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NBA | SAN ANTONIO at DALLAS
Play On – Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SAN ANTONIO) good team – outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after allowing 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games
44-17 since 1997. ( 72.1% | 25.3 units )
5-3 this year. ( 62.5% | 1.7 units )
NBA | SAN ANTONIO at DALLAS
Play On – Any team vs the money line (SAN ANTONIO) average defensive team (92-98 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (>=102 PPG) after 42+ games, after allowing 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games
30-10 since 1997. ( 75.0% | 20.0 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )
NBA | SAN ANTONIO at DALLAS
Play On – Underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (DALLAS) excellent free throw shooting team (>=79%) against a good free throw shooting team (76-79%), in a game involving two good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO’s) after 42+ games
54-23 over the last 5 seasons. ( 70.1% | 28.7 units )
4-2 this year. ( 66.7% | 1.8 units )
MLB | OAKLAND at TEXAS
Play Against – Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (OAKLAND) below average hitting team (AVG <=.265) against an excellent starting pitcher (ERA <=3.20) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 or better on the season (AL)
98-39 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.5% | 42.6 units )
2-2 this year. ( 50.0% | -1.6 units )
StatFox Situational Power Trends™ – FoxSheets
MLB | CLEVELAND at LA ANGELS
CLEVELAND is 21-5 (+15.9 Units) against the money line in Road games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was: CLEVELAND (5.6) , OPPONENT (3.3)
MONDAY NBA BASKETBALL 1000* Play Miami -7.5 over Charlotte (NBA TOP PLAY) 7:00 PM EST Charlotte has lost 37 of the last 50 games vs. division opponents and they have also lost 26 of the last 31 games when playing as a home underdog of 6.5 to 12 points.Charlotte has lost 46 of the last 58 games after scoring 85 points or less in their last game and they have lost 70 of the last 87 games coming off three or more losses. 50* Play Atlanta +6.5 over Indiana (NBA BONUS PLAY) 50* Play Dallas +4 over San Antonio (NBA BONUS PLAY)
========================================= NHL HOCKEY 50* Play Colorado +125 over Minnesota (NHL BONUS PLAY) 50* Play San Jose +115 over Los Angeles (NHL BONUS PLAY)
Play Dallas +4 over San Antonio (NBA)---RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL
9:30 PM EST
Dallas has covered the spread in 4 consecutive games and they have also covered the spread in 21 of the last 33 games when playing as an underdog.Dallas has covered the spread in 5 of the last 6 games when playing five or less games in 14 days and they are averaging 107 points at home this season.
Play Miami -7.5 over Charlotte (TOP NBA PLAY)---RISK 3% OF BANKROLL
Play Atlanta +6.5 over Indiana (TOP NBA PLAY)---RISK 3% OF BANKROLL
Play Chicago White Sox +115 over Tampa Bay----RISK 8% OF YOUR BANKROLL 8:10 PM EST
Jake Odorizzi has lost 4 of the last 5 road games and he has lost 7 of the last 9 games when the total posted is between 8.5 and 10 runs. Jake Odorizzi has lost 4 of the last 6 games when pitching as a favorite of -110 or higher and he is 0-2 over the last three starts with an ERA of 9.45.
Play San Francisco -150 over San Diego----RISK 8% OF YOUR BANKROLL 10:10 PM EST
Tyson Ross has lost 14 of the last 17 games when pitching as an underdog of +100 to +150 and he has lost 18 of the last 28 games when pitching in the 1st half of the season. Tyson Ross has lost 19 of the last 29 night games and he has lost 12 of the last 18 games coming off a team win.
Play Chicago White Sox +115 over Tampa Bay----RISK 8% OF YOUR BANKROLL 8:10 PM EST
Jake Odorizzi has lost 4 of the last 5 road games and he has lost 7 of the last 9 games when the total posted is between 8.5 and 10 runs. Jake Odorizzi has lost 4 of the last 6 games when pitching as a favorite of -110 or higher and he is 0-2 over the last three starts with an ERA of 9.45.
Play San Francisco -150 over San Diego----RISK 8% OF YOUR BANKROLL 10:10 PM EST
Tyson Ross has lost 14 of the last 17 games when pitching as an underdog of +100 to +150 and he has lost 18 of the last 28 games when pitching in the 1st half of the season. Tyson Ross has lost 19 of the last 29 night games and he has lost 12 of the last 18 games coming off a team win.
10* Play Colorado +110 over Arizona (MLB TOP PLAY) Arizona is 5-14 coming off a loss in their last game Arizona is 1-7 vs. left-handed starting pitchers this season Arizona is 2-11 in home games this season
10* Play Cleveland +120 over LA Angels (MLB TOP PLAY) Los Angeles is 6-16 when playing on a Monday Los Angeles is 40-55 coming off a loss in their last game Los Angeles is 20-29 when playing in the month of April
=============================================
5* Play Chicago White Sox +115 over Tampa Bay (MLB EXTRA PLAY) 5* Play Chicago Cubs +140 over Cincinnati (NBA EXTRA PLAY)
Kevin's Pick(s):
I couldn't follow up that 5 Star win with another win as the Blue Jays beat the Red Sox to avoid the sweep. Red Sox starter Jon Lester had great career numbers vs Toronto, but he was out pitched by Dickey who had poor numbers vs Boston coming into Sunday. We have a smaller MLB board on Monday, but I've got an underdog play going tonight. 2 UNIT = Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks - ROCKIES TO WIN (+124)
Listed Pitchers: Morales vs Miley
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.48 units)
These two teams met at the beginning of this month in Colorado, with the Rockies taking 2 of the three games. The Rockies are coming off a series win in Los Angeles vs the Dodgers and are now 14-12 on the season and 6-8 on the road. The Diamondbacks dropped two straight vs Philadelphia to lose their weekend series at home, and are now an awful 8-20 on the season and just 2-13 at home. Tonight's match up is a southpaw match up with Franklin Morales on the mound for Colorado and Wade Miley on the rubber for Arizona. Morales is 2-1 with a 3.86 ERA, .260 OBA and 1.36 WHIP on the season. He had one rough starts vs Chicago allowing 6 earned runs, but other than that game he's been very solid. In his last two starts he has gone a combined 13 innings allowing just 2 earned runs with 12 strikeouts and 3 walks. On the road he is 1-0 with a 2.92 ERA so far this season. Wade Miley is 2-2 with a 4.50 ERA, .231 OBA and 1.28 WHIP. He did pick up a win vs Colorado earlier this year allowing 2 earned runs over 8 innings of work. Although it includes his "home" start in Australie, Miley is just 1-2 with a 6.35 ERA over three home starts this season. Take note that the Rockies are tied for 1st in the MLB for team average vs lefties and 4th in team OPS, while the Diamondbacks are 22nd in average and 25th in OPS vs left handed pitchers. Also note that the Rockies are 7-3 in their last 10 overall, 4-1 in their last 5 as an underdog, 4-0 in Morale's last 4 starts as an underdog, and 8-3 in Morale's last 11 road starts. The Dbacks are just 1-6 in their last 7 games as a favorite, 1-9 in their last 10 vs left handed starters, and 2-9 in their last 11 following a loss. I find this to be a pretty equal pitching match up tonight, but the Rockies have an advantage at the plate - especially with two lefties on the mound. I'll take the Rockies at a nice underdog price.
Monday card has a 5* MLB Double Blowout system, a 5* NBA Side with 4 Big Playoff systems and 2 Solid NHL Sequence scenario historical database systems. NBA + MLB Top plays cash big on Sunday. Free MLB System play below.
On Monday the free MLB System play is on the Texas Rangers. Game 912 at 8:05 eastern. Texas has won 14 of 15 April starts made by Yu Darvish, including all 4 this year. They have won his last 4 home starts dating to last year as he has allowed just 6 runs in 26 innings here .Texas also fits a powerful system that plays on certain home favorites with a total of 8 or less that are off a road loss, despite scoring 5 or more runs, if they are taking on a team off a road loss that scored 2 or less runs, like Oakland. Texas has won 9 of 13 vs divisional teams ands 6 of 8 vs winning teams. In a solid pitching match up we will take Darvish over Gray and back Texas. On Monday start the week big with a 5* MLB Double blowout system and the 5* NBA Side that has 4 different playoff systems on their side. there are also 2 powerful NHL Historical systems on the card. MLB + NBA top plays cash on Sunday. Start the week big. Jump on now and get all 4 sides. For the free play take Texas. GC
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