4-10-14

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SPORTS INSURANCE ADJUSTERS

Free Play: Atlanta Braves -140 11-2-2 last 15 Free Plays!!!

Another winning day we put together on Wednesday!! It could have been even better if Atlanta didn’t allow the Mets to score 3 runs in the 9th and not let us get the win by 2+! If you included our free play we were 4-2 after Toronto won by more than 1 run!! Our free plays are now 11-2-2 in our last 15 selections!!! That is a remarkable run!! We go for 5 straight 5* winners tonight in the NBA where we are 26-11-1 overall on our last 38 NBA plays!! Let’s do this today and keep our streak alive!!!

NBA

5***** DALLAS -2 (Dallas is in a great position tonight at home against a banged up Spurs team. No Parker again for the Spurs will be the difference in this game. Also big game for Dallas as they are fighting for a playoff spot!! Dallas wins in a close one!!)

MLB

Oakland -150 (We told you yesterday we are not fans of Minnesota this year. They should just have an average year and have nothing on the team that excites us. Oakland on the other hand has tons of young talent and are ready to make the next step! Oakland has won 8 straight against the Twins and today makes it number 9!!!)

Pittsburgh RL -1.5 +130 (We are backing Gerrit Cole and the Pirates today against the Cubs. Cole holds a 2-0 lifetime record with a 2.08 ERA against the Cubs. Pirates take the series in a big way today at Wrigley! Pirates win 8-3).

Pittsburgh -130 (Insurance play)

San Francisco -120 (Delgado gets pounded again!! Giants take the series tonight. Giants win 8-5).

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Diamond Dog Sports
MLB
#905 Brewers +115 (3*)
# 909/910 Giants Over 7.5 (1*)

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EZWINNERS

5* Parlay – Nationals -220 & Blue Jays -215

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BONES BEST BET (NHL)

AVALANCHE ML -120 *4*
AVALANCHE PL (-1.5) +240 *1*

No respect for the Avalanche who are trying to clinch home ice against the Blackhawks in the first round. The Canucks are done and have dropped 4 of 5. Colorado come into this game having won 7 of 8, they are red hot and one of the best teams in the NHL. We’ve made a lot of money off the Avs this year, let’s make some more.

COYOTES ML +100 *2*

The ‘Yotes need this win to keep pace with the Stars in the playoff rate. They haven’t been playing good hockey, but things need to change for them – expect them to show up in a big way tonight.

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BONES BEST BET
Wednesday MLB recap: 5-2, +12.32u

DIAMONDBACKS @ GIANTS – OVER 8 -105 *5* BEST BET (10:15 PM ET)

These teams have been killing the overs this year (Dbacks 8-3, Giants 8-1) and we have 2 terrible pitchers on the mound tonight. Delgado has a WHIP of 3.00 and an ERA over 11 after 1 start. Vogelsong has continued his struggles this year with an ERA of 9.00 and a 2.25 WHIP after 1 start. The over is 6-0-1 in Delgado’s last 7 road starts. The over is 12-2-2 in Vogelsong’s last 16 home starts as a favorite. In the first two games of this series we seen a total of 20 runs scored, we expect another 10 spot tonight.

ATHLETICS @ TWINS OVER 8 [Buying 1/2 run] -125 *3* (1:10 PM ET)

THe Twins are now 8-0 to the over, and we’ve got another pitching matchup that we think gets us to the over. Straily typically hovers around a 4 ERA, and with the Twins averaging 5.62 runs per game, we expect to see a 4+ ERA out of him today. Add in that Pelfrey should not be pitching in the bigs, last season he owned an ERA of over 5, and he got roughed up in his first start this season. These two teams are scoring over 10 runs per game combined.

RED SOX @ YANKEES UNDER 9 [Buying 1/2 run] -135 *2* (7:05 PM ET)

Both of these teams have been struggling to score runs early in this season, with both their averages in the high 3s. Buchholz had a terrible first start, but we all know he is better then that, and when his stuff is on, he is among the best in the bigs. Additionally Pineda impressed in his first start, he has all the stuff to be a great MLB starter – with the way the BoSox bats are struggling, we think we see another nice outing out of him tonight.

BLUE JAYS ML + NATIONALS ML +118 *3* (NATIONALS 4:05 PM ET)
BLUE JAYS RL (-1.5) -105 *1*
BLUE JAYS -2.5 +155 *1*

This may be getting repetitive, but we’re 2-0 on this parlay, and we think both teams win again tonight in two giant pitching mismatches.

Keuchel for the Astros had a terrible spring, pitches weren’t going anywhere near the target – he showed that same kind of result in his first start where he had a WHIP of 2 and an ERA of 7.20. Now he has to face the Jays bats that started to turn it around last night putting up 7 runs. Add in that former Cy Young winner Dickey is on the mound for the Jays and it gets worse for the Astros. Dickey was lights out in his last start, and the Astros are one of the most undisciplined teams when it comes to striking out, being undisciplined against a Knuckleball pitcher should make for a rough night for this Houston squad.

We think Strasburg figures it out today after a couple un-Strasburg like starts to the season. Additionally the Nationals went 4-1 when Strasburg pitched against the Marlins last season. Koehler isn’t anything special, with a 4+ ERA in the NL last season. Big mismatch here.

PIRATES ML -135 *2* (2:20 PM ET)

Garrett Cole is a stud. The Pirates have won in 7 of his last 8 starts. The Pirates have won 6 of their last 7 against left handed starters. Taking the far superior team here at a somewhat short price.

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KING OF THE SPREAD

3 Units - Bet SA Spurs +2 Points

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Dr. Ed Meyer | MLB Money Line

dime bet – 913 BOS (-108) vs 914 NYY
Analysis:
During baseball season, the vast majority of the reasoning will be based on time-tested, league-wide, multi-season systems that reveal profitable situations based on the betting public either over or under estimating the effect of certain statistics. For this reason, there will be no write-ups for baseball, as we do not want to reveal these valuable systems.

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ADVANCED SPORTS INVESTMENTS

(records are of current month only)
BASEBALL RELEASES
JEFF (4-7-3 -4.90)
1X- OAKLAND/MINNESOTA – OVER 8.5 -105 (1pm)
1X- NYM +122 ATLANTA (7pm)

JIMMY (12-3 +8.74)
1X- CHICAGO +110 PUTTSBURGH (2pm)
1X- NYY -115 BOSTON (7pm)

MARC (12-10 -.44)
1X- HOUSTON/TORONTO – OVER 8.5 -105 (7pm)
1X- SF/ARIZONA – OVER 7.5 -120(10pm)

NHL RELEASES
JIMMY (3-4 -3.53)
1X- BOSTON -165 WINNIPEG (8pm)

MARC (3-5 -2.95)
1X- OTTAWA/NJ – UNDER 5.5 -130 (7pm)

NBA RELEASES
JEFF (2-4 -2.40)
PASSING

JIMMY (0-1 -1.10)
PASSING

MARC (4-1+2.90)
PASSING

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Dominic Brando's Inner Circle from Tim Donaghy's site (all regular 1 unit plays)

MLB Oakland A's -135
MLB Atlanta Braves -135
MLB Milwaukee Brewers +115
MLB Miami Marlins +210 (risk half unit) & +1.5 Runs/-110 (to Win 0.5U)
MLB Arizona Diamondbacks +115

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Betting First Look with Marco D’Angelo

Denver @ Golden St.
UNDER 214.5

** 206pts or less

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Joe Gavazzi

Thursday, April 10, 2014

NBA

San Antonio Spurs at Dallas Mavericks (-1-) 8:00 ET TNT

10* San Antonio (+1-)

Spurs hold a 3 game lead over OKC (with 4 games to go) for the best record in the league. They have all but closed them out. This is typically a spot where HC Popovich has rested veteran starters. Such will most probably be the case with Parker and Ginobili. But as the Spurs depth has improved in recent years, this has been of little consequence. Of greater note is the Spurs poor performance in a 110-91 loss at Minnesota Tuesday night. The Spurs are 26-9 ATS following a loss as favorite and 12-5 ATS following any defeat this season. With a record of 20-2 SU, 17-5 ATS of late, they are certainly a team I am looking to play on. San Antonio has a recent dominance of their in-state rival, winning and covering 7 consecutive games in the series, including 3 this year, by margins of 6, 22, and 9 points. Clearly, this line has been impacted for Dallas need. With both Memphis and Phoenix winning last night, the Mavs remain tied with the Suns in the loss column and just 1 game ahead of Memphis in the loss column, as those 3 teams vie for the final 2 playoff spots in the West. A recent home record of 12-23 ATS is additional cause for concern when looking to back the Mavs. Eager to lineup with the best team in basketball as underdog off a loss.

Denver Nuggets at Golden St. Warriors (-12) 10:35 ET TNT

5* Golden St. (-12)

A 123-116 Denver home win last night over Houston sets up a negative situation for the Nuggets, who are 3-9 ATS away unrested. A major reason for this poor record could be the loss of 6 integral parts to their team to injury over the course of the year. The most important of those is PG Lawson, who is again doubtful for these festivities tonight. Despite that victory last night, towel-tossing Denver is just 2-6 SU of late, allowing 113 PPG. Far prefer Golden St., who is playing with positive momentum of a 17-7 SU recent record. That includes a huge momentum-building home win of 130-102 as double digit favorite the last time they played on this court. Home standing Warriors the only way to look in this one against a Denver team who may mail it in a high-scoring road loss.


MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates (Cole) (-125) at Chicago Cubs (T. Wood) 2:20 ET

5* Pittsburgh (-125)

My MLB selections are 12-8 for the year (60%) on the heels of a season in which I won 6/7 months and someone who risked $300/game on these selections won over $15,000. This will be you in 2014! The fact that Cubs starter T. Wood has a 1.50 ERA in 3 starts against Pittsburgh is the only thing that prevents this from a higher rating, for the Cubs are in a situation that has not been lucrative to their backers. The 3-5 record for the season includes a 7-5 victory vs. Pittsburgh last night. The Cubs have yet to win consecutive games this year, dropping their record to 9-24, home following a win, since the start of last season. Wood was mediocre at best in his first start, allowing 4 runs on 6 hits in 6 1/3 IP in a 7-2 loss to Philly. No such chinks in the armor of Cole. In his last 5 starts dating back to last year, this emerging starter has gone 5-0 with a 1.64 ERA. That includes his first start this season when he allowed 6 hits in 7 IP in a 12-2 victory over St. Louis. It also includes a 2-0 record against the Cubs with a 2.08 ERA. With the more consistent starter against an inconsistent home team, the Pirates get this road victory.


Miami Marlins (Koehler) at Washington Nationals (Strasburg) (-220) 4:05 ET

5* Miami (+200)

My MLB selections are 12-8 for the year (60%) on the heels of a season in which I won 6/7 months and someone who risked $300/game on these selections won over $15,000. This will be you in 2014! The emerging Miami bats bolted to a 5-0 lead against Zimmerman last night before melting down in a 10-7 loss. Now, the improved Marlins look to avoid the sweep and put an end to a series streak that has seen Washington go 11-1, outscoring the Fish, 59-22. That happens today against an overpriced Strasburg. In a pair of starts this season, Strasburg has allowed 10 runs in 10 1/3 IP. That could easily translate into more issues against the improved Miami bats. In 7 starts vs. the Marlins, Strasburg has a bloated 6.97 ERA. Koehler has been the far more consistent starter. Dating to last season, in his last 4 starts, Koehler is 3-0 with a 2.13 ERA. This includes allowing 2 runs in 6 IP in an 8-2 victory vs. San Diego in his first start this season. We double our money with this big dog winner.


Milwaukee Brewers (Estrada) at Philadelphia Phillies (Lee) (-120) 7:05 ET

10* Milwaukee (+110)

My MLB selections are 12-8 for the year (60%) on the heels of a season in which I won 6/7 months and someone who risked $300/game on these selections won over $15,000. This will be you in 2014! Lee has run through the raindrops this season with a 2-0 record, despite a 6.00 ERA and a .375 BAA. That is bad news against the booming Brewer bats. Milwaukee enters on a 5 game winning streak, in which they have scored 36 runs with a .321 BA. That includes a pair of victories by combined scores of 19-8 against Philly the last two nights. It also makes it 5 straight for the Brewers against the Phils. Estrada is an under the radar hurler. In his last 10 starts, dating to last season, Estrada has a 2.10 ERA and .169 BAA. That includes allowing 1 ER on 4 hits in 5 2/3 IP of a 6-2 Boston victory. Must take the hot team as underdog with what appears to be the best of it on the mound.


Oakland A’s (Straily) (-145) at Minnesota Twins (Pelfrey) 1:10 ET

10* Oakland (-145)

My MLB selections are 12-8 for the year (60%) on the heels of a season in which I won 6/7 months and someone who risked $300/game on these selections won over $15,000. This will be you in 2014! Oakland led wire-to-wire for the first 8 innings yesterday before continuing problems surfaced with newly acquired closer, Johnson (from Baltimore). Such has not been the case with Oakland starters. Chavez was outstanding on Wednesday for the second straight game. Meaning all Oakland starters have allowed 3 or less runs in each start with every starter working 6+ IP in 7/8 games. The extra inning victory, 7-4, boosted the Oakland series record to 13-2, including 8-0 at this site. Straily pitched well in his first start, allowing just 2 runs in 6 IP with a 7/1 KBB. Pelfrey is a retread, who the last time he faced Oakland, allowed 7 runs on 8 hits in only 3 IP of an 18-3 Minnesota loss. The Twins struggles continue at home, where they have lost both home games to fall to 96-149 on this field 3+Y. That includes 36-74 in the role of home dog. It looks like it is all Oakland again today.

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Louisville slugger
Brewers

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Sports Cash System Play of The Day for Today: 4/10

MLB Baseball



Philadelphia Phillies -120 over the Milwaukee Brewers
(Money Line Bet)
Overall Record: 238-216


(System Record: 238-13, Won last game)

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Bookieshunter
NHL
2* U5.5 Phoenix/Nashville




1* U5 Buffalo/NY

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Mrmlbwinners
NHL:




Tampa Bay ML




Nashville v Phoenix under 5.5




MLB:




Phillies ML




Yankees ML