2-12-14

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Jeff Grant

UNC +2.5

UCONN -14.5

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Jimmy Boyd's Pick Pack
NBA Daily Picks

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Matchup: Memphis at Orlando Time: 7:05 PM EDT (Wed) Play: Orlando (+2 -110) Line Source: Caesars/Harrah's Posted on: February 12, 2014 @ 11:47:42 AM EST 3* Oddsmakers Error on Orlando Magic + The Magic are playing well right now as they look for their fourth consecutive win tonight when they face the Memphis Grizzlies. Orlando's recent three game win streak has come against a very tough schedule too. They have wins over Oklahoma City and Indiana during that stretch and they will be playing on two days of rest for today's game. The Grizzlies are in a tough spot tonight. They are playing the second half of a back-to-back, squeaking by Washington last night and having to head south to play on the road against Orlando tonight. Memphis is really struggling on offense recently, and I think it will cost them against this red hot Magic team. The Grizzlies are averaging 85.4 points per game over their last five games. You should play against favorites like Memphis when they are allowing 92-98 points per game and coming off three straight games where both teams scored 95 points or less, and they are playing against a team allowing 98-102 points per game after 42 or more game in the season. This system identifies teams that are being overvalued, and it has resulted in a 28-7 (80%) record against the spread.

Matchup: Cleveland at Detroit Time: 7:35 PM EDT (Wed) Play: Detroit (-8 -105) Line Source: 5Dimes Posted on: February 12, 2014 @ 11:47:42 AM EST 3* Blowout on Detroit Pistons - This matchup has blowout written all over it. The Cavaliers are a bad team, and they are getting too much credit from the oddsmakers thanks to a three game win streak over a very soft stretch of opponents. Detroit is also riding a three game win streak, which includes an upset win as an underdog over San Antonio in their last game. I think the Cavaliers will be looking forward to the All-Star break where they can regroup and try to turn their season around. Against division opponents Cleveland has averaged a mere 89.1 points per game. The Cavaliers defense has been horrible on the road this year surrendering 106 points per game. Cleveland will be in for a long night against this Pistons team that is scoring 101.6 points per game at home. You should play on teams like Detroit that have covered the spread in five of their last six games and have won 40 to 49 percent of their games on the season, when they are playing against an opponent that has won only 25 to 40 percent of their games. This system has an 83-45 (65%) record against the spread over the last five seasons.

Matchup: Washington at Houston Time: 8:05 PM EDT (Wed) Play: Houston (-8.5 -110) Line Source: Bet Phoenix Posted on: February 12, 2014 @ 11:47:42 AM EST 3* No Doubt Rout on Houston Rockets - The Rockets are one of the hottest teams in the league coming into the All-Star break. They have won six consecutive games, covering the spread in five of those six. Houston has been a high scoring team all season, but over their last five games the Rockets have really stepped up their level of play on the offensive end of the court by averaging an impressive 110.6 points pr game. Meanwhile, the Wizards come into this matchup with a defense that is surrendering 101.2 points per game over their last five games. Washington is playing in a very tough spot tonight. They are in the second half of a back-to-back after losing on the road against Memphis last night. Houston on the other hand is playing with a day of rest. The Rockets have a long standing history of dominating the Wizards. In head-to-head matchups Houston is 25-8 straight up since 1996, and they are 4-1 over the last three seasons. When playing in Houston the Rockets are 10-6 against the spread since 1996. This matchup fits into a system hitting a high win percentage when backing the home team. You should play on home teams like Houston after five or more consecutive wins when they have won 60 to 75 percent of their games on the season, and they are facing an opponent that has won 40 to 49 percent of their games. This system is 61-27 (69%) against the spread.

Matchup: Philadelphia at Utah Time: 9:05 PM EDT (Wed) Play: Under (204.0 -110) Line Source: Heritage Posted on: February 12, 2014 @ 11:47:42 AM EST Free Pick on Philadelphia/Utah UNDER The Utah Jazz have home court advantage, and I think that will play a key role in this game staying under the total. With the Jazz playing at home they should be able to control the pace of this game. Utah is averaging a mere 94.1 points per game this season, and that has come against opponents with a defensive scoring average over 100 points per game. The 76ers defense is bad, but I don't think the Jazz are a good enough team to take advantage of that poor defensive play. Both of these teams are trending towards the under recently. Utah has gone under the total in six consecutive games, while the under is 4-1-1 in Philadelphia's last six games. The Jazz defense is very underrated for a team with an 18-33 record. They have held opponents to 99.4 points per game against at home, against opponents with an offensive scoring average just shy of 102 points per game. They will catch a break in this matchup with Philadelphia since the 76ers are averaging a mere 99.2 points per game on the road this season. All signs point to this game finishing with a very low score.

Matchup: Portland at L.A. Clippers Time: 10:35 PM EDT (Wed) Play: L.A. Clippers (-9 -110) Line Source: Caesars/Harrah's Posted on: February 12, 2014 @ 11:47:42 AM EST 5* NBA First Half Game of the Year on Clippers - The Portland Trailblazers are falling apart, and I think they are already looking forward to regrouping during the All-Star break. The Blazers have lost five of their last eight games, and they have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last 12 games. Portland's defense has always been soft, but they have been saved by an offense averaging close to 108 points per game. They seem to have lost the scoring touch, failing to reach triple digits in five of their last eight games. The Clippers are coming off impressive back-to-back wins at home. They have had no problem scoring points recently, averaging 114 points per game over their last five games. The Clippers have been dangerously good at home all season, posting a 22-4 record. With Portland struggling like they have been, I just don't see how the Blazers can come into Los Angeles and play a close game against one of the best teams in the league. This matchup fits into a profitable system backing the Clippers. You should play on a team averaging 102 points per game or more like Los Angeles when they have scored 100 points or m

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Sports Betting Champ

Philly +10.5 with buying 3 points

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Premium Sports Bets
2* Syracuse +2

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Ferringo

7-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 123.0 Syracuse at Pittsburgh (7 p.m., Wednesday, Feb. 12)
1-Unit Play. Take #748 Pittsburgh (-2) over Syracuse (7 p.m., Wednesday, Feb. 12)
Note: This is my College Basketball Total of the Year.

I think that we are going to see a surprisingly high-scoring game in one of the biggest contests on the board. These are two of the best defensive teams in the country and two heated division rivals. But in this instance their familiarity is a big benefit. They know how to attack one another and will be able to expose the soft spots in the opposing defense. These two just squared off on Jan. 18 and I expect this to be an intense game.

Pittsburgh is going to pound the ball into the teeth of the Syracuse 2-3 zone. They do that better than anyone and that is why they give the Orange so much trouble. But a key injury to Baye Moussa Keita has left Syracuse short-handed in the post. Rakeem Christmas is essentially their only big man. He is going to have to play passively, especially early in the game, in order to try to conserve his five fouls. If Christmas does get into foul trouble then inexperienced Jerami Grant will slide into the center. He's not big enough, strong enough, or experienced to hold down that position for the majority of the game. If that does happen it will be a layup line (and he'll probably get in foul trouble).

Pitt averages 74.4 points per game at home and Syracuse is posting 68 per game on the road. Both defenses are outstanding. But they have both been playing 'under' so frequently lately (2-8 vs. total for SU and 0-3 vs. total for Pitt) I think that the books will shade this line low. If you look back to the past 10 meetings since 2006 you'll see there's been over 125 combined points seven times, and it is not as if either school is featuring a different system.

Pitt is going to pound the ball inside and will throw body shots for a full 40 minutes. Because of Syracuse's big man shortage (third center Dajuan Coleman was lost for the season last month) the Panthers should be able to get easy baskets. That will free them up for open jumpers and they are going to knock down more outside shots at home than they did in the Carrier Dome last month (when they only shot 38.3 percent from the field). Syracuse is going to have to relieve the pressure of The Zoo with its offense, operating efficiently and aggressively. And I think SU knows that without one of the key defensive players they are going to need to score a few more points to leave this place with a win.

I think that one of these teams gets over 70 - let's call it 70-64 - and this one clears the bar late for a solid score.

3-Unit Play. Take #797 California (-5.5) over Washington State (11 p.m., Wednesday, Feb. 12)

1-Unit Play. Take #737 George Mason (+11.5) over Massachusetts (7 p.m., Wednesday, Feb. 12)

1-Unit Play. Take #769 Indiana State (-2) over Bradley (2 p.m., Wednesday, Feb. 12)

1-Unit Play. Take #774 South Carolina (-2) over Vanderbilt (8 p.m., Wednesday, Feb. 12)

1-Unit Play. Take #781 Duke (-2) over North Carolina (9 p.m., Wednesday, Feb. 12)

I also have leans on LSU and the 'over' in Auburn.

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Derek Hayes

Georgia

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The Factsman
Whip It Out Wednesday
Delaware

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Totals 4 U

Top Plays
Tor UNDER
Minn OVER
Clippers OVER

Reg Plays
Dall UNDER
NYK OVER
Milw OVER
Houston OVER

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with Florida (-1 1/2) on Tuesday and likes VCU on Wednesday.

The deficit is 190 sirignanos.

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bookiemonsters

POD Denver/Minnesota over 209

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Frank Patron

20,000 Unit CBB Move

Syracuse Orangemen +2.5 over Pittsburgh

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Maddux

Added

San Antonio

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SBP NCBB

735. James Madison +7* (Mostly +6.5s but system recommends buying the 1/2)
Rest of Games:
782. North Carolina +2.5
786. Washington +2.5

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Leiner 1500* Duke -2

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11Th Hour
7*
Boise St -1.5 First Half
Boise St -2.5 For The Game
Auburn +4.5 First Half
Auburn +7.5 For The Game
UNC +2 First Half
UNC +3 For The Game
Washington +2.5 For The Game
UCF +7.5 First Half
UCF +13 For The Game
DUQ-1.5 First Half
DUQ -2.5 For The Game

7*
Penn St +4.5 First Half
Penn St +8 Game
Pitt -1 First Half
Pitt -2 Game
Miami Ohio +1 Game
DePaul +7.5 First Half
DePaul +13.5 Game
Denver/Minnesota Under 49 1St Quarter
Denver/Minnesota Under 109 First Half
Denver/Minnesota Under 208.5 Game

6*
Spurs-.5 First Quarter
Spurs-1.5 First Half
Spurs- 3.5 Game