5-1-14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Game of the Day: Thunder at Grizzlies

Oklahoma City Thunder at Memphis Grizzlies (+2.5, 184)

Memphis leads series 3-2.

The Memphis Grizzlies will try to sew up a historic first-round series when they host the Oklahoma City Thunder on Thursday. The Grizzlies hold a 3-2 lead in the tense matchup after prevailing on Tuesday in a record fourth consecutive overtime game. Oklahoma City stars Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook have struggled with poor shooting and the Thunder are facing elimination by the Grizzlies for the second straight postseason.

Memphis blew a 20-point third-quarter lead in Game 5 but escaped with a 100-99 victory as a putback by Oklahoma City’s Serge Ibaka came just after the buzzer. “Nothing comes easy for us,” Grizzlies forward Zach Randolph told reporters afterward. “We get it out of the mud, we grind and we’re underdogs. It’s what we do.” The Thunder split two games in Memphis earlier in the series and will be trying to force a Game 7 in Oklahoma City. “We have won there before,” Westbrook told reporters. “We know what we need to do to win the game. We just need to come out and play our game.”

TV: 8 p.m. ET, TNT, FSN Oklahoma (Oklahoma City), SportSouth (Memphis)

LINE HISTORY: Oklahoma City opened as a 2.5-point road favorite and was bet up to -3 before money came back on the Grizzlies. The total opened 186 and dropped to 184.

INJURY REPORT: Memphis - N. Calathes (Out - Suspension)

WHAT BOOKS SAY:

WHAT SHARPS SAY: "It's interesting to note that while the Grizzlies are priced around a -140 favorite to win this series, the Thunder are favored in Memphis in Game 6, and should there be a Game 7, will be favored in that contest as well. Memphis has done a number of Oklahoma City's big guns defensively, and has to realize that this is where it needs to bring its best effort of the entire series. A seventh and deciding game in Oklahoma City would be extremely difficult to win, especially with the Grizzlies trying to take three-of-four from the Thunder on the road. Sharp line here, but I'm leaning to the Thunder to prove why they've been one of the league's best teams all season." Covers Expert Sean Murphy.

ABOUT THE THUNDER: Durant might be about to wrestle regular-season MVP honors away from LeBron James but he has experienced a shaky series while being hounded by smaller Memphis defender Tony Allen. Durant is shooting just 40 percent from the field – and 28.6 percent from 3-point range – and also missed a tying free-throw attempt with 27.5 seconds left in Tuesday’s one-point loss. He also hasn’t been as assertive in searching for shots as the misses add up. “Sometimes you’ve got to be a decoy out there and I’m fine with that,” Durant told reporters. “Once the ball comes my way I have to be ready and be aggressive when I touch it.”

ABOUT THE GRIZZLIES: Point guard Mike Conley scored 17 points in Game 5, including the tiebreaking basket in overtime, but he was close to being labeled the goat of the contest as Memphis blew the big lead. With the Grizzlies leading late in regulation, Westbrook stole the ball from Conley and raced for a tying dunk with four seconds remaining. “We’re a team that is able to bounce back from adversity,” Conley told reporters afterward. “We’ve had a lot of tough plays – especially mine at the end of regulation. For us to still come back and compete and stay focused in overtime, it just says a lot about the resiliency of this team and the focus level.”

TRENDS:

* Thunder are 1-4-1 ATS in the last six meetings in Memphis.
* Underdog is 3-0-1 ATS in the last four meetings.
* Over is 4-1 in Grizzlies' last five home games.
* Under is 7-3 in Thunder's last 10 games following a loss.

COVERS CONSENSUS: 57 percent of bets are on Oklahoma City while 63 percent are on Over 185.

[golden contender]

GC: MLB Play

Thursday card has 2 Big 5* NBA Playoff sides one is cashing 97% the other applies to 4 different systems. In MLB The lead play is a 5* Dog from a Solid dog system that has won 89% since 2004. Free MLB System Play below.

Thursday the free MLB Play is on Baltimore. Game 970 at 4:05 eastern. These two have had quite the little vacation with the abundance of rain postponing there games the last 2 nights. Both teams are off losses in their last game. Those results set up 2 Powerful league wide systems from the database tonight. First for Baltimore we want to play on home favorites with a total that is 8 or less that is off a home dog loss by 5 or more runs, vs an opponent off a road dog loss that scored 4 or less runs. These home teams have won 10 of 11 times since 2004. Now for our second system. We want to play against all road teams that lost on the road as an underdog, if they had 4 or less hits and are playing a home team that lost by 5 or more runs. These road teams do not rebound well as they are just 1-13. The Pirates are 1-8 in their last 9 on the road vs right handers and 0-3 on the road this year with a total the is 8 to 8.5. The Pirates have never faired well on the road vs A.L. East teams losing 14 of 18 the last 10 years. Baltimore has a pitching advantage with B. Norris who has allowed just a pair of runs over 2 starts and 13 innings vs the Pirates. Pittsburgh counters with C. Morton who allowed 7 runs in 2 innings in his only start vs Baltimore and has a 4.85 road Era this year. Look for Baltimore to get the win. On Thursday we have a Powerful card that has 2 NBA 5* Plays both from big playoff systems and a 5* MLB Dog system that has won 89% since 2004. For the Free MLB play take Baltimore in game one. GC

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Baseball Crusher
Toronto Blue Jays -102 over Kansas City
(System Record: 18-0, won last 5 games)
Overall Record: 18-12

Hockey Crusher
Montreal Canadiens + Boston Bruins OVER 5
(Playoff Record: 9-3, won last 2 games)
(Regular Season Record: 91-4)
Overall Record: 100-78-2

Basketball Crusher
Golden State Warriors +1.5 over Los Angeles Clippers
(Playoff Record: 5-4-2, lost last 2 games and 2 pushes)
(Regular Season Record: 78-8)
Overall Record: 83-90-7

Soccer Crusher
Atletico ** + Atletico Nacional UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Conmebol
(System Record: 563-20, won last 2 game and 2 pushes)
Overall Record: 563-477-83

Here are the rest of his baseball, hockey and basketball plays for today...


Baseball
Boston Red Sox -110 over Tampa
Miami Marlins +113 over Atlanta Braves
Milwaukee Brewers +106 over Cincy


Hockey
Montreal Canadiens +166 over Boston


Basketball
Indiana Pacers -115 over Atlanta Hawks
Oklahoma City Thunder -145 over Memphis Grizzlies
Los Angeles Clippers + Golden State Warriors OVER 209

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Hot pitchers
-- Santana is 3-0, 1.95 in four starts this season. Alvarez is 1-0, 2.14 in his last three outings.
-- Estrada is 1-0, 2.63 in his last two starts.
-- Colon is 1-1, 2.57 in his last couple starts.

-- Peavy is 1-0, 2.87 in five starts this season.
-- Buehrle is 4-1, 2.43 in five starts this season.

-- Tillman is 3-1, 3.94 in four starts this season. Cumpton allowed two runs in seven IP in his first '14 start.
-- Haren is 3-0, 3.77 in five starts this season. Beckett is 0-0, 1.00 in his last three outings.

Cold pitchers
-- Bailey is 1-2, 6.15 in five starts this season.
-- Nicasio is 0-1, 9.64 in his last couple starts.

-- Kuroda is 1-1, 8.10 in his last three starts. Elias is 0-1, 7.15 in his last two.
-- Archer is 0-1, 5.50 in three road starts this season. Doubront is 1-3, 8.20 in his last four starts.
-- Guthrie is 0-1, 4.66 in his last three starts.

-- Norris is 1-2, 4.44 in four starts this season. Morton is 0-3, 6.16 in his last three starts.
-- KJohnson allowed five runs in two IP in his only MLB start, for the Pirates last year against St Louis. He is 2-2, 2.86 in four AAA starts this season.


Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Santana 1-4; Alvarez 2-5
-- Estrada 0-5; Bailey 2-5
-- Colon 1-5; Nicasio 2-5

-- Elias 0-5; Kuroda 1-5
-- Archer 3-5 Ramos; Doubrant 2-5 Peavy 1-5
-- Buehrle 1-5; Guthrie 2-5

-- Morton 0-5 Cumpton 0-1; Tillman 0-5 Norris 1-4
-- Haren 0-5 Beckett 1-4; Pelfrey 2-4 KJohnson 0-0

Totals
-- Six of last nine Atlanta games stayed under.
-- Nine of last ten Milwaukee road games went over.
-- Over is 5-2-1 in Mets' last eight road games.

-- Seven of last ten Bronx home games stayed under.
-- Eight of last eleven Boston games went over the total.
-- Seven of last nine Toronto games went over the total.

-- Five of last six Pittsburgh games stayed under.
-- Seven of last eight Minnesota games went over.

Hot teams
-- Mets won seven of their last nine games. Rockies won ten of their last fifteen games.
-- Braves won 12 of their last 17 games. Miami is 10-4 at home.
-- Cincinnati won four of its last six home games. Brewers won nine of their last twelve games.


-- Bronx won six of its last eight home games.
-- Red Sox won three of their last four games.
-- Kansas City won eight of its eleven home games.

-- Orioles are 7-1 in game following their last eight losses.
-- Minnesota won six of its last nine home games.

Cold teams
-- Mariners lost six of their last seven away games.
-- Tampa Bay lost seven of its last eight away games.
-- Blue Jays lost six of their last seven games.

-- Pirates lost five of their last six games.
-- Dodgers lost five of their last eight games.

Umpires
-- Atl-Mia-- Four of last five Culbreth games stayed under.

-- Sea-NY-- Favorites won all five Miller games.
-- TB-Bos-- Underdogs won four of five Bucknor games. Four of six HGibson games went over the total.
-- Tor-KC-- All four Wegner games stayed under total.

-- LA-Minn-- Favorites won five of six Timmons games. All three Johnson games went over total.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Access

Warriors +1.5
Orioles(GM#1) -125
Reds(RL) -1.5(+178)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Nets (+3) on Wednesday and likes the Pacers on Thursday.

The deficit is 260 sirignanos.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Free Play THURS: Pirates w/ Morton

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gamblers Data

Free Plays Thursday

Brewers +101

Tampa Bay/Boston over 8.5 Game

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's MLB Picks

Milwaukee at Cincinnati

The Brewers open up their series in Cincinnati tonight and come into the contest with an 8-1 record in their last 9 games as a road underdog. Milwaukee is the pick (+100) according to Dunkel, which has the Brewers favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+100). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, MAY 1 Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST

Game 951-952: Atlanta at Miami (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Santana) 16.649; Miami (Alvarez) 14.922 Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 6 Vegas Line: Atlanta (-130); 7 Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-130); Under

Game 953-954: Milwaukee at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Estrada) 15.531; Cincinnati (Bailey) 14.406 Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 9 Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-120); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+100); Over

Game 955-956: NY Mets at Colorado (8:40 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Colon) 15.136; Colorado (Nicasio) 14.001 Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 11 Vegas Line: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 957-958: Seattle at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Elias) 13.205; NY Yankees (Kuroda) 14.833 Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 959-960: Tampa Bay at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Archer) 15.119; Boston (Doubront) 13.995 Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 7 1/2 Vegas Line: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 961-962: Toronto at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Buehrle) 15.481; Kansas City (Guthrie) 14.521 Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 9 Vegas Line: Kansas City (-110); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-110); Over

Game 963-964: LA Dodgers at Minnesota (1:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Haren) 14.916; Minnesota (Pelfrey) 15.869 Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 7 1/2 Vegas Line: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 965-966: LA Dodgers at Minnesota (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Patterson) 15.466; Minnesota (Johnson) 14.119 Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 967-968: Pittsburgh at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Cumpton) 15.304; Baltimore (Tillman) 14.413 Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1; 9 Vegas Line: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 969-970: Pittsburgh at Baltimore (4:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Morton) 14.181; Baltimore (Norris) 15.631 Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 971-972: Tampa Bay at Boston (1:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Ramos) 14.069; Boston (Peavy) 15.545 Dunkel Line: Boston by 1 1/2; 10 Vegas Line: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NBA Picks

Oklahoma City at Memphis

The Thunder look to bounce back from their 100-99 loss in Game 5 and stay alive in the series tonight as they face a Memphis team that is 4-10-2 ATS in its last 16 games following a SU victory. Oklahoma City is the pick (-2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Thunder favored by 5. Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-2 1/2). Here are all of today's playoff picks.

THURSDAY, MAY 1 Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 521-522: Indiana at Atlanta (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 117.406; Atlanta 124.320 Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 7; 192 Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 1; 186 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+1); Over

Game 525-526: Oklahoma City at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 125.900; Memphis 120.759 Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 5; 180 Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 2 1/2; 185 Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-2 1/2); Under

Game 527-528: LA Clippers at Golden State (10:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 124.797; Golden State 125.414 Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 1; 205 Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 1 1/2; 210 Dunkel Pick: Golden State (+1 1/2); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NHL Picks

Montreal at Boston

The Bruins open up their series against the Canadiens tonight and come into the contest with an 8-1 record in their last 9 conference semifinal games. Boston is the pick (-185) according to Dunkel, which has the Bruins favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Boston (-185). Here are all of today's playoff picks.

THURSDAY, MAY 1 Time Posted: 6:30 a.m. EST

Game 83-84: Montreal at Boston (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 11.520; Boston 13.063 Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1 1/2; 6 Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-185); 5 Dunkel Pick: Boston (-185); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Thursday, May 1

Pacers are now 8-12 in last 20 games, 8-27-1 against spread in last 36, as they head south to stay alive in series. Indiana is 4-5 vs Atlanta this season, 2-2 here. Hawks won nine of last thirteen games. George made 10-18 from the floor in Game 4- he is Pacers' barometer. Hawks' bench was 14-25 in Game 5, after being 15-50 from floor in games 3-4- they were +50 for game. Pacers' bench was 9-21 last game, a combined -31. Three of last four series games stayed under.

Last four Griz-Thunder games went OT, after OC won opener by 14; despite OTs, team that led at half lost four of five series games. Both Thunder wins stayed under total; three Memphis wins went over. OC is 34-117 from arc in last four games, shooting under 40% from floor in all four games- six of their last nine games went over. Griz led Thunder by 12 last game, was +8 in OT (9-17). Three of last four series games went over the total.

Clippers outscored Golden State 31-13 on foul line in Game 5 win, and it would've been worse had Jordan not missed eight (9-17) FTs. He had 25 points, 18 boards after going scoreless in Game 4. Clippers won 10 of last 15 games, with 12 of those 15 going over total. Warriors won seven of last 12 games overall; under is 48-37 in their games this year, 23-18 at home. Curry was held to 17 points Tuesday after having 33 in Game 4. Warrior bench was 8-22 last game, after making 12-18 in Sunday's win.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Thursday, May 1

Montreal won six of last seven games with Boston, but Bruins had lost four of last five with Detroit before winning last four series games to advance here. Canadiens are 24-9 in playoff series with Boston, but Bruins won seven of last 11 series after losing 20 of first 22 series to Montreal. Boston allowed six goals in 4-1 series win over Detroit; they beat Montreal three years ago in seven games, in last playoff meeting- last three Boston wins all came in overtime. Canadiens swept Tampa Bay in four straight first round; they're 27-16 on road, have been off for nine days. Bruins haven't played since Sunday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DIAMOND DOG SPORTS


2.5* #961: Blue Jays: -105
Listed Pitcher: Buehrle / Guthrie


2* #951/952: Under Marlins: 7.0 -115
Listed Pitcher: Santana / Alvarez


1* #961/962: Over Royals: 8.5 -105
Listed Pitcher: Buehrle / Guthrie