4-10-14

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StatFox Super Situations™ – FoxSheets

NBA | SAN ANTONIO at DALLAS
Play On – Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (DALLAS) explosive offensive team – scoring 103+ points/game on the season against opponent after a loss by 10 points or more
41-15 since 1997. ( 73.2% | 24.5 units )
4-2 this year. ( 66.7% | 1.8 units )

NBA | SAN ANTONIO at DALLAS
Play Against – All teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (DALLAS) revenging a loss vs opponent against opponent off a road loss
238-155 over the last 5 seasons. ( 60.6% | 77.3 units )
29-18 this year. ( 61.7% | 9.8 units )

NBA | SAN ANTONIO at DALLAS
Play Under – Home teams where the first half total is greater than 100 an excellent offensive team (>=102 PPG) against an average defensive team (92-98 PPG), after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half
54-23 since 1997. ( 70.1% | 28.7 units )
2-3 this year. ( 40.0% | -1.3 units )

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StatFox Super Situations™ – FoxSheets

MLB | MILWAUKEE at PHILADELPHIA
Play On – Road teams (MILWAUKEE) excellent speed team – averaging 1 or more SB’s/game on the season, after 2 straight wins by 4 runs or more
88-50 since 1997. ( 63.8% | 39.0 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends™ – FoxSheets

MLB | NY METS at ATLANTA
NY METS are 12-3 (+14.0 Units) against the money line in Road games when playing on Thursday over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was: NY METS (4.5) , OPPONENT (3.1)

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FantasySportsGametime

THURSDAY

NBA BASKETBALL

1000* Play San Antonio +2.5 over Dallas (NBA TOP PLAY)
8:00 PM EST

San Antonio has won 27 of the last 32 games when playing in the 2nd half of the season and they have also won 39 of the last 50 games vs. division opponents. San Antonio has won 29 of the last 39 road games and they have won 19 of the last 23 games after allowing 105 points or more in their last game.


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NHL HOCKEY


50* Play Montreal -240 over NY Islanders (NHL BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Boston -170 over Winnipeg (NHL BONUS PLAY)

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FantasySportsGametime

THURSDAY

NBA BASKETBALL

1000* Play San Antonio +2.5 over Dallas (NBA TOP PLAY)
8:00 PM EST

San Antonio has won 27 of the last 32 games when playing in the 2nd half of the season and they have also won 39 of the last 50 games vs. division opponents. San Antonio has won 29 of the last 39 road games and they have won 19 of the last 23 games after allowing 105 points or more in their last game.


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NHL HOCKEY


50* Play Montreal -240 over NY Islanders (NHL BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Boston -170 over Winnipeg (NHL BONUS PLAY)

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BeatYourBookie

THURSDAY

NBA Basketball


10* Play San Antonio +2.5 over Dallas (NBA TOP PLAY)


NHL Hockey


10* Play Montreal -240 over NY Islanders (NHL TOP PLAY)

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XpertPicks

THURSDAY

TOP HOOPS PLAYS OF THE DAY


Play San Antonio +2 over Dallas (NBA)---RISK 8% OF YOUR BANKROLL
8:00 PM EST



Dallas has lost 28 of the last 45 games against the spread when playing as a home favorite of six points or less and they have lost 5 of the last 6 games against the spread coming off three or more UNDER the totals. Dallas has lost 6 of the last 7 home games against the spread when the total posted is between 200 and 204.5 points and they are allowing an average of 102 points a game this season.

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NHL HOCKEY


Play NY Rangers -300 over Buffalo (TOP NHL PLAY)---RISK 3% OF BANKROLL
Play Montreal -240 over NY Islanders (TOP NHL PLAY)---RISK 3% OF BANKROLL

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XpertPicks

THURSDAY BASEBALL



Play Boston -+110 over New York Yankees----RISK 8% OF YOUR BANKROLL
7:10 PM EST



Clay Buchholz has won 36 of the last 53 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs and he has won 26 of the last 37 night games. Clay Buchholz has won 14 of the last 21 games when the line posted is between +125 to -125 and he has won 16 of the last 24 road games.



Play Atlanta -125 over New York Mets----RISK 8% OF YOUR BANKROLL
7:00 PM EST



Atlanta has won 95 of the last 152 games vs. division opponents and they have also won 35 of the last 55 games when playing in the month of April. Atlanta has won 76 of the last 124 games when playing as a favorite of -125 to -175 and they have won 71 of the last 104 home games when the total posted is between 7 and 7.5 runs.

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Play Oakland -125 over Minnesota----RISK 3% OF YOUR BANKROLL
Play Pittsburgh -115 over Chicago Cubs----RISK 3% OF YOUR BANKROLL

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Kevin's Pick(s):

Tanaka once again struggled early, giving up a three run home run that set the Yankees in a hole. His has yet to allow an earned run after the 1st two innings in his first two starts, but has been hit around a bit early in the games. New York managed to tie things at 3s, but gave up the lead in the top of the 9th. My play for tomorrow is locked in and listed below, and a write up for it will come tomorrow.
2 UNIT = Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Francisco Giants - OVER 7.5 RUNS (-113)
Listed Pitchers: Delgado vs Vogelsong
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.77 units)
-- write up to come tomorrow
Kyle's Pick(s):
2 UNIT = New York Mets @ Atlanta Braves - UNDER 7.5 RUNS (-107)
Listed Pitchers: Mejia vs. Hale
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.87 units)
The Atlanta Braves may be on to something with this David Hale. He hasn't been around for long, and doesn't have all that much experience, but with the time he has gotten he has taken advantage of it. Taking full advantage that is. Dating back to last season, Hale has given up only 1 run in 16 innings pitched. He appeared in three games last season, started two and gave up just 1 run to the Philadephia Phillies. Against the Padres in his other start he was stellar again, that time giving up no runs and 4 hits. Success has seemed to carry over into 2014, where he pitched another scoreless 5 innings against the Nationals in his first start of the year. There are always a few pitchers that emerge out of nowhere every season, Hale may be one of them if this continues. Jenrry Mejia played the part of a solid starting option for the Mets as well. He started only 5 games, but like Hale, impressed everyone too. He allowed over 3 runs only once in those 5 starts and held a 2.30 ERA. Like Hale, there has been a carry over effect as well for Mejia. In his first start of the season he gave up just a run in 6 innings pitched. I like Hale to potentially have a breakout campaign, but Mejia should be fine in the Mets' rotation, too. I was expect a number of 7 here, so I am happy to see the 7.5. I'll take the UNDER 7.5. The math points to a low scoring game in Atlanta.
Cheers,
Kevin

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Hondo

Pirates

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Guaranteed Picks

Spurs
Warriors

Marlins/Nationals Under
A's
Giants
Indians

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Chase Diamond

10* Arizona +125

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Paul Leiner

100* Giants -135

50* Indians -120

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Dave Essler -
Double Dime NL Game of the Week - Braves

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Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

Parlay: Golden State (NBA) ML + Minnesota (MLB) RUNLINE
Time: Thursday 04/10 1:10 PM Eastern
Pick: 2-team Parlay (+102) at Sportsbook.com

Combine the Warriors (-1000) and the Twins +1.5 (-120) into a 2-team parlay at +102 odds.

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Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

Game: Oakland Athletics @ Minnesota Twins
Time: Thursday 04/10 1:10 PM Eastern
Pick: Minnesota +135 (moneyline) at Bovada

The Oakland A's have won the AL West two straight seasons with what appears to be a lesser roster than some of their division counterparts. Oakland's extra inning win last night gives them eight straight triumphs vs. the Twins. Oakland may find the late innings more difficult to navigate this year, as Grant Balfour has departed for Jim Johnson, who blew the save yesterday. Oakland starters have allowed 3 or fewer runs in all eight games this season, and that variance will catch up to them soon, and Minnesota has been swinging the bats rather well. Oakland is just 3-8 in Strailys' last 11 starts to a total of 7 to 8.5, including 0-4 on the road. The Twins break through this afternoon, so play them in this one.