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SEC Tournament betting cheat sheet: Round 4
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Florida Gators (-6)
Tennessee, still regarded as an NCAA Tournament bubble team in some projections, defeated No. 13 seed South Carolina, 59-44, in its quarterfinal contest. The Volunteers bring a five-game winning streak into the contest and haven't trailed in their last 200 minutes of game time action.
The regular-season champion Gators have won a school-record 24 straight games including a 72-49 victory over Missouri in Friday's quarterfinals. The Gators have won their last four games by an average of 21 points.
TRENDS:
*Volunteers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. SEC
*Gators are 4-1 ATS in last 5 games following an ATS win
*Under is 43-19-1 in Volunteers last 63 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
*Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings -
ACC Tournament betting cheat sheet: Round 4
Virginia Cavaliers vs. Pittsburgh Panthers (+3.5)
The Cavaliers showed why they lead the nation in scoring defense and won the league’s regular-season title, getting a workmanlike 64-51 victory over Florida State on Friday. It took the Cavaliers a little time to get going against Florida State, but their tireless defense forced 15 turnovers overall and allowed only 38.5 percent shooting in the second half.
Virginia will be tested by the Panthers, who have averaged 82 points in its first two ACC tournament games. The Panthers must correct issues that led to almost blowing a 20-point lead against North Carolina and will look for leading scorer Lamar Patterson to play more like his 24-point effort in the second round than his 12-point, six-turnover outing Friday.
TRENDS:
*Panthers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall
*Cavaliers are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games overall
*Over is 38-16 in Panthers last 54 games following a S.U. win
*Under is 9-4 in Cavaliers last 13 vs. ACCComment
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Inside the stats: Louisville tough as No. 1 seed
Marc Lawrence
As we enter this weekend’s college conference tourney and NBA action, let’s take inside the stats at what’s happening on the hardwood this season.
Note that all results are ATS (Against The Spread) in games played through Wednesday, March 12 unless noted otherwise.
One Final Moment
It’s all on the line in conference tournament title games.
Not only is it the opportunity to cut down the nets and wear the crown as conference champions, it’s the penultimate to an appearance in the season-ending Big Dance.
From our database, here are some surprising factoids involving teams in conference tourney championship games (all results since 1991 unless noted otherwise):
The Good: Creighton is 9-0 SU and 8-1 ATS
The Bad: Florida is 3-4 SU and 2-5 ATS
The Ugly: North Carolina 5-9 SU and 3-10-1 ATS
Noteworthy:
Kansas 10-2 SU and 9-3 ATS
Kentucky 13-3 SU and 10-5-1 ATS
Memphis 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS (L7Y)
Michigan State 3-0 SU and ATS
Oregon 3-0 SU and ATS
Western Kentucky 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS
Not so noteworthy:
Pittsburgh 2-5 SU and ATS
Texas 2-9 SU and 4-7 ATS (0-6 SU and 1-5 ATS L6)
UTEP 1-5 SU and ATS
Tulsa 2-7 SU and 3-6 ATS
One closing note: teams in title games riding a 3-game ATS losing skid in their last three games are 10-1 SU and 9-2 ATS.
Trampolines
NBA teams off a SU underdog win can be prone to coming back to earth (bounce) or springing another upset in their next contest, largely depending on who they are.
This season, the best team in the league off a SU underdog win has been the Portland Trailblazers, who are 8-1 ATS in follow-up affairs. The Memphis Grizzles are right behind them at 8-3 ATS.
The worst team in the loop in the league in this role has been the Milwaukee Bucks, 2-9 ATS.
The best role for all teams in these contests has been fading home dogs off SU underdog wins as they stand 30-44 ATS including 6-21 ATS when off back-to-back wins.
On the other side of the coin, teams in the NBA off a SU favorite loss react differently. The L.A. Clippers have bounced back off the mat the best, going 9-1 ATS, while the Atlanta Hawks and the Orlando Magic have trouble getting back up at 2-5 ATS.
The best role for all teams in these games this season has been on the road against foes off a win as they are 50-29-1 ATS, including 22-4-1 in non-conference clashes.
Down And Dirty
Listed below are the Top 5 Division-1 college hoops teams on the defensive front, in Defensive Field Goal percentage and Rebound Margin. Look to 'play on' these teams in either revenge or underdog roles:
Defensive Field Goal Percentage:
1. Eastern Michigan 37.1
2. Cal Irvine 37.6
3. SMU 37.7
4. Arizona 38.2
5. Virginia 38.4
Rebounding Margin:
1. Kentucky +10.2
2. Tennessee +9.3
3. Arizona +9.0
4. Wichita State +8.7
5. Texas +8.4
Here is a list of the Top 5 NBA defensive teams:
Scoring Defense:
1. Pacers 91.6
2. Bulls 92.3
3. Grizzlies 95.2
4. Raptors 97.1
5. Bobcats 97.3
Rebounding Margin:
1. Thunder +4.9
2. Bulls +4.3
3. Pacers +4.3
4. Rockets +3.8
4. Trailblazers +3.6
Stat Of The Week: Louisville is 11-0 SU in conference tourney play as a No. 1 seed since 1993.Comment
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Hot Nets face tough test versus Wizards
Andrew Avery
Having cashed in against the spread in their last three games and seven of their last eight, the Brooklyn Nets and their backers will look for another notch in the winning column Saturday.
The Nets are in Washington to face the Wizards Saturday evening and haven't fared well versus the Wiz.
In two games this season, the Nets are 0-2 both straight up and ATS against the Wizards.
Saturday's game opened as a Pick at Americasbookie.com
***Pacers have started coast now for bettors
The Indiana Pacers have already booked their ticket to the playoffs this season and ever since they have soured for bettors.
The Pacers started the season 11-3 against the spread on the road, but since New Years they are a disastrous 3-13 ATS when away from Indiana. Covering the spread playing the east has been just as bad as the Pacers are 0-6-1 ATS in their last seven versus the lowly Eastern Conference.
The Pacers open as 5.5-point road favorites when they travel to Detroit to take on the Pistons Saturday.
***Bucks surprisingly hot ATS play
The Milwaukee Bucks have been atrocious this year and will almost definitely have a lottery pick in the draft. Somehow though, they've turned all their woes around for bettors.
The Bucks are 4-0 against the spread in their last four and 6-1 ATS in their last seven road games. The Bucks have also been paying out when the visit Madison Square Garden, going 8-3 ATS in the last 11 in the Big Apple.
Milwaukee will look to help out bettors some more when they face the Knicks as 10-point dogs Saturday.Comment
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POINTWISE
NBA BASKETBALL
(12:05) NEW YORK KNICKS 109 - Milwaukee Bucks 92 _____ _____
(7:05) Brooklyn Nets 99 - WASHINGTON WIZARDS 98 _____ _____
(7:35) ATLANTA HAWKS 95 - Denver Nuggets 89 _____ _____
(7:35) Indiana Pacers 96 - DETROIT PISTONS 88 _____ _____
(7:35) Memphis Grizzlies 117 - PHILADELPHIA 114 _____ _____
(8:05) CHICAGO BULLS 103 - Sacramento Kings 92 _____ _____
BEST BETS
NEW YORK (4)
PHILADELPHIAComment
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Blues and Predators keeping it Under in Nashville
By JUSTIN HARTLING
The St. Louis Blues and Nashville Predators have always played hotly contested battles on the ice, leaving bettors on the Under happy.
In their last 66 contests the O/U record for the Blues and Preds is 17-45-4, a stretch that dates back to Mar. 19. 2002. During this 12-year Under streak, the Under has paid out for bettors in 26 of the past 34 in Music City.
The puckline for the Blues and Preds is 5.5 Saturday.Comment
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NBA
Hot teams
-- Knicks won their last five games (4-1 vs spread).
-- Wizards won nine of their last 12 games. Brooklyn won seven of its last eight.
-- Nuggets won four of their last six games. Atlanta won its last couple games, after losing previous six.
-- Grizzlies won six of their last eight games.
-- Bulls won seven of their last ten games.
Cold Teams
-- Bucks lost seven of last nine games, but covered last four.
-- Detroit lost eight of its last ten games. Pacers are 0-9 against spread in their last nine games (2-4 last six SU).
-- 76ers lost their last nineteen games (5-14 vs spread).
-- Kings won/covered three of their last nine games.
Series records
-- Bucks lost seven of last eight games with New York.
-- Wizards are 2-0 vs Brooklyn this season, winning by 4-6 points.
-- Nuggets won six of last seven games with Atlanta.
-- Pacers won seven of last nine games with Detroit.
-- Grizzlies won four of last five games with Philly.
-- Kings lost last three visits to Chicago by 40-6-6 points.
Totals
-- Six of last eight New York games went over total.
-- Five of last seven Wizard-Net games went over total.
-- Six of last seven Denver games went over the total.
-- Five of last seven Indiana games stayed under total.
-- Six of last eight Memphis games went over the total.
-- Six of last seven Sacramento games stayed under total.Comment
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NHL
Hot teams
-- Boston won its last seven games, allowing 11 goals.
-- Penguins won four of their last five games.
-- Devils won five of their last eight games.
-- Blues won six of their last seven games. Nashville won its last three games.
-- Columbus won five of its last seven games.
-- Flames/Coyotes both won four of their last six games.
-- Kings won eight of their last nine games.
Cold teams
-- Carolina lost five of its last six road games.
-- Flyers lost last two games, after winning seven of previous eight.
-- Senators lost five of their last seven games; Montreal lost four of last five.
-- Tampa Bay lost five of its last six games.
-- Buffalo lost its last four games, outscored 12-4. Islanders lost five of last seven.
-- Minnesota lost three of its last four games.
-- Anaheim lost four of its last five games.
Totals
-- Three of last four Carolina games went over total.
-- Four of last five Pittsburgh games stayed under total.
-- Five of last seven Ottawa games went over.
-- Seven of last eight New Jersey ganes went over total.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Buffalo games.
-- Under is 3-1-1 in last five St Louis games.
-- Last six Columbus-Minnesota games stayed under.
-- Over is 3-1-1 in last five Calgary games.
-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Los Angeles games.
Series records
-- Bruins won four of last five games with Carolina.
-- Flyers lost three of last four games with Pittsburgh.
-- Senators won five of last six games with Montreal.
-- Lightning are 0-2 vs New Jersey this season, losing 2-1/3-0.
-- Islanders lost five of last six games with Buffalo.
-- Blues won their last five games with Nashville.
-- Blue Jackets won four of last six games with Minnesota.
-- Home side won last eight Calgary-Phoenix games.
-- Ducks won last two games with the Kings, 2-1/3-0.Comment
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Big Ten Tournament betting cheat sheet: Day 3
Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Michigan Wolverines (-2.5)
The fifth-seeded Buckeyes, who dropped a 70-60 decision at home to the Wolverines in their only meeting this season, overcame an 18-point second-half deficit against Nebraska to secure their 20th victory over their last 24 contests at this event.
On Saturday, the arch-rivals face off in the semifinals in Indianapolis after the Wolverines blew a 13-point second-half lead Friday to Illinois only to rally against a Illini team they defeated by 31 points 10 days earlier. Jordan Morgan hit the go-ahead basket with 7.9 seconds left to give Michigan a 64-63 win.
TRENDS:
* Underdog is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings.
* Buckeyes are 0-6 ATS in their last six neutral site games.
* Wolverines are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a ATS loss.
* Over is 5-1 in Wolverines last six vs. Big Ten.
Michigan State Spartans vs. Wisconsin Badgers
Michigan State closed the season with losses in seven of its final 12 games, but enjoyed its largest margin of victory since mid-January in Friday’s 67-51 quarterfinal victory over Northwestern. Branden Dawson told Michigan Live that assistant coach Mike Garland texted him before Friday’s game and simply said, ‘We need more.’ and he responded with an 8-of-12 effort from the field, 16 points and nine rebounds in his best performance in four games since the previous nine with a hand injury.
Wisconsin proved it was past its midseason lull when it handed Michigan State a heartbreaking two-point setback on Feb. 9. The Badgers’ victory that day was their second during an eight-game winning streak that followed a stretch in which they dropped five of the previous six. The Badgers turned in one of their most complete efforts of the season in Friday’s 83-57 rout, shooting 64 percent in the second half en route to posting their highest point total since a 95-point outburst against Illinois on Jan. 8. Wisconsin also held Minnesota to its worst field-goal percentage effort of the season (32.8).
TRENDS:
*Spartans are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 overall
*Badgers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U win
*Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings
*Spartans are 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetingsComment
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Cappers Access
Pittsburgh +3.5
Florida -6
Ohio St +2.5Comment
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Indian Cowboy
Soccer
3*: Hertha Berlin (-111)
6*: Southampton (-162)Comment
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Vegas Sports Informer
Soccer
2* Newcastle - Fulham over 2 1/2 -130
4* Swansea City -110
3* Man U PK -130
2* NE- Phily under 2 1/2 -120
2* Seattle -115
3* Houston -140
3* Portland -150Comment
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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports
Free Play 20-11 run Sat Florida -5Comment
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Ben Burns
Mar 15 - 1:30 PM NCAAB St. Bonaventure vs. St. Joseph's *PRICE DOUBLES SOON* Burns' 10* NCAAB Personal Favorite! ~ EARLY BLOWOUT! Pinnacle @ -3 -106 St. Joseph's Mar 15 - 7:30 PM NBA Denver vs. Atlanta *BIG TV WINNER* Burns' 10* NBA MAIN EVENT! ~ PRICE DOUBLES @ DAWN! Pinnacle @ -5.5 -110 Atlanta Mar 15 - 8:00 PM NHL Columbus vs. Minnesota Burns' NHL Personal Favorite! (Seven Straight?) *ONLY $12 FOR LIMITED TIME! Pinnacle @ -130 Minnesota Comment
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