5-4-14

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StatFox Super Situations™ – FoxSheets

MLB | ARIZONA at SAN DIEGO
Play On – Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SAN DIEGO) poor power team (<=0.9 HR’s/game) against a starting pitcher who gives up 1or more HR’s/start, starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest
48-23 over the last 5 seasons. ( 67.6% | 26.2 units )
3-3 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.4 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends™ – FoxSheets

MLB | SAN FRANCISCO at ATLANTA
ATLANTA is 13-2 (+12.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 62%) over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was: ATLANTA (5.3) , OPPONENT (2.3)

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Ben Burns

NHL

10* Penguins

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Baseball Crusher
Texas Rangers -113 over Los Angeles Angels
(System Record: 20-0, won last game)
Overall Record: 20-13

Hockey Crusher
Chicago Blackhawks -200 over Minnesota Wild
(Playoff Record: 12-3, won last 5 games)
(Regular Season Record: 91-4)
Overall Record: 103-78-2

Basketball Crusher
Dallas Mavericks +6.5 over San Antonio
(Playoff Record: 7-5-2, lost last game)
(Regular Season Record: 78-8)
Overall Record: 84-90-7

Soccer Crusher
All Boys + Boca Juniors UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Argentina
(System Record: 565-20, won last 4 game and 3 pushes)
Overall Record: 565-477-84

Rest of Crusher's Plays Today:

Toronto Blue Jays +111 over Pittsburgh Pirates
San Francisco Giants +120 over Atlanta Braves
Cleveland Indians -151 over Chicago WhiteSox

Pittsburgh Penguins -157 over NY Rangers
Pittsburgh Penguins + NY Rangers OVER 5
Chicago Blackhawks + Minnesota Wild UNDER 5

Toronto Raptors + Brooklyn Nets OVER 187.5
Toronto Raptors -153 over Brooklyn
San Antonio Spurs + Dallas Mavericks UNDER 197.5

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Sean's *10* NBA EAST CONF PLAYOFF GAME OF THE YEAR > Sean Murphy

Brooklyn Nets at Toronto Raptors May 4 2014 1:00PMI fully expect the Nets to win this game outright, but I'll grab the points just in case. Brooklyn seized back the momentum on Friday night, as expected. We cashed a 10* ticket with the Nets on that night, and won't hesitate to go back to the well here. What this series ultimately boils down to is youth vs. experience. The Raptors haven't been here before - most of their players anyway. So it should come as no surprise that they had major difficulties closing out the series on Friday. While a return home will help, it doesn't mean everything. Remember, the Nets have already won a game here in Toronto in this series. It could be argued that this series turned in the fourth quarter of Game 5, when the Raptors nearly blew a massive 26-point lead, ultimately winning by just a basket. Regardless what happens early in this contest, I expect the veteran Nets to say the course and persevere. I have a lot of respect for the Raptors, and give them full credit for what they've accomplished this season, but the road ends here. Take Brooklyn (10*).
Prediction: Brooklyn Nets

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Jeff Benton

50 Dime

Game Seven Lock Total

Over Spurs

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Craig Davis

50 Dime

Western Conference Total of the Year

Over Mavericks

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DIAMOND DOG SPORTS

2* #902: Phillies: +100
Listed Pitcher: Gonzalez / Hernandez

.5* #904: Marlins RL (-1.5): +115
Listed Pitcher: Fife / Fernandez

1* #91/912: Under Rockies: 10.5 -115
Listed Pitcher: Gee / Chacin

3* #921/922: Under Astros: 8.5 -105
Listed Pitcher: Maurer / McHugh


NBA
3* #549: Mavs: +6.5 -105

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Sunday's MLB betting cheat sheet

Over and Then Some

The Colorado Rockies and New York Mets combined for 21 runs in a wild Saturday night showdown; that doubled the 10.5-point total while ending a streak of three straight "unders" in Coors Field games featuring a total in double digits. Colorado (-144, 10) hosts the Mets in Sunday's series finale.

Padres Spoil the Under

San Diego may be the best "under" play in the majors to date at 7-22-2, but a late rally Saturday ruined the party for "under" bettors. The Padres scored three runs in the ninth inning against visiting Arizona, falling short in a 4-3 defeat but pushing the total over 6.5.

Jose a Safe Bet at Home

No pitcher has been more of a sure bet at home over the past season-plus than Miami Marlins ace Jose Fernandez. The 21-year-old is a perfect 12-0 in 19 career starts at Marlins Park, while Miami has gone 17-2 against the moneyline in those outings. Miami is -170 Sunday against the visiting Dodgers.

Pitching Notes

* The Washington Nationals are an amazing 18-4 in left-hander Gio Gonzalez's last 22 starts as a road favorite, including his last three outings in Philadelphia. Gonzalez and the Nationals are a -112 fave for Sunday's game against the host Phillies.

* Texas Rangers fireballer Yu Darvish is 4-0 in his last four starts as a favorite of -120 or less. Darvish and the Rangers have a slight -114 edge for Sunday's showdown with the host Los Angeles Angels.

Hitting Notes

* Rockies shortstop Troy Tulowitzki has multi-hit efforts in five of his last six games, raising his average to .400 for the season; the Rockies are 5-1 against the moneyline and 6-0 O/U over that stretch, and are -144 favorites with the total set at 10 for Sunday's game against visiting Arizona.

* The New York Yankees lead the majors with a .289 batting average against left-handed pitching, and will look to improve that mark as a -153 home favorite in Sunday's matchup with southpaw Erik Bedard and the Tampa Bay Rays.

Total Streaks

Los Angeles Dodgers (8-1-1 O/U): The Dodgers have been hot of late, averaging better than six runs per game while winning four of their last five outings. Los Angeles faces a challenge to keep that stretch alive against Fernandez and the Marlins.

Prop of the Day

Think the Yankees will get the early jump on Bedard? Oddsmakers certainly do, making them a +135 play to lead the Rays after two innings; the Rays are a +200 longshot to own a lead after two frames.

Injury Watch

* The Toronto Blue Jays placed starter Brandon Morrow on the 60-day disabled list with a torn tendon sheath in his pitching hand. The news is a major blow to "over" bettors, as Morrow had gone 6-0 O/U this season and was "over" in 13 consecutive outings.

* Cleveland Indians outfielder Michael Bourn is expected to miss time with tightness in his left hamstring. The Indians are 6-7 and have lost 236 units so far this season with Bourn sidelined; they're -150 for Sunday's game against the visiting Chicago White Sox.

Weather Watch

* Expect plenty of offense at Fenway Park between the Boston Red Sox (+100, 8.5) and the Oakland Athletics. Teams averaged nearly 11 combined runs in 15 games last season with the wind out to right field at greater than 10 miles per hour

Umpire Stat of the Day

Under is 8-1-2 in umpire Mark Wegner's last 11 games behind home plate. Wegner will call the balls and strikes for Sunday's series finale between the Blue Jays and the host Pittsburgh Pirates.

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Nets at Raptors: What bettors need to know

Brooklyn Nets at Toronto Raptors (-3, 188.5)

The Brooklyn Nets and Toronto Raptors meet Sunday in Toronto in Game 7 of their first-round series, with the winner advancing to face defending NBA champion Miami. The Nets stayed alive with a 97-83 win at home on Friday, building a 26-point lead and hanging on in their most complete effort of the series. Brooklyn did it with the players on whom the franchise is leaning, as Deron Williams, Joe Johnson, Paul Pierce and Kevin Garnett combined for 65 points on 50 percent shooting.

The Raptors earned the right to decide this on their home floor but will have some pressure to make it hold up and bring the franchise its first playoff series win in 13 years, especially with the experienced Nets now oozing with confidence. Pierce said he loved his team's chances and reserve center Andray Blatche already guaranteed that Brooklyn will be moving on to face Miami, but Toronto's players were not backing down. "For us to have any doubt in our minds right now is not acceptable," Raptors forward Patrick Patterson told reporters following Game 6.

TV: 1 p.m. ET, ABC

ABOUT THE NETS: Some of the Game 6 performance can be credited to coach Jason Kidd's personnel shifts, which saw him replace Shaun Livingston with Alan Anderson - who had nine points and a team-high nine rebounds - in the starting lineup and stick with more experience off the bench. Kidd also relied on Paul Pierce and Kevin Garnett in the fourth quarter after sitting them in the final period in Game 5, and Garnett had a pair of big hoops to help fight off another fourth-quarter rally for Toronto. "(Kidd) wanted to mix it up a little bit, and it was a good call," said Garnett, who tied a series high with 13 points while playing 27 minutes, his highest total since Jan. 10.

ABOUT THE RAPTORS: DeMar DeRozan and Kyle Lowry have carried Toronto much of the season and are averaging a combined 44.8 points in the series, but they could use a little help in Game 7. No other Raptor scored in double figures and the team as a whole shot 38.5 percent in the 83-point showing Friday night. Forward Amir Johnson has proven to be the most important complementary piece, averaging 14.7 points and 6.7 rebounds in Toronto's three wins, compared to 4.3 points and four boards in its losses.

TRENDS:

* Underdog is 4-1-1 ATS in the last six meetings.
* Nets are 3-1-1 ATS in the last five meetings in Toronto.
* Nets are 6-2 ATS in their last eight Sunday games.
* Raptors are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games following a ATS loss.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. Anderson is averaging 11 points in the last two games after totaling 13 on 5-of-15 shooting in the first four.

2. DeRozan and Lowry have combined to shoot 39.5 percent from the floor.

3. Raptors C Jonas Valanciunas is shooting 68.2 percent from the field and 61.2 percent from the line in the series.

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PAUL LEINER

100* Nets +3
100* Rangers ML-120
50* Rockies ML-145

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firefox
over blackhawks

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KELSO

NBA

25 nets

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ROOT

NBA

no limit toronto
millionaire spurs

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HURLEY

NBA

small toronto
small mavs/spurs over

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Chris James Sports

69-45-1 YTD

Braves -130
Blue Jays +118
Rangers -108
Mets +120