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Larry Ness' 10* Rivalry Game of the Year-Dal/SA (4 in a row?)
My 10* Rivalry Game of the Year is on the SA Spurs at 3:30 ET.
The Spurs have won FOUR titles since 1999 (none since 2007, though) and their 62 wins this regular season earned them the No. 1 overall seed throughout the entire 2014 postseason. However, the Spurs need to win this afternoon against the Mavs (Dallas won a much more modest 49 games), or San Antonio’s postseason will be over! "It doesn't matter how many games it takes,"Tim Duncan said after the Spurs' 113-111 loss in Dallas on Friday night. "We're not worried or disappointed." That may be true but the spurs sure let one “get away” on Friday night.
The Spurs ed 81-76 entering the fourth quarter and scored quickly to go up by seven. However, the Mavs stayed in it and down 92-91 with about five minutes left, went on an 11-2 run to seemingly secure the win. However, a late barrage of three-pointers almost allowed the Spurs to ‘steal’ a win. In the end, the Mavs won by two and now, a PERFECT 6-0 ATS in this series, the Mavs need a SU win (not an ATS one), to avoid going home. There’s more than a little history (and plenty of dislike) between the two teams. Many of the names have changed but Dirk Nowitzki plus San Antonio's Big Three of Duncan, Manu Ginobili and Tony Parker were all there eight years ago when these frequent playoff foes played an epic seven-game set in the third of six series between them since 2001. The Spurs forced a Game 7 in San Antonio after trailing 3-1, then came back from 20 points down in the finale. Ginobili had a tiebreaking 3-pointer in the closing seconds but Nowitzki had enough time to drive, get fouled by Ginobili on a layup and force overtime with a three-point play. The Mavericks pulled away in the extra period to win the second-round series en route to their first NBA Finals before losing to Miami.
Monta Ellis (21.8 PPG) has been the Mavs’ best player this series, scoring 29 points in each of the last two Dallas wins. He had a huge fourth quarter Friday (12 points) to hand the Spurs their first road loss of the season when leading after three quarters. Nowitzki carried Dallas through the first three quarters with 18 of his 22 and has now scored 20-plus in back-to-back games (had 26 points in Game 5), after failing to reach the 20-point plateau in ANY of the first four games (he’s averaging 18.7 & 7.8). Dirk led the Mavs in scoring during the season (21.7) and Ellis averaged 19.0 but no other Dallas player averaged as much as 12 PPG. This postseason, Carter’s had a game-winning three-pointer at the buzzer of Game 3, Harris “came out of nowhere” to average 18.5 PPG the first two games and DeJuan Blair had his second straight double-double in Game 6 (10 & 14), after getting 12 & 11 in Game 4, a streak interrupted by his suspension for kicking Tiago Splitter in the head in Game 4. He had to watch his new team play his old team in Game 5 alone in his hotel room in San Antonio.
San Antonio’s best quality during the regular season was its depth and balance, as NINE players averaged between 8.2 and 16.7 PPG. However, this postseason, Belinelli has disappeared (2.8 PPG, after averaging 11.4 during the season) and Mills has seen his production cut in half (down to 5.7 PPG from 10.2). On the other hand, Ginobili has been superb (despite a poor Game 6), averaging 17.3-3.8-4.5, up from 12.3 PPG during the season. Also, Splitter is averaging 12.3 & 10.2, up from 8.2 & 6.2. Parker (17.8-4.8 APG) and Duncan (17.7-8.3), as always, have led the way this postseason.
Nowitzki is 4-0 and has averaged 28 points and 15 rebounds in Game 7s. but after all three home teams won on Saturday, the all-time record in the NBA postseason stands at 94-23 (.803) for home teams in Game 7s. Sure, the Spurs can win and NOT cover (see the Clippers last night) but I want San Antonio’s “Big Three” plus the coach of the year on my side in this Game 7. Can Dallas really go a PERFECT 7-0 ATS in this series? My bet says N-O!
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