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NBA PLAYOFFS
San Antonio Spurs (-4) at Dallas Mavericks 9:30 ET TNT
4% San Antonio (-4)
We lost a Top Play on the Spurs Saturday when a 3 pointer by Vince Carter at the buzzer claimed a 109-108 victory for the Mavs. Now, Dallas has a 2-1 series lead with covers in every game. Much like Saturday, an inverted home/road dichotomy favors the visitor. Dallas is just 17-24 ATS on this court, including 7-14 ATS +6 to -6. The Spurs are 20-12 ATS as road chalk this season and 27-10 ATS off a loss as favorite. As the best team in the NBA, they are worthy of backing in a bounce back effort to even the series and regain home court edge. The two concerns are a bloated line and the fact that the Spurs may have peaked too soon. After having clinched the No. 1 seed in the NBA, the Spurs were on a 22-2 SU, 19-4 ATS blitz of the league. Since that time, San Antonio is 1-4 SU, 0-5 ATS, failing to the number by 59 points, and allowing 105 PPG.
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