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SpOrTs-JuNkiE 02-26-14: NBA: Detroit vs Spurs (8:35 pm est.) $100 NBA Play: Detroit/Spurs - OVER 210 (-115)
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Indian Cowboy's Picks For College Basketball
4-Unit Play. #768. Take Villanova -15 over Butler (Wednesday @ 8pm est).
Indian Cowboy's Picks For NBA Basketball
3-Unit Play. #714. Take San Antonio -10.5 over Detroit (Wednesday @ 8:30pm est).
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ROOT
no limit purdue
millionaire baylorComment
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Las Vegas Pipeline
10* N.C. StateComment
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Jeff Grant
Miami Hurricanes +11
Texas Longhorns -4
Lean: Cal +13.5Comment
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LT Profits
La Salle PICKComment
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Sports Wagers CBK
Baylor @ TEXAS
TEXAS -4 -106 over Baylor
The Bears opened the year with 12 wins in 13 games and were moving rapidly up the rankings. Then conference play kicked in and Baylor lost eight of 10 games to open their Big-12 schedule. They quickly fell out of the rankings but four wins in a row has this team on the rise again. We say not so fast. Baylor’s last four wins came against TCU, K-State, Oklahoma State and West Virginia, not exactly the cream of the crop in the conference. Two of those four wins occurred in OT. Prior to that, as a road underdog at #21 Oklahoma, Baylor got pounded by 16 points. In two previous tries as a Big 12 underdog, the Bears have been blasted in double-digit losses and in three previous conference road games, the Bears have allowed their opponent to make more than half of its shots each time. This team does not travel well and they’re about to face a Longhorns squad in a very foul mood.
Texas is coming off an embarrassing 31-point loss at Kansas. Prior to that the ‘Horns lost in Iowa State by nine. They have now dropped two in a row and three of their last five but let’s call it a rough stretch only because this team is talented and far more talented than this guest. Texas appeared likely to be headed for an NIT berth or even a return trip to the CBI this season. The Longhorns were decimated in the offseason, losing their top four scorers from a team that couldn’t even make the NIT. Instead, life is good in Texas for Coach Rick Barnes. No one is missing Myck Kabongo, who declared for the NBA draft and is playing in the D-League. No one is talking about how Sheldon McClellan (Miami) and Julien Lewis (Fresno State) transferred elsewhere or how Ioannis Papapetrou decided to leave abruptly and play pro ball back in his homeland of Greece. Texas is 20-7 and sits in second place in the Big 12 behind perennial league power Kansas. The Longhorns are a team this season with chemistry, physical toughness and mental resolve. After that awful showing in Kansas, they’ll show that resolve once again.
Our Pick
#780 TEXAS -4 -106 (Risking 2.12 units - To Win: 2.00)
Last 30 Days 9 19 0.00 -21.52 Season to Date 22 38 0.00 -35.30 Comment
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Sports Wagers NHL
Los Angeles @ COLORADO
Los Angeles +105 over COLORADO
OT Included. The Avalanche have been solid all season both at home and on the road. They entered the break having won five of their past seven games, capped off by a 5-2 victory over the Islanders. The Avs are 11 points ahead of the Kings in the standings but they have a problem here. Semyon Varlamov played overseas during the Olympics, thus forcing Colorado to use its backup, J.S. Giguere in this one. With all due respect to Martin Brodeur, Devan Dubnyk and Kevin Poulin, Giguere is the NHL’s worst goaltender and it’s not close. Giguere is slow, he’s often out of position and he also flops around like a fish out of water most of the time. He makes saves when the puck hits him but when a sharpshooter has an opportunity, he’ll usually bury it against this stiff. In a recent four game stint before the break, Giguere got four starts in a month and posted save percentages of .857, .893, .708 and .789 against Vancouver, Dallas, Chicago and Calgary resppectively.
The Kings needed a break more than any other team. This extremely talented group has been in a horrible scoring slump that is simply unexplainable. The Kings were creating as many scoring chances as some of the NHL’s top teams but they just weren’t going in. Because of it, L.A. was losing games at an alarming pace. In fact, the Kings lost nine of their past 11 before the break so the time off was very much welcomed. Despite losing, L.A. was rarely outplayed outshooting the opposition in eight of those nine losses and many of those were by a wide margin. Among all those losses, the Kings outshot Philly 35-13, Anaheim 36-21 and 31-21 in two games, Pittsburgh 31-22 and Chicago, 34-30. The Kings were not playing poorly in the least. This is still one of the top teams in the NHL that has few flaws. The puck will start going in for the Kings and they could not have asked for a better setup to begin the stretch run in facing Giguere.
Our Pick
Los Angeles +105 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.10)
Last 30 Days 13 26 0.00 -19.04 Season to Date 115 148 0.00 -9.59 Comment
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Willie Bee
Villanova -15Comment
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Sports Wagers NBA
Detroit @ SAN ANTONIO
Detroit +10½ -102 over SAN ANTONIO
The Pistons have a lot of bad habits. With all that talent this is a team that should not be on the outside looking in at a playoff spot. Detroit has lost five of its last six but in its defense, they did lose to some very warm teams like Dallas, Charlotte (twice), and the then very hot Cavs. After playing eight of their last nine at home, the Pistons are likely looking forward to getting on the road for a few days and when focused, they are not an easy out.
Few teams have enjoyed more point-spread success the past few seasons than the Spurs. During the 2011-12 lockout campaign, they covered a remarkable 44 of 66 games It was more of the same last season, as they opened on a 21-13 ATS run. It wasn't until an unheard of 100-game stretch of 65 percent point-spread winners that oddsmakers and the betting markets finally caught up as they finished the regular season 39-41-2 ATS. After their heartbreaking loss to the Miami Heat in last year's NBA Finals, it was obvious the regular season wasn't going to matter with their aging core of Tony Parker, Tim Duncan and Manu Ginobili hopeful for one last postseason push. But difficulties have crept in with virtually every important player on the roster missing significant time due to injury. The Spurs have always been able to win games with makeshift lineups, hence their 40-16 straight up record this season. However, there is profit potential in fading this team versus the number. Since the start of 2013, the Spurs have covered the point-spread as 7-point favorites or more at just a 40% clip. With the focus squarely on getting healthy and a postseason run, winning regular-season games by a margin will remain an afterthought. That applies here.
Our Pick
Detroit +10½ -102 (Risking 2.04 units - To Win: 2.00)
Brooklyn @ PORTLAND
Brooklyn +127 over PORTLAND
As a 2½-point favorite in Denver last night, the Trail Blazers were a huge public pick and they delivered the goods with a 105-100 victory. Portland had a 13-point lead entering the fourth quarter and so the final score was a little bit flattering to the Nuggets. One night later and still very fresh in the minds of the public, Portland and its 39-18 record (21-7 at home) is once again a small price, this time at home over an East team that is below .500. How can that be? The public is all over the Blazers again and that’s something we can’t get on board with. We haven’t been going so good of late but that doesn’t mean we can’t single out something that looks extremely fishy. This line is absolutely an enticement to wager on the Trail Blazers and we’re not taking the bait.
The first half of the season was, in essence, a bust for the Nets. Playing in the inept Eastern Conference, they went into the All-Star break with a sub-.500 record despite boasting the highest payroll in the NBA. But their struggles shouldn't come as a shock with so many new pieces, including extremely "green" head coach Jason Kidd. With age an issue as well, there was little reason for the Nets to hit the gas pedal during the early portion of the season. Of late, the Nets have shown signs of life on the defensive end of the court. During November and December, opposing teams shot 46 percent from the floor and averaged 102.4 PPG. Since the start of 2014, while making a few personnel adjustments, the Nets have allowed just 44 percent FG and 95 PPG. Brooklyn has competed with the very best in the NBA with wins over Miami, Oklahoma City and Golden State. Playing with a sense of urgency, the Nets have become very dangerous and the oddsmakers are betting on that to continue here.
Our Pick
Brooklyn +127 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.54)
Last 30 Days 10 12 0.00 -3.98 Season to Date 41 47 0.00 -7.58 Comment
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Jason Lake
Hawks +2Comment
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Sports Wagers Soccer
UEFA - Champions League
GALATASARAY +188 over Chelsea
3:45 PM EST. Galatasaray fans are noted for unfurling banners that say "Welcome to Hell" when opposition teams arrive at Istanbul airport ahead of European fixtures and they'll be hoping their side can make life that uncomfortable for the Premier League leaders. Jose Mourinho's Chelsea travel to Turkey for the first leg of this tie in a battle which pits Mourinho against one of his favorite former players in Ivorian Didier Drogba. Mourinho and Drogba experienced plenty of success together in Jose's first stint in charge of Chelsea and this is the second year in a row he's come up against Drogba in Europe. Last season Mourinho was in charge of Real Madrid and they got all they could handle from Galatasaray before advancing to the next round and the "Special One" is well aware of the threat the Turkish side could pose.
Chelsea has not been entirely convincing on their travels this season and has won fewer than half of their games on the road in the Premier League and Champions League during this campaign. In the group stage the Blues lost away to Basel and things will be even tougher in Turkey. Galatasaray have lost only once in their last 19 games in all competitions and are currently unbeaten at home in 16 matches (13 wins and 3 draws). Away from home the Turks haven't fared that well but at home they are a different proposition in front of an intimidating crowd and beat Juventus to qualify from a very tough group which included Real Madrid. As well as Drogba's ability to lead the line up front, Galatasaray will rely on Wesley Sneijder from an advanced midfield role to cause Chelsea problems. Sneijder isn't in the form he was a few years ago during his Inter Milan days but he's still more than capable of being a match winner and influential force on his day.
Mourinho will be without the services of Nemanja Matic and Mohamed Salah, both of whom joined Chelsea in January but are cup-tied in the Champions League this season having already played in the competition for Benfica and Galatasaray during this campaign. In fact Salah was the match winner for Basel against Chelsea when the London outfit traveled to Switzerland. Galatasaray are at near full strength and the home leg is crucial for them to have any chance of progressing in the tie. We're siding with the Turks in the draw no bet market to get a positive result and at least avoid defeat at home.
Our Pick: GALATASARAY +188 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 3.76)
STD: 5-8Comment
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Jason Lake
add: Mavericks –7Comment
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LT Profits
add: Nets +2½Comment
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Jordan Sharp
Bulls +3
Nets Over 203Comment
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