3-5-14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

CBB LAFAYETTE at BOSTON U
Play Against - A home team (BOSTON U) average shooting team (42.5-45%) against an poor defensive team (45-47.5%), average rebounding team (+/-3 Reb/G) against a poor rebounding team (-3 to -6 Reb/G) - 15+ games
41-15 over the last 5 seasons. ( 73.2% 24.5 units )
6-6 this year. ( 50.0% -0.6 units )

CBB LIBERTY at WINTHROP
Play Against - Underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (LIBERTY) cold team - having lost 8 or more of their last 10 games against opponent hot team -having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games
140-22 over the last 5 seasons. ( 86.4% 67.1 units )
26-8 this year. ( 76.5% -0.3 units )

CBB FORDHAM at RHODE ISLAND
Play On - A road team vs. the 1rst half line (FORDHAM) a bad team (20% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record, in March games
118-64 since 1997. ( 64.8% 47.6 units )
9-2 this year. ( 81.8% 6.8 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ecks and Bacon

Ben lee lost on Tuesday with the Heat Pk/Rockets.

For Wednesday E&B are going with two one in the NBA Nets-1/Grizzles and one in college basketball Saint Joseph +4/George Washington.

Ecks and Bacon is 0-2 -$110 for week nineteen and 60-82-2 -$1888.

All E&B selections will be for $50 unless noted

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

100* Jazz / Wizards Over 199

100* UMass -4

50* Mississippi +8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

EZWINNERS

2* St. Francis +1.5 1st Half

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve's Picks - WGC Cadillac Championship

FRANCESCO MOLINARI 120 TO 1
ADAM SCOTT 12.5 TO 1
GRAHAM DELAET 50 TO 1
HARRIS ENGLISH 36 TO 1
CHARL SCHWARTZEL 46 TO 1
KEEGAN BRADLEY 28 TO 1

72 Hole Head to Head

2U FRANCESCO MOLINARI (-120) over Martin Kaymer
1U CHARL SCHWARTZEL (+100) over Justin Rose

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mavericks-Nuggets favors the road team
Justin Hartling

In the last 13 meetings between the Dallas Mavericks and the Denver Nuggets the road team is 11-2 against the spread.

The Mavs also have an amazing 21-11 ATS record this season on the road, while the Nuggets are a sub-par 11-19 ATS when at home.

The Mavs will travel to Denver as 4.5-point road faves Wednesday.

**Rockets have had problems covering against Magic

It’s been a long time since the Houston Rockets have covered a spread against the Orlando Magic. The last time the Rockets covered against the Magic was April 7, 2009 and since then Houston is 0-8 ATS versus Orlando.

Earlier this season when the Rockets hosted the Magic, Houston failed to cover Orlando +13.5.

The Rockets will visit Orlando Wednesday and this game is currently off the board.

**Hawks losing and not paying out to bettors

The Atlanta Hawks have been on a skid since the start of February, going 2-11 straight-up. Bettors have not found much solace in the Hawks as they are 2-10-1 against the spread during that time, including 0-6-1 on the road.

The Hawks will travel to Portland Wednesday. This game is currently off the board.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

After skid, Arizona worth a wager once again

Arizona has emerged from a five-game ATS (against the spread) losing streak – a stretch that included its first SU (straight up) loss and losing Brandon Ashley to a foot injury – to again become a team worthy of a wager.

The Wildcats have gone 6-1 SU without Ashley, already wrapping up the Pac-12 regular-season title with two games to go, and have gone 5-1 ATS in their last six games, covering the last four in a row. Prior to their 0-5 pointspread skid, the ‘Cats were among the best in the nation at 13-4 ATS, and they’re now regaining some of that ground with an 18-10 ATS mark that ranks 13th nationally.

**Murray State a hot bet in Ohio Valley tourney

Belmont is the No. 1 seed in the Ohio Valley Conference Tournament, which opens today in Nashville. But the OVC team that’s provided the most bang for bettors’ bucks is No. 2 seed Murray State.

The Racers (18-10 straight up) are a sturdy 15-9-1 against the spread, which rates 28th nationally, and that’s despite dropping four of their first five ATS decisions to open the season. Since Dec. 4, Murray State has gone 14-5-1 ATS, including 7-2-1 ATS in its last 10, though the Racers enter the OVC tourney coming off a 118-115 double-overtime loss as a 1.5-point underdog at Southeast Missouri State.

Belmont and Murray State get byes in the first two rounds of the tourney, awaiting opponents for Friday’s semifinals.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Pac-12 Tip Sheet
by David Schwab

The Pac-12 continues the countdown to next week’s conference tournament which will take place in Las Vegas from March 12 to March 15. There is no mystery as to which team will win the Pac-12 regular season title with No. 3 Arizona holding a three-game lead over UCLA with just two games to play. However; what is at stake is seeding position for a number of the other teams in the conference.

We'll take a closer look at some key stats and betting trends for all three Pac-12 matchups on this Wednesday night’s slate.

Colorado Buffaloes vs. Stanford Cardinal

Colorado is currently in fourth place in the Pac-12 standings at 9-7 straight-up and can still end-up ranked No. 2 if a number of things go in its favor this week. The Buffaloes can also fall all the way to 10th-place if they lose-out to Stanford and Cal this week. They are coming off back-to back losses both straight-up and against the spread to Arizona and Utah and they are now 7-9 ATS in conference play. The total has gone OVER in seven of their last eight games.

The Buffaloes have a trio of players averaging between 14 and 15 points per game. Spencer Dinwiddie (14.7 PPG) is the team’s top shooter; but he is out with a season-ending knee injury. Josh Smith (14.6 PPG) leads in rebounds with 8.7 and Askia Booker (14 PPG) is dishing out 3.5 assists. The team, as a whole, is averaging 73.2 points and shooting 44.3 percent from the floor.

Stanford is another team that can move up or down the standings depending on what it does on Wednesday night as well as this Saturday against Utah. It is also 9-7 SU in the Pac-12 with a 10-6 record ATS. The Cardinal have lost their last two games both SU and ATS and the total has stayed UNDER in four of their last six games.

They should match up well against the Buffaloes in their only regular season meeting this year with an offense that is averaging 74.9 PPG and shooting 46.4 percent from the field. Chasson Randle leads a foursome of players scoring in double figures with 18.5 points and he is shooting 48 percent from the field. Defensively, Stanford is allowing an average of 69.3 PPG, but this total has climbed to 76.3 points in its last three outings.

The Cardinal have been opened as seven-point home favorites over Colorado for Wednesday night’s contest. Stanford has lost the last two meetings both SU and ATS after winning and covering it the four previous games dating back to 2007. The total has stayed UNDER in five of the six games in this series.

No. 3 Arizona Wildcats vs. Oregon State Beavers

Arizona may have already clinched the Pac-12 regular season title with a SU record of 14-2, but it would love to ensure itself a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament with two more regular season wins and a strong showing in next week’s Pac-12 Tournament. The Wildcats have covered in their last four games as part of an overall ATS record of 9-7 in conference play.

The Wildcats have averaged 74.1 PPG this season behind Nick Johnson’s 16-point scoring average, but they have picked up the pace in their last three outings with an average of 84.6. This could bode well for a long run in the NCAA Tournament when combined with a defense that is ranked fifth in the nation in points allowed (58.2).

Oregon State has stumbled down the stretch with a 2-5 SU record in its last seven games as part of an overall conference record of 7-9; however the Beavers have covered in three of their last four games to improve to 9-7 ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in four of their last six games. Oregon State has gone 6-4-1 ATS at home this season and the total has stayed UNDER in six of the 11 games.

The Beavers match up well offensively against Arizona, but they are on opposite ends of the spectrum when it comes to playing defense considering they are getting torched for an average of 74.5 PPG. This was fairly evident in a 76-54 loss to the Wildcats on Feb. 9 as prohibitive 16-point underdogs on the road. The total stayed UNDER the closing 134-point line.

Arizona has been opened as a nine-point road favorite this time around. It has failed to cover in its last four trips to Oregon State and overall it is 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings. The total has been evenly split at 5-5 over the past 10 games between these two.

Utah Utes vs. California Golden Bears

The Utes have won their last two games to even their record in the Pac-12 to 8-8 SU. They also covered in both games as home favorites. Away from home, Utah is 5-3 ATS with the total staying UNDER in five of the eight contests. It has gone a profitable 11-5 ATS in conference play and the total has gone OVER in six of their last eight Pac-12 games.

Delon Wright and Jordan Loveridge have provided a good deal of the production for the Utes this season. Wright leads team in points (16.4) and assists (5.3) while converting on 60.4 percent of his shots from the floor. Loveridge is second on the team in scoring with 15.5 points and he leads in rebounds with 7.4 a game. Utah is averaging 78.3 PPG and it is ranked third in the nation in shooting with a field goal percentage of 50.1 percent.

California gained notoriety in early February by ending Arizona’s 21-game winning streak with a 60-58 victory as a six-point home underdog. What made this win even more improbable was its three-game losing streak heading into that contest. Overall, the Golden Bears are 9-7 SU in conference play with a 7-9 mark ATS after losing their last two games to the Wildcats and Arizona State both SU and ATS.

They have now failed to cover in six of their last seven contests with the total going OVER in four of those games. Cal has scored an average of 69 points during this stretch while allowing an average of 75.7 PPG on the other end of the court. Justin Cobbs is Cal’s top scorer with 15.5 PPG and he is shooting 47.1 percent from the field.

California has been opened as a three-point home favorite over the Utes in this contest. It will look to avenge a 79-69 overtime loss to Utah in last season’s Pac-12 Tournament as an eight-point favorite. These two have met a total of seven times since the 2007/2008 season with Cal winning five of the games SU and holding a slight 4-3 edge ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in five of those contests.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB

Wednesday, March 5


Syracuse's downward spiral continues

Syracuse, undefeated and ranked No. 1 in the nation until just two weeks ago, now can’t seem to regain its winning ways – on the court or at the betting window. The Orange were dealt a shocking home setback Tuesday night against Georgia Tech. The Yellow Jackets, 14-point underdogs with a 13-16 SU record, won outright, 67-62. Syracuse is now just 1-4 SU in its last five games, with the lone win a narrow 57-55 decision at Maryland as a 4-point chalk.

The ‘Cuse has also failed to cover in six straight outings, going 0-5-1 ATS. The Orange (26-4 SU, 13-11-2 ATS), who were among the national leaders with an 11-4-1 ATS mark through Jan. 29, wrap up the regular season Sunday at Florida State.


Murray State a hot bet in Ohio Valley tourney

Belmont is the No. 1 seed in the Ohio Valley Conference Tournament, which opens today in Nashville. But the OVC team that’s provided the most bang for bettors’ bucks is No. 2 seed Murray State.

The Racers (18-10 straight up) are a sturdy 15-9-1 against the spread, which rates 28th nationally, and that’s despite dropping four of their first five ATS decisions to open the season. Since Dec. 4, Murray State has gone 14-5-1 ATS, including 7-2-1 ATS in its last 10, though the Racers enter the OVC tourney coming off a 118-115 double-overtime loss as a 1.5-point underdog at Southeast Missouri State.

Belmont and Murray State get byes in the first two rounds of the tourney, awaiting opponents for Friday’s semifinals.


After skid, Arizona worth a wager once again

Arizona has emerged from a five-game ATS (against the spread) losing streak – a stretch that included its first SU (straight up) loss and losing Brandon Ashley to a foot injury – to again become a team worthy of a wager.

The Wildcats have gone 6-1 SU without Ashley, already wrapping up the Pac-12 regular-season title with two games to go, and have gone 5-1 ATS in their last six games, covering the last four in a row. Prior to their 0-5 pointspread skid, the ‘Cats were among the best in the nation at 13-4 ATS, and they’re now regaining some of that ground with an 18-10 ATS mark that ranks 13th nationally.


Saint Louis winning, but not paying out for bettors

The Saint Louis Billikens have spent the entire season winning for themselves, but not for bettors. Saint Louis has not covered in their past six games leading to a ghastly 9-17 record against the spread.

Saint Louis bettors must also be aware that in the last 23 meetings between the Billikens and the Dayton Flyers the dog is 19-4.

No.16 ranked Saint Louis, will host Dayton Wednesday as 7-point home faves.


SMU Mustangs have been enjoying success ATS

The SMU Mustangs have been paying bettors all season long, especially at home. Over the past 16 games, the Mustangs are 13-3 against the spread including 8-1 at home.

During that 8-1 ATS home streak, the Mustangs have covered against three teams currently ranked in the top 25.

The Mustangs will look to cover as they are a 2.5-point road dog against No.9 Louisville Wednesday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

J.R. Stevens/Smooth44

MLBx
(956) Houston +105
(957) Boston +105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hockey Crusher
Philadelphia Flyers -135 over Washington Capitals
(System Record: 69-2, lost last 3 games)
Overall Record: 69-55-1

Basketball Crusher
nothing yet
(System Record: 55-7, lost last game)
Overall Record: 55-68-4

Soccer Crusher
Belgrano + Estudiantes LP UNDER 2
This match is happening in Argentina
(System Record: 535-18, won last 3 games)
Overall Record: 535-456-78

Here are the rest of his hockey and basketball plays for today...


Hockey
Calgary Flames -105 over Ottawa
New York Rangers -155 over Toronto
Washington Capitals + Philadelphia Flyers OVER 5.5


Basketball
nothing yet

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Wednesday, March 5


Mavericks-Nuggets favors the road team

In the last 13 meetings between the Dallas Mavericks and the Denver Nuggets the road team is 11-2 against the spread.

The Mavs also have an amazing 21-11 ATS record this season on the road, while the Nuggets are a sub-par 11-19 ATS when at home.

The Mavs will travel to Denver as 4.5-point road faves Wednesday.


Rockets have had problems covering against Magic

It’s been a long time since the Houston Rockets have covered a spread against the Orlando Magic. The last time the Rockets covered against the Magic was April 7, 2009 and since then Houston is 0-8 ATS versus Orlando.

Earlier this season when the Rockets hosted the Magic, Houston failed to cover Orlando +13.5.

The Rockets will visit Orlando Wednesday and this game is currently off the board.


Hawks losing and not paying out to bettors

The Atlanta Hawks have been on a skid since the start of February, going 2-11 straight-up. Bettors have not found much solace in the Hawks as they are 2-10-1 against the spread during that time, including 0-6-1 on the road.

The Hawks will travel to Portland Wednesday. This game is currently off the board.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals 4 U

Top Plays
Bulls UNDER 194-
Bucks UNDER 205
Mavs UNDER 216-

Regular Plays
Jazz OVER 198
Nets UNDER 188
Knicks OVER 209

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Clement

8 Units Nebraska / Indiana - Under 132

[golden contender]

GC: NCAAB PLAY

Hump day card has the 6* 18-0 NBA Non conference Play of the year + 2 more NBA Totals cashing over 90% and a 5* blowout side. NBA Top total cashes on Tuesday. In College hoops a 6* 100% last home game Power system and a 5* 19-1 Blowout. Six high rated plays in all. The Free A-10 Conference Power angle play is below.


On Wednesday the A-10 Conference free play is on U.Mass. Game 723 at 7:00 eastern. The Minutemen at 22-6 are quietly having a solid season and are ranked 13th in the RPI Scale this season. Tonight they travel to Take on Duquesne. U.Mass has won all 6 times vs teams ranked 150 or worse in the RPI Scale. Duquesne is 1-10 vs top 100 teams and has failed miserable as a home dog from +3.5 to +6 going 0-5 straight up and to the spread. When playing in March they are 0-5 with just 1 spread win dating to last year. U.Mass is 5-0 straight up and ats after allowing 80 or more points in their last game and has covered 3 of 4 as a road favorite from -3.5 to -6. Look for U.Mass to emerge with a win and cover here. On Wednesday there are 6 Powerful Plays up led by the 6* 18-0 NBA Non Conference Total of the Year and 2 more NBA Totals both cashing over 90%. There is also a 16-1 5* Blowout. NBA top total cashes on Tuesday. In NCAAB Action there is a 6* 100% Last home game system and a 19-1 Blowout Angle. Message to Jump on and Bang your book good in Hump day as NBA continues to be at or near the top. For the free play in Atlantic 10 action. Take U.Mass. GC