2-21-14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FantasySportsGametime (record is 16-24 last 40 picks)

Friday

NBA BASKETBALL
1000* Play Dallas -9.5 over Philadelphia (NBA TOP PLAY)
7:00 PM EST

Philadelphia has lost 32 of the last 49 games against the spread when the total posted is greater than 200 points and they have also lost 32 of the last 51 games against the spread when playing as an underdog. Philadelphia has lost 20 of the last 27 home games against the spread and they are allowing an average of 110 points a game this season.


1000* Play Chicago -8.5 over Denver (NBA TOP PLAY)
8:00 PM EST

Denver has lost 8 of the last 9 games against the spread and they have also lost 11 of the last 12 games against the spread when playing on a Friday. Denver has lost 24 of the last 36 games against the spread when playing their 2nd game in five days and they are allowing an average of 118 points over the last five games.


1000* Play Portland -9 over Utah (NBA TOP PLAY)
10:00 PM EST

Utah has lost 24 of the last 34 games when revenging a loss vs. and opponent and they have also lost 29 of the last 37 games when playing as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points. Utah has lost 21 of the last 34 games when playing in the month of February and they are allowing an average of 100 points a game this season.

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NCAA BASKETBALL

50* Play Princeton -13 over Dartmouth (NCAA BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Yale -11 over Cornell (NCAA BONUS PLAY)

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NHL HOCKEY


NHL Hockey Plays will continue after the Winter Olympics

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

NBA UTAH at PORTLAND
Play Under - Home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 after going over the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games, with a winning record on the season
89-45 over the last 5 seasons. ( 66.4% 39.5 units )
14-11 this year. ( 56.0% 1.9 units )

NBA SAN ANTONIO at PHOENIX
Play On - Road teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (SAN ANTONIO) after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points, well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days
82-46 since 1997. ( 64.1% 37.5 units )
7-1 this year. ( 87.5% 6.8 units )

NBA ATLANTA at DETROIT
Play On - Underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (ATLANTA) after failing to cover the spread in 6 or more consecutive games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season
46-18 since 1997. ( 71.9% 26.2 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% 1.0 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

CBB YALE at CORNELL
Play Against - Home teams as an underdog or pick (CORNELL) after 3 straight games where both teams score 70 points or less against opponent after scoring 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games
41-15 over the last 5 seasons. ( 73.2% 24.5 units )
3-1 this year. ( 75.0% 1.9 units )

CBB IONA at RIDER
Play On - Road favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (IONA) poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of >=45% on the season
153-39 over the last 5 seasons. ( 79.7% 63.1 units )
37-12 this year. ( 75.5% 10.6 units )

CBB HARVARD at PENNSYLVANIA
Play Against - Underdogs of 6 to 11 points vs. the first half line (PENNSYLVANIA) an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against an excellent defensive team (<=63 PPG), after 3 straight games where both teams score 70 points or less
27-7 over the last 5 seasons. ( 79.4% 19.3 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

World Class Capper

Olympics Hockey
3* USA money line @ -110
Starts at 12:00 PM est

NBA
3* New York Knicks -2 point spread @ -110
Starts at 7:00 PM est

3* Mavericks vs 76ers - over 213.5 point spread @ -110
Starts at 7:00 PM est

NCAAB
3* Yale -11 point spread @ -110
Starts at 7:00 PM est

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CHASE DIAMOND

10* NBA DIAMOND PLAY
New Orleans vs. Charlotte
New Orleans+4

This game features the 23-30 Pelicans at the 25-30 Bobcats. Pelicans and Bobcats are still alive in the playoff race with the Bobcats holding the 8 spot in the playoff bracket. Expect the motivated Pelicans to come out and show they are the more talented unit here. 59% of the money is on the home Bobcats yet this line went from +4 to +3.5 showing us good sharp action on the Pelicans. Take the Pelicans plus the points tonight for a big 10* winner.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DAVID BANKS

NBA
Denver Nuggets vs. Chicago Bulls
There is a rather intriguing non-conference battle from the Windy City on
ESPN Friday night when the defensive minded Chicago Bulls (28-25, 26-27 ATS)
serve as hosts vs. the run-and-gun Denver Nuggets (24-28, 22-30 ATS) at the
United Center in Chicago at 8:05 ET. The Bulls may struggle mightily to
score points a lot of the time, but their outstanding defense had keyed a
four-game winning streak that has them at three games over .500 for the first time
since they began the season at 6-3, and Chicago is currently seeded fourth
in the East. The Nuggets have now lost five straight games straight up and
six straight games ATS, and they are 11th in the West at 6 games behind the
eighth and final playoff spot.

The Bulls are seeking some revenge here as they have lost the last five
head-to-head meetings with the Nuggets including a 97-87 loss at Denver the
first time these teams met this season. Considering the direction that each of
these teams is heading in lately, this seems like a prime spot for Chicago
to get that revenge, and perhaps in rather emphatic fashion too. The Bulls
come off of a big 94-92 win on the road in Toronto on Wednesday that allowed
them to pull to within one-half game of the Raptors for the third seed in the
Eastern Conference. Remember, as long as the Bulls have the best record
among non-division winners in the East, they would have home court advantage in
the first round of the playoffs, although obviously they would get an
easier matchup if that can finish as the third seed. Chicago is suffocating teams
as usual, just like Coach Tom Thibodeau likes it, as it is second in the
NBA in points against at 92.3 points per game, third in field goal percentage
allowed at 43.4 percent and second in defensive efficiency. Granted the
Bulls are dead last in the league in scoring at 92.3 points per game, exactly
matching their points against average, but they have raised that average a bit
to 94.5 points during the win streak and the Denver defense can make just
about any offense look better than it is.

The struggling Nuggets have gone back to playing the running style they
played under former coach George Karl with practically zero regard for defense,
and as a result they have now allowed at least 100 points in 10 consecutive
games and in 15 of their last 16 contests! And that is pending Denver's
result in Milwaukee Thursday as this game marks the second of a back-to-back.
The Nuggets are still only 11th in the NBA in scoring at 103.1 points per
game, although that average has been climbing since new coach Brian Shaw
abandoned his desire to install more of a half-court offense, but that has not
done much good with a defense ranked 28th out of 30 teams in points against at
104.6 per game. Denver does not figure to have its usual offensive success
playing here in Chicago vs. a hot defense, and if that is the case the
Nuggets do not have much to fall back on in an attempt to win this game.

The home teams are 9-2-1 ATS in the last 12 head-to-head meetings overall
including the Bulls going 4-1-1 ATS in the last six meetings in Chicago. The
Bulls are also 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games vs. teams with losing
straight up records. The Nuggets are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games playing with no
rest and 0-6 ATS in their last six games vs. the Eastern Conference.
PICK: CHICAGO BULLS-7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Accenture Match Play 3rd Round Matchups
Matt Fargo

We ended up 3-3 on Thursday but still showed a +114 profit thanks to underdog wins on Oosthuizen and Fowler.

First Round Results:

+200 Louis Oosthuizen -110 over Nick Watney
-200 David Lynn +145 over Brandt Snedeker
+250 George Coetzee +125 over Steve Stricker
-200 Chris Kirk +110 over Jim Furyk
-200 Miguel Angel Jimenez +140 over Bill Haas
+200 Ernie Els -105 over Stephen Gallacher
+300 Matteo Manassero +150 over Luke Donald
+320 Peter Hanson +160 over Dustin Johnson
-200 Mikko Ilonen +180 over Bubba Watson

Second Round Results:

+200 McDowell -118 over Matsuyama
-200 Blixt +157 over Watson
-200 Reed +103 over Coetzee
+248 Oosthuizen +124 over Stenson
+266 Fowler +133 over Walker
-200 Manassero +122 over Dufner

We ended up 3-3 on Thursday but still showed a +114 profit thanks to underdog wins on Oosthuizen and Fowler. A tough loss on Reed in 21 holes ruined a very strong day. Still, through two days of matches, we sit at 8-7 +584 and carry that into the third round. With all of the number one seeds out, the tournament is wide open.

Dubuisson +145 over Watson

Dubuisson has not trailed through his first two matches and has 10 birdies through 31 holes. No one has heard of him, thus he comes in as a big underdog again. Watson did not trail on Thursday but he did everything he could to blow the match, eventually winning thanks to a Blixt miscue on 18. His fortunes run out here.

McDowell +115 over Mahan

Mahan won here two years ago and made it to the finals last year so he will be tough to beat but he has had an easy road so far and his first lead yesterday didn't come until 17. McDowell has been slow out of the gates, falling four down and three down in his first two matches but came back when it counted. Expect a better start today.

Kuchar +100 over Spieth

Spieth has been solid with only three bogeys through his first 32 holes but the value is clearly on the other side. Kuchar is the defending champion and after winning his first two matches this year, is 17-3 in this event. That record, along with the fact that he is a two-seed vs. a three-seed, shows the value lies in the underdog.

Furyk +110 over English

Give a lot of credit to English who blew a sizeable lead against McIlroy but won on the first extra hole thanks to a McIlroy mistake. Furyk was two down after 10 against Schwartzel but won five of the next six holes and we will back the veteran here who is playing with a lot of confidence.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bones Best Bet
Riding a couple more underdogs here. All 4 number 1 seeds eliminated, this is anyone's to win now. We have McDowell left to win, we need him to win two more rounds and we can start hedging if need be.


ELS over DUFNER +138 *2*


KUCHAR over SPIETH +112 *2*

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bones Best Bet
MAVERICKS -12.5 -102 *5* BEST BET



This one has been circled in the calender for a week now as an automatic BEST BET. We have the Mavericks by 20+ points tonight. Dallas have been playing some pretty good ball of late, with wins in 7 of 10 (losses vs HOU and MIA) covering 12.5 in 3 of those wins against MUCH better teams then the hapless 76ers. To say the 76ers have been a joke is an understatement. Philadelphia have dropped 9 straight games, which is terrible, but it is HOW they are doing it that is so much worse. During those 9 losses they have lost games by 29, 5, 43, 45, 14, 6, 6, 17, 26 - that is an average of 21.22 points! They are losing games by an average of 21.22 points over their past 9 games, over their past 5 it's an even worse 27.2! On the season the 76ers have a home point differential of -10.1, an atrocious numbers that even factors in their 8 home wins. This one should not even be close.




Score Prediction: Mavericks 125 - 76ers 101




KNICKS @ MAGIC O195.5 -105 *2*

KNICKS -2 -107 *1*


These teams have went over in 5 straight meetings and over today's total in 5 straight meetings. Knicks have went over in 3 of 4. On the year Magic games at home average over 200 points and Knicks games on the road average over 193. Knicks are 6-0-1 o/u their last 7 games vs a team with a losing record. Knicks have went over in 5 of 6 road games. The Magic have went over in 7 straight vs a team with a losing record.





The Knicks have also had the Magics number, covering in 8 straight meetings and winning 9 of last 10.




Score Prediction: Knicks 103 - Magic 97




CAVALIERS @ RAPTORS O197.5 -105 *4*




Cleveland has really started to put it all together winning an impressive 6 straight ball games! They are also averaging 103.8 ppg over that 6 game span. Meanwhile the Raptors have been equally as impressive, averaging 102 ppg over their L6 and 101.2 ppg on the year at home. Good game here, both teams should hit triple digits. Second biggest play of the night for sure here.




Score Prediction: Cavaliers 100 - Raptors 107




CLIPPERS @ GRIZZLIES O194.5 -105 *2*


Memphis has been a big under team and the Clippers have been a huge over team. We don't think the Clippers can be slowed and they don't play much defense. They have went over in 5 of 6. Clippers have scored over 100 in 7 straight and over 110 in 5 of those 7. They have also given up over 100 in 5 of 6 and over 110 in 4 of those 6. The Grizzlies at home this year average over 96 for and against. In 10 games on 2 or more days rest this season Clippers games have averaged over 215. These teams have also went over in 4 of last 5 meetings.





Score Prediction: Clippers 102 - Grizzlies 99

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ecks and Bacon

Ben lee lost his three team six point teaser in college basketball on Thursday and as we all know two out of three ain't bad but it doesn't get you the money.


(1) Memphis from -8 to -2/Rutgers (W)

(2) Nebraska from -5 to +1/Penn State (W)

(3) Georgetown from +2 to +8//Seton Hall (L)


E&B have Np for Friday.

I missed two play's E&B had on Wednesday.

Arsenal /Bayern Munich and a play on the Draw bolth were losse$.

I have corrected the wins,los$es and total's for Ben lee.

All totals are now updated.

Ecks and Bacon is 2-4 -$35 for week seventeen and 56-75-2 -$1648.

All E&B selections will be for $50 unless noted

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAA Basketball Picks

VCU at Massachusetts

Rams look to bounce back from their 64-62 loss to St. Louis as they travel to UMass to face a Minutemen team that is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 home game. VCU is the pick (+1 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Rams favored by 5. Dunkel Pick: VCU (+1 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 21 Time Posted: 11:00 a.m. EST

Game 821-822: VCU at Massachusetts (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: VCU 67.668; Massachusetts 62.843 Dunkel Line: VCU by 5; 152 Vegas Line: Massachusetts by 1 1/2; 147 1/2 Dunkel Pick: VCU (+1 1/2); Over

Game 823-824: Detroit at Wright State (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 52.709; Wright State 60.870 Dunkel Line: Wright State by 8; 125 Vegas Line: Wright State by 5 1/2; 129 Dunkel Pick: Wright State (-5 1/2); Under

Game 825-826: Dartmouth at Princeton (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Dartmouth 44.134; Princeton 60.665 Dunkel Line: Princeton by 16 1/2 Vegas Line: Princeton by 13 Dunkel Pick: Princeton (-13)

Game 827-828: Brown at Columbia (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Brown 53.070; Columbia 56.520 Dunkel Line: Columbia by 3 1/2 Vegas Line: Columbia by 6 Dunkel Pick: Brown (+6)

Game 829-830: Harvard at Pennsylvania (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Harvard 61.409; Pennsylvania 48.162 Dunkel Line: Harvard by 13 Vegas Line: Harvard by 10 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Harvard (-10 1/2)

Game 831-832: Yale at Cornell (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Yale 52.745; Cornell 38.868 Dunkel Line: Yale by 14 Vegas Line: Yale by 10 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Yale (-10 1/2)

Game 833-834: Oakland at Illinois-Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 51.184; Illinois-Chicago 46.706 Dunkel Line: Oakland by 4 1/2 Vegas Line: Oakland by 1 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-1 1/2)

Game 835-836: Iona at Rider (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Iona 59.101; Rider 52.178 Dunkel Line: Iona by 7; 165 Vegas Line: Iona by 5; 160 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Iona (-5); Over

Game 837-838: Manhattan at Siena (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Manhattan 59.417; Siena 51.210 Dunkel Line: Manhattan by 8 Vegas Line: Manhattan by 5 Dunkel Pick: Manhattan (-5)

Game 841-842: Mercer at Florida Gulf Coast (6:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Mercer 59.898; Florida Gulf Coast 56.418 Dunkel Line: Mercer by 3 1/2; 135 Vegas Line: Mercer by 1; 139 Dunkel Pick: Mercer (-1); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NBA Picks

LA Clippers at Memphis

The Clippers look to bounce back from their 113-103 home loss to San Antonio as they head to Memphis tonight with an 8-0 ATS record in their last 8 games following an upset loss as a favorite. LA is the pick (-1 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Clippers favored by 3 1/2. Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-1 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 21 Time Posted: 11:00 a.m. EST

Game 801-802: New Orleans at Charlotte (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 114.821; Charlotte 125.605 Dunkel Line & Total: Charlotte by 11; 187 Vegas Line & Total: Charlotte by 3; 192 Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (-3); Under

Game 803-804: Cleveland at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 117.312; Toronto 122.687 Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 5 1/2; 202 Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 8 1/2; 196 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+8 1/2); Over

Game 805-806: Dallas at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 120.115; Philadelphia 103.827 Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 16 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 12 1/2; 212 Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-12 1/2); Over

Game 807-808: New York at Orlando (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: New York 118.044; Orlando 114.103 Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 4; 191 Vegas Line & Total: New York by 2 1/2; 195 1/2 Dunkel Pick: New York (-2 1/2); Under

Game 809-810: Atlanta at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 118.169; Detroit 117.152 Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 1; 218 Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 4; 209 Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+4); Over

Game 811-812: Denver at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Denver 110.690; Chicago 125.021 Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 14 1/2; 186 Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 7; 192 Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-7); Under

Game 813-814: LA Clippers at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 124.883; Memphis 121.413 Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 3 1/2; 199 Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 1 1/2; 195 Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-1 1/2); Over

Game 815-816: San Antonio at Phoenix (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 117.651; Phoenix 123.942 Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 6 1/2; 204 Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 1 1/2; 208 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+1 1/2); Under

Game 817-818: Utah at Portland (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Utah 116.805; Portland 122.707 Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 6; 206 Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 8; 202 Dunkel Pick: Utah (+8); Over

Game 819-820: Boston at LA Lakers (10:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Boston 114.394; LA Lakers 113.540 Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1; 200 Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 2; 203 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Boston (+2); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Clement

8 Units New York Knicks -2.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PSYCHIC
(1-5)

Pass

WIZARD
(1-10)

6 unit Charlotte

JT WALKER
(all units same one unit)

1 unit Yale -10.5

Totals 4 U
(1-100% ratings)

64% over 194 Orlando/NY

Iceman
(1-3)

TBA

Genius
(1-10)

7 unit Philadelphia +12.5

Sports Advisors, Joe Wright
(1-10)

6 unit Charlotte -4

Michael Cash Money
(1-10)

8 unit Phoenix +1

The Sports Report
(1-10)

7 unit Princeton -13

The Sports Chick
(1-10)

8 unit Phoenix +1.5 (play of the week)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jordan Sharp


NBA Mavs -12.5


NBA Boston +2.5