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Play of the Day Florida State Seminoles -4.5 (7:00 edt) ESPN
Florida State will have an edge here with the home court. The Seminoles are not world beaters at home but the Hoyas are terrible on the road with only 6 road covers all season long. Florida State plays in the ACC so they will be better battle tested than Georgetown, they went .500 SU in the tough ACC so they will be ready here. Just a case here of the Seminoles being more tested and ready for this kind of game while the Hoyas will not be ready for a tough road game.
The Miami Heat and Portland Trail Blazers don't look like teams that are peaking heading into the postseason. Both playoff-bound squads have lost seven of their last 11 games and need a momentum-building victory when they square off Monday in Miami. The Heat remain firmly entrenched as the No. 2 team in the Eastern Conference — three games behind Indiana — while the Trail Blazers have slid to fifth in the West.
Both teams are coming off ugly road losses. The Heat have been lackluster on defense too often of late and allowed New Orleans to shoot 51.2 percent in a 105-95 loss Saturday. "Yes, our locker room is angry. Yes, our locker room is frustrated, as rightly we should be," Miami coach Erik Spoelstra told reporters. "We're not accustomed to this type of play, these type of standards, particularly on the defensive end." The Trail Blazers have won three of their last five following a season-high four-game skid, but they opened their five-game East Coast road trip with a 124-94 clunker at Charlotte.
TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, NBATV, CSN Northwest (Portland), Sun Sports (Miami)
LINE HISTORY: The early line out of Vegas is Miami -6, with a total of 210.
INJURY WATCH: Portland: PF LaMarcus Aldridge - doubtful (back). Miami: F LeBron James - probable (ankle), G Dwyane Wade - questionable (knee)
POWER RANKINGS: Portland (-9.4) - Miami (-14) + home court (-3) = Miami -6.6
WHY BET THE BLAZERS (45-25, 37-33 ATS): Leading scorer LaMarcus Aldridge (23.4 points, 11.1 rebounds) is expected to miss his sixth straight game with a bruised lower back. Portland had held its own without him until suffering its most lopsided loss of the season against the Bobcats. Without Aldridge, the Trail Blazers will have to rely more on point guard Damian Lillard, who is tied for second in the league with 189 3-pointers, surpassing his own franchise record from a year ago.
WHY BET THE HEAT (47-21, 30-36-2 ATS): LeBron James keeps producing — he has hit double figures in scoring in 560 consecutive games — but he hasn't always had much help. The Heat should be at full strength after a night off, meaning guard Dwyane Wade and center Greg Oden should be in the lineup. Miami is 4-0 when Oden — the injury-prone former Trail Blazer — is in the starting lineup.
TRENDS:
* Over is 4-0 in the last four meetings in Miami.
* Trail Blazers are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings in Miami.
* Over is 15-5-1 in the last 21 meetings.
* Road team is 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings.
Monday card has the NBA 6* Highest Rated Central Division totals play with 2 Undefeated totals systems, a 5* Triple system road warrior with 2 100% Angles, a 90% Dominator system and a 17-1 NCAAB Power Angle play. Free NBA Power system side below.
On Monday the free NBA System Play is on Oklahoma City. Game 610 at 8:05 eastern. The Thunder escaped with a 119-119 overtime win on Saturday while Denver won a close one at home last night. Home favorites with rest at -10 or more have won and covered the only 7 occurrences if they scored 100 or more as a road favorite of 4 or less, lost to the spread by 1-3 points and are taking on a team that was at home in their last game. The sample is small but these teams have won and covered every time the last 19 seasons. The Nuggets are 1-5 ats on the road with no rest off a home game and the Thunder have covered 11 of 14 at home after scoring 110 or more on the road. Sprinkle in a little double digit revenge and we Look for Oklahoma City to get the win and cover. On Monday night we have a Powerful 4 game card led by the 6* Highest rated Central Division totals play with 2 Never lost systems dating to 1995. There is also a 5* Road warrior Play with five Perfect indicators and 3 undefeated systems and a 90% Dominator side and an NCAAB 17-1 Side. Start the week big. Jump on now and get all four tonight. For the free NBA System Play take Oklahoma City. GC
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