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Why we like the Red Sox on Wednesday at -115…going to more or less fade the Rays in this one as they come in as losers of their last 7 of 9 games while averaging 4.3 RPG and allowing 6.7 RPG during that stretch. The Red Sox on the other hand, have won their last 8 of 13 games while averaging 6 RPG. More importantly for this game is what the Rays do (or don’t do) against left handed pitching. On the season, the Rays are 2-6 against LHP while averaging just 2.7 RPG. That pattern should follow on Wednesday as the Rays have little success against Doubront. The Rays will be pitching Chris Archer who comes into Wednesdays game with a 4.11 era on the season through 30 innings of work. Archer sees that era rise to a 5.50 era in road starts through 18 innings of work where he has allowed 27 hits. Archers last road start was also his last start AT Chicago White Sox where he allowed 4 runs through 6 innings on 9 hits & 1 HR. In Archers career against the Red Sox, he carries a 1-2 record with a 5.27 era. The Red Sox will be pitching Felix Doubront who is getting better as of late. Doubront has had to deal with above average left handed hitting teams which has hurt him but should not be a factor for Wednesday as he gets a below average left handed hitting team in the Rays. This Rays team has a combined 118 ABs off of Doubront with a .271 average and 0 HRs. In his career, Doubront is 2-3 with a 3.25 era against the Rays. Play on the Red Sox at -115
It was a perfect Tuesday for the four major-league road favorites, though not without some nervous moments. Colorado (-105), Detroit (-137) and Washington (-138) all needed go-ahead runs in the ninth inning to win their respective games, while Oakland (-110) walloped Texas in the other.
Over and above
As stingy as Jose Fernandez has been at home, his games still find a way to go Over. Fernandez threw eight sensational innings in Miami's 9-0 rout of Atlanta, improving him to 12-0 with a 1.00 ERA in 19 starts at Marlins Park. Miami is 7-3 O/U in his last 10 starts there.
Gibson a run magnet
Over bettors should keep an eye on Wednesday's showdown between the Minnesota Twins and the visiting Los Angeles Angels (+130, 7.5). Twins starter Kyle Gibson has been one of the stronger Over plays, sporting an 8-2 O/U record over his previous 10 starts.
Pitching Notes
* Cincinnati Reds lefty Tony Cingrani is nothing if not consistent, having alternated moneyline wins and losses over his past 13 starts. Coming off a victory last time out, Cingrani and the Reds (-181) host the Chicago Cubs.
* Expect a low total when Shelby Miller and the St. Louis Cardinals (-142, 7) entertain Milwaukee. Miller is on a streak of four straight Under while the Brewers are 10-17-0 O/U for the season.
Hitting Notes
* Tigers third baseman Miguel Cabrera is heating up, going 11-for-26 with eight RBIs during a six-game hitting streak. Not coincidentally, Detroit is 4-1-1 O/U over that span.
* Home runs by Miami outfielder Giancarlo Stanton have become good omens for Over bettors. The Marlins are 7-0 O/U when Stanton goes deep, and just 7-10-2 O/U when he doesn't.
Total Streaks
Washington Nationals (1-3-1 O/U): The absence of talented outfielder Bryce Harper (thumb) is already being felt in the U.S. capital, with the Nationals reeling off three straight Unders while scoring a modest 10 runs over that span.
Prop of the Day
Think the Cubs are capable of putting up a big inning Wednesday? It'll pay handsomely if they do; Chicago is a +200 for putting up the highest-scoring inning against the Reds (+105). A tie is worth +275.
Injury Watch
The status of Cleveland Indians second baseman Jason Kipnis is unknown after he left Tuesday's game against the Angels with a right abdominal strain. It would be an enormous loss for the Indians, who have provided the second-worst value in the AL to date (-683 units).
Weather Watch
* Offense could be a challenge at Kauffman Stadium when the Kansas City Royals (-130, 7.5) host Toronto. Teams are batting a collective .240 in 17 games with the wind blowing from left to right field at more than 10 miles per hour.
* Cincinnati won't complain about Wednesday's wind conditions. The Reds average more than five runs per game with the wind blowing out to right field at better than 10 miles per hour.
Umpire Stat of the Day
Under is 7-0-2 in umpire Mark Wegner's last nine games behind home plate. Wegner will call the balls and strikes for the game between the Royals and the Blue Jays.
** Odds, stats, weather forecast and probable pitchers as of 9:55 a.m. ET Tuesday.
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