4-17-14

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XpertPicks

THURSDAY

OUR NBA PLAYS & ANALYSIS WILL RESUME FOR THE PLAYOFFS

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NHL HOCKEY

• Play Chicago +130 over St. Louis (TOP NHL PLAY)---RISK 3% OF BANKROLL
• Play Minnesota +130 over Colorado (TOP NHL PLAY)---RISK 3% OF BANKROLL

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XpertPicks


THURSDAY BASEBALL

• Play San Francisco -115 over LA Dodgers----RISK 8% OF YOUR BANKROLL
  3:45 PM EST

Madison Bumgarner has won 11 of the last 13 games when pitching in the month of April and he has won 23 of the last 33 games vs. division opponents. Madison Bumgarner has won 44 of the last 77 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs and he is 9-3 vs. Los Angeles over his career with an ERA of 2.63.

• Play St. Louis -145 over Washington----RISK 8% OF YOUR BANKROLL
  7:10 PM EST

Adam Wainwright has won 60 of the last 89 games coming off a team loss and he has won 58 of the last 93 games when pitching as a favorite of -125 to -175. Adam Wainwright has won 57 of the last 94 road games and he has won 26 of the last 41 games vs. NL East Division Opponents.

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• Play Tampa Bay -165 over NY Yankees----RISK 3% OF YOUR BANKROLL
• Play Pittsburgh -115 over Milwaukee----RISK 3% OF YOUR BANKROLL

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FantasySportsGametime

MLB Baseball

1000* Play Atlanta -115 over Philadelphia (MLB TOP PLAY)

Atlanta has won 41 of the last 62 games when playing in the month of April and they have also won 80 of the last 129 games when playing as a favorite of -125 to -175. Atlanta has won 63 of the last 105 day games and they have won 22 of the last 30 games coming off three consecutive division wins.


1000* Play Chicago White Sox -115 over Boston (MLB TOP PLAY)

Chris Sale has won 25 of the last 41 games when pitching as a favorite of -110 or higher and he has won 21 of the last 32 home games. Chris Sale has won 19 of the last 31 games when pitching in the 1^st half of the season and he is 3-0 in all starts this season with an ERA of 2.66.

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50* Play Detroit -135 over Cleveland (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Tampa Bay -170 over NY Yankees (MLB BONUS PLAY)

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FantasySportsGametime


THURSDAY
NBA BASKETBALL

PLAYS RESUME ON SATURDAY FOR PLAYOFFS


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NHL HOCKEY


50* Play Philadelphia +150 over NY Rangers (NHL BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Los Angeles +130 over San Jose (NHL BONUS PLAY)

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dave cokin

baseball cleveland

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Paul Leiner

100* White Sox -115

50* Rangers -125

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Diamond Dog Sports
Sides 15-16-0
+94

#962 Tigers RL -1.5 +135 (1.5*)
Listed Pitchers: Salazar / Verlander


#968 Rays RL -1.5 +120 (2*)
Listed Pitchers: Sabathia / Price


Totals 15-12-2
-348


#955/956 Over Padres 7.0 -115 (1.5*)
Listed Pitchers: Morales / Kennedy

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Hondo

TIGERS
DODGERS

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Guaranteed picks

Cardinals
Pittsburgh
Dodgers/giants under
Atlanta
Chicago white sox

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ROOT

MLB

no limit whitesox
millionaire astros

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Ferringo

2-Unit Play. Take #969 Kansas City (-130) over Houston (8 p.m., Thursday, April 17)
1-Unit Play. Take #951 Atlanta (-130) over Philadelphia (1 p.m., Thursday, April 17)
1-Unit Play. Take #954 San Francisco (-115) over L.A. Dodgers (3:45 p.m., Thursday, April 17)
1-Unit Play. Take #957 Milwaukee (-105) over Pittsburgh (7 p.m., Thursday, April 17)
1-Unit Play. Take #959 St. Louis (-145) over Washington (7 p.m., Thursday, April 17)
Today's Totals
2-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 7.5 Kansas City at Houston (8 p.m., Thursday, April 17)
1-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 7.5 Cleveland at Detroit (1 p.m., Thursday, April 17)
1-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 7.0 Atlanta at Philadelphia (1 p.m., Thursday, April 17)
1-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 7.0 L.A. Dodgers at San Francisco (3:45 p.m., Thursday, April 17)
1-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 7.0 Milwaukee at Pittsburgh (7 p.m., Thursday, April 17)
1-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 7.5 Boston at Chicago White Sox (8 p.m., Thursday, April 17)

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Doc's Sports


3-unit Play #951 Atlanta Braves (-135) over Philadelphia Phillies (1:05pm EST) Despite a wave of injuries in the spring, the Atlanta Braves are off to a quick 10-4 start to the season. I guess we shouldn't be surprised by anything this organization does, as they are seemingly always in contention with whatever roster they put together. This team looked a bit down on paper, but their pitching staff has stepped up in a huge way. They are currently first in the major leagues in starter's ERA at a miniscule 1.62. Julio Teheran even pitched a complete game shutout yesterday versus the Phils and youngster Alex Wood goes to the hill today. Wood was impressive last season with the Braves when he posted a 3.13 ERA in 31 appearances between the bullpen and rotation. This season he's off to a fantastic start with a 1.89 ERA and 1.11 WHIP in his first three starts. He'll face a Phillies team that seems to be missing its mojo this season. The Phillies is a team full of players past their prime and they know it. This will look like a different team by the trade deadline, as GM Ruben Amaro will surely be dealing away several veterans to start the rebuilding process. For now, they are just delaying the inevitable. A.J. Burnett starts today for Philadelphia and he has been atrocious in his three outings in 2014 despite what his ERA tells you. He's walked six batters in each of his last two outings and is walking nearly eight batters per nine innings. His strikeout rate is all the way down to 5.6 and he's now battling a groin problem. Burnett is a tough fellow, but it would have probably suited the Phils better to just put him on the disabled list. The Braves should tee off and get the victory in the process.


3-unit Play #961 Cleveland Indians (+140) over Detroit Tigers (1:05pm EST) We get a perfect storm of an underrated starting pitcher facing an overrated today in Detroit. Danny Salazar of the Indians has excellent stuff but has struggled at the outset of the 2014 campaign. In his first two starts Salazar has a 6.75 ERA and his control has been a bit shaky. However, he's striking out a whopping 13.5 batters per nine innings and that wipes out a lot of mistakes. I think Salazar will be a good pitcher to back in the underdog role this season because he will be hard to predict from start to start. He will dominate at times and struggle with walks at times too, but overall his stuff is amazing. Justin Verlander also knows something about having amazing stuff, but it's not quite as amazing as it used to be. The heavy workloads of the last few seasons have finally caught up with the big right-hander. Last season he was just 13-12 with a 3.46 ERA in 34 starts. Those are pretty good numbers for just about anyone else, but not Verlander. Despite a lower ERA so far in 2014, Verlander doesn't look as sharp as he's only striking out 5.6 batters per nine innings and he's not keeping the ball down as often. The betting markets are still pricing Verlander like he's one of the top pitchers in the game. He no longer is so we'll take the up and coming Salazar and the Indians here.
Best of Luck - Doc's Sports

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Ralph Esparza (VSI)


MLB BASEBALL PLAYS


3 Unit Play. #960 Take Washington +125 over St. Louis (7:05p.m., Thursday April 17)
Yes Adam Wainwright is coming off a W over the Chicago Cubs at home but tonight the Cards travel to Washington to face the Nationals. I don't understand why the Cardinals are such a big road favorite in this game and if the Nationals can get to the Cards bullpen this game will be interesting. Bryce Harper should be back in the lineup for Washington and getting the Nationals at +125 at home I'm taking a shot. Washington is 5-1 in their last 6 home games as a home underdog.

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PhillyGodFather MLB 1970 Total u3.5 +114 (Kan vs. 1H Hou) $100

[golden contender]

GC: MLB Play

Thursday NHL Game of the Month Has 100% Dominator angle + historical system from the NHL Playoff database. MLB Power system Play + MLB Dog system. Free Afternoon System Play below.

On Thursday the Free MLB Afternoon system play is on the Philadelphia Phillies. Game 952 at 1:05 eastern. These two played a low scoring thriller last night with the Braves winning 1-0. The game was rare in that both teams had 2 or less runs scored and one team had 10+ hits anon had less than 4 or hits. When going to the database we see that since 2006, road teams like the Braves are on an 0-7 run if they are off a 1 run road win, while scoring 2 or less runs on 10+ hits, vs an opponent off a 1 run home loss and scored 2 or less runs on 4 or less hits. The Phillies are 12-2 at home off a home loss where they scored 2 or less and had 4 or less hits, and have won 4 of 6 in day games. They are averaging 5.7 runs and hitting .295 under the sun. They are also 7-1 of late in home games vs leftys. Atlanta is scoring 2.8 runs on .206 hitting in day games . The Phils have A.J. Burnett going and he has won 12 of his last 14 home starts in April. Atlanta counters with A. Wood who has allowed 5 earned runs in 10 innings here. We will back the Phillies for this matinee Play. Solid Thursday card has Powerful MLB System plays and the 5* NHL Game off the Month from a 100% Dominator angles and a historical Database system specific the NHL Playoffs. For the free play take the Phillies. GC