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Sunday's MLB betting cheat sheet
Here's a comprehensive look at betting notes for Sunday's MLB betting action:
Tanaka loves New York
The New York Yankees have one of the most favorable home lines of the day at -153 thanks to probable starter Masahiro Tanaka. The 25-year-old Japanese sensation is 3-0 with a 2.15 ERA and 35 strikeouts through his first 29 1/3 major-league innings.
CarGo Vroom
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-185) have to be confident with left-hander Hyun-Jin Ryu on the mound, but he has yet to solve Carlos Gonzalez. The Colorado Rockies outfielder has faced Ryu three times, and has a solo homer and a pair of walks against him.
Well played, Mauer
Expect the Detroit Tigers (-148) and right-hander Justin Verlander to get creative when facing Joe Mauer. The Minnesota Twins star boasts a .371/.473/.581 slash line against Verlander, with four doubles and three home runs in 62 all-time at-bats.
Pitching notes
* Boston Red Sox left-hander Jon Lester is 15-7 with a 3.55 ERA and two of his 10 career complete games in 28 all-time starts versus the Toronto Blue Jays.
* Kansas City Royals right-hander James Shields has allowed exactly one earned run in each of his last four starts, lowing his ERA from 4.26 to 1.91.
Hitting notes
* Chicago White Sox first baseman Paul Konerko is 10-for-20 with two home runs against Tampa Bay Rays lefty David Price, who gets the call Sunday.
* Red Sox third baseman Will Middlebrooks has gone 3-for-8 with a homer in the first two games of Boston's three-game set in Toronto, and is 3-for-6 with a pair of home runs lifetime versus Sunday starter R.A. Dickey.
Total streaks
Toronto Blue Jays (5-0-1 O/U): The pitching staff has been even shakier than expected of late, allowing an average of 7.5 runs over the past six games.
Injury Watch
* Minnesota Twins third baseman Trevor Plouffe (left triceps contusion) left Saturday's game and is considered day-to-day.
* Cincinnati Reds catcher Devin Mesoraco (left hamstring strain) was placed on the 15-day disabled list Saturday and is out until mid-May.
* Pittsburgh Pirates catcher Russell Martin (left hamstring strain) has been placed on the 15-day disabled list and will likely be out until mid-May.
Weather watch
* Fans at Turner Field face a 31 percent chance of thunderstorms for Sunday's game between the Atlanta Braves and Cincinnati Reds, with temperatures expected to be in the high-70s.
* Thundershowers are even more likely at Busch Stadium, with a 77 percent chance in the forecast for the St. Louis Cardinals' tilt with the Pittsburgh Pirates.
Hot and cold betting trends
* Angels at Yankees: New York is 10-2 in its last 12 games as a favorite between -151 and -200.
* Rockies at Dodgers: Over is 7-1-2 in Colorado hurler Jorge De La Rosa's last 10 starts as an underdog.
* Athletics at Astros: Over is 7-1 in umpire Paul Emmel's last eight games behind home plate involving Oakland.
Stat of the Day
Opposing hitters are batting just .150 the first time through the order against Toronto knuckleballer R.A. Dickey this season - but that number jumps to .237 the second time through and .433 on the third pass.
** Odds, stats, weather forecast and probable pitchers as of 7:30 p.m. ET Saturday. -
Game of the Day: Rockets at Trail Blazers
Houston Rockets at Portland Trail Blazers (-2, 214.5)
Somebody named Troy Daniels kept Houston alive and the Rockets now attempt to even the best-of-seven Western Conference series when they visit the Portland Trail Blazers on Sunday. Daniels, a recent D-League call-up, knocked down the tiebreaking 3-pointer in overtime as the Rockets avoided falling behind 3-0 in the series with a dramatic 121-116 victory. James Harden set a personal playoff high with 37 points while Houston limited Portland star LaMarcus Aldridge to 23 points after he combined for 89 in the first two games.
The Rockets can regain homecourt advantage with a Game 4 victory and coach Kevin McHale isn’t ready to proclaim his team is back in the series until it wins another one. “We haven’t done anything yet,” McHale said after Friday’s victory. “We’ve won one game. But it feels a lot better than losing.” Portland knows what’s at stake and would prefer to go back to Houston with a chance to clinch the series. “It’s the playoffs and nobody said we were going to come out and sweep them,” point guard Damian Lillard told reporters. “We’re lucky that we were able to win two games in Houston and be in the position we’re in right now.”
TV: 9:30 p.m. ET, TNT, CSN Houston, KGW (Portland)
LINE HISTORY: The Blazers opened as 2-point home faves. The total opened 216, but has been bet down to 215.5.
INJURY REPORT: N/A
WHAT SHARPS SAY: "Home court has meant nothing in this series so far, but that's nothing new as the visitor is 5-3 SU in the last eight matchups between these two budding rivals. All three games have been barn-burners to this point, and we can expect more of the same on Sunday. The Rockets know they can ill afford to fall behind 3-1 in this series - three straight wins over a quality opponent like the Blazers would be an uphill battle to say the least. The line is sharp with Portland laying a bucket; I prefer the Rockets moneyline, noting that the ATS winner has gone 8-1 SU in the last nine meetings in this series." Covers Expert Sean Murphy.
WHY BET THE ROCKETS: Daniels played just 75 minutes in the regular season – 44 of them in the meaningless finale – and didn’t play in the first two games of the playoff series. But he logged 20 minutes in Game 3 and was in at the finish because forward Chandler Parsons had fouled out. His third 3-pointer of the contest was the decisive one with 11 seconds left, changing the status of the undrafted free agent from Virginia Commonwealth from unknown commodity to playoff hero. “As a rookie, you never know when you’re going to play,” Daniels told reporters. “When (McHale) called my name, I was ready to play. That just shows how much confidence he has in me.”
WHY BET THE BLAZERS: Aldridge was just 8-of-22 shooting in Game 3 as the Rockets started a second big man in Omer Asik and repeatedly hounded Aldridge with either Asik or Dwight Howard. Aldridge only had four first-half points before finding some opportunities to get loose in the second half but wasn’t the dominating force he was in the first two games. “The rotated big to big,” Aldridge said afterward, “so they made it a point to take me out and not let me get up a lot of shots and not find a good rhythm.”
TRENDS:
* Over is 13-3 in the last 16 meetings.
* Underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.
* Rockets are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games.
* Trail Blazers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games.
COVERS CONSENSUS: 63 percent of wagers are on the Blazers at -2 while 59 percent of wagers are on the Over 214.5.Comment
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Mighty Quinn
Mighty missed with the Spurs (-3 1/2) on Saturday and likes the Clippers on Sunday.
The deficit is 250 sirignanos.Comment
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Rich Allen Sunday Picks.
Our first pick is a strong pick for us in Norway and it needs to win as we need to kill this 3*bet off.
1. Norway Tippeligaen
Stromgodset
minus 0.5 goal
3* bet
2. England Premiership
Manchester City
minus 1.0 goal
1* bet
3. Spain La Liga
Barcelona
minus 1.0 goal
1.5*Comment
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Today's MLB Picks
LA Angels at NY Yankees
The Yankees look to close out the series tonight and come into the contest with a 10-2 record in their last 12 games as a favorite of -151 to -200. New York is the pick (-165) according to Dunkel, which has the Yankees favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-165). Here are all of today's picks.
SUNDAY, APRIL 27
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. ESTGame 951-952: Miami at NY Mets (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Koehler) 15.124; NY Mets (Gee) 16.720
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-120); 7
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-120); UnderGame 953-954: Cincinnati at Atlanta (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Cueto) 15.883; Atlanta (Teheran) 16.795
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-115); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-105); OverGame 955-956: San Diego at Washington (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Kennedy) 16.178; Washington (Jordan) 15.113
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Washington (-110); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-110); OverGame 957-958: Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Hammel) 4.146; Milwaukee (Peralta) 15.614
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-155); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-155); UnderGame 959-960: Pittsburgh at St. Louis (2:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Volquez) 16.343; St. Louis (Wainwright) 15.130
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1; 6
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-170); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+150); UnderGame 961-962: Colorado at LA Dodgers (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (De La Rosa) 14.388; LA Dodgers (Ryu) 15.899
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-200); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-200); OverGame 963-964: Philadelphia at Arizona (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Burnett) 14.276; Arizona (McCarthy) 15.107
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-105); OverGame 965-966: Boston at Toronto (1:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Lester) 14.489; Toronto (Dickey) 16.018
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Toronto (-110); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-110); UnderGame 967-968: Kansas City at Baltimore (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Shields) 14.833; Baltimore (Gonzalez) 15.775
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-125); 8
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+105); OverGame 969-970: Oakland at Houston (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Milone) 15.560; Houston (McHugh) 13.938
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Oakland (-145); 9
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-145); UnderGame 971-972: Detroit at Minnesota (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Verlander) 15.681; Minnesota (Gibson) 15.031
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Detroit (-150); 8
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-150); UnderGame 973-974: Tampa Bay at Chicago White Sox (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Price) 14.634; White Sox (Carroll) 15.780
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-155); 8
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+135); OverGame 975-976: Texas at Seattle (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Harrison) 15.536; Seattle (Maurer) 14.738
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Seattle (-115); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-105); OverGame 977-978: LA Angels at NY Yankees (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Richards) 15.371; NY Yankees (Tanaka) 16.939
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-165); 8
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-165); UnderGame 979-980: Cleveland at San Francisco (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Salazar) 15.495; San Francisco (Vogelsong) 14.532
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 8
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-110); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-110); UnderComment
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Fezzik
3* Golden State +2Comment
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EZWINNERS
2* Wizards -1.5
3* Cubs +132
3* Red Sox -117
3* A's -130
3* Pirates +145Comment
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2Halves2Win (dismal 1-3 yesterday & a respectable NBA playoff victory thus far of 14-14 for +1.7 units):
1* GAME: Wizards -1.5(-110: Risking 1.10 units to win 1.00 units) - TBD (TBDu)
1* GAME: Clippers-Warriors o209.5(-110: Risking 1.10 units to win 1.00 units) - TBD (TBDu)
1* GAME: Clippers -2(-110: Risking 1.10 units to win 1.00 units) - TBD (TBDu)Comment
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MLB
Hot pitchers
-- Koehler is 2-1, 2.13 in four starts this season. Gee is 1-1, 1.38 in his last two starts.
-- Teheran is 1-0, 0.56 in his last two starts. Cueto is 2-2, 1.38 in five starts; he is 2-0, 0.50 in his last two.
-- Peralta is 3-0, 2.75 in his last three starts. Hammel is 3-1, 2.60 in four starts this month.
-- Wainwright is 3-0, 1.57 in his last three starts. Volquez is 1-1, 2.42 in four starts this season.
-- Burnett is 1-0, 1.32 in his last couple starts.
-- Ryu is 2-0, 0.90 in his last three starts.
-- Gonzalez is 1-0, 2.53 in his last couple starts.
-- Shields is 2-0, 1.93 in his last couple starts.
-- Verlander is 3-0, 3.32 in his last three starts. Gibson is 3-1, 3.63 in four starts this year.
-- Price is 2-1, 4.03 in his last three starts.
-- McHugh threw 6.2 shutout innings, struck out 12 in first '14 start.
-- Tanaka is 3-0, 2.45 in his first four American starts. Richards is 2-0, 2.52 in four starts this month.
Cold pitchers
-- Jordan is 0-3, 10.57 in his last three starts. Kennedy is 0-2, 3.79 in his last three starts.
-- McCarthy is 0-4, 7.61 in his last four starts.
-- de la Rosa is 1-3, 7.13 in five starts this season.
-- Lester is 2-3, 4.54 in five starts. Dickey is 0-2, 6.75 in his last three starts.
-- Carroll is making first '14 start; he was 3-1, 1.57 in four AAA starts.
-- Oakland is 0-3 when Milone starts (0-1, 5.82).
-- Harrison is making first '14 start; he was 0-3, 7.56 in his last three starts before getting hurt LY. Maurer allowed one run in 4.1 IP in his only '14 start.
-- Salazar is 0-3, 10.66 in his last three starts. Vogelsong is 0-1, 7.11 in his last three starts.
Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Koehler 0-4; Gee 1-5
-- Cueto 1-5; Teheran 1-5
-- Kennedy 2-5; Jordan 3-4
-- Hammel 1-4; Peralta 0-4
-- Volquez 2-4; Wainwright 1-5
-- de la Rosa 1-5; Ryu 1-6
-- Burnett 1-5; McCarthy 1-5
-- Lester 1-5; Dickey 1-5
-- Shields 1-5; Gonzalez 0-4
-- Milone 2-3; McHugh 0-1
-- Verlander 2-5; Gibson 2-4
-- Price 2-5; Carroll 0-0
-- Harrison 0-0; Maurer 0-1
-- Richards 0-4; Tanaka 1-4
-- Salazar 1-4; Vogelsong 1-4
Totals
-- Seven of lasr eight San Diego road games stayed under.
-- Six of last seven Miami games stayed under the total.
-- Eight of last ten Atlanta games stayed under.
-- 13 of 14 games at Miller Park stayed under total.
-- Six of last seven Pirate gamaes stayed under.
-- Over is 5-1-1 in last seven Arizona home games.
-- Last four Dodger games went over the total.
-- 15 of 22 Angel games went over the total.
-- Six of last nine Baltimore games went over; seven of Royals' last ten games stayed under. .
-- Last seven Toronto home games went over total.
-- Eight of twelve White Sox home games went over.
-- Last five Oakland road games went over total.
-- 18 of 23 Minnesota games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Texas away games went over total.
-- Under is 8-2-1 in last eleven San Francisco games.
Hot teams
-- Mets won five of their last seven games.
-- Nationals won three of their last four games.
-- Braves won seven of last eight home games.
-- Brewers won seven of their last eight games.
-- Phillies won five of their last seven games.
-- Colorado won six of its last nine games.
-- Bronx won nine of last 13 games. Angels are 8-6 away from home.
-- Red Sox won their last four road games.
-- Orioles won three of their last four games.
-- Oakland won six of its last eight road games.
-- Twins won six of last eight home games. Detroit is 6-2 in game following a loss.
-- Rangers won nine of their last eleven games.
-- San Francisco won five of its last six home games.
Cold teams
-- San Diego is 4-8 on the road.
-- Marlins lost nine of their last eleven road games.
-- Cubs lost their last seven away games.
-- Pirates lost seven of their last nine games. St Louis lost five of last seven.
-- Arizona lost ten of their last eleven home games.
-- Dodgers lost four of their last six games.
-- Toronto lost five of its last six games.
-- Royals lost three of their last four games.
-- White Sox lost three of their last four home games. Tampa Bay lost four of its last five road games.
-- Astros lost nine of their last eleven home games.
-- Mariners lost nine of their last eleven games.
-- Cleveland lost its last three road games.
Umpires
-- SD-Wsh-- Four of five Hudson games stayed under total.
-- Pitt-StL-- Underdogs won six of last ten Carlson games.
-- Chi-Mil-- Underdogs won five of last seven Barksdale games.
-- Mia-NY-- Four of five Muchinski games went over total.
-- Cin-Atl-- Under is 7-3-2 in Hamari's last twelve games.
-- Phil-Az-- Last five Davidson games stayed under total.
-- Col-LA-- Rookie ump Scheurwater is umping first game behind plate.
-- LA-NY-- Last three BWelke games went over the total.
-- Bos-Tor-- Five of last seven Foster games went over.
-- Det-Min-- This is rookie ump Woodring's second game behind plate.
-- KC-Balt-- Underdogs won six of last ten Reynolds games.
-- A's-Hst-- Three of four Emmel games stayed under total.
-- TB-Chi-- Four of last five Johnson games went over total.
-- Tex-Sea-- Underdogs won three of four Morales games.
-- Cle-SF-- Underdogs won three of four Barry games.Comment
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Cappers Access
Bulls +1.5
Nationals -115Comment
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Gamblers Data
Free Plays Sunday
Miami / Mets Under 7
Pirates /Cards Over 6.5Comment
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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports
Free Play SUN: Clippers -2Comment
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NBA
Sunday, April 27
Chicago is weird NBA team; different guy takes most shots every game; Dunleavy scored 35 in Game 3, making 8-10 from arc. Washington won six of last seven games overall, with last five going over total. Chicago lost three of last five visits here, losing by 13-4-3 points. Bulls lost four of last six games, with five of last six going over total. Favorites are 7-19 vs spread; over is 17-9 in NBA playoffs so far this month.
Golden State was just 6-31 from arc in Game 3, lost by only hoop; they ain't going 6-31 again. Home side won eight of last ten series games; Clippers lost five of last six games in Oakland- nine of last 11 series games went over total. LA won nine of its last 13 games, with ten of those 13 going over the total. Warriors won six of last ten games overall; under is 48-35 in their games this year, 23-17 at home.
All three Toronto-Brooklyn games were decided by 7 or less points. DeRozan scored 30 points in each of last two games, but is just 20-56 from floor in series. Toronto is -25 in turnovers (54-29) in series. Nets are 18-68 from arc in series. Toronto lost five of its last six visits here overall, two of three this season. Nets lost five of last eight games, but are 24-18 vs spread at home this season. Over is 8-5 in east, 9-4 in west.
Aldridge scored 23 in Game 3, after he had 89 points, 26 boards in pair of road wins to open series; Portland won 11 of last 13 games; they've won four of last five home games, all decided by 6 or less points, but Houston won six of their last eight viits here. Blazers had lost five of last six games with Rockets before this series- last ten games in series went over total. Harden is 27-82 from floor this series, not good for Rockets.Comment
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NHL
Sunday, April 27
Rangers are just 23-20 at home this season; they were held scoreless after first period in both series losses. Flyers are 21-22 on road; they've lost six of eight games vs Rangers this year; they've lost eight of last nine games here, but evened series 2-2 Friday when Mason stopped 37 of 38 shots. Rangers are 3-20 on power play in series, but 3-12 at home; Philly is 3-11 on power play, 2-4 here. Under is 6-1-3 in last ten Ranger games, 1-8-2 in Philly's last eleven.
Home side is 4-1 in this series, 17-3 overall is Western Conference. Four of five Chicago-St Louis games have gone OT; Blues won first two games of series in OT, tying both games in last 2:00 of regulation- they scored four first period goals in first two series none since, with Chicago winning last three games. St Louis is 2-23 on power play in series, Chicago 2-18; Blues are 2-9 in last 11 games overall. In four OT games, home side outshot visitors 18-6.
Anaheim was 4-6 on power play in 6-2 Game 5 win, after being 0-11 in Games 2-4; they have outscored Dallas 8-3 in first period this series; three of their four third period goals in series came last game. Stars are 28-15 at home this season, were +26 in faceoffs at home, -11 on road in series. Home side won all five series games; bears repeating that home side is 17-3 in west so far in playoffs. Home side has had edge in shots in only two of 15 periods this series.
League-wide, over is 21-10-7 in playoffs so far this year.Comment
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