4-11-14

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BeatYourBookie

FRIDAY

NBA Basketball


10* Play Memphis -15 over Philadelphia (NBA TOP PLAY)
10* Play Oklahoma City -15 over New Orleans (NBA TOP PLAY)


NHL Hockey


10* Play Detroit -200 over Carolina (NHL TOP PLAY)

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Game of the Day: Pacers at Heat

Indiana Pacers at Miami Heat (-5, 184)

The two best teams in the Eastern Conference are struggling down the stretch, but one of them moves closer to claiming the top seed in the East when the Indiana Pacers visit the Miami Heat on Friday. Indiana holds a half-game edge over Miami entering the clash and a victory would reduce its magic number to one for clinching the No. 1 spot. The Pacers are just 8-12 over their past 20 games while the Heat is in the midst of a 10-11 stretch.

Miami could be without guard Dwyane Wade (hamstring) for the ninth straight contest and frontcourt reserve Chris Andersen (knee) also could be on the sidelines for the third time in four games. Forward LeBron James is much more concerned with the health of his club than landing the top seed in the East. “It’s not controlling our destiny about the No. 1 seed,” James told reporters. “We want to get healthy. That’s all that we care about, going into the postseason healthy. … Once everyone comes back, then we can get everything rolling.” Indiana rested its entire starting five while posting a 104-102 win over the Milwaukee Bucks on Wednesday.

TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, NBATV, FSN Indiana, Sun Sports (Miami)

LINE HISTORY: Early lines in Las Vegas have Miami set as 5-point favorites but suggest a move to -3 if Wade is out. The total opened 184 and could dip to 181 if Wade is inactive.

POWER RANKINGS: Pacers (-11.0) - Miami (-13.8) + Home Court (-3.0) = Heat -5.8

INJURY REPORT: Miami - D. Wade (Ques. Hamstring), G.Oden (Ques. Back), U. Haslem (Ques. Stomach), C. Anderson (Ques. Knee). Pacers - A. Bynum (Out Knee)

ABOUT THE PACERS (54-25): Indiana’s ragged play reached a low point when it was crushed by the Atlanta Hawks on Sunday for its seventh loss in nine games. Seeing a tired and lackluster group led to coach Frank Vogel benching all five starters against the Bucks, which allowed key players like Paul George, David West and Roy Hibbert to get some much-needed rest. The Pacers were able to notch a victory courtesy of Chris Copeland’s game-winning shot with 1.2 seconds left. “We needed this to get a little confidence to feel better about ourselves,” veteran forward Luis Scola told reporters. “Start to get some rhythm back and we needed a win.”

ABOUT THE HEAT (53-25): Miami knows there is an advantage to gaining the No. 1 seed after being taken to seven games by the Pacers in last season’s Eastern Conference playoffs before prevailing at home. The Heat see Indiana as a threat and would feel much more comfortable if they win this showdown and overtake the Pacers for the top spot. “It’s going to be intense,” Heat center Chris Bosh said. “It’s going to be a hard-fought game. There’s something at stake. It will pretty much be the playoffs and I think it will be a great atmosphere. We expect them at their best.”

TRENDS:

* Under is 5-1 in the last six meetings.
* Over is 5-2 in the last seven meetings in Miami.
* Home team is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings.

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XpertPicks

FRIDAY BASEBALL

• Play Kansas City -115 over Minnesota----RISK 8% OF YOUR BANKROLL
  8:10 PM EST

Minnesota has lost 71 of the last 118 games when the line posted is between +125 to -125 and they have also lost 74 of the last 110 home games when playing as an underdog of +100 or higher. Minnesota has lost 53 of the last 92 games vs. left-handed starting pitchers and they have lost 32 of the last 50 games when playing on a Friday.

• Play San Francisco -150 over Colorado----RISK 8% OF YOUR BANKROLL
  8:10 PM EST

Colorado has lost 28 of the last 40 games when the total posted is 7 runs or less and they have also lost 87 of the last 143 games when playing as an underdog of +100 to +150. Colorado has lost 70 of the last 105 games vs. left-handed starting pitchers and they have lost 63 of the last 97 games after having won two of the last three games.

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• Play Chicago White Sox -160 over Cleveland----RISK 3% OF YOUR BANKROLL
• Play New York Yankees +100 over Boston----RISK 3% OF YOUR BANKROLL

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XpertPicks

FRIDAY

TOP HOOPS PLAYS OF THE DAY

• Play Memphis -15 over Philadelphia (NBA)---RISK 8% OF YOUR BANKROLL
  8:00 PM EST

Philadelphia has lost 43 of the last 70 games against the spread when the total posted is greater than 200 points and they have lost 43 of the last 74 games against the spread when playing as an underdog. Philadelphia has lost 20 of the last 29 non-conference games against the spread and they have lost 31 of the last 48 games against the spread after allowing 105 points or more in their last game.

• Play Oklahoma City -15 over New Orleans (NBA)---RISK 8% OF YOUR BANKROLL
  8:00 PM EST

Oklahoma City has covered the spread in 81 of the last 146 games when playing as a favorite and they have also covered the spread in 50 of the last 85 home games. Oklahoma City has covered the spread in 84 of the last 141 games when playing their 3^rd game in four days and they have covered the spread in 54 of the last 89 games after scoring 105 points or more in their last game.

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NHL HOCKEY

• Play Columbus +130 over Tampa Bay (TOP NHL PLAY)---RISK 3% OF BANKROLL
• Play Winnipeg +140 over Calgary (TOP NHL PLAY)---RISK 3% OF BANKROLL

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StatFox Super Situations

WASHINGTON at ORLANDO
Play Against - Any team (ORLANDO) revenging a loss vs opponent against opponent off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite 112-60 over the last 5 seasons. ( 65.1% | 46.0 units ) 13-6 this year. ( 68.4% | 6.4 units )

CLEVELAND at MILWAUKEE
Play Against - Underdogs vs the money line (MILWAUKEE) after allowing 100 points or more 3 straight games against opponent after a win by 10 points or more 206-54 over the last 5 seasons. ( 79.2% | 77.0 units ) 52-15 this year. ( 77.6% | 13.4 units )

CHARLOTTE at BOSTON
Play Under - Road teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points after 2 or more consecutive wins, in April games 180-106 since 1997. ( 62.9% | 63.4 units ) 4-4 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.4 units )

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Baseball33

USA: MLB
New York Yankees - Boston Red Sox
Boston Red Sox


USA: MLB
Philadelphia Phillies - Miami Marlins
Philadelphia Phillies +1


USA: MLB
Atlanta Braves - Washington Nationals
Atlanta Braves


USA: MLB
Milwaukee Brewers - Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates +1

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Diamond Dog Sports

#709/710 Under Celtics. 193.0 -110 (1.5*)

#711/712 Over Thunder 204.0 -110 (.5*)

#719/720 Under Bucks 205.0 -110 (.5*)



Sides: 12-6-0
+$689

#957 Cubs +145 (1*)
Listed Pitchers: Samardzija / Kelly

#962 Giants RL (-1.5) +135 (1*)
Listed Pitchers: De La Rosa / Bumgarner


Totals: 9-6-1
+184

#955/956 Under Brewers 7.5 +110 (.5*)

#961/962 Under Giants 7.0 -110 (.5*)

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Hondo

Marlins

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River City Sharps

This is more a play against the Padres and their dreadful offense at this early point in the season. The Padres are only averaging 2.2 runs per game, which may be a problem in facing Rick Porcello, who pitched well during Spring Training and gave the Tigers a quality start first time out allowing 1 run and just 3 hits in a win over Baltimore. Andrew Cashner takes the hill for the Padres, who will need some more offense than the Padres have offered till this point. In his first start of the season, Cashner surrendered 3 runs on 9 hits, although he did have 11 strikeouts in the outing, which resulted in a loss to the Marlins. The Sharps say...

3 UNITS - DETROIT TIGERS (-102)

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Goodfella

Friday Night 1st 5 Inning Wager

MIAMI MARLINS (-120) - Listed Pitchers

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CHASE DIAMOND

9* MLB HOME COOKING
Kansas City vs. Minnesota
Money Line: +116 Minnesota

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PAUL LEINER

100* Over 8.5 – Blue Jays/Orioles
100* Marlins -120
50* Tigers -110

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Bones Best Bets NHL

BLUES ML -102 *2*




Despite how bad the Stars need this game, the Blues need to win in order to pass the Avalanche and get back to the 1st spot in the Central division. The Blues have not been playing their best hockey, but we do expect them to turn it around - if they don't they know they have a 1st round match-up with the Blackhawks.




LIGHTNING ML -120 *2*




The Lightning will have their sights set on gaining home-ice advantage. With a win tonight they will pass the Canadiens, leaving both teams with 1 game to go and the Lightning with a 1 point standing advantage. You can bet Tampa will be giving 110% trying to grab home-ice.


AVALANCHE ML +150 *3*




The Sharks have nothing to play for, while the Avalanche have 1st in the Central in their sites and a 1st round matchup against a weaker Wildcard opponent instead of the Blackhawks. Colorado has gone 2-0-1 against the Sharks so far this season. The Avalanche have won 8 of their past 9 games and are the definition of red hot. The Sharks have dropped 6 of their last 9 games and already know that they will be playing the Kings in their first round playoff matchup.

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Today's NBA Picks

Indiana at Miami

The Heat (31-8 at home) play host to a Pacers team that is 0-7 ATS in its last 7 road games versus a team with a winning home record. Miami is the pick (-6) according to Dunkel, which has the Heat favored by 15. Dunkel Pick: Miami (-6). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, APRIL 11 Time Posted: 11:30 a.m. EST

Game 701-702: Washington at Orlando (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Washington 118.827; Orlando 110.947 Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 8; 200 Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 6 1/2; 196 Dunkel Pick: Washington (-6 1/2); Over

Game 703-704: New York at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: New York 119.276; Toronto 122.222 Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 3; 188 Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 5 1/2; 193 1/2 Dunkel Pick: New York (+5 1/2); Under

Game 705-706: Indiana at Miami (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 110.549; Miami 125.496 Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 15; 187 Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 6; 182 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Miami (-6); Over

Game 707-708: Atlanta at Brooklyn (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 115.590; Brooklyn 119.183 Dunkel Line & Total: Brooklyn by 3 1/2; Vegas Line & Total: Brooklyn by 5; 202 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+5); Under

Game 709-710: Charlotte at Boston (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 121.270; Boston 110.931 Dunkel Line & Total: Charlotte by 10 1/2; 197 Vegas Line & Total: Charlotte by 4 1/2; 193 Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (-4 1/2); Over

Game 711-712: New Orleans at Oklahoma City (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 117.034; Oklahoma City 127.339 Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 10 1/2; Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 15 1/2; 204 Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (+15 1/2); Under

Game 713-714: Houston at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Houston 120.780; Minnesota 123.468 Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 2 1/2; 214 Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 2; 218 Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+2); Under

Game 715-716: Detroit at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 109.992; Chicago 127.677 Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 17 1/2; 198 Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 10 1/2; 193 Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-10 1/2); Over

Game 717-718: Philadelphia at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 108.101; Memphis 121.076 Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 13; 194 Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 15; 199 Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+15); Under

Game 719-720: Cleveland at Milwaukee (8:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 120.669; Milwaukee 112.365 Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 8 1/2; 210 Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 4; 204 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-4); Over

Game 721-722: Phoenix at San Antonio (8:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 122.805; San Antonio 131.339 Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 8 1/2; 212 Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 2 1/2; 206 1/2 Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-2 1/2); Over

Game 723-724: Portland at Utah (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Portland 117.470; Utah 111.876 Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 5 1/2; 193 Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 7 1/2; 199 Dunkel Pick: Utah (+7 1/2); Under

Game 725-726: Golden State at LA Lakers (10:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 122.173; LA Lakers 114.194 Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 8; 215 Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 9 1/2; 220 Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (+9 1/2); Under

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Ben Burns

NHL 10* Under Blues