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Pick: Your pick will be graded at pinnacle @ Over 192.5 -105
Expert: Ben Burns
Evaluation: Mar 1 - 8:00 PM
Reason For Pick:
I’m playing on Indiana and Boston to finish OVER the total. These teams have met twice so far this season, once in November and once in December. Both meetings fell below the total. Both teams have been playing a lot of high-scoring games recently though and I expect a much different style of game here.
The Celtics have seen the OVER go 3-0 their last three games. Those three games had combined scores of 203, 208 and 219. They’ve now seen six straight games produce a minimum of 193 combined points, allowing triple-digits in ALL six of those games.
Like their guests, the Pacers have been involved in some shootouts recently. That’s led to the OVER going 4-0-1 their last five games. All five of those games produced a minimum of 195 combined points, while averaging 203.4.
The Pacers, who aren’t typically as stingy defensively when playing away from home, have seen the OVER go 5-2 the last seven times that they played a road game with an O/U line in the 190 to 194.5 range. I look for those stats to improve as this one proves higher-scoring than many will be expecting. 9*
Hot teams
-- Miami won its last six games (5-0-1 vs spread).
-- Wizards won last five games, last one in triple OT.
-- Rockets won ten of their last twelve games.
-- Pacers won last three games, are 1-4-1 vs spread in last six.
-- Cavaliers won eight of their last eleven games. Memphis won five of its last seven games.
-- Trailblazers won last four games, covered last three.
-- Minnesota won four of its last five games.
-- Clippers won five of their last seven games.
Cold Teams
-- Magic lost five of its last seven games.
-- 76ers lost their last 12 games (3-9 vs spread).
-- Pistons lost six of their last seven games.
-- Celtics lost five of their last six games.
-- Milwaukee lost seven of last nine games, but covered five of last six. Nets are 3-5 in their last eight road games.
-- Denver lost nine of its last ten games.
-- Sacramento lost six of its last nine games.
-- New Orleans lost its last six games (1-4-1 vs spread).
Series records
-- Heat won its last seven games with Orlando.
-- Wizards lost five of last six visits to Philadelphia.
-- Rockets won their last six games with Detroit.
-- Pacers are 2-0 vs Boston this season, winning by 15-27 points.
-- Nets won their last four games with Milwaukee.
-- Grizzlies won four of last five games with Cleveland.
-- Blazers are 3-0 vs Denver this year, winning by 15-5-5 points.
-- Kings won five of last seven games with Minnesota.
-- Clippers won seven of last eight games with New Orleans.
Totals
-- Six of last eight Orlando-Miami games went over total.
-- Six of last eight Washington-Philly games stayed under.
-- Five of last six Detroit games went over the total.
-- Over is 4-0-1 in last five Indiana games.
-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Brooklyn games; five of Milwaukee's last six games went over.
-- Seven of last eight Cleveland games stayed under.
-- Four of last five Denver games stayed under total.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Minnesota games; five of last seven King games went over.
-- 12 of last 18 Pelican-Clipper games went over total.
Hot teams
-- Washington won four of its last five games. Bruins won seven of last ten.
-- Rangers won six of their last seven games. Flyers won four of last five.
-- Winnipeg won six of its last nine games.
-- Dallas Stars won four of their last five games.
-- Kings won their last three games, allowing five goals.
-- Maple Leafs won five of their last seven games. Montreal won four of last five.
Cold teams
-- Islanders lost seven of last nine games. Devils lost five of their last six road games.
-- Blue Jackets lost last three games, scoring total of five goals. Florida lost six of its last seven games.
-- Predators lost three of their last four games.
-- Lightning lost five of their last seven games.
-- Hurricanes lost four of their last five games.
-- Penguins lost three of last five games, with last two losses in SO. Chicago lost seven of its last ten games.
-- Edmonton lost its last two games, scoring one goals. Flames lost three of last four games.
Totals
-- Six of last eight Washington games went over total.
-- Last three Islander games went over; three of last four Devil games stayed under.
-- Over is 6-3-1 in last ten Ranger-Philly games.
-- Last six Florida-Columbus games stayed under.
-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Nashville-Winnipeg games.
-- Four of last five Tampa Bay games stayed under.
-- Over is 5-1-2 in last eight Carolina games.
-- Six of last seven Toronto-Montreal games went over.
-- Four of last five Pittsburgh games stayed under; last three Chicago games went over.
-- Under is 5-0-1 in last six Edmonton games.
Series records
-- Bruins won five of last seven games with Washington.
-- Islanders won three of last four games with New Jersey.
-- Rangers won 12 of last 15 games with Philadelphia.
-- Blue Jackets won their last six games against Florida.
-- Jets lost five of last six games with Nashville.
-- Lightning won its last two games with Dallas, 5-4/2-1.
-- Kings won two of last three games with Carolina.
-- Visitor is 9-4 in last thirteen Toronto-Montreal games.
-- Chicago-Pittsburgh split their last four games.
-- Oilers won six of their last nine games with Calgary.
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