2-13-14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Investors

Northern Trust Open PGA

Deleat 20/1
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Haas 25/1
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NCAAB

Thursday, February 13

SMU (-12) beat Rutgers 70-56 at home Jan 18, holding Knights to 33% from floor, forcing 18 turnovers; Mustangs are in top 25 for first time in 28 years- they're 7-1 in last eight games, 9-1 in last ten vs spread, 1-1 as road favorites (2-2 SU on road). Rutgers won two of last three games, is 2-1 as home dogs. Home teams are 9-2 against spread in their conference games. AAC home underdogs are 6-11 vs spread.

Missouri (+6.5) had 16 offensive boards, made 7-15 from arc in 75-71 win at Arkansas Jan 28; Tigers are 2-1 vs Arkansas, coached by former Mizzou coach Anderson. Hogs' 77-75 win at Vandy last week was its first in five road games; they're 2-5 vs spread in last seven games. SEC home favorites of 6 or less points are 13-5 vs spread. Mizzou lost last three games, is 1-2 as an SEC home favorite.

Green Bay won three in row, nine of last 11 vs Youngstown State; they beat Penguins 85-69 (-9) Jan 4, despite going 0-9 outside arc- they shot 63.3% inside arc. Phoenix is 0-5 vs spread in last five games, splitting last four SU- they're 2-2 as road favorites. Horizon home underdogs are 3-6 vs spread. Youngstown lost last three games by 1-18-2 points; they are 3-1 at home in Horizon, with only loss to Valparaiso by 3.

Creighton (-10.5) waxed Butler 88-60 Jan 14, shooting 64% inside arc in game with total of only 7 turnovers; Bluejays lost at St John's last game, are 0-3 vs spread in last three- they're 2-2 as road favorites, winning by 13-19-28 points on foreign soil. Big East home underdogs of less than 5 points are 5-5 vs spread. Butler is 2-9 vs spread in last 11 games, 1-6 in last seven as a dog- they lost last two home games by 17-14 points.

St John's (-4.5) nipped Seton Hall 78-77 Jan 23, forcing 19 turnovers (+8 )in game where both teams shot 58% inside arc. Home teams won 11 of last 12 series games; Red Storm lost their last six visits to this arena, but won five of last six Big East games after 0-5 start- they covered last five games overall. Pirates are 1-4 at home in Big East, with only win vs DePaul. Big East home underdogs of 5+ points are 1-6 vs spread.

UCLA (+1) won 69-56 at Colorado Jan 16, forcing 17 (+6) turnovers; Bruins are 3-0 vs Buffs in Pac-12 play, winning by 17-3-13- they're 4-0 as home favorites, with three of four home wins by 12+ points. UCLA covered six of last eight games, is 5-1 as Pac-12 favorite. Pac-12 double digit home favorites are 11-8 vs spread. Colorado lost last three games on road by 17-12-21 games, but won last three overall, all at home.

Minensota (+3) beat Wisconsin 81-68 Jan 22, shooting 59% inside arc, 4-7 from arc, 11-11 from line; home side won seven of last eight series games, with Gophers losing last three visits here, by 8-1-7 points. Big Dozen home favorites of 9 or less points are 10-17 vs spread. Badgers lost three of last four home games, are 2-3 as home favorites- they're 2-6 vs spread in last eight games overall. Minnesota is 0-3 as a road dog.

UCSB (-6.5) beat Long Beach 64-51 at home Jan 16, ending a five-game series skid; Gauchos lost last five visits to Pyramid, with four of five by 12+ points. UCSB won three in row overall and six of last seven games; they're 3-1 on Big West road, with only loss by hoop at Fullerton. Big West home favorites of 4 or less points are 4-1 vs spread. 49ers are 5-1 in last six games- they covered all four games as a Big West favorite.

Utah shot 60% inside arc, was +9 in turnovers in 84-66 win over USC Jan 16; they're 2-2 vs Trojans in Pac-12 play, losing by 17 in only visit here in '12. Utes are 0-5 on Pac-12 road, with dogs covering four of the five games. USC is 3-2 vs spread in last five games, but 1-4 as home dog with all four home losses by 8+ points, only win vs Cal. Pac-12 home underdogs of 5 or less points are 10-5 vs spread.

BYU (-12.5) beat Pacific 88-78 at home Jan 30, grabbing 17 offensive boards in game where Pacific shot 60% inside arc. Cougars won last four games, three by 10+ points; they're 1-5 vs spread in last six games, 2-4 on WCC road, beating USF/Santa Clara. WCC home underdogs of 5 or less points are 3-4 vs spread. Pacific is 3-2 in last five games, covering six of last eight- they've lost three of five WCC home games.

Manhattan (-10) held Rider to 26.5% from floor in 67-51 home win Jan 24, just its 4th win in last 14 series games, but they did win last two in Broncs' Zoo by 16-11 points. Jaspers won last three games, are 2-3 as a MAAC road favorite- three of their four (4-3) MAAC road wins are by 11+ points. Rider is 4-2 at home in MAAC, losing to St Peter's/Marist. MAAC home underdogs of 5 or less points are 4-7 vs spread.

Omaha (+5.5) shot 63% inside arc in 80-71 win at South Dakota State Jan 18; Mavericks won three of last four games, are 1-2 as home faves in Summit play, winning home games by 4-11. Jackrabbits won/covered last four games, allowing 59.3 ppg in last three; they're 3-1 on Summit road, with only loss by 7 at Fort Wayne. Summit League home favorites of 5 or less points are 6-2 against the spread.

Northern Colorado (+5) won 84-73 at Montana Jan 18, ending a 5-game skid to Griz in game where Montana shot 20-26 (77%) inside arc. Griz won last two visits here by 7-8 points; they've won last four games, last three by 6 or less points and won three of last four on road, Bears lost last four games, are 0-5 vs spread in last five, but are 5-0 at home. Big Sky home teams are 16-9 vs spread when spread was 4 or less points.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Thursday, February 13

Hot teams
-- Nets won four of their last five games. Chicago won three of last four.
-- Thunder won 14 of its last 16 games.

Cold Teams
-- Lakers lost 21 of their last 26 games (3-6 vs spread last nine).

Series records
-- Bulls won seven of last ten games with Brooklyn.
-- Lakers lost 11 of last 14 games with Oklahoma City.

Totals
-- Four of last five Chicago-Brooklyn games went over total; seven of last nine Chicago games overall stayed under.
-- Over is 8-3 in last eleven Thunder-Laker games; four of Lakers' last five games stayed under

Back to backs
-- Nets are 3-6 vs spread if they won the night before.

[golden contender]

GC: NCAAB Play

Thursday night card has 5* 29-1 TV Total of the Month + 5* NCAAB Colonial Conference Side, 100% Road warrior and TV Blowout part of Big 4 game package. Both Top plays cashed on Wednesday with The Spurs in NBA and Richmond in NCAAB. NBA Continues to rank at or near the top of several leader boards. Free NCAAB Play below.


On Thursday the free NCAAB Play is on Denver. Game 567 at 7;00 eastern. Denver has won and covered all 3 times as a road favorite from -9 to -12 and has handled losing teams winning 29 of 34. They are 12-3 ats of late in February games and flattened IUPU by nearly 20 at home earlier in the season. Indiana- Purdue University is 0-17 to the spread in lined home games, 0-6 ats after scoring 60 or less and has failed to cover 9 of the last 13 vs winning teams. When playing with revenge for a loss by 19 or more they are 2-17 and a lousy 7-26 ats off a conference loss. Look for Denver to coast in this one. On Thursday night we have 2 Big plays, 3 in College, led by the 5* Colonial Conference 36-3 side, A 100% Road warrior and TV Blowout sides. In the NBA We have a Double system 29-1 NBA TV Total of the Month. Both NBA and NCAAB Top plays cashed big last night. Jump on now as we head into NBA All star Weekend with the cash. For the free play take Denver. GC

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Willie Bee

Creighton -8

Minnesota +8.5

San Diego +11.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Grant

Louisville -14

Missouri -5

Butler +5

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LT Profits

UC Davis +5

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Cleveland Insider (TOTALS)

NBA
1* Nets/Bulls over 184

CBB
1* Tennessee State/ Belmont over 151
1* San Diego/Saint Mary's under 130

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Wagers - Olympic Men's Hockey

Canada vs Norway
Canada -4½ +108 over Norway
BEST LINE: Pinnacle -4½ +108
The Canadians really don’t need any introductions and after watching the first few games of this tournament, it’s clear that unlike the games played in Vancouver four years ago, the big ice surface in Europe allows these gifted players to thrive in a way we’ve never seen before. For the Americans, Swedes, Russians and even the Czechs, it’s been a barrage of outstanding scoring opportunities and the Norwegians are in for the biggest barrage of all.
Norway isn't known for producing high-end hockey players and its defensive game plan has no chance of slowing down or stopping the powerful Canadian team. To make matters worse for the Norwegians, they don’t have an NHL caliber goaltender. The only current NHL player set to represent Norway at the Olympics is Mats Zuccarello, a good player but he’s just one forward that can’t do it on his own. The only thing the Norwegians have going for them is familiarity, as these players have played together for years but as we’ve seen with these other second tier teams, it does not matter. Canada’s 10th line would be Norway’s first line.
After seeing all those goals being scored on this big ice surface, one can only imagine how anxious the likes of Sidney Crosby, Jonathan Toews, Rick Nash, Ryan Getzlaf, Patrick Sharp, Matt Duchene, Corey Perry, John Tavares Jamie Benn, et all are to get on the ice. The Canadians also have no goaltending issues whatsoever with Carey Price in net. They have offensively gifted defensemen and the best collection of forwards ever put together on one team. Yeah, 4½ goals is a lot but we expect the Canadians to score twice that many and show no mercy against this second tier club. We’ll call it 9-0 Canadians.


Czech Republic vs Latvia
Czech Republic -2½ +111 over Latvia
BEST LINE: Pinnacle -2½ +111
12:00 AM EST. This game goes tonight at midnight. The Czechs fell behind 4-0 against the Swedes early in the second period but from that point on they were the better team. The Czechs got better as the game progressed and that should carry over to this game against an offensively challenged Latvia team. The Czechs seemed a bit out of sorts to start the game and it was quite a surprise not to see Ondrej Pavelec between the pipes but this team is too good to allow one loss to affect them. In fact, one has to admire the Czechs for not throwing in the towel after being down 4-0. They made a game of it. Make no mistake, the Czechs are a threat to win a medal, as they are able to stack three forward lines with first line, if not game-breaking NHL talent. Had they defeated the Swedes, this line would be -3½ and some juice. Their loss to the Swedes makes them very playable spotting 2½-pucks.
Latvia lost their opener to Switzerland, 1-0 on a goal with 7.9 seconds left. Not scoring on the Swiss and allowing 38 shots on goal is only a small sample of what’s in store for Latvia in this game. Latvia has one NHL player, Zemgus Girgensons of the Buffalo Sabres. In Vancouver, Latvia took 19 minor penalties in three games, the most for any team in the tournament and against this vastly superior opponent on a bigger ice surface, expect more of the same here. Latvia goaltender Edgars Masaļskis is likely going to face between 50 and 60 shots on net here. If he beats us, so be it but Latvia cannot compete with the powers in this event and the Czechs are a power that is a definite threat to for a medal and we’re not talking about a Bronze. Cheap price on a Czech team that figure to go off for at least five goals.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jordan Sharp

Parlay: NBA Bulls Over 183 & NBA Lakers Over 205

4-0 last 2 days

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Paul Leiner
100* Colorado +10.5
50* St Marys -11

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Chase Diamond
9* CBB Good Wood
Gonzaga -15.5

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The Real Deal Sports Picks
CBB
1000* No Western/Michigan St Over 119.5
500* Louisiana Lafayette -8.5

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Jason Sharp
8* CBB GOY
Charleston -3.5

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The Real Deal Sports Picks

Added

CBB
500* Utah -3.5