4-4-14

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THE FACTSMAN


MLB Friday Video Pick
Pittsburgh Pirates ML-115

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StatFox Super Situations




PHILADELPHIA at CHICAGO CUBS
Play Against - Any team (CHICAGO CUBS) poor offensive team from last season - scored <=4.3 runs/game on the season (NL), after allowing 4 runs or less 3 straight games 36-15 over the last 5 seasons. ( 70.6% | 21.9 units )




StatFox Situational Power Trends




ST LOUIS at PITTSBURGH
PITTSBURGH is 52-31 (+27.2 Units) against the money line in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons. The average score was: PITTSBURGH (3.9) , OPPONENT (3.4)


StatFox Super Situations




DETROIT at BROOKLYN
Play Under - Home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, with a winning record on the season 109-58 over the last 5 seasons. ( 65.3% | 45.2 units ) 31-22 this year. ( 58.5% | 6.8 units )




DETROIT at BROOKLYN
Play Against - Any team vs the money line (DETROIT) poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of >=46% on the season, averaging 53 or more rebounds/game on the season 206-97 over the last 5 seasons. ( 68.0% | 71.4 units ) 103-66 this year. ( 60.9% | 21.7 units )




WASHINGTON at NEW YORK
Play Against - Underdogs of 2 to 3.5 points vs. the first half line (WASHINGTON) in a game involving two poor defensive teams (98-102 PPG) after 42+ games, after scoring 110 points or more 46-18 since 1997. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units ) 5-2 this year. ( 71.4% | 2.8 units )

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Hondo

YANKEES

[golden contender]

GC: NBA Total

Huge Friday card has 100% MLB Total of the week from a system that averages over 12 runs and the NBA 100% Double system total of the week. There is also a 100% road warrior system in Bases and a 91% NBA Dominator system side. MLB has started hot and NBA is solid all year. Free NBA Totals Play below.



On Friday the free NBA Totals play is on the over in the Detroit at Brooklyn game. Rotation numbers 513/514 at 7:35 eastern. This game fits a nifty totals system that has cashed 16 of 21 times playing the over for rested home favorites that scored 90 or less as a road dog and lost to the spread by 14+ points, and had no prior rest before that loss and are now playing a team that scored 90 or more as a road dog. Brooklyn has flown over in 12 of 14 on Fridays and 5 of the last 7 after scoring 85 or less. The Pistons have been an over team all season and have posted overs in 19 of 27 vs winning teams, and 18 of their last 23 April games. Look of this one to go over the total tonight. Huge T.G.I.F Card is up with the MLB and NBA Totals of the week. The MLB has a huge 100% Totals system that averages 12.7 runs and the NBA Total of the week has 100% and 27-4 totals systems. There is also a never lost MLB Road warrior system that dates to 2004 in Bases, and a 91% NBA Dominator side. Thursday top play on OKC Cashes. Jump on now as we start the weekend big in bases and Baskets. For the free play take the Over in the Detroit At Brooklyn game. GC

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Game of the Day: Thunder at Rockets

Oklahoma City Thunder at Houston Rockets

The Oklahoma City Thunder made a statement and kept themselves in the race for the top spot in the Western Conference by knocking off the San Antonio Spurs on Thursday. The Thunder will attempt to carry that momentum into the second night of a back-to-back when they visit the Houston Rockets on Friday. Oklahoma City has been keeping Russell Westbrook (knee) out of back-to-backs and does not expect to play him on Friday.

The Thunder will still have Kevin Durant, who is aiming to tie Michael Jordan with his 40th straight outing of 25 or more points. Jordan is the only person in the last 50 years with at least that many consecutive 25-point outings, accomplishing the feat in the 1986-87 season. The Rockets, who have dropped three straight, have a few players of their own that are capable of putting up gaudy point totals and might perform better in this meeting with Westbrook and frequent antagonizer Patrick Beverley (knee) both due to watch from the bench.

LINE HISTORY: Suggested odds out of Vegas have the Rockets as 1-point faves with a total of 212.

INJURY REPORT: Thunder: N/A. Rockets: C Dwight Howard (Doubtful, ankle), G Patrick Beverley (Mid April, knee)

WHY BET THE THUNDER (55-19 SU, 40-32-2 ATS, 37-37 O/U): Oklahoma City came alive in the second half against San Antonio on Thursday. Durant scored 16 of his 28 after the break in the 106-94 win but did have one streak come to an end when he went 0-for-4 from 3-point range — the first time since March 2 he failed to connect from beyond the arc. The Thunder swept a three-game homestand but will play the next four and six of the final eight on the road as they attempt to close the gap on San Antonio, which leads the West by three games.

WHY BET THE ROCKETS (49-25 SU, 37-35-2 ATS, 38-34-3 O/U): Beverley is dealing with a torn meniscus — a similar injury to the one Westbrook suffered after being hit by Beverley in the playoffs last spring. The two were not shy about playing a physical game the last time the teams met, a 106-98 Thunder victory on March 11. Houston is also dealing with a nagging ankle injury to Dwight Howard as they try to hold off the Portland Trail Blazers for the No. 4 spot in the West. “All good teams have had their struggles,” James Harden told reporters after a 107-103 loss in Toronto on Wednesday. “Ours is coming late in the season and we’ve got to figure it out. All the top teams have been through a struggle like this.”

TRENDS:

* Thunder are 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.
* Under is 5-0 in the last five meetings.
* Under is 5-0 in Rockets last five Friday games.
* Rockets are 0-4 ATS in their last four games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

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Ben Burns
NBA
Memphis
Boston

MLB
KC
Angels

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Totals 4 You "Total Domination" for Friday, April 4th

2014 NBA Western Conference Super Total of the Year!!!!!
Denver/Memphis under 200 1/2

NBA Best Bets
Orlando/Charlotte over 194
Philadelphia/Boston under 207
Detroit/Brooklyn over 206
Washington/New York under 194
Milwaukee/Chicago under 186
Phoenix/Portland over 213

MLB Inter-League Baseball Daytime Dominator!!!!!
Milwaukee/Boston over 8 1/2

MLB Best Bets
San Francisco/Los Angeles over 7 1/2
Arizona/Colorado over 10
San Diego/Miami over 7
Seattle/Oakland under 7 1/2

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Sweet Jones 55

Knicks -4

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EZWINNERS

2* Brewers +140

2* Rangers +130

2* Mariners +123

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River City Sharps

3 Units LA Dodgers -160

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Paul Leiner

100* Yankees -135

50* Marlins -110

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Jeff Clement

7 Units Rangers / Rays Over 8.5

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Sean Murphy

San Francisco Giants

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Kevin
MLBPredictions

2 UNIT = New York Yankees @ Toronto Blue Jays - UNDER 8 RUNS (+104)
Listed Pitchers: Tanaka vs McGowan
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.08 units)

I will make the trip 2 hours north to Toronto to watch the Blue Jays home opener against the Yankees and their prize free agent pick up in starting pitcher Masahiro Tanaka. To give you an example of how good Takana can be, he was 24-0 last year in his Japan league with a 1.27 ERA and a 0.94 WHIP. The righty is 25 years old and cashed in with a huge contract for himself. So far this spring he looks like exactly what the Yankees thought they were getting as he pitched 21 innings allowing just 5 runs with 26 strikeouts and just 3 walks. Batters hit just .190 against him and he had a 0.86 WHIP. Dustin McGowan is another pitcher for Toronto that most people outside of Toronto probably forgot about. McGowan made 27 starts in 2007 with the Blue Jays, but has since dealt with injuries. Last year he came back as a reliever for Toronto and held a 2.45 ERA over 25 appearances as he held opponents to a low .190 batting average. His official Spring Training stats have him at just 7 innings giving up 3 runs with 7 strikeouts, but he has also had a lot of success in Minor League games the Jays had him starting in to get stretched out. He should be good for somewhere around 85 pitches in the home opener if he is pitching well. The Blue Jays didn't use any of their top relievers Thursday night, so all should be available for the late innings as needed. Neither the Blue Jays or Yankees have done much at the plate to date, with the Jays hitting .205 as a team and the Yankees .200. This game has pitching duel written all over it, with neither team too familiar with the others starter. I'm on the UNDER.

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Scott Spreitzer Daytime Dominator

KC