2-19-14

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Jordan Sharp

NBA Washington +1

NBA Toronto -2.5

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Will Rogers 10* NBA Shocker 70-61 Last 30 Days

Boston

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Scott Spreitzer Wed Wipeout 31-22 Last 30 days

Colorado

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LT Profits

NBA Cavs Over 198.5

CBK Hofstra +5

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Sports Wagers NBA

Boston @ PHOENIX
Boston +7 -106 over PHOENIX

Many teams look rejuvenated last night after the All-Star break and we expect to see something similar out of the Celtics. Remember, Boston is a young and enthusiastic bunch that came out of the gate very hot and needed that break as much as anyone. Rajon Rondo has notched double-digit assists in each of his last three games, including 12 in a season-high 37 minutes in a recent loss to Dallas. Since the return of Rondo, the C’s have won five of seven with only losses occurring against Dallas and San Antonio. The Celtics are a well-coached team that is not going to be an easy out in the second half.
Phoenix played last night in Denver and won in OT by five. For whatever reason that game last night was as intense as any we’ve seen this year. Every shot was contested, every rebound was fought for and every possession mattered. Both clubs played their hearts out and it ended up being a back and forth game with big runs from both teams. The Suns have San Antonio on deck on Friday night, making this an extremely vulnerable spot. Eric Bledsoe is still out for the Suns and when he doesn’t play, Phoenix is a .500 team. Whether Phoenix can hang on to its playoff spot will be intriguing because this team was supposed to lose 50 games this season according to the experts. Give the Suns a ton of credit but in terms of situational betting, this looks like an extremely vulnerable spot for the host. Upset possibility.

Our Pick
Boston +7 -106 (Risking 2.12 units - To Win: 2.00)





New York @ NEW ORLEANS
NEW ORLEANS -3½ -105 over New York

The Knicks played hard last night in a five-point loss to the Grizzlies in Memphis but they are just 3-7 this season in the second game of back-to-backs. Furthermore, the Knicks often follow up a good effort, win or lose, with a poor one and that could certainly come into play here. New York has one win in its last seven games and that lone victory came against a depleted Nuggets squad. From a psychological standpoint one has to question how the Knicks will rebound tonight after rallying from 18 down last night to take a seven-point lead in the fourth quarter. In true Knicks’ fashion, they were outscored 21-9 in the final 5½ minutes. For the Knicks, it was another loss that sucks the life out of a team. The Knicks are now 8-15 on the road.
New Orleans has played well over the last four weeks, winning eight of 13 while holding opponents to 95 points per game. Anthony Davis is playing at an elite level on both ends of the floor. This guy is a true All-Star that brings it every night and his determination and his refuse to lose attitude is contagious. The Pelicans hold a significant edge on the boards, they’re above .500 at home, they defeated the Knicks back in New York in December and there’s nothing suggesting they won’t repeat that here. On paper, this is a very evenly matched contest but the intangibles heavily favor the Pelicans and games are not played on paper.

Our Pick
NEW ORLEANS -3½ -105 (Risking 2.1 units - To Win: 2.00)





Brooklyn @ UTAH
UTAH +144 over Brooklyn

An effective small-ball lineup isn't the only silver lining from Brook Lopez's season-ending foot injury. Rookie Mason Plumlee has been a pleasant surprise for Brooklyn, providing a spark off the bench all season and a career-high 22 points and 13 rebounds in a recent win over New Orleans. However, after that big run in January, the Nets have gone back to playing like the ordinary team that they are with just four wins in their past nine games. Brooklyn has just seven wins in 24 road games but remain one of the Associations most overvalued teams.
The Jazz won three straight before the break, improving to 16-9 when starting Trey Burke, Gordon Hayward, Richard Jefferson, Marvin Williams and Derrick Favors. That will be Utah’s starting lineup again tonight. The Jazz have not only won three straight but one of those victories occurred against Miami in which the Jazz held LeBron James to a season-low-tying 13 points. Utah’s defense has stepped it up tremendously and is playing at a high level right now. In a game in which the Jazz have at least a 50% chance of winning and probably more, they offer up all the value here.
Our Pick
UTAH +144 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.88)

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Sports Wagers CBK

Saint Louis @ GEORGE MASON
GEORGE MASON +7½ -110 over Saint Louis

Perfect situational spot for the Patriots of George Mason. First, we have the A-10’s first place team playing the A-10’s last place team and that creates an inflated price. Saint Louis is 10-0 in the conference and they are 23-2 overall. The Billikens are coming off an impressive win over second place VCU and they have a game on deck against the 8-4 George Washington Colonials on Saturday. These two played on February 1 back in Saint Louis and as a 15½-point favorite, the Billikens needed OT to win it.
George Mason is 2-9 in the conference and they’re 9-16 overall. However, they are playing much better of late with victories over UMass and Duquesne in two of its last three games. In that OT loss to Saint Louis, the Patriots got to the line a mere seven times while the Billikens were awarded 25 free throws. The Patriots also out-rebounded the Billikens 38-27. Of course one could argue that the Billikens took the Patriots lightly and that is a valid argument indeed but the Billikens were not in a letdown spot then like they are here. That game on Saturday against VCU was a high profile game in which the Billikens won by two points and this one has a fraction of the interest that their previous game had. For George Mason, this is like their Championship game and we expect them to stay well within this margin.

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Jordan Sharp

Wizards
Raptors

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IC NBA

6-Unit Play. #717. Take Over 210 San Antonio* vs. Portland (Wednesday @ 10:05pm est).

Whenever there is an injury, teams always have a tendency of playing to the Over. What usually happens is there is a hit to the total when an injury is announced such as this total which opened up around 212 and now sits at 209.5 in most books. With Tony Parker going out the Spurs contest went over against the Clippers which is a classic situation and the Spurs will continue to play motivated. The Spurs likely will win this game tonight as with the re-entry of Patty Mills into the lineup, look for this team to continue to be focused and do well. The Parker injury was announced later in the day which helped the game go over (and if it would have been announced earlier, definitely would have taken the Over as the comp selection rather than the Side with the Clippers on the daily complimentary video). On top of this, NBA.com is reporting that Lamarcus Aldridge is going to be out for a week for the Blazers as well which is likely to make this team into a more offensive oriented team and less defensive oriented today. The popular belief is that injuries make totals go down and that is incorrect over the past 15+ years of tracking this system. Injuries make totals go over typically. For example, when Jordan did not play with the Bulls because of injuries or what not, the Bulls generally covered and the games went over. The same can be said about any star athlete when he first goes out as teams come together and the contests actually go over. So, with the Spurs being an active underdog tonight with revenge, with the Spurs playing their second game without Parker after the break and with the Blazers playing their first game without Aldridge after the break, look for this contest to likely go over the posted total as the teams come together to find the necessary offensive firepower. The NBA Is a very situational sport and power rankings and what not are basically irrelevant (unlike college basketball where power rankings come into play). The Over is 9-3 when the Spurs face teams with a winning percentage of greater than 60% and the Over is 9-4 when the Blazers face a team with a winning percentage of greater than 60% as well. With two teams that need to come together on the offensive end and with each facing key injuries, look for this game to go against the public taking it down and look for this contest to surpisingly go over. Don't be surprised if we see this game end up over 220 this evening.

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Ic

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5-Unit Play. #737. Take Auburn +17.5 over Florida (Wednesday @ 7pm est).

After Florida comes off a big win against Kentucky on the road, it's hard to get up to face an Auburn team that they have already beaten this year on the road by a score of 68-61. And as this team now heads into Florida to play, they have started to play much better as the Tigers have 4 conference wins thus far. The Tigers started off the season 0-6 in conference play but Tony Barbee's team now has 12 wins on the year and 4 of which are conference wins as they are starting to play better. Note, Auburn had just 9 wins in total last year which was a dismal year and now this team is coming together as they are maturing a bit more. Outside of the Arkansas contest on the road, Auburn has been in most contests this season in conference play. Of late they have beat Alabama, Georgia, South Carolina on the road, lost by just 7 to LSU on the road despite LSU having revenge, lost to Kentucky at home by 8 points and recently beat Mississippi State at home by 10 points. If you are Florida and just beat your biggest rival in the conference finally defeating a team at the Rupp that you have failed to defeat (as Scotty W. mentioned he really wanted to win 2 games this year one of which was at Tennessee and the other at Kentucky), it is going to be hard to get up for this game. With the public valuing Florida very high here, after the road win against Kentucky, on a total of 136, the value here is decent with Auburn playing better conference basketball, getting 17 on a total of 136, Auburn having revenge and Florida on a bit of a let down here. This game likely shapes up like the Alabama game where Florida went on the road to beat Bama by 6 points on the road to then come back and beat them by 9 points at home. The Tigers are 5-0 ATS following a straight up win as they usually gain confidence coming off a straight up win and the Underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 games between theses squads.

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Dr Bob

2* William & Mary

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Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

Game: N C Greensboro Spartans at Elon (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Elon -4 (-105) at 5Dimes

Elon is riding high on a five-game win streak and ranked #64 in the nation in scoring with 76 points per game. Elon claimed an 86-69 win over Samford on Feb. 15 in Alumni Gym, putting five players in double figures. Lucas Troutman recorded his eighth career double-double with 16 points and 10 boards to pace the Phoenix. UNC Greensboro is just 1-4 ATS in their last five home games and are not playing well, losing six of the last eight games. Elon leads the all-time series 23-13 and has won nine straight against the Spartans. Elon won the first meeting despite shooting just 2-of-20 from long range. That won't happen tonight, and Elon is 15-6 against

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Wunderdog Sports Complimentary Parlay

Game: Ohio (cbb) + Florida (cbb) + Kansas State (cbb) at Parlay (Wednesday 2/19 7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Parlay -181 (moneyline) at 5Dimes

Combine the Bobcats (-255) and the Gators (-2500) and the Wildcats (-1400) into a 3-team parlay at -181 odds.

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Doc Sports

4* Auburn
4* Marquette
4* Utah U

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Sports Cash System

extra pick:

Arkansas -12 over South Carolina (Spread Bet) (NCAA College Basketball) - Game Starts at 9:00 PM EST

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cappersports

Orlando Magic +6
Brooklyn Nets/Utah Jazz u191
San Antonio Spurs/Portland Trail Blazers u210½
Boston Celtics/Phoenix Suns o204½