1-30-14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

NBA CLEVELAND at NEW YORK
Play On - Favorites (NEW YORK) after 2 or more consecutive overs, an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) against a poor team (-3 to -7 PPG diff.) after 42+ games
75-37 over the last 5 seasons. ( 67.0% 34.3 units )
2-1 this year. ( 66.7% 0.9 units )

NBA LA CLIPPERS at GOLDEN STATE
Play Against - Road teams vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points against opponent off a home loss
181-73 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.3% 65.9 units )
11-5 this year. ( 68.8% -1.5 units )

NBA CLEVELAND at NEW YORK
Play On - Any team vs. the 1rst half line (NEW YORK) revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points against opponent off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a home favorite
71-34 since 1997. ( 67.6% 33.6 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% 1.0 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cincinnati Bearcats at Louisville Cardinals (-9.5)

Even as it sits atop the standings and holds the best overall record in the league, No. 15 Cincinnati seems to be an afterthought in the American Athletic Conference title race. The Bearcats look to change that when they travel down I-71 and across the Ohio River to face No. 7 Louisville on Thursday. The Cardinals have won four straight since suffering their lone conference defeat against Memphis, and two of those victories have been 39-point blowouts.

The Bearcats were picked to finish fourth in the inaugural season of the American, but they've won 12 straight — including their first eight conference contests — to set up a showdown with the defending national champion Cardinals. "For us, I want our guys to embrace it," Cincinnati coach Mick Cronin told reporters. "I think you have to remember these are college kids and they've earned the right to have a big game on a big night. … This is one game I won't have to worry about motivation and making sure my guys are ready to play." The preseason league favorite, the Cardinals hope to get guard Chris Jones (11.3 points) back Thursday after missing three games with a strained oblique.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, ESPN

LINE HISTORY: This game opened Louisville -9.5 (-118) and has watched the juice come down to -110.

COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Cincinnati (-10.9) - Louisville (-16.0) + Home Court (-3.0) = Louisville -8.1

KEY INJURIES: Cincinnati: Justin Jackson (Questionable - Ankle), Jermaine Lawrence (Out - Toe). Louisville: Chris Jones (Probable - Oblique).

WHAT BOOKS SAY: "All the early money - about 86 percent - is on Cincinnati to cover the 9.5-point spread." - Michael Stewart, CarbonSports.

WHAT SHARPS SAY: "I still feel like the defending champions are a bit undervalued at the moment and not among the hot topics of conversation in college hoops circles. But all they have done is bracket a 12-point win at Connecticut with 40-point maimings of South Florida and Houston. The Cards look locked in." - Doc's Sports.

WHY BET CINCINNATI (19-2 SU, 9-6 ATS, 2-13 O/U): The Bearcats and their winning streak survived a scare in an 80-76 win at Temple on Sunday, getting a season-high 29 points from Sean Kilpatrick, the league's leading scorer at 19.1 points per game. Cincinnati had held 27 consecutive opponents under 70 points before giving up 76 to Temple. The Bearcats have allowed 70 or more only three times in their last 49 contests.

WHY BET LOUISVILLE (17-3 SU, 10-8 ATS, 9-7 O/U): The Cardinals are averaging 10 steals and 21.9 points off turnovers while boasting a plus-6.8 average turnover margin. Louisville has five players averaging double-digit scoring, but the go-to guy is guard Russ Smith (18.1 points, 4.8 assists), who is shooting a blistering 61.3 percent from 3-point range in conference play and also leads the league with 2.4 steals per conference game. Cincinnati could be without forward Justin Jackson nursing a sprained ankle. Jackson, the Bearcats' top interior defender, ranks in the top 10 in the nation with 3.38 blocks per game and averages 11.1 points and a team-high seven rebounds.

TRENDS:
* Under is 5-0 in the last five meetings in Louisville.
* Under is 6-0 in the last six meetings.
* Favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.

CONSENSUS PICK: 63% of bets are on Cincinnati +9.5.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DAVID BANKS

NBA
Los Angeles Clippers vs. Golden State Warriors
The Pacific Division takes center stage in the nightcap of the NBA on TNT
doubleheader Thursday night when the division leading Los Angeles Clippers
(32-15, 28-19 ATS) visit the second place Golden State Warriors (27-19,
20-24-2 ATS) at the Oracle Center at 10:35 ET. The Warriors were actually tied for
second in the division with the surprising Phoenix Suns entering play on
Wednesday, 4 games behind the Clippers. Los Angeles is currently the fourth
seed in the Western Conference.

What is most impressive about the Clippers is that they have actually
extended their lead in the division since losing Chris Paul to injury, so just
imagine how good they should be after he comes back in mid-February! Most
notably, the Clippers have been sizzling offensively in the 14 games since Paul
separated his shoulder averaging a whopping 110.2 points per game while
topping 100 points 11 times and scoring at least 110 points nine times. This has
lifted Los Angeles to third in the NBA in scoring overall at 106.2 points
per game while ranking sixth in field goal percentage at 46.9 percent. And
the Clippers have done that while ranking 10th in the NBA in pace rating at
97.7 possessions per game, so they may actually be able to top that average
and continue their torrid recent pace here vs. a Golden State team that loves
to run and figures to do so early and often playing at home. That is a key
reason why these teams have gone 'over' in each of their last seven meetings
with those matchups averaging a combined 215.3 points!

The Warriors are fourth in the league in tempo grading out at 99.2
possessions per contest, and that has helped lead to 103.6 points per game overall.
Not all of that scoring is the result of the Golden State pace though, as
the Warriors are a legitimately good shooting team ranking seventh in the
league at 46.1 percent overall, and they are lethal from beyond the three-point
arc with four players shooting better than 40 percent out there in Klay
Thompson, Harrison Barnes, Andre Iguodala and Jordan Crawford, while leading
scorer Stephen Curry is shooting 39.3 percent from downtown. The end result is
Golden State ranking third in the NBA in three-point shooting as a team at
38.5 percent, trailing only San Antonio and New Orleans. And then there is
David Lee to provide some offensive balance with an inside presence. Lee
averaged a double-double last season and he is just a shade shy of doing so again
this year averaging 19.0 points and 9.8 rebounds. Furthermore that Golden
State scoring average rises to 104.8 points per game here in Oakland.

As mentioned earlier, the 'over' is 7-0 in the last seven head-to-head
meetings overall. The 'over' is also 8-0 in the Clippers last eight road games
vs. teams with a winning home record and 10-2 in their last 12 road games
overall, as well as 7-0 in the Warriors' last seven games vs. teams with
winning straight up records.
Trends are what the Casinos want you to make decisions with! No Way!
PICK: UNDER 212.5

[golden contender]

GC: NCAAB Play

Thursday Quad pack has 100% NBA Power system play + 3 NCAAB Plays, one is the Perfect system Game of the week, the other is a 39-4 road warrior and a Big 10 Undefeated 5* side. Free NCAAB Play below.


On Thursday the free NCAA Play is on Western Illinois. Game 573 at 7:00 eastern. Western Illinois has won 4 of 5 vs losing teams, has won 3 of the last 4 in the series and won and covered the only 2 times as a road favorite. Tonight they travel to play an Indiana at Purdue University team that has failed to cover in 15 straight lined home games and is 3-21 straight up and 4-18 ats off 3+ ats losses. They are a dismal 1-13 straight up with just 4 spread wins as a dog this year. In games vs winning teams they are 4-20 straight up and 0-4 to the spread of late. After allowing 80 or more IUPUI has lost 6 of 7 and are 0-5 vs teams who play good defense and allow less than 5 points per game. With Western Illinois the overall better team we will back them tonight. On Thursday we have 4 powerful games, including the 100% NBA System play, the Perfect system dominator, 5* Big 10 Winner and a 39-4 road warrior power angle play. Jump on now and flatten your book tonight. For the free play take Western Illinois. GC

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ecks and Bacon

Ben lee lost both plays Tottenham +280/Manchester City and a play on the Draw +$260 in soccer on Wednesday.

For Thursday E&B are going with some props for Super Bowl Sunday.


Who will score the first touchdown for $10 each.

Broncos

(1) Montee Ball

(2) Jacob Tamme

(3) Wes Walker

Seahawks

(1) Percy Harvin

(2) Doug Baldwin

(3) Russell Wilson

Ecks and Bacon is 2-3 -$50 for week fourteen and 50-60-2 -$1276.

All E&B selections will be for $50 unless noted

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lang

Thursday's Selection ...

My 20 Dime Money Move selection is on Chattanooga over Davidson. The current line on this game is +11 1/2 at the majority of sportsbooks in Vegas and offshore. Be sure to shop around for the best price available.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cleveland Insider

NBA
2* Cavs/Knicks under 196.5
1* Suns/Pacers under 201.5

NHL
1* San Jose/Calgary over 5.5

CBB
1* Purdue/Michigan over 139.5

5* CBB (sides) plays to come closer to tips of games

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Capper Sports
NBA
504] TOTAL U196
(CLEVELAND CAVALIERS Vrs NEW YORK KNICKS)

[#502] Indiana Pacers -11½
1st Half [#502] Indiana Pacers -6½

[501] TOTAL o200
(PHO SUNS vrs IND PACERS)

[504] NY KNICKS -5½

[Can'tPickAWinner]

LINEBEATERS
Thursday NBA
Cavaliers +6
Clippers +5.5
*
Thursday NHL
Ducks -190
Kings -110
*
Thursday NCAAB
Purdue +12

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Andre Gomes NBA Side & Total Thu, 01/30/14 - 7:05 PM
NBA - 501 Phoenix Suns @ 502 Indiana Pacers Well, with Indiana playing at home, rested and w/ revenge mindset going for this contest against
a team that will play their final game of the current road trip & being 4th game in 5 days, I just
want to say: good luck PHX!
In the first h2h, PHX completely crushed the Pacers in a shootout - The 124 points were the most
they allowed under coach Frank Vogel, while the Suns shot 54.2 percent -- including 11 of 16
from 3-point range -- in their second-best performance of the season.
While the way the Suns defeated the Pacers was a surprise for me, I really expected the contest
to be a high scoring affair and that's why I had my GOW Triple Dime Play w/ Over 196 in that
game!
Going for that game, IND had defeated LAC & GSW in the 2 previous contests while showing some
sharp offense. It was clear for me that they would try to beat the Suns on their own game and
the outcome was simply disastrous as the best transition defensive team in the league allowed a
season high 28 fast break points to PHX and the best 3pts defense in the league allowed PHX to
hit 11-16 3pts!
For tonight, I expect IND to change their approach as they will slow down a bit the tempo of the
game and impose their superior size on the frontcourt to crush PHX's undersized frontline. In that
game, IND has shot 9-15 FG at the rim vs. 9-20 FG from 16-23feet & 5-15 3pts…it says a lot of
IND's mindset in that game, so for tonight, I expect them to "pound down".
PHX offense has been great lately (I cashed w/ OVER in their game @MIL last night) but they are
a bit overrated because they have faced some favorable matchups: MIL, PHI & CLE - all poor
defensive teams.
Not only this is a tough physical spot for them but also Goran Dragic got injured last night and so,
I don't think he will be 100% fit for tonight's contest. This is a statement game for IND and they
will show tonight why they are the best defensive team in the league and therefore, I'm taking
Indiana & Under in here as my Single Dime Plays!
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 502 Indiana Pacers (-11.5) @ -110
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 50/501 Under 199.5 @ -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

World Class Capper
NCAAB
3* Cincinnati +10 point spread @ -120
Starts at 7:00 PM est

NHL
3* Capitals vs Blue jackets - Over 5.5 goals @ -120
Starts at 7:00 PM est

NBA
3* Cavaliers +5.5 goal spread @ -110
Starts at 8:00 PM est

NBA
3* Cavaliers - TEAM TOTAL over 95.5 points @ -110
Starts at 8:00 PM est

NHL
5* Penguins vs Kings - Over 5 goals @ -110
Starts at 10:30 PM est

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc Sports
CBB
Cin +9.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

Game: Tampa Bay at Ottawa (7:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: Tampa Bay +105 (moneyline) at 5Dimes

The Tampa Bay Lightning opened last season averaging 5.4 goals a game through their first seven, but were not able to sustain the pace or anything close to it. This year they have sustained the pace, and with 57 points they trail Boston by just 4 in the East. They have been sizzling in their last five games where they have averaged 4 goals a contest, and the road has been their friend as they are 9-3 in their last 12 roadies. Ottawa has been just 2-4 in their last six games, and have been burned for 21 goals in the process or 3.5 per game. Tampa Bay has hit them hard with 3 and 4 goals in the two games played this season, both Tampa wins. The Lightning have the offense going right now, while Ottawa struggles to defend. Make the play on Tampa Bay.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stevewins

5* North Dakota St -9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB

Thursday, January 30

Marquette's last three games all went to OT; Eagles lost by two of three by 9-12 points, beating Georgetown, but they won their last nine games vs Providence, winning last six at home, all by 7+ points. Eagles are 2-9 vs teams in top 100, beating Hoyas/GW. Big East home favorites of less than 5 points are 2-4 vs spread. Providence won its last five games but four of them were at home; the fifth was in OT at St John's.

Cincinnati is 10-point dog despite being 7-0 in AAC; they've won last 12 games, beating Pitt/Memphis away from home. Bearcats are 3-4 in last seven games vs Louisville, losing last two visits here by 5-16 points. Cardinals won last four games, last three by 39-12-39 points; they're 1-2 as home favorites, beating SMU by 8, losing to Memphis. AAC home favorites of 9+ points are 9-3 vs spread.

Tex-Arlington is in its third league in three years, so these road trips are all new to Mavericks, who are 4-3 in Sun Belt but played five of seven games at home- they lost by 20 at ULL, won at Texas State. Western Kentucky iis 5-2 in league but both losses were at home, with the only home win in double OT vs Arkansas State. Sun Belt home favorites are 10-16 vs spread. Hilltoppers won last three games by 5-18-9 points.

Nebraska threw its third-leading scorer off team this week; they've won last two home games, with only home loss in league to Michigan by one point. Huskers/Indiana split two league meetings; Hoosiers lost by point here in '12, won by 29 at home LY- they're 3-4 in last seven games, 1-2 on road, losing by 3 at Illinois, 5 at Michigan State. Big Dozen home teams are 7-9 vs spread if number is 5 or less points.

UTEP threw three kids off team few weeks ago but they're still 9-1 in last ten games, winning last four while allowing 54.6 ppg. Miners are 2-1 at home in league, winning by 10-19, losing to Charlotte. C-USA home underdogs are 5-6 vs spread. Louisiana Tech also won nine of last ten games but lost last road game, at Southern Miss; Bulldogs are 2-4 against teams in top 150, winning in OT at Oklahoma, beating Bonnies by 4.

Home side won eight of last nine USC-Oregon State games; Trojans lost last four visits to Corvallis by 4-6-4-19 points- they split at home last week after 0-5 start in league. USC is 0-3 on Pac-12 road, losing by 34-18-21 points. Beavers are 3-4 in league, 2-1 at home, losing to Cal by 5, beating Stanford/Oregon- their Pac-12 wins are by 8-9-11. Pac-12 home favorites of 7+ points are 12-7 vs spread.

Oregon lost five of last six games after a 13-0 start, losing both games at home in Pac-12, to Cal/Stanford. Ducks won last four games vs UCLA, by 17-7-8-9 points. Bruins are 5-2 in league but beat Colorado in Buffs' first game without star Dinwiddie, lost by 5 at Utah in only road tilts. Pac-12 home teams are 10-7 vs spread if number was 5 or less points. UCLA is forcing turnovers 21.6% of time, best in Pac-12 play.

St Mary's won five in row, 10 of last 11 games with San Diego, taking four of last five here, with wins by 23-12-6-10 points. This is first road game in 26 days for Gaels, who won at Pacific/Portland, lost by 21 at Gonzaga on WCC road. Toreros are 3-6 but split only two home games, beating LMU, losing by 4 to Pepperdine. Favorites are 8-1 vs spread in WCC games where number was less than 4 points.

Home side won seven of last eight Irvine-UCSB games; Anteaters lost last five visits to Thunderdome by 7-3-13-18-3 points, but they're 4-1 in Big West so far, allowing 48 ppg in wins at Long Beach/Riverside, by 4-20 points. Irvine has blocked 16.6% of opponents' shots in its league games. Underdogs are 8-1-1 vs spread in Big West games where spread was 6 or less points. UCSB split its first two conference home games.

Chattanooga is 8-0 in SoCon in Wade's first year after coming over from VCU, where he was an assistant on their Final Four team. Mocs are on 10-game win streak after starting season 4-8; their last five losses are all by 13+ points. Southern Conference double digit home favorites are 1-6 vs spread. Davidson is 6-1 in league, winning home games by 12-30, but they also lost a home game, in OT to Elon.

Quinnipiac won six of last eight games, is 5-0 at home in MAAC, with wins by 4-12-5-9-14 points- they won in OT at Manhattan in last game Sunday. MAAC home teams are 8-5 vs spread in games where number was 3 or less points. Canisius won five of last six games; their two road games in that streak were decided by total of three points. Quinnipiac is the worst team in country forcing turnovers (12% of time).

Weber State won its last 11 games with Northern Arizona, but needed OT to win 80-78 here LY; they've won last five visits to Flagstaff- they split first two Big Sky road games, losing at Northern Colorado, winning by 12 at North Dakota. Big Sky home underdogs of 5 or less points are 5-1 vs spread. Lumberjacks are 5-3 in league, 3-0 at home, but none of three teams they beat are ranked higher than #279 in country.

Northern Colorado won five of its last seven games with Portland State; isweeping Vikings by 17-10 points LY. Bears are 7-1 but split only two road games, on Montana trip. Portland State won four of last five games, is 3-1 at home in league, winning last three by 3-3-9 points, with loss to Montana State. Big Sky home underdogs of 5 or less points are 5-1 vs spread. Northern Colorado is shooting 57.9% inside the arc.