/2; 192 Dunkel Pick: New York (-5 1/2); Under

Game 505-506: Orlando at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 107.886; Detroit 116.871 Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 9; 211 Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 7 1/2; 204 Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-7 1/2); Over

Game 507-508: San Antonio at Houston (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 125.726; Houston 121.535 Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 4; 208 Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 1 1/2; 211 1/2 Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (+1 1/2); Under

Game 509-510: Memphis at Portland (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 122.076; Portland 125.108 Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 3; 192 Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 5; 197 Dunkel Pick: Memphis (+5); Under

Game 511-512: Washington at Golden State (10:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Washington 115.701; Golden State 127.485 Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 11 1/2; 211 Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 8; 206 Dunkel Pick: Golden State (-8); Over

Game 513-514: Indiana at LA Lakers (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 129.141; LA Lakers 113.813 Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 15 1/2; 213 Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 9 1/2; 204 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-9 1/2); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NHL Picks

Tampa Bay at Toronto

The Lightning travel to Toronto tonight with a 9-2 record in their last 11 road games. Tampa Bay is the pick (-105) according to Dunkel, which has the Lightning favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-105). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, JANUARY 28 Time Posted: 9:00 a.m. EST

Game 1-2: Ottawa at Columbus (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 11.627; Columbus 10.544 Dunkel Line & Total: Ottawa by 1; 6 Vegas Line & Total: Columbus (-130); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (+110); Over

Game 3-4: Tampa Bay at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 12.092; Toronto 11.215 Dunkel Line & Total: Tampa Bay by 1; 6 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: Toronto (-115); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-105); Over

Game 5-6: Florida at Boston (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Florida 10.650; Boston 12.380 Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1 1/2; 4 Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-200); 5 Dunkel Pick: Boston (-200); Under

Game 7-8: Detroit at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 10.650; Philadelphia 12.144 Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 5 Vegas Line & Total: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 9-10: Carolina at Montreal (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 11.825; Montreal 9.107 Dunkel Line & Total: Carolina by 2 1/2; 4 Vegas Line & Total: Montreal (-170); 5 Dunkel Pick: Carolina (+150); Under

Game 11-12: Washington at Buffalo (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Washington 11.813; Buffalo 10.447 Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1 1/2; 4 Vegas Line & Total: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 13-14: New Jersey at St. Louis (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 11.146; St. Louis 12.877 Dunkel Line & Total: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 4 Vegas Line & Total: St. Louis (-200); 5 Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-200); Under

Game 15-16: Nashville at Winnipeg (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Nashville 10.120; Winnipeg 12.069 Dunkel Line & Total: Winnipeg by 2; 6 Vegas Line & Total: Winnipeg (-145); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (-145); Over

Game 17-18: Los Angeles at Phoenix (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 11.569; Phoenix 10.299 Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 1 1/2; 4 Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix (-120); 5 Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (+100); Under

Game 19-20: Chicago at Calgary (9:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 10.136; Calgary 11.244 Dunkel Line & Total: Calgary by 1; 6 Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-200); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Calgary (+170); Over

Game 21-22: Minnesota at Anaheim (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 10.394; Anaheim 12.525 Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 2; 4 Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim (-200); 5 Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (-200); Under

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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

CBB MISSOURI at ARKANSAS
Play On - Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ARKANSAS) good shooting team (45-47.5%) against an excellent defensive team (<=40%), in a game involving two good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO's) after 15+ games
68-32 over the last 5 seasons. ( 68.0% 32.8 units )
6-4 this year. ( 60.0% 1.6 units )

CBB W VIRGINIA at BAYLOR
Play Against - A home team vs. the money line (BAYLOR) off an upset loss as a home favorite against opponent after a road game where both teams scored 75 points or more
101-94 since 1997. ( 51.8% 53.8 units )
3-3 this year. ( 50.0% -0.0 units )

CBB VIRGINIA at NOTRE DAME
Play Against - A road team vs. the 1rst half line (VIRGINIA) off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%)
41-15 over the last 5 seasons. ( 73.2% 24.5 units )
2-1 this year. ( 66.7% 0.9 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

NBA MEMPHIS at PORTLAND
Play On - Road teams (MEMPHIS) after going under the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season
98-51 over the last 5 seasons. ( 65.8% 41.9 units )
13-7 this year. ( 65.0% 5.3 units )

NBA WASHINGTON at GOLDEN STATE
Play On - Road teams vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) a good offensive team (98-102 PPG) against a poor defensive team (98-102 PPG) after 42+ games, after a loss by 6 points or less
64-44 since 1997. ( 59.3% 36.3 units )
0-1 this year. ( 0.0% -1.0 units )

NBA BOSTON at NEW YORK
Play Under - All teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points in a game involving two average shooting teams (43.5-45.5%), average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO) vs. a poor pressure defense (<=14.5 TO) after 42+ games
160-92 since 1997. ( 63.5% 58.8 units )
0-1 this year. ( 0.0% -1.1 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

World Class Capper

England soccer
3* Arsenal moneyline @ -108
Starts at 2:45 PM est

England soccer
3* Liverpool moneyline @ -119
Starts at 3:00 PM est

NCAAB
3* Michigan State +6 points @ -110
Starts at 7:00 PM est

NBA
3* Magic vs Pistons - Over 204 points @ -110
Starts at 7:30 PM est

NCAAB
3* Kentucky -3.5 points @ -110
Starts at 9:00 PM est

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Winners Circle

TUESDAY BASKETBALL PLAYS

10* Play Indiana -10 over Los Angeles Lakers NBA TOP PLAY
10* Play Golden State -8.5 over Washington NBA TOP PLAY


10* Play Arkansas -6 over Missouri NCAA TOP PLAY
10* Play Cleveland State -8.5 over Eastern Illinois NCAA TOP PLAY

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd's Pick Pack
NBA Daily Picks

Premium Plays
Matchup: Memphis at Portland
Time: 10:05 PM EDT (Tue)
Play: Memphis (+5 -105)
Line Source: CarbonSports
Posted on: January 28, 2014 @ 9:25:43 AM EST

3* Oddsmakers Error on Memphis Grizzlies +

The Trailblazers are struggling right now having dropped three of their last five games. Even when they have been winning, Portland is squeaking by its opponents. They have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games, and that is a trend I think will continue in this matchup with the Memphis Grizzlies. Memphis has a very stingy defense, and after seeing Portland get held to just 88 points in their last outing I like the Grizzlies chances to put on a strong defensive performance. Memphis is surrendering a mere 94.2 points per game on the road this season. The Grizzlies defense is playing incredibly well recently, allowing just 86 points per game over their last five games. This matchup fits into a very profitable system backing the Grizzlies. You should play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Memphis when they have gone under the total by 36 or more points in their last five games, and they have a win percentage of 45 to 55 percent on the season. This system identifies teams with undervalued defenses, and it has resulted in a 50-23 (69%) record against the spread over the last five seasons.
Matchup: New Orleans at Cleveland
Time: 7:05 PM EDT (Tue)
Play: Cleveland (-1.5 -110)
Line Source: SBG Global
Posted on: January 28, 2014 @ 9:25:43 AM EST

Free Pick on Cleveland Cavaliers -

We are getting a lot of value on the Cavaliers today as they face a Pelicans team that has won three of their last four games. The Pelicans are not a good team, and I think the oddsmakers have given them far too much credit in this road game against Cleveland. New Orleans is a poor defensive team. They have allowed 105.5 points per game on the road this year, so I expect to see the Cavaliers put up a big offensive number in this matchup. The Cavaliers are a very good team at home. They have a 12-10 ATS record and 11-11 straight up record in home games this season, while the Pelicans come into this matchup with an 8-14 straight up record on the road and a 9-12 ATS record in those games. With home court advantage I don't see a scenario where the Cavaliers lose this game, and with such a small spread I expect to see Cleveland get in easy cover.